Betting Market Analysis for Ras Al Khaimah Championship

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: yesterday | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 13/1 2.42% -4.74%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 1.16% -2.59%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 28/1 1.89% -1.53%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 28/1 1.66% -1.76%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 32/1 1.52% -1.51%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 1.62% -1.09%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 1.57% -1.14%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 1.93% -0.61%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 0.92% -1.62%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 1.59% -0.72%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 1.43% -0.88%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 45/1 1.47% -0.72%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 45/1 1.34% -0.84%
14 RSA Brandon Stone 40 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.92% ≈ 51/1 0.84% -1.08%
15 Angel Ayora 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.92% ≈ 51/1 0.82% -1.1%
16 SCO Ewen Ferguson 45 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.71% ≈ 57/1 1.44% -0.28%
17 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 50 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.54% ≈ 64/1 1.22% -0.33%
18 BEL Thomas Pieters 50 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.54% ≈ 64/1 0.41% -1.13%
19 FRA Romain Langasque 55 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.41% ≈ 70/1 2.14% 0.74%
20 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 55 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.41% ≈ 70/1 1.42% 0.02%
21 ENG Paul Waring 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% ≈ 84/1 1.78% 0.61%
22 ENG Richard Mansell 66 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% ≈ 84/1 0.92% -0.26%
23 AUS David Micheluzzi 66 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% ≈ 84/1 0.84% -0.33%
24 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 66 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% ≈ 84/1 0.68% -0.49%
25 THA Netipong Sritonginn 66 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% ≈ 84/1 0.11% -1.07%
26 ESP Jorge Campillo 70 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.11% ≈ 89/1 1.76% 0.65%
27 FRA Frederic LaCroix 70 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.11% ≈ 89/1 1.24% 0.13%
28 ENG John Parry 80 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 1.78% 0.81%
29 ESP Adrian Otaegui 80 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 1.13% 0.16%
30 NED Joost Luiten 80 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 0.9% -0.08%
31 ITA Francesco Laporta 80 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 0.82% -0.16%
32 CHN Ding Wenyi 80 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 0.2% -0.77%
33 ENG Andy Sullivan 90 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 1.03% 0.17%
34 SWE Alexander Bjork 90 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 0.87% 0%
35 AUS Elvis Smylie 90 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 0.78% -0.09%
36 BEL Adrien Dumont de Chassart 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 0.76% -0.1%
37 FRA Ugo Coussaud 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 127/1 0.96% 0.18%
38 SCO Calum Hill 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 127/1 0.79% 0.01%
39 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 100 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 127/1 0.72% -0.06%
40 FIN Oliver Lindell 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 127/1 0.64% -0.14%
41 ENG Dan Bradbury 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 159/1 1.22% 0.59%
42 ENG Sam Bairstow 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 159/1 1.05% 0.43%
43 USA Sean Crocker 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 159/1 0.86% 0.24%
44 FRA Adrien Saddier 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 159/1 0.84% 0.22%
45 DEN Hamish Brown 125 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 159/1 0.74% 0.12%
46 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 159/1 0.67% 0.05%
47 RSA Casey Jarvis 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 159/1 0.67% 0.05%
48 USA Brandon Wu 125 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 159/1 0.67% 0.04%
49 GER Maximilian Kieffer 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 159/1 0.53% -0.09%
50 AUS Jason Scrivener 125 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 159/1 0.52% -0.1%
51 ENG Callum Shinkwin 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 159/1 0.4% -0.23%
52 SCO Connor Syme 140 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.71% 0.56% ≈ 178/1 1.01% 0.45%
53 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 191/1 1.17% 0.65%
54 GER Yannik Paul 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 191/1 1.12% 0.6%
55 ESP Nacho Elvira 150 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 191/1 1.09% 0.57%
56 ENG Robin Williams 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 191/1 0.99% 0.47%
57 SWE Marcus Kinhult 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 191/1 0.8% 0.27%
58 ENG Todd Clements 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 191/1 0.72% 0.2%
59 ITA Andrea Pavan 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 191/1 0.69% 0.16%
60 FRA Tom Vaillant 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 191/1 0.62% 0.1%
61 SCO Scott Jamieson 150 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 191/1 0.6% 0.08%
62 USA Ryggs Johnston 160 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.54% 0.06%
63 MAS Gavin Green 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 223/1 0.67% 0.22%
64 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 223/1 0.62% 0.17%
65 RSA Dylan Frittelli 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 223/1 0.53% 0.09%
66 GER Marcel Schneider 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 223/1 0.51% 0.07%
67 IRL Padraig Harrington 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 223/1 0.42% -0.02%
68 ENG Daniel A Brown 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 1.29% 0.9%
69 FRA David Ravetto 200 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 1.11% 0.72%
70 IND Shubhankar Sharma 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.92% 0.53%
71 DEN Jeff Winther 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.91% 0.52%
72 JPN Yuto Katsuragawa 200 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.83% 0.44%
73 POR Ricardo Gouveia 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.47% 0.08%
74 RSA Louis de Jager 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.43% 0.04%
75 NZL Kazuma Kobori 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.41% 0.01%
76 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.25% -0.14%
77 SCO Richie Ramsay 225 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.35% ≈ 286/1 0.67% 0.32%
78 GER Marcel Siem 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 318/1 0.99% 0.68%
79 SCO Grant Forrest 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 318/1 0.96% 0.65%
80 KOR Minkyu Kim 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 318/1 0.85% 0.54%
81 ENG Brandon Robinson-Thompson 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 318/1 0.65% 0.33%
82 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 318/1 0.45% 0.14%
83 ENG Ross Fisher 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 318/1 0.4% 0.08%
84 CHN Zihao Jin 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 318/1 0.25% -0.07%
85 ENG Marcus Armitage 275 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.29% ≈ 350/1 0.59% 0.31%
86 NED Darius Van Driel 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 381/1 0.8% 0.54%
87 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 300 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 381/1 0.57% 0.31%
88 ENG Andrew Wilson 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 381/1 0.45% 0.19%
89 Martin Couvra 300 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 381/1 0.45% 0.19%
90 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 381/1 0.42% 0.16%
91 ENG Callum Tarren 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 381/1 0.38% 0.12%
92 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 350 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 445/1 0.62% 0.4%
93 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 445/1 0.4% 0.17%
94 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 508/1 0.8% 0.61%
95 CAN Aaron Cockerill 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 508/1 0.72% 0.52%
96 ENG Matthew Baldwin 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 508/1 0.64% 0.44%
97 SWE Joakim Lagergren 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 508/1 0.63% 0.43%
98 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 400 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 508/1 0.6% 0.4%
99 SWE Jens Dantorp 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 508/1 0.54% 0.35%
100 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 508/1 0.49% 0.29%
101 GER Jannik De Bruyn 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 508/1 0.45% 0.25%
102 SUI Joel Girrbach 400 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 508/1 0.44% 0.24%
103 FRA Benjamin Hebert 400 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 508/1 0.44% 0.24%
104 ENG Jack Senior 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 508/1 0.43% 0.24%
105 ESP Manuel Elvira 400 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 508/1 0.43% 0.23%
106 USA Jordan Gumberg 400 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 508/1 0.42% 0.22%
107 NOR Andreas Halvorsen 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 508/1 0.36% 0.17%
108 USA Jimmy Walker 400 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 508/1 0.33% 0.13%
109 RSA Richard Sterne 400 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 508/1 0.11% -0.09%
110 IRL Conor Purcell 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 636/1 0.72% 0.57%
111 SWE Mikael Lindberg 500 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 636/1 0.41% 0.25%
112 RSA Dylan Naidoo 500 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 636/1 0.4% 0.24%
113 AUT Matthias Schwab 500 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 636/1 0.35% 0.2%
114 FRA Pierre Pineau 500 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 636/1 0.34% 0.18%
115 RSA Deon Germishuys 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 763/1 0.49% 0.35%
116 RSA Thomas Aiken 600 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 763/1 0.45% 0.32%
117 SWE Simon Forsstrom 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 763/1 0.35% 0.22%
118 ENG Dale Whitnell 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 763/1 0.33% 0.19%
119 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 600 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 763/1 0.28% 0.14%
120 ENG Joshua Grenville-Wood 600 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 763/1 0.23% 0.1%
121 RSA Ryan Van Velzen 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 953/1 0.68% 0.57%
122 ESP Joel Moscatel Nachshon 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 953/1 0.6% 0.5%
123 FRA Alexander Levy 750 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 953/1 0.46% 0.36%
124 SWE Bjorn Akesson 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 953/1 0.42% 0.32%
125 RSA Darren Fichardt 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1271/1 0.44% 0.36%
126 IND Veer Ahlawat 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1271/1 0.39% 0.31%
127 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1271/1 0.31% 0.23%
128 RSA George Coetzee 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1271/1 0.09% 0.02%
129 ENG Daniel Gavins 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3176/1 0.12% 0.09%
130 SWE Robert Karlsson 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3176/1 0.02% -0.01%
131 UAE Ahmed Skaik 5000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 6353/1 0% -0.02%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 22.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 35.6% 19.5%
2 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 49.2% 22.8%
3 BoyleSports 10 @ 1/5 88.8% 24.8%
4 Betway 7 @ 1/5 51.6% 24.8%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 54.7% 27.3%
6 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 55.1% 27.7%
7 Coral 7 @ 1/5 55.1% 27.7%
8 Star Sports 5 @ 1/4 45.1% 27.9%
9 PricedUp 5 @ 1/4 45.1% 27.9%
10 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 45.3% 28%
11 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 43.4% 28.7%
12 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 43.8% 29%
13 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 46.7% 29.3%
14 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 45% 30.2%
15 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 45% 30.2%
16 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 46.4% 31.4%
17 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 46.4% 31.4%
18 LiveScore Bet 6 @ 1/5 47.8% 32.6%
19 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 48.1% 32.9%
20 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 48.6% 33.3%
21 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 48.6% 33.3%
22 AK Bets 5 @ 1/5 36.5% 34.6%
23 VBet 6 @ 1/5 50.5% 35.1%
24 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 56.6% 40.5%