Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 36.2

Total Profit: -63.9

the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide

31/05/2018 - 03/06/2018

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 13 7.14% 5.55% 2.33% -3.22% T8
2 AUS Jason Day 14 6.67% 5.18% 3.89% -1.28% T44
3 USA Justin Thomas 14 6.67% 5.18% 1.56% -3.62% T8
4 ENG Justin Rose 15 6.25% 4.85% 3.28% -1.57% T6
5 NIR Rory McIlroy 15 6.25% 4.85% 3.11% -1.74% T8
6 USA Jordan Spieth 18 5.26% 4.09% 2.21% -1.88% MC
7 USA Tiger Woods 21 4.55% 3.53% 2.11% -1.42% T23
8 USA Rickie Fowler 22 4.35% 3.38% 1.54% -1.83% T8
9 SWE Henrik Stenson 29 3.33% 2.59% 1.58% -1.01% T13
10 AUS Marc Leishman 32 3.03% 2.35% 1.46% -0.89% T62
11 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 35 2.78% 2.16% 1.49% -0.67% T13
12 USA Patrick Reed 37 2.63% 2.04% 2.58% 0.54% T29 9.24
13 USA Bubba Watson 37 2.63% 2.04% 1.98% -0.07% T44 9.24
14 USA Matt Kuchar 43 2.27% 1.76% 1.41% -0.35% T13
15 USA Phil Mickelson 46 2.13% 1.65% 2.34% 0.68% T13 7.47
16 ARG Emiliano Grillo 46 2.13% 1.65% 1.35% -0.3% T23
17 RSA Branden Grace 47 2.08% 1.62% 1.52% -0.1% T52
18 USA Bryson DeChambeau 50 1.96% 1.52% 1.36% -0.16% 1
19 AUS Adam Scott 56 1.75% 1.36% 0.88% -0.48% T35
20 USA Tony Finau 58 1.69% 1.32% 0.95% -0.37% T13
21 RSA Charl Schwartzel 59 1.67% 1.29% 0.71% -0.58% MC
22 USA Kevin Na 62 1.59% 1.23% 0.91% -0.33% MC
23 USA Jason Dufner 66 1.49% 1.16% 0.84% -0.32% MC
24 USA Chesson Hadley 67 1.47% 1.14% 1.32% 0.18% T40 5.17
25 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 70 1.41% 1.09% 1.27% 0.18% T13 4.95
26 USA Ryan Moore 71 1.39% 1.08% 0.88% -0.19% T13
27 USA Patrick Cantlay 73 1.35% 1.05% 0.66% -0.39% 4
28 USA Aaron Wise 83 1.19% 0.92% 0.72% -0.21% MC
29 USA Billy Horschel 85 1.16% 0.9% 0.93% 0.03% MC 4.09
30 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 88 1.12% 0.87% 0.93% 0.06% T13 3.95
31 USA Keegan Bradley 88 1.12% 0.87% 0.79% -0.08% T23 3.95
32 USA Kevin Kisner 90 1.1% 0.85% 0.95% 0.09% T74 3.86
33 USA Charles Howell III 92 1.08% 0.84% 1.04% 0.21% T65 3.78
34 USA Xander Schauffele 101 0.98% 0.76% 0.98% 0.22% MC 3.45
35 CAN Adam Hadwin 101 0.98% 0.76% 0.96% 0.2% T74 3.45
36 USA Kyle Stanley 101 0.98% 0.76% 0.57% -0.2% T2
37 SCO Russell Knox 105 0.94% 0.73% 0.98% 0.25% T44 3.32
38 USA Luke List 110 0.9% 0.7% 1.13% 0.43% T37 3.17
39 NZL Danny Lee 110 0.9% 0.7% 0.28% -0.42% MC
40 USA Zach Johnson 112 0.88% 0.69% 1.18% 0.49% T40 3.11
41 IRL Shane Lowry 112 0.88% 0.69% 1% 0.31% T52 3.11
42 AUS Cameron Smith 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.78% 0.14% MC 2.91
43 USA Keith Mitchell 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.74% 0.1% MC 2.91
44 USA Beau Hossler 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.59% -0.05% T44 2.91
45 USA Jamie Lovemark 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.5% -0.14% T37
46 USA Chris Kirk 130 0.76% 0.59% 1.25% 0.66% T52 2.68
47 SVK Rory Sabbatini 130 0.76% 0.59% 1.1% 0.51% T44 2.68
48 USA Kevin Chappell 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.99% 0.39% MC 2.68
49 USA Charley Hoffman 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.61% 0.01% MC 2.68
50 USA Peter Uihlein 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.5% -0.09% 5 2.68 +36.2
51 USA Bill Haas 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.5% -0.09% T57 2.68
52 USA Kevin Streelman 150 0.66% 0.51% 1.04% 0.53% T44
53 USA Pat Perez 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.75% 0.23% T70
54 USA Russell Henley 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.54% 0.02% T29
55 USA Gary Woodland 160 0.62% 0.48% 1.07% 0.59% T23
56 USA Nick Watney 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.97% 0.54% T57
57 KOR Siwoo Kim 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.73% 0.3% T29
58 USA Kevin Tway 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.62% 0.19% T65
59 IND Shubhankar Sharma 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.78% 0.37% MC
60 USA Jason Kokrak 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.68% 0.27% MC
61 USA J.B. Holmes 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.45% 0.06% T13
62 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 210 0.47% 0.37% 1.08% 0.71% MC
63 SCO Martin Laird 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.79% 0.42% T23
64 USA Ollie Schniederjans 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.65% 0.28% T65
65 USA Julian Suri 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.49% 0.12% T29
66 USA Andrew Landry 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.76% 0.41% T65
67 USA Bud Cauley 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.37% 0.02% MC
68 AUS Cameron Davis 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.21% -0.14% MC
69 SWE David Lingmerth 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.17% -0.18% T29
70 USA Lucas Glover 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.92% 0.59% T52
71 IND Anirban Lahiri 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.52% 0.18% T37
72 USA Grayson Murray 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.47% 0.13% 73
73 USA William McGirt 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.37% 0.06% MC
74 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 260 0.38% 0.3% 1.21% 0.91% T40
75 USA Trey Mullinax 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.83% 0.53% MC
76 USA Austin Cook 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.47% 0.17% MC
77 USA James Hahn 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.68% 0.39% MC
78 USA Jim Furyk 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.54% 0.27% MC
79 USA Daniel Summerhays 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.18% -0.08% MC
80 USA Patrick Rodgers 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.56% 0.3% T8
81 USA Brian Stuard 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.55% 0.29% T70
82 USA Brian Gay 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.53% 0.28% T44
83 USA John Huh 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.49% 0.23% T44
84 SWE Jonas Blixt 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.48% 0.23% MC
85 USA Ryan Armour 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.44% 0.18% T23
86 USA Brice Garnett 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.44% 0.18% T62
87 USA Stewart Cink 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.36% 0.1% MC
88 USA Tom Hoge 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.32% 0.06% T13
89 USA Sam Burns 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.27% 0.01% 81
90 USA Robert Streb 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.17% -0.08% 80
91 USA Patton Kizzire 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.67% 0.47% T74
92 USA Wesley Bryan 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.28% 0.09% T52
93 USA Brandon Harkins 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.22% 0.03% MC
94 USA Martin Piller 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.19% 0% MC
95 AUS John Senden 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.51% 0.36% T74
96 KOR K.J. Choi 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.5% 0.35% MC
97 JPN Yuta Ikeda 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.47% 0.31% T74
98 USA Kelly Kraft 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.44% 0.28% T35
99 KOR Sunghoon Kang 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.38% 0.22% T57
100 USA Scott Brown 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.37% 0.21% MC
101 FIJ Vijay Singh 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.16% 69
102 GER Alex Cejka 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.2% 0.04% T40
103 USA Kenny Perry 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.19% 0.03% MC
104 KOR Meenwhee Kim 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.18% 0.03% T29
105 USA Mackenzie Hughes 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.49% 0.36% MC
106 KOR Sangmoon Bae 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.26% 0.14% MC
107 RSA Ernie Els 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.46% 0.35% MC
108 SWE Carl Pettersson 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% MC
109 AUS Rod Pampling 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% 79
110 KOR Byeong Hun An 0% 0% 1.28% 0% T2
111 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 0.9% 0% MC
112 USA Ted Potter-jr 0% 0% 0.53% 0% T57
113 USA J.J Spaun 0% 0% 0.53% 0% MC
114 CHI Joaquin Niemann 0% 0% 0.46% 0% T6
115 MEX Abraham Ancer 0% 0% 0.41% 0% T57
116 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 0% 0% 0.4% 0% T70
117 USA Doc Redman 0% 0% 0.18% 0% MC
118 USA John Ellis 0% 0% 0.07% 0% MC
119 USA Andrew Dorn 0% 0% 0.06% 0% T62

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...