Betting Market Analysis for Houston Open

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 2 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 5/1 6.35% -9.27%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 10/1 5.2% -4.17%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 1.69% -1.01%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 40/1 1.25% -1.18%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 43/1 1.11% -1.16%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 47/1 1.19% -0.88%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 50/1 1.65% -0.3%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 57/1 1.29% -0.42%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 57/1 1.27% -0.45%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 57/1 1.16% -0.56%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 57/1 0.97% -0.74%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 64/1 1.9% 0.37%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 64/1 1.27% -0.26%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 72/1 1.72% 0.34%
15 USA Joe Highsmith 50 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.38% ≈ 72/1 1.04% -0.34%
16 KOR Siwoo Kim 50 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.38% ≈ 72/1 0.99% -0.39%
17 BEL Thomas Detry 55 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.26% ≈ 79/1 1.67% 0.42%
18 USA Benjamin Griffin 55 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.26% ≈ 79/1 1.18% -0.08%
19 USA Taylor Moore 55 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.26% ≈ 79/1 0.87% -0.39%
20 USA Keith Mitchell 55 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.26% ≈ 79/1 0.66% -0.59%
21 USA Maverick McNealy 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.15% ≈ 86/1 1.69% 0.54%
22 USA Harris English 60 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.15% ≈ 86/1 1.22% 0.07%
23 AUS Kevin Yuan 60 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.15% ≈ 86/1 0.1% -1.05%
24 USA Sahith Theegala 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 1.73% 0.68%
25 USA Jake Knappe 66 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 0.85% -0.2%
26 USA Alex Smalley 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 0.65% -0.4%
27 USA Kurt Kitayama 66 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 0.61% -0.44%
28 USA Max Greyserman 70 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 1.33% 0.34%
29 USA Mackenzie Hughes 70 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 0.98% -0.01%
30 USA Max McGreevy 70 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 0.93% -0.06%
31 USA Andrew Novak 70 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 0.9% -0.09%
32 IRL Seamus Power 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 0.65% -0.22%
33 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% ≈ 128/1 0.91% 0.14%
34 USA Doug Ghim 90 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% ≈ 128/1 0.71% -0.06%
35 CAN Nick Taylor 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% ≈ 143/1 1.47% 0.77%
36 USA Austin Eckroat 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% ≈ 143/1 1.21% 0.51%
37 USA Patrick Rodgers 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% ≈ 143/1 0.94% 0.24%
38 ENG Harry Hall 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% ≈ 143/1 0.73% 0.04%
39 USA Lee Hodges 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% ≈ 143/1 0.73% 0.04%
40 USA Davis Riley 100 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.7% ≈ 143/1 0.71% 0.02%
41 USA Ryan Gerard 100 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% ≈ 143/1 0.46% -0.23%
42 USA Nick Dunlap 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 178/1 1.05% 0.49%
43 USA Beau Hossler 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 178/1 0.82% 0.26%
44 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 125 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 178/1 0.77% 0.21%
45 SWE Jesper Svensson 125 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 178/1 0.69% 0.13%
46 AUS Aldrich Potgieter 125 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 178/1 0.5% -0.05%
47 USA Isaiah Salinda 125 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 178/1 0.44% -0.12%
48 USA Ricky Castillo 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 178/1 0.33% -0.23%
49 COL Nicolas Echavarria 130 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.76% 0.54% ≈ 185/1 1.25% 0.71%
50 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 130 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.76% 0.54% ≈ 185/1 1.14% 0.6%
51 USA Sam Ryder 130 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.76% 0.54% ≈ 185/1 0.52% -0.01%
52 USA Gary Woodland 130 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.76% 0.54% ≈ 185/1 0.37% -0.17%
53 FRA Victor Perez 135 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) 0.74% 0.52% ≈ 192/1 0.74% 0.22%
54 USA Rickie Fowler 135 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) 0.74% 0.52% ≈ 192/1 0.61% 0.09%
55 USA Matt McCarty 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 214/1 1.14% 0.68%
56 USA Eric Cole 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 214/1 1.04% 0.58%
57 ENG Matt Wallace 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 214/1 0.86% 0.4%
58 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 214/1 0.83% 0.37%
59 USA Justin Lower 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 214/1 0.81% 0.34%
60 RSA Erik van Rooyen 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 214/1 0.8% 0.34%
61 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 214/1 0.76% 0.3%
62 NZL Ryan Fox 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 214/1 0.69% 0.23%
63 USA Patrick Fishburn 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 214/1 0.66% 0.2%
64 USA Charley Hoffman 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 214/1 0.64% 0.17%
65 Karl Vilips 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 214/1 0.52% 0.06%
66 USA Steven Fisk 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 214/1 0.5% 0.03%
67 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 160 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.44% ≈ 228/1 0.77% 0.34%
68 USA Joel Dahmen 160 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.44% ≈ 228/1 0.45% 0.02%
69 USA Carson Young 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 249/1 0.53% 0.13%
70 USA Hayden Springer 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 249/1 0.43% 0.03%
71 USA Kevin Roy 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 249/1 0.41% 0.01%
72 USA Michael Thorbjornsen 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 249/1 0.32% -0.08%
73 CAN Adam Hadwin 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 285/1 0.83% 0.48%
74 USA Vincent Whaley 200 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 285/1 0.55% 0.2%
75 USA Chan Kim 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 285/1 0.48% 0.13%
76 SWE Henrik Norlander 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 285/1 0.44% 0.09%
77 GER Jeremy Paul 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 285/1 0.27% -0.08%
78 USA Greyson Sigg 225 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.31% ≈ 320/1 0.47% 0.16%
79 FRA Antoine Rozner 250 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 356/1 0.56% 0.28%
80 ARG Emiliano Grillo 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 356/1 0.55% 0.27%
81 JPN Takumi Kanaya 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 356/1 0.47% 0.19%
82 USA Danny Walker 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 356/1 0.4% 0.12%
83 USA Trey Mullinax 250 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 356/1 0.15% -0.13%
84 USA Adam Schenk 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 427/1 0.58% 0.35%
85 CAN Adam Svensson 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 427/1 0.5% 0.27%
86 USA Quade Cummins 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 427/1 0.33% 0.09%
87 USA Mark Hubbard 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 498/1 0.62% 0.42%
88 USA Chandler Phillips 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 498/1 0.48% 0.28%
89 ARG Alejandro Tosti 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 498/1 0.38% 0.18%
90 USA Lanto Griffin 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 498/1 0.29% 0.09%
91 USA Zach Johnson 350 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 498/1 0.19% -0.01%
92 ITA Matteo Manassero 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 569/1 0.65% 0.48%
93 USA Patton Kizzire 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 569/1 0.56% 0.39%
94 USA Luke List 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 569/1 0.52% 0.34%
95 USA Ben Kohles 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 569/1 0.52% 0.34%
96 FIN Sami Valimaki 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 569/1 0.48% 0.3%
97 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 400 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 569/1 0.45% 0.28%
98 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 569/1 0.39% 0.21%
99 USA William Mouw 400 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 569/1 0.35% 0.17%
100 USA Chad Ramey 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 569/1 0.26% 0.08%
101 USA Noah Goodwin 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 569/1 0.22% 0.04%
102 RSA Thriston Lawrence 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 712/1 0.98% 0.84%
103 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 712/1 0.44% 0.3%
104 CAN Benjamin Silverman 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 712/1 0.39% 0.25%
105 USA Paul Peterson 500 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 712/1 0.36% 0.22%
106 USA Jackson Suber 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 712/1 0.36% 0.22%
107 USA Taylor Montgomery 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 712/1 0.28% 0.14%
108 USA Nick Hardy 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 712/1 0.24% 0.1%
109 USA Brandt Snedeker 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 712/1 0.18% 0.04%
110 USA Ben Martin 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 712/1 0.17% 0.03%
111 ENG Danny Willett 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 712/1 0.15% 0.01%
112 IRL Padraig Harrington 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 712/1 0.14% 0%
113 USA Frankie Capan 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 854/1 0.5% 0.39%
114 USA Nate Lashley 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 854/1 0.34% 0.23%
115 SWE Vincent Norrman 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 854/1 0.28% 0.16%
116 USA William Gordon 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 854/1 0.2% 0.09%
117 ENG Paul Waring 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1067/1 0.61% 0.51%
118 USA David Lipsky 750 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1067/1 0.46% 0.37%
119 USA Harry Higgs 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1067/1 0.41% 0.32%
120 SWE Tim Widing 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1067/1 0.39% 0.3%
121 COL Camilo Villegas 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1067/1 0.33% 0.24%
122 ENG David Skinns 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1067/1 0.27% 0.18%
123 USA John Pak 750 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1067/1 0.26% 0.16%
124 ITA Francesco Molinari 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1067/1 0.11% 0.01%
125 USA Kyle Westmoreland 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1423/1 0.3% 0.23%
126 USA Hayden Buckley 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1423/1 0.2% 0.13%
127 USA Matthew Riedel 1000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1423/1 0.11% 0.04%
128 USA Peter Malnati 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2134/1 0.49% 0.44%
129 USA Taylor Dickson 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2134/1 0.37% 0.33%
130 USA Will Chandler 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2134/1 0.22% 0.18%
131 USA Mason Andersen 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2134/1 0.21% 0.16%
132 AUS Aaron Baddeley 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2134/1 0.19% 0.14%
133 USA Trevor Cone 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2134/1 0.18% 0.13%
134 USA Braden Thornberry 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2845/1 0.22% 0.19%
135 JPN Kaito Onishi 2000 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2845/1 0.21% 0.18%
136 USA Ryan Palmer 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2845/1 0.12% 0.08%
137 PUR Rafael Campos 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3557/1 0.41% 0.38%
138 CHI Cristobal Del Solar 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3557/1 0.31% 0.28%
139 USA Jimmy Walker 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3557/1 0.09% 0.06%
140 USA Philip Knowles 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3557/1 0.08% 0.05%
141 USA Bronson Burgoon 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3557/1 0.04% 0.02%
142 USA Anders Albertson 2500 (Star Sports: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3557/1 0.04% 0.01%
143 USA Carlos Sainz Jr 4000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 5691/1 0.02% 0%
144 USA Vince Covello 4000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 5691/1 0.01% -0.01%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 24.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.4 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 82.1% 22.1%
2 Coral 10 @ 1/5 82.1% 22.1%
3 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 61.7% 24.2%
4 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 61.9% 24.3%
5 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 40% 26.3%
6 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 40% 26.3%
7 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 65.3% 27%
8 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 65.3% 27%
9 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 46.9% 30%
10 BoyleSports 10 @ 1/5 95.6% 31.2%
11 PricedUp 5 @ 1/4 48.4% 31.5%
12 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 48.5% 31.6%
13 Star Sports 5 @ 1/4 48.7% 31.7%
14 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 51.5% 34.2%
15 AK Bets 5 @ 1/5 36.1% 34.5%
16 VBet 6 @ 1/5 49.3% 34.7%
17 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 51.3% 36.6%
18 Betway 7 @ 1/5 64.9% 36.9%
19 LiveScore Bet 6 @ 1/5 52% 37.2%
20 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 52.4% 37.6%
21 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 52.4% 37.6%
22 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 63% 47.1%
23 QuinnBet 1 @ 1/1 51.2% 51.2%
24 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 69.9% 53.3%