Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 37.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 94.4

Total Profit: -5.7

US PGA CHAMPIONSHIP

06/08/2020 - 09/08/2020

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Justin Thomas 10 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.33% 2.14% -4.19% T37
2 USA Brooks Koepka 10 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.33% 1.92% -4.41% T29
3 USA Bryson DeChambeau 14 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.64% 2.93% -1.71% T4
4 ESP Jon Rahm 14 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.64% 2.18% -2.46% T13
5 NIR Rory McIlroy 14 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.64% 1.64% -3% T33
6 USA Xander Schauffele 16 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.09% 1.85% -2.24% T10
7 USA Dustin Johnson 22 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.03% 1.91% -1.12% T2
8 USA Patrick Cantlay 25 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.68% 1.37% -1.31% T43
9 USA Webb Simpson 28 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.4% 1.43% -0.98% T37
10 USA Collin Morikawa 30 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.25% 1.52% -0.72% 1
11 AUS Jason Day 33 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.05% 0.64% -1.41% T4
12 USA Tiger Woods 35 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.93% 0.35% -1.58% T37
13 USA Daniel Berger 40 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.7% 2.92% 1.22% T13 7.36
14 USA Patrick Reed 40 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.7% 2.28% 0.58% T13 7.36
15 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 40 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.7% 0.99% -0.7% T22
16 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 45 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.51% 1.6% 0.09% MC 6.56
17 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 45 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.51% 1.14% -0.37% T29 6.56
18 USA Rickie Fowler 45 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.51% 0.63% -0.88% MC
19 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 50 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.36% 2.5% 1.13% MC 5.91
20 USA Gary Woodland 50 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.36% 1.47% 0.1% T58 5.91
21 USA Tony Finau 50 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.36% 0.89% -0.48% T4
22 NOR Viktor Hovland 55 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.24% 1.68% 0.44% T33 5.39
23 AUS Adam Scott 60 (Betfred: 9 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.14% 0.98% -0.16% T22 4.95
24 MEX Abraham Ancer 66 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% 1.75% 0.71% T43 4.5
25 ESP Sergio Garcia 66 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% 0.96% -0.08% MC 4.5
26 USA Jordan Spieth 66 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% 0.64% -0.4% T71 4.5
27 USA Phil Mickelson 66 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% 0.62% -0.42% T71
28 ENG Justin Rose 66 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% 0.48% -0.56% 9
29 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 70 (Betfred: 9 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.98% 0.57% -0.41% T33
30 IRL Shane Lowry 70 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.98% 0.52% -0.46% T66
31 USA Billy Horschel 80 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% 1.07% 0.21% T43 3.73
32 USA Scottie Scheffler 80 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% 1.06% 0.2% T4 (tied w/5) 3.73 +31.7
33 USA Harris English 90 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.76% 1.61% 0.85% T19 3.32
34 KOR Sungjae Im 90 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.76% 1.09% 0.32% MC 3.32
35 AUS Marc Leishman 90 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.76% 0.91% 0.14% MC 3.32
36 USA Bubba Watson 90 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.76% 0.5% -0.26% T71 3.32
37 ENG Paul Casey 90 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.76% 0.48% -0.29% T2 (tied w/2) 3.32 +31.5
38 USA Chez Reavie 100 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 1.17% 0.48% T75 2.99
39 SWE Henrik Stenson 100 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 0.28% -0.41% MC
40 USA Matt Kuchar 125 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 1.25% 0.69% MC 2.4
41 USA Brendon Todd 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.9% 0.35% T17 2.4
42 ENG Tom Lewis 125 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.74% 0.19% MC 2.4
43 USA Matthew Wolff 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.7% 0.14% T4 (tied w/5) 2.4 +31.2
44 USA Kevin Streelman 150 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 1.16% 0.7% T58
45 USA Brendan Steele 150 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.97% 0.51% T22
46 USA Kevin Kisner 150 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.83% 0.37% T19
47 ENG Danny Willett 150 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.46% 0.73% 0.27% MC
48 KOR Byeong Hun An 150 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.56% 0.1% T22
49 USA Cameron Champ 150 (Betfred: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.5% 0.04% T10
50 CAN Corey Conners 150 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.49% 0.03% MC
51 CHI Joaquin Niemann 150 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.46% 0.45% -0.01% MC
52 SWE Alexander Noren 150 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.41% -0.05% T22
53 RSA Erik van Rooyen 160 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.43% 0.85% 0.42% T51
54 USA Richy Werenski 175 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 1.26% 0.86% MC
55 USA Ryan Palmer 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 1.25% 0.86% T43
56 AUT Matthias Schwab 175 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.86% 0.47% MC
57 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.82% 0.43% MC
58 CAN Adam Hadwin 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.8% 0.41% T58
59 USA Max Homa 175 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% 0.77% 0.38% MC
60 SVK Rory Sabbatini 175 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.71% 0.31% T66
61 ENG Matt Wallace 175 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.56% 0.17% T77
62 USA Lucas Glover 175 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.53% 0.13% MC
63 RSA Charl Schwartzel 175 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.4% 0% T58
64 USA Joel Dahmen 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 1.51% 1.17% T10
65 USA Kevin Na 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.93% 0.59% MC
66 USA Michael Thompson 200 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.84% 0.49% MC
67 ENG Ian Poulter 200 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.83% 0.49% T22
68 USA Russell Henley 200 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.8% 0.46% T37
69 RSA Dylan Frittelli 200 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.55% 0.2% T33
70 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 200 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.49% 0.15% T43
71 USA Brian Harman 200 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.46% 0.12% T58
72 AUT Sepp Straka 200 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.46% 0.11% T66
73 USA Jim Furyk 200 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.29% -0.06% MC
74 USA Mackenzie Hughes 225 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.31% 1.71% 1.4% T58
75 USA Luke List 225 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.31% 0.51% 0.2% T51
76 ARG Emiliano Grillo 225 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.31% 0.46% 0.15% T66
77 USA Talor Gooch 250 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.92% 0.64% MC
78 USA Troy Merritt 250 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.64% 0.37% MC
79 USA Zach Johnson 250 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.41% 0.14% MC
80 KOR Siwoo Kim 250 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.41% 0.13% T13
81 USA Jason Kokrak 250 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.4% 0.13% MC
82 USA Keegan Bradley 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.39% 0.11% MC
83 GER Martin Kaymer 250 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.22% -0.05% MC
84 USA Harold Varner III 300 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.75% 0.52% T29
85 USA Cameron Tringale 300 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.68% 0.45% DQ
86 USA JT Poston 300 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.68% 0.45% T75
87 USA Adam Long 300 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.63% 0.4% T51
88 USA Lanto Griffin 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.44% 0.21% T19
89 USA Brandt Snedeker 300 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.35% 0.12% T51
90 USA Doc Redman 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.31% 0.08% T29
91 SCO Robert MacIntyre 300 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.26% 0.03% T66
92 USA Scott Piercy 300 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.2% -0.03% MC
93 NED Joost Luiten 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.61% 0.41% T51
94 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.57% 0.37% MC
95 USA Jason Dufner 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.27% 0.07% MC
96 AUS Cameron Smith 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.27% 0.07% T43
97 NIR Graeme McDowell 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.26% 0.07% MC
98 CHN Hao Tong Li 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.21% 0.01% T17
99 USA Mark Hubbard 400 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.6% 0.43% T51
100 CHN Zhang Xinjun 400 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.54% 0.36% MC
101 USA Andrew Landry 400 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.39% 0.22% MC
102 USA Bud Cauley 400 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.33% 0.16% T37
103 NZL Danny Lee 400 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.31% 0.13% T71
104 CAN Nick Taylor 400 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.27% 0.09% MC
105 USA Tom Hoge 400 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.18% 0.01% T58
106 USA Kurt Kitayama 400 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.17% 0% T51
107 USA Andrew Putnam 400 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.09% -0.09% MC
108 SWE Marcus Kinhult 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.56% 0.42% MC
109 FRA Benjamin Hebert 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.48% 0.34% MC
110 USA Brian Stuard 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.45% 0.31% MC
111 USA Keith Mitchell 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.44% 0.3% T43
112 USA Tyler Duncan 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.42% 0.28% MC
113 MEX Carlos Ortiz 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.42% 0.28% MC
114 TPE C.T. Pan 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.39% 0.25% MC
115 USA Denny McCarthy 500 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.38% 0.24% T58
116 AUS Matt Jones 500 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.36% 0.22% MC
117 USA Steve Stricker 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.34% 0.21% MC
118 FRA Victor Perez 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.33% 0.19% T22
119 AUS Lucas Herbert 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.33% 0.19% MC
120 USA Wyndham Clark 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.29% 0.15% MC
121 THA Jazz Janewattananond 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.22% 0.08% MC
122 USA Jimmy Walker 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.14% 0% MC
123 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.09% -0.05% MC
124 USA Nate Lashley 600 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.09% -0.03% T37
125 USA Chan Kim 600 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.09% -0.03% MC
126 ESP Jorge Campillo 1000 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.81% 0.74% MC
127 RSA Shaun Norris 1000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.34% 0.27% MC
128 USA Jim Herman 1500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.17% 0.13% T77
129 USA Davis Love III 1500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.11% 0.06% MC
130 USA Jeff Hart 2500 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.09% 0.06% MC
131 USA Rod Perry 3000 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.03% 0.02% 0.1% 0.07% MC
132 USA Shaun Micheel 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.09% 0.08% MC
133 USA Rich Beem 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.09% 0.07% MC
134 USA Bob Sowards 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.09% 0.07% MC
135 USA David Muttitt 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.09% 0.07% MC
136 USA Rob Labritz 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.09% 0.07% MC
137 USA Marty Jertson 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.09% 0.07% MC
138 USA Judd Gibb 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.09% 0.07% MC
139 USA Ryan Vermeer 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.09% 0.07% MC
140 USA Alexander Beach 4000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.08% 0.06% MC
141 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 0% 0% 0% 0% T43
142 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% 0% 0% 79
143 USA Shane Bertsch 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 USA Daniel Balin 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 NED Rowin Caron 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 KOR Tom Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 USA Benjamin Cook 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 USA John T. O'Leary 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 USA Jeff Roth 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 USA Michael Auterson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 USA Rich Berberian, Jr. 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 USA Ken Tanigawa 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 USA Shawn Warren 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 USA Alex Knoll 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA Zach J Johnson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 37.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 11 @ 1/5 70.6% 8.1%
2 William Hill 9 @ 1/5 51.8% 9.5%
3 Bet365 8 @ 1/5 42.2% 10.3%
4 Betfred 9 @ 1/5 57.4% 13.6%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 10 @ 1/5 73.1% 16.9%
6 Paddy Power 10 @ 1/5 73.8% 17.4%
7 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 75% 18.1%
8 Sportingbet 6 @ 1/4 49.4% 20.3%
9 VBet 8 @ 1/5 62.5% 26%
10 Betway 8 @ 1/5 66.1% 28.8%
11 888Sport 7 @ 1/5 58.5% 32.8%
12 Sport Nation 6 @ 1/4 66.2% 34%
13 Unibet 7 @ 1/5 59.9% 34.1%
14 SportPesa 6 @ 1/4 66.5% 34.2%
15 10Bet 6 @ 1/4 66.5% 34.2%
16 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 47.3% 34.4%
17 GentingBet 8 @ 1/5 78% 38.4%
18 Spreadex 7 @ 1/5 66.5% 39.6%