Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 275.6

Total Profit: +175.5

THE MASTERS

05/04/2018 - 08/04/2018

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Jordan Spieth 10 9.09% 7.49% 2.23% -5.25% 3
2 USA Justin Thomas 12 7.69% 6.34% 3.02% -3.32% T17
3 NIR Rory McIlroy 12 7.69% 6.34% 1.47% -4.87% T5
4 USA Dustin Johnson 13 7.14% 5.88% 2.39% -3.49% T10
5 ENG Justin Rose 15 6.25% 5.15% 3.66% -1.49% T12
6 USA Tiger Woods 15 6.25% 5.15% 2.28% -2.87% T32
7 USA Bubba Watson 18 5.26% 4.34% 3.12% -1.22% T5
8 USA Phil Mickelson 19 5% 4.12% 4.71% 0.59% T36
9 AUS Jason Day 19 5% 4.12% 2.26% -1.86% T20
10 ENG Paul Casey 24 4% 3.29% 1.95% -1.34% T15
11 USA Rickie Fowler 26 3.7% 3.05% 1.66% -1.39% 2
12 ESP Jon Rahm 27 3.57% 2.94% 2.26% -0.68% 4
13 ESP Sergio Garcia 31 3.13% 2.57% 2.19% -0.38% MC
14 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 36 2.7% 2.23% 0.99% -1.23% 19
15 SWE Henrik Stenson 44 2.22% 1.83% 1.88% 0.05% T5 (tied w/4) 8 +29.4
16 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 51 1.92% 1.58% 2.34% 0.76% T17 6.93
17 SWE Alexander Noren 55 1.79% 1.47% 1.97% 0.5% MC 6.43
18 USA Matt Kuchar 55 1.79% 1.47% 1.31% -0.16% T28
19 USA Patrick Reed 59 1.67% 1.37% 1.81% 0.44% 1 6 +218.4
20 ENG Ian Poulter 62 1.59% 1.31% 1.87% 0.56% T44 5.72
21 AUS Marc Leishman 62 1.59% 1.31% 1.37% 0.06% 9 5.72
22 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 64 1.54% 1.27% 1.31% 0.04% T12 5.54
23 AUS Adam Scott 64 1.54% 1.27% 1.03% -0.23% T32
24 BEL Thomas Pieters 79 1.25% 1.03% 0.87% -0.16% MC
25 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 82 1.2% 0.99% 1.9% 0.91% T44 4.34
26 USA Patrick Cantlay 83 1.19% 0.98% 1.19% 0.21% MC 4.29
27 USA Bryson DeChambeau 89 1.11% 0.92% 0.94% 0.02% T38
28 USA Brian Harman 98 1.01% 0.83% 1.84% 1.01% T44 3.64
29 USA Xander Schauffele 103 0.96% 0.79% 1.67% 0.88% T50 3.47
30 USA Tony Finau 106 0.93% 0.77% 1.43% 0.66% T10 3.37
31 USA Daniel Berger 106 0.93% 0.77% 1.41% 0.64% T32 3.37
32 USA Charley Hoffman 109 0.91% 0.75% 1.17% 0.42% T12 3.28
33 USA Ryan Moore 109 0.91% 0.75% 0.8% 0.05% T28 3.28
34 USA Kevin Chappell 112 0.88% 0.73% 1.22% 0.49% MC 3.19
35 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 115 0.86% 0.71% 1.37% 0.66% T38 3.11
36 RSA Branden Grace 115 0.86% 0.71% 1.24% 0.53% T24 3.11
37 USA Russell Henley 115 0.86% 0.71% 0.93% 0.22% T15 3.11
38 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 120 0.83% 0.68% 1.38% 0.7% T44 2.98
39 RSA Charl Schwartzel 120 0.83% 0.68% 0.94% 0.26% MC 2.98
40 USA Zach Johnson 130 0.76% 0.63% 1.36% 0.73% T36 2.75
41 AUS Cameron Smith 130 0.76% 0.63% 1.35% 0.72% T5 (tied w/4) 2.75 +27.8
42 USA Gary Woodland 130 0.76% 0.63% 1.03% 0.4% MC 2.75
43 USA Kevin Kisner 150 0.66% 0.55% 1.36% 0.81% T28
44 CAN Adam Hadwin 150 0.66% 0.55% 1.36% 0.81% T24
45 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 150 0.66% 0.55% 1.29% 0.75% T38
46 USA Pat Perez 160 0.62% 0.51% 0.73% 0.22% MC
47 ITA Francesco Molinari 180 0.55% 0.46% 1.19% 0.74% T20
48 USA Webb Simpson 190 0.52% 0.43% 1.43% 1% T20
49 USA Brendan Steele 190 0.52% 0.43% 0.93% 0.5% MC
50 USA Jimmy Walker 190 0.52% 0.43% 0.51% 0.08% T20
51 IND Shubhankar Sharma 200 0.5% 0.41% 0.97% 0.56% MC
52 USA Kyle Stanley 220 0.45% 0.37% 1.38% 1.01% 52
53 ENG Ross Fisher 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.79% 0.42% MC
54 USA Jason Dufner 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.67% 0.3% MC
55 USA Patton Kizzire 230 0.43% 0.36% 1.31% 0.96% MC
56 USA Chez Reavie 250 0.4% 0.33% 1.44% 1.12% 53
57 GER Martin Kaymer 250 0.4% 0.33% 0.81% 0.48% 48
58 RSA Dylan Frittelli 260 0.38% 0.32% 1.39% 1.08% MC
59 KOR Siwoo Kim 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.81% 0.53% T24
60 USA Austin Cook 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.76% 0.49% MC
61 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.71% 0.44% T24
62 USA Billy Horschel 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.48% 0.28% MC
63 ENG Danny Willett 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.38% 0.18% MC
64 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.66% 0.5% T38
65 USA Wesley Bryan 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.44% 0.28% MC
66 ARG Angel Cabrera 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.16% MC
67 USA Ted Potter-jr 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.15% MC
68 USA Fred Couples 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.23% 0.06% T38
69 JPN Yuta Ikeda 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.54% 0.4% MC
70 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% T28
71 FIJ Vijay Singh 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.21% 0.1% 49
72 RSA Trevor Immelman 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
73 ESP Jose M Olazabal 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.22% MC
74 CAN Mike Weir 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.11% 0.03% MC
75 CHN Hao Tong Li 0% 0% 0.57% 0% T32
76 GER Bernhard Langer 0% 0% 0.53% 0% T38
77 USA Matt Parziale 0% 0% 0.29% 0% MC
78 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 0% 0% 0.27% 0% MC
79 USA Larry Mize 0% 0% 0.23% 0% MC
80 USA Doc Redman 0% 0% 0.16% 0% MC
81 CHI Joaquin Niemann 0% 0% 0.15% 0% MC
82 USA Doug Ghim 0% 0% 0.11% 0% T50
83 USA John Ellis 0% 0% 0.07% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...