Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 51.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 294.4

Total Profit: +194.2

The Open Championship

18/07/2019 - 21/07/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NIR Rory McIlroy 8 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 11.11% 7.54% 2.22% -5.33% MC
2 USA Brooks Koepka 11 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 8.33% 5.66% 2.26% -3.4% T4
3 ESP Jon Rahm 14 (William Hill: 10 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.53% 1.78% -2.75% T11
4 USA Tiger Woods 18 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.57% 2.8% -0.78% MC
5 USA Dustin Johnson 18 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.57% 2.16% -1.42% T51
6 ENG Justin Rose 22 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 4.35% 2.95% 1.85% -1.11% T20
7 USA Xander Schauffele 25 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.61% 1.55% -1.06% T41
8 USA Patrick Cantlay 25 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.61% 1.53% -1.08% T41
9 AUS Adam Scott 25 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.61% 1.37% -1.24% MC
10 ITA Francesco Molinari 25 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.61% 1.18% -1.43% T11
11 SWE Henrik Stenson 25 (William Hill: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.61% 0.81% -1.8% T20
12 USA Justin Thomas 28 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.34% 1.35% -1% T11
13 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 30 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.19% 1.11% -1.08% 2
14 USA Matt Kuchar 33 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2% 1.57% -0.43% T41
15 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 35 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.89% 1.9% 0.01% MC 8.42
16 USA Rickie Fowler 35 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.89% 1.46% -0.42% T6
17 USA Bryson DeChambeau 40 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.66% 1.21% -0.44% MC
18 AUS Jason Day 45 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.48% 1.87% 0.39% MC 6.59
19 USA Jordan Spieth 45 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.48% 1.19% -0.29% T20
20 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 45 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.48% 0.82% -0.65% T20
21 ENG Matt Wallace 50 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.33% 1.29% -0.04% T51 5.95
22 ENG Paul Casey 55 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.21% 1.44% 0.23% T57 5.42
23 ESP Sergio Garcia 60 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.11% 1.34% 0.23% T67 4.97
24 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 60 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.11% 0.95% -0.17% T20
25 USA Webb Simpson 66 (William Hill: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.01% 1.43% 0.41% T30 4.53
26 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 66 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.01% 1.34% 0.33% T32 4.53
27 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 66 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.01% 1.2% 0.19% MC 4.53
28 ENG Ian Poulter 66 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.01% 1.02% 0.01% MC 4.53
29 ENG Eddie Pepperell 66 (William Hill: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.01% 0.68% -0.33% 71
30 USA Gary Woodland 70 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.96% 1.76% 0.81% MC 4.27
31 NIR Graeme McDowell 70 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.96% 1.14% 0.18% T57 4.27
32 IRL Shane Lowry 70 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.96% 0.96% 0% 1 4.27 +183.6
33 AUS Marc Leishman 70 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.96% 0.82% -0.14% MC 4.27
34 USA Patrick Reed 80 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 0.96% 0.12% 10 3.75 +31.9
35 USA Tony Finau 80 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 0.51% -0.33% 3
36 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 90 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.75% 0.67% -0.08% T6 (tied w/4) 3.34 +23.8
37 USA Phil Mickelson 100 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% 1.16% 0.48% MC 3.01
38 RSA Erik van Rooyen 100 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% 0.62% -0.05% T20 3.01
39 ENG Lee Westwood 100 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% 0.62% -0.05% T4 (tied w/2) 3.01 +31.6
40 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 100 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% 0.59% -0.09% T57 3.01
41 USA Brandt Snedeker 125 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 1.02% 0.49% MC 2.41
42 USA Kevin Kisner 125 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 1% 0.46% T30 2.41
43 ENG Danny Willett 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.88% 0.34% T6 (tied w/4) 2.41 +23.5
44 CHN Hao Tong Li 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.8% 0.26% MC 2.41
45 ENG Andy Sullivan 125 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.62% 0.08% MC 2.41
46 SWE Alexander Noren 125 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.52% -0.02% T11 2.41
47 USA Billy Horschel 150 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 1.09% 0.64% MC
48 USA Chez Reavie 150 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 1.01% 0.56% MC
49 CHI Joaquin Niemann 150 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.74% 0.29% MC
50 MEX Abraham Ancer 150 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.7% 0.25% MC
51 USA Zach Johnson 150 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.52% 0.07% MC
52 BEL Thomas Pieters 150 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.42% -0.03% T67
53 RSA Branden Grace 150 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.34% -0.11% T51
54 SCO Russell Knox 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 1.23% 0.85% T41
55 USA Jim Furyk 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 1.22% 0.84% T63
56 USA Bubba Watson 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 1.01% 0.62% T51
57 USA Lucas Glover 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.86% 0.47% T20
58 KOR Sungjae Im 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.76% 0.38% MC
59 USA Keegan Bradley 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.7% 0.32% MC
60 CAN Adam Hadwin 175 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.55% 0.16% T57
61 ARG Emiliano Grillo 175 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.5% 0.12% MC
62 RSA Dylan Frittelli 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.45% 0.07% T32
63 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.63% 0.29% MC
64 ESP Jorge Campillo 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.62% 0.28% MC
65 USA Aaron Wise 200 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.5% 0.17% T41
66 AUS Cameron Smith 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.48% 0.14% T20
67 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.34% 0% T16
68 USA Andrew Putnam 225 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% T32
69 IRL Padraig Harrington 225 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.3% 0.24% -0.06% MC
70 SVK Rory Sabbatini 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.78% 0.5% T16
71 USA Jason Kokrak 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.75% 0.48% T32
72 USA Kyle Stanley 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.71% 0.44% T41
73 USA Kevin Streelman 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.69% 0.42% T57
74 USA Brian Harman 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.58% 0.31% MC
75 USA Charley Hoffman 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.57% 0.3% T51
76 FRA Romain Langasque 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.52% 0.25% T63
77 USA Ryan Palmer 250 (William Hill: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.47% 0.2% MC
78 ENG Tom Lewis 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.33% 0.06% T11
79 NED Joost Luiten 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.31% 0.04% T32
80 ITA Andrea Pavan 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.31% 0.04% MC
81 ENG Andrew Johnston 250 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.28% 0.01% MC
82 USA Jimmy Walker 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.69% 0.47% MC
83 FRA Benjamin Hebert 300 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.64% 0.42% T41
84 KOR Siwoo Kim 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.54% 0.31% MC
85 ENG Robert Rock 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.48% 0.26% MC
86 THA Jazz Janewattananond 300 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.48% 0.25% MC
87 ENG Oliver Wilson 300 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.44% 0.22% MC
88 TPE C.T. Pan 300 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.42% 0.19% MC
89 USA Keith Mitchell 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.42% 0.19% MC
90 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 300 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.38% 0.16% MC
91 USA Luke List 300 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.35% 0.12% MC
92 ENG Paul Waring 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.33% 0.1% T63
93 RSA Brandon Stone 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.27% 0.05% MC
94 SWE Alexander Bjork 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.26% 0.03% MC
95 ESP Adria Arnaus 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.25% 0.02% MC
96 RSA Justin Harding 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.6% 0.41% T41
97 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.57% 0.38% T32
98 ESP Adrian Otaegui 350 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.32% 0.13% MC
99 JPN Shugo Imahira 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.46% 0.29% MC
100 USA J.B. Holmes 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.46% 0.29% T67
101 USA Nate Lashley 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.46% 0.29% MC
102 KOR Sunghoon Kang 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.45% 0.28% MC
103 USA David Lipsky 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.41% 0.24% MC
104 RSA Richard Sterne 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.36% 0.2% MC
105 ITA Nino Bertasio 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.36% 0.19% T72
106 USA Doc Redman 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.35% 0.18% T20
107 CAN Corey Conners 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.32% 0.15% MC
108 FIN Mikko Korhonen 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.23% 0.06% T63
109 NZL Ryan Fox 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.21% 0.04% T16
110 ENG Chris Wood 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.21% 0.04% MC
111 USA Kurt Kitayama 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.3% 0.16% MC
112 FRA Alexander Levy 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% MC
113 RSA Zander Lombard 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.22% 0.09% MC
114 USA Chan Kim 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.19% 0.06% MC
115 ENG Callum Shinkwin 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.15% 0.01% T41
116 USA Joel Dahmen 600 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.39% 0.28% MC
117 RSA Ernie Els 600 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.32% 0.21% T32
118 IND Shubhankar Sharma 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.25% 0.14% T51
119 USA Patton Kizzire 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.23% 0.11% MC
120 RSA Shaun Norris 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.19% 0.08% MC
121 KOR Sanghyun Park 750 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.25% 0.16% T16
122 USA Stewart Cink 750 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% T20
123 SCO Connor Syme 750 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.2% 0.11% MC
124 NIR Darren Clarke 750 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.17% 0.07% MC
125 JPN Takumi Kanaya 750 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.15% 0.06% MC
126 THA Prom Meesawat 750 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.14% 0.05% MC
127 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 1000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.62% 0.55% MC
128 JPN Yuta Ikeda 1000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.37% 0.3% MC
129 JPN Yuki Inamori 1000 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.13% 0.06% T72
130 AUS Dimi Papadatos 1250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.05% 0.16% 0.11% MC
131 ENG Garrick Porteous 1250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.05% 0.12% 0.06% MC
132 ENG Matthew Baldwin 1250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.05% 0.11% 0.06% MC
133 ENG Jack Senior 1250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.05% 0.09% 0.04% MC
134 SCO Paul Lawrie 1500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.31% 0.27% MC
135 AUS Jake McLeod 1500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.26% 0.22% MC
136 JPN Yoshinori Fujimoto 1500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.22% 0.18% MC
137 THA Gunn Charoenkul 1500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.22% 0.17% MC
138 KOR Dongkyu Jang 1500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.16% 0.11% MC
139 JPN Mikumu Horikawa 1500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.15% 0.1% MC
140 JPN Yosuke Asaji 1500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.09% T67
141 CAN Austin Connelly 1500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.09% 0.05% MC
142 KOR Doyeob Mun 1500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.08% 0.04% MC
143 ENG Andrew Wilson 2000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.03% 0.58% 0.55% T32
144 KOR Innchoon Hwang 2000 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.03% 0.12% 0.09% T41
145 IRL Niall Turner 2000 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.03% 0.07% 0.04% T57
146 SCO Sam Locke 2000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.03% 0.06% 0.02% MC
147 USA David Duval 2500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.14% 0.11% MC
148 MEX Isidro Benitez 2500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.05% 0.02% MC
149 KOR Byeong Hun An 0% 0% 0.95% 0% T32
150 SCO Robert MacIntyre 0% 0% 0.29% 0% T6

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 51.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.7 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...