Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 50.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 29.4

Total Profit: -70.8

THE PLAYERS Championship

14/03/2019 - 17/03/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NIR Rory McIlroy 12 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.12% 2.51% -2.61% 1
2 USA Dustin Johnson 12 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.12% 2.14% -2.98% T5
3 USA Justin Thomas 14 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.44% 1.64% -2.8% T35
4 ENG Justin Rose 18 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.5% 1.86% -1.64% T8
5 USA Rickie Fowler 20 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.17% 1.6% -1.57% T47
6 ITA Francesco Molinari 22 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 4.35% 2.89% 1.35% -1.54% T56
7 USA Brooks Koepka 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.56% 1.75% -0.81% T56
8 USA Xander Schauffele 25 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.56% 1.75% -0.81% MC
9 ESP Jon Rahm 25 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.56% 1.44% -1.12% T12
10 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 25 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.56% 1.41% -1.15% T5
11 USA Tiger Woods 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.56% 1.32% -1.24% T30
12 ESP Sergio Garcia 28 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.3% 1.13% -1.16% T22
13 USA Bryson DeChambeau 30 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.15% 1.69% -0.46% T20
14 AUS Jason Day 40 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.62% 1.57% -0.05% T8 6.92
15 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.62% 1.05% -0.57% T8
16 USA Patrick Cantlay 40 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.62% 1% -0.62% MC
17 AUS Adam Scott 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.45% 1.52% 0.07% T12 6.17
18 ENG Paul Casey 45 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.45% 1.21% -0.24% MC
19 USA Webb Simpson 50 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.31% 1.48% 0.18% T16 5.57
20 ENG Ian Poulter 50 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.31% 1.21% -0.09% T56
21 AUS Marc Leishman 55 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.19% 1.4% 0.21% MC 5.07
22 SWE Henrik Stenson 55 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.19% 1.32% 0.13% MC 5.07
23 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 55 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.19% 1% -0.19% MC
24 USA Jordan Spieth 55 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.19% 0.62% -0.57% MC
25 USA Matt Kuchar 60 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.09% 1.7% 0.61% T26 4.65
26 USA Phil Mickelson 60 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.09% 1.25% 0.16% MC 4.65
27 USA Tony Finau 60 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.09% 1.15% 0.06% T22 4.65
28 USA Gary Woodland 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 0.99% 1.49% 0.5% T30 4.24
29 USA Patrick Reed 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 0.99% 1.33% 0.34% T47 4.24
30 USA Lucas Glover 66 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 0.99% 0.88% -0.12% MC
31 AUS Cameron Smith 70 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.94% 0.84% -0.09% T56
32 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 75 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.88% 0.79% -0.08% T41
33 USA Charles Howell III 80 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.82% 1.5% 0.68% T35 3.51
34 USA Bubba Watson 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.82% 1.32% 0.5% T56 3.51
35 ENG Matt Wallace 80 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.82% 1.1% 0.28% T30 3.51
36 USA Billy Horschel 80 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.82% 0.98% 0.16% T26 3.51
37 KOR Siwoo Kim 80 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.82% 0.93% 0.11% T56 3.51
38 USA Keegan Bradley 80 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.82% 0.74% -0.08% T16
39 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 90 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.73% 0.96% 0.23% T56 3.12
40 KOR Byeong Hun An 100 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.66% 0.69% 0.03% T26 2.81
41 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 100 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.66% 0.59% -0.07% MC
42 CAN Adam Hadwin 100 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.66% 0.54% -0.12% MC
43 RSA Charl Schwartzel 110 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.6% 0.56% -0.04% MC 2.56
44 SWE Alexander Noren 110 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.6% 0.56% -0.04% MC 2.56
45 USA Keith Mitchell 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.6% 0.5% -0.1% T47
46 USA Jim Furyk 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 1.15% 0.62% 2 2.26 +29.4
47 CHN Hao Tong Li 125 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.99% 0.46% MC 2.26
48 USA Luke List 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.77% 0.24% T56 2.26
49 USA Daniel Berger 125 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.59% 0.06% T67 2.26
50 USA Jason Kokrak 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.58% 0.05% T47 2.26
51 KOR Sungjae Im 125 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.54% 0.01% MC 2.26
52 USA Zach Johnson 125 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.53% 0.54% 0.01% MC 2.26
53 USA Kevin Kisner 125 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.53% 0.54% 0.01% T22 2.26
54 ARG Emiliano Grillo 125 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.5% -0.02% T26 2.26
55 USA J.B. Holmes 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 1.55% 1.11% MC
56 IRL Shane Lowry 150 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.78% 0.34% MC
57 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.74% 0.3% MC
58 USA Brandt Snedeker 150 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.55% 0.11% T5
59 GER Martin Kaymer 150 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.54% 0.1% 71
60 USA Ryan Moore 150 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.5% 0.06% T20
61 USA Aaron Wise 150 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.46% 0.01% MC
62 USA Kevin Na 150 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.44% 0% 78
63 USA Russell Henley 150 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.43% -0.01% MC
64 SCO Russell Knox 160 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.41% 0.92% 0.51% T35
65 RSA Branden Grace 160 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.41% 0.72% 0.3% T72
66 USA Chesson Hadley 160 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.41% 0.54% 0.13% MC
67 USA Ryan Palmer 175 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% 0.79% 0.41% MC
68 USA Michael Thompson 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% 0.57% 0.19% 70
69 USA Chris Kirk 175 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% 0.44% 0.06% T56
70 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 175 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% 0.43% 0.06% T3
71 USA Jimmy Walker 175 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% 0.34% -0.03% T67
72 USA Cameron Champ 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% 0.33% -0.05% WD
73 USA Scott Piercy 200 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.83% 0.5% T56
74 USA Patrick Rodgers 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.67% 0.34% 77
75 USA Chez Reavie 200 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.6% 0.26% MC
76 AUS Aaron Baddeley 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.52% 0.19% MC
77 USA Bud Cauley 200 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.43% 0.1% T47
78 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.4% 0.07% T41
79 USA Talor Gooch 200 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.37% 0.04% MC
80 USA Beau Hossler 200 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.33% 0.3% -0.03% MC
81 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 225 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.29% 0.62% 0.33% T30
82 MEX Abraham Ancer 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.74% 0.48% T12
83 USA Andrew Putnam 250 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.57% 0.31% MC
84 KOR Sunghoon Kang 250 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.51% 0.24% T47
85 TPE C.T. Pan 250 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.27% 0.49% 0.22% T72
86 USA Harold Varner III 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.47% 0.21% MC
87 USA Nick Watney 250 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.42% 0.16% MC
88 USA Wyndham Clark 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.34% 0.07% DQ
89 USA Charley Hoffman 250 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.19% -0.08% MC
90 NZL Danny Lee 275 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.24% 0.4% 0.16% MC
91 ENG Danny Willett 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.81% 0.59% MC
92 USA JT Poston 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.79% 0.57% T22
93 USA Patton Kizzire 300 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.61% 0.39% T79
94 ENG Eddie Pepperell 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.57% 0.35% T3
95 USA Kyle Stanley 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.49% 0.27% MC
96 USA Brian Gay 300 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.22% 0.46% 0.24% T56
97 USA Scott Stallings 300 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.41% 0.19% MC
98 USA Sam Ryder 300 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.36% 0.14% MC
99 USA Adam Long 300 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.33% 0.11% T79
100 USA Kevin Tway 300 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.22% 0.31% 0.09% MC
101 SVK Rory Sabbatini 300 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.29% 0.07% T35
102 USA Trey Mullinax 300 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.26% 0.04% MC
103 SCO Martin Laird 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.22% 0% MC
104 USA Austin Cook 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.19% -0.03% MC
105 USA Kevin Streelman 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.38% 0.19% MC
106 CAN Nick Taylor 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.36% 0.17% T16
107 USA Brian Harman 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.34% 0.15% T8
108 USA Brendan Steele 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.31% 0.12% MC
109 USA Jason Dufner 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.49% 0.32% T74
110 USA Stewart Cink 400 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% 0.48% 0.32% MC
111 USA J.J Spaun 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.45% 0.28% WD
112 USA Scott Brown 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.43% 0.27% MC
113 USA Scott Langley 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.41% 0.24% T67
114 USA Vaughn Taylor 400 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.35% 0.19% T41
115 USA Harris English 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.32% 0.16% MC
116 USA Brian Stuard 400 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.3% 0.13% MC
117 IND Anirban Lahiri 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.26% 0.09% T74
118 USA Peter Uihlein 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.21% 0.05% MC
119 USA Ryan Armour 500 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.13% 0.45% 0.32% MC
120 FIJ Vijay Singh 500 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.38% 0.25% MC
121 CAN Corey Conners 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.35% 0.22% T41
122 USA Troy Merritt 500 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.34% 0.2% MC
123 USA Kelly Kraft 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.32% 0.19% T47
124 USA Dominic Bozzelli 500 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.13% 0.32% 0.18% MC
125 USA Ryan Blaum 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.31% 0.18% MC
126 USA Ollie Schniederjans 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.3% 0.17% T16
127 USA Sam Saunders 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.28% 0.15% MC
128 USA Andrew Landry 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.28% 0.14% T47
129 USA Denny McCarthy 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.22% 0.09% T41
130 USA Richy Werenski 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.29% 0.18% T47
131 USA John Huh 600 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% 0.29% 0.17% MC
132 USA Bronson Burgoon 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.27% 0.15% MC
133 USA Tom Hoge 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.26% 0.15% T30
134 USA Joel Dahmen 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.26% 0.14% T12
135 USA Grayson Murray 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.19% 0.08% MC
136 USA Brandon Harkins 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.18% 0.07% MC
137 USA Martin Trainer 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.17% 0.06% T41
138 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.41% 0.32% MC
139 USA Brice Garnett 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% T35
140 GER Alex Cejka 750 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% MC
141 USA Tyler Duncan 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.16% 0.07% T74
142 IRL Seamus Power 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.34% 0.27% T35
143 USA Michael Kim 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.13% 0.06% MC
144 USA Ted Potter-jr 0% 0% 0.32% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 50.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...