Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 31.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.6 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 91.3

Total Profit: -8.8

U.S. OPEN

17/06/2021 - 20/06/2021

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 9 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 10% 7.09% 1.66% -5.42% 1
2 USA Dustin Johnson 14 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.72% 1.22% -3.5% T19
3 USA Bryson DeChambeau 18 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.73% 2.54% -1.19% T26
4 USA Brooks Koepka 18 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.73% 1.72% -2.01% T4
5 USA Jordan Spieth 20 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.37% 2.17% -1.2% T19
6 USA Xander Schauffele 20 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.37% 1.77% -1.6% T7
7 NIR Rory McIlroy 20 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.37% 1.76% -1.61% T7
8 USA Collin Morikawa 22 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.08% 2.05% -1.03% T4
9 USA Justin Thomas 22 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.08% 2.05% -1.04% T19
10 NOR Viktor Hovland 22 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.08% 1.63% -1.45% WD
11 USA Patrick Cantlay 25 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.73% 2.25% -0.47% T15
12 USA Patrick Reed 25 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.73% 1.85% -0.88% T19
13 USA Tony Finau 28 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.44% 1.86% -0.58% MC
14 ENG Paul Casey 40 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.73% 1.59% -0.14% T7
15 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 40 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.73% 1.23% -0.49% T26
16 USA Will Zalatoris 45 (Sporting Index: 6 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.54% 1.96% 0.42% MC 6.99
17 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 45 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.54% 1.6% 0.06% 2 6.99 +35
18 USA Daniel Berger 45 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.54% 1.3% -0.24% T7
19 USA Scottie Scheffler 50 (GentingBet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.39% 1.91% 0.52% T7 (tied w/6) 6.3 +11.6
20 IRL Shane Lowry 50 (Sporting Index: 6 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.39% 1.46% 0.07% T65 6.3
21 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 50 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.39% 1.38% -0.01% T55 6.3
22 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 50 (Redzone: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.39% 1.16% -0.23% MC
23 USA Webb Simpson 55 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.27% 1.07% -0.19% MC
24 AUS Cameron Smith 55 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.27% 0.9% -0.36% MC
25 USA Jason Kokrak 60 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.16% 1.65% 0.49% MC 5.27
26 MEX Abraham Ancer 60 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.16% 1.52% 0.35% MC 5.27
27 ENG Justin Rose 60 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.16% 1.01% -0.15% MC
28 CAN Corey Conners 66 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.06% 1.51% 0.45% MC 4.8
29 AUS Marc Leishman 66 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.06% 0.93% -0.12% 64
30 AUS Adam Scott 66 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.06% 0.72% -0.34% T35
31 CHI Joaquin Niemann 70 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1% 1.73% 0.73% T31 4.53
32 RSA Garrick Higgo 70 (Sporting Index: 6 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1% 1.5% 0.51% MC 4.53
33 USA Phil Mickelson 70 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1% 0.88% -0.11% T62
34 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 75 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.32% 0.93% 0.86% -0.07% T50 4.23
35 USA Charley Hoffman 80 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 1.11% 0.24% T57 3.97
36 USA Harris English 80 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 1.01% 0.13% 3 3.97 +33.7
37 USA Gary Woodland 80 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 0.7% -0.18% T50
38 USA Max Homa 90 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.78% 1.61% 0.83% MC 3.53
39 USA Sam Burns 100 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 1.69% 0.99% MC 3.18
40 KOR Sungjae Im 100 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.84% 0.14% T35 3.18
41 ESP Sergio Garcia 110 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.64% 0.74% 0.1% T19 2.9
42 USA Brian Harman 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 1.47% 0.9% T19 2.55
43 USA Stewart Cink 125 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 1.18% 0.62% T57 2.55
44 USA Kevin Streelman 125 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 1.06% 0.5% T15 2.55
45 ENG Matt Wallace 125 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 1.04% 0.47% MC 2.55
46 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.79% 0.23% T31 2.55
47 RSA Branden Grace 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.72% 0.16% T7 (tied w/6) 2.55 +11.1
48 USA Bubba Watson 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.52% -0.05% T50 2.55
49 USA Billy Horschel 150 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 1.5% 1.03% MC
50 KOR Siwoo Kim 150 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 1.14% 0.67% T40
51 USA Ryan Palmer 150 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 1.05% 0.58% MC
52 MEX Carlos Ortiz 150 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.76% 0.29% MC
53 ENG Lee Westwood 150 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.55% 0.08% T46
54 AUS Matt Jones 175 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.9% 0.5% T65
55 ENG Ian Poulter 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.77% 0.36% T40
56 USA Matt Kuchar 175 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.54% 0.14% MC
57 SCO Robert MacIntyre 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.68% 0.33% T35
58 RSA Charl Schwartzel 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.6% 0.25% T19
59 USA Lanto Griffin 200 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.5% 0.15% T35
60 USA Russell Henley 200 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.46% 0.1% T13
61 ITA Francesco Molinari 200 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.46% 0.1% T13
62 RSA Erik van Rooyen 200 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.38% 0.02% MC
63 USA Matthew Wolff 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.37% 0.02% T15
64 USA Cameron Champ 200 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.37% 0.02% MC
65 USA Kevin Na 250 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 1.05% 0.77% MC
66 USA Brendon Todd 250 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.87% 0.59% MC
67 USA Brendan Steele 250 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.76% 0.48% MC
68 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.7% 0.42% T57
69 CAN Adam Hadwin 250 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.48% 0.19% T40
70 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 250 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.47% 0.19% MC
71 USA Kevin Kisner 250 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.31% 0.03% T55
72 USA Chez Reavie 250 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.29% 0% T40
73 RSA Wilco Nienaber 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.2% -0.08% T68
74 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 300 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.74% 0.5% T50
75 USA Troy Merritt 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.48% 0.24% T65
76 BEL Thomas Detry 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.45% 0.22% MC
77 SCO Martin Laird 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.38% 0.14% MC
78 SWE Henrik Stenson 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.22% -0.02% MC
79 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.86% 0.66% MC
80 FRA Victor Perez 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.47% 0.27% MC
81 COL Sebastian Munoz 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.45% 0.25% MC
82 USA Zach Johnson 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.37% 0.17% MC
83 GER Martin Kaymer 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% T26
84 RSA Dylan Frittelli 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.22% 0.02% T46
85 USA Tom Hoge 400 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.62% 0.44% T46
86 ENG Marcus Armitage 400 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.48% 0.31% MC
87 USA Mackenzie Hughes 400 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.42% 0.24% T15
88 USA Wyndham Clark 400 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.4% 0.22% MC
89 USA Bo Hoag 400 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.35% 0.17% MC
90 USA Jimmy Walker 400 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.34% 0.17% T70
91 ENG Jordan L Smith 400 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.32% 0.15% MC
92 USA Patrick Rodgers 400 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.21% 0.03% T31
93 USA Cameron Young 400 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.08% -0.1% MC
94 USA Chan Kim 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.82% 0.68% MC
95 ITA Guido Migliozzi 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.81% 0.67% T4
96 ENG Richard Bland 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.47% 0.33% T50
97 USA JT Poston 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.38% 0.24% T40
98 USA Sam Ryder 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% MC
99 POL Adrian Meronk 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.3% 0.16% MC
100 USA Robby Shelton 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.3% 0.16% MC
101 ITA Edoardo Molinari 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.27% 0.13% T35
102 USA Brian Stuard 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
103 KOR Sunghoon Kang 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.11% MC
104 USA Sahith Theegala 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.25% 0.11% MC
105 USA Peter Malnati 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.18% 0.04% MC
106 USA Greyson Sigg 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.17% 0.03% T62
107 USA John Huh 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.13% -0.01% MC
108 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.1% -0.04% MC
109 CAN Taylor Pendrith 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.07% -0.07% MC
110 ENG Matthew Southgate 600 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.37% 0.25% MC
111 USA J.J Spaun 600 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.19% 0.07% MC
112 USA Cole Hammer 600 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.08% -0.04% MC
113 AUS Wade Ormsby 750 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.37% 0.27% T40
114 USA Johannes Veerman 750 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% MC
115 USA Akshay Bhatia 750 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.11% 0.02% T57
116 USA Pierceson Coody 750 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.09% -0.01% MC
117 USA Dylan Wu 750 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.07% -0.02% T31
118 USA Hayden Buckley 750 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.07% -0.02% MC
119 ENG David Coupland 1000 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.17% 0.1% MC
120 ARG Fabian Gomez 1000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.11% 0.04% T70
121 RSA Thomas Aiken 1000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.09% 0.02% MC
122 USA Zack Sucher 1000 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.08% 0.01% MC
123 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 1000 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.07% 0% T26
124 JPN Yosuke Asaji 1000 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.07% 0% MC
125 USA Taylor Montgomery 1000 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.07% 0% T57
126 FRA Paul Barjon 1000 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.07% 0% MC
127 AUS Brad Kennedy 1000 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.07% 0% MC
128 GER Matthias Schmid 1250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.06% 0.12% 0.06% MC
129 USA Dylan Meyer 1500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.08% 0.03% MC
130 USA Chris Baker 1500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.08% 0.03% T26
131 USA Andy Pope 1500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.07% 0.03% MC
132 USA Rick Lamb 1500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.07% 0.03% T46
133 USA Michael Johnson 1500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.07% 0.03% MC
134 CRC Luis Gagne 1500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.07% 0.03% MC
135 MEX Alvaro Ortiz Becerra 1500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.07% 0.03% MC
136 USA Hayden Springer 1500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.07% 0.03% MC
137 ENG Joe Long 1500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.07% 0.02% MC
138 USA Eric Cole 2000 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.38% 0.34% MC
139 USA Zach Zaback 2000 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.08% 0.04% MC
140 USA Kyle Westmoreland 2000 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.07% 0.04% T68
141 USA Spencer Ralston 2000 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.07% 0.04% MC
142 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 AUS Steve Allan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 USA Ollie Osborne 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 USA Ty Strafaci 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 USA Andrew Kozan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 USA Joe Highsmith 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 USA Matt Sharpstene 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 USA Davis Shore 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 USA Roy Cootes 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 USA Christopher Crawford 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 USA Carson Schaake 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 PER Luis Fernando Barco 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 MEX Mario Carmona 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 USA Wilson Furr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA James Hervol 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 31.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.6 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 11 @ 1/5 69.7% 7.5%
2 Bet365 8 @ 1/5 39.4% 8%
3 William Hill 9 @ 1/5 55.8% 12.3%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 10 @ 1/5 69% 14%
5 Paddy Power 10 @ 1/5 69% 14%
6 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 69.8% 14.6%
7 Betfred 10 @ 1/5 75.5% 18.4%
8 VBet 8 @ 1/5 56.9% 21.7%
9 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/4 52.2% 22.7%
10 GentingBet 8 @ 1/5 60.9% 24.6%
11 Betway 8 @ 1/5 62.7% 26.1%
12 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 40% 27.7%
13 Redzone 7 @ 1/5 53% 28.2%
14 10Bet 7 @ 1/5 53% 28.2%
15 Sport Nation 7 @ 1/5 53% 28.2%
16 Mansion Bet 7 @ 1/5 53% 28.2%
17 Unibet 7 @ 1/5 56% 30.7%
18 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 79.1% 38.9%
19 Spreadex 7 @ 1/5 67.3% 40.3%