Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 58.0

Total Profit: -42.1

Genesis Open

15/02/2018 - 18/02/2018

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 5 16.67% 12.86% 2.71% -10.15% T16
2 USA Jordan Spieth 14 6.67% 5.14% 3.96% -1.18% T9
3 NIR Rory McIlroy 14 6.67% 5.14% 1.47% -3.67% T20
4 USA Justin Thomas 17 5.56% 4.29% 1.75% -2.54% T9
5 USA Phil Mickelson 25 3.85% 2.97% 2.07% -0.9% T6
6 ENG Paul Casey 28 3.45% 2.66% 2.1% -0.56% T49
7 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 32 3.03% 2.34% 2.4% 0.06% T37 10.05
8 AUS Marc Leishman 42 2.33% 1.79% 2.6% 0.81% MC 7.71
9 USA Chez Reavie 44 2.22% 1.71% 1.82% 0.11% T73 7.37
10 USA Ollie Schniederjans 47 2.08% 1.61% 0.65% -0.96% MC
11 BEL Thomas Pieters 47 2.08% 1.61% 0.53% -1.08% T68
12 SWE Alexander Noren 48 2.04% 1.57% 1.33% -0.25% T16
13 RSA Branden Grace 49 2% 1.54% 1.66% 0.12% T37 6.63
14 USA Daniel Berger 49 2% 1.54% 1.3% -0.24% MC
15 USA Tiger Woods 50 1.96% 1.51% 1.55% 0.03% MC
16 USA Kevin Chappell 54 1.82% 1.4% 1.63% 0.23% T20 6.03
17 USA Patrick Cantlay 55 1.79% 1.38% 1.22% -0.16% T4
18 USA Bubba Watson 57 1.72% 1.33% 1.17% -0.16% 1
19 USA Brendan Steele 58 1.69% 1.31% 0.9% -0.41% T49
20 USA Matt Kuchar 60 1.64% 1.27% 1.49% 0.22% T26 5.44
21 USA Pat Perez 61 1.61% 1.24% 1.78% 0.54% T41 5.35
22 USA Xander Schauffele 68 1.45% 1.12% 1.36% 0.24% T9 4.81
23 USA Tony Finau 71 1.39% 1.07% 1.39% 0.31% T2 (tied w/2) 4.61 +35
24 USA Charles Howell III 72 1.37% 1.06% 0.8% -0.26% T37
25 USA Keegan Bradley 79 1.25% 0.96% 1.21% 0.25% MC 4.15
26 AUS Adam Scott 79 1.25% 0.96% 0.63% -0.33% T53
27 RSA Charl Schwartzel 80 1.23% 0.95% 1.51% 0.56% T68 4.1
28 USA Jason Kokrak 82 1.2% 0.93% 0.61% -0.32% T20
29 USA J.B. Holmes 84 1.18% 0.91% 0.7% -0.21% T60
30 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 85 1.16% 0.9% 1.43% 0.53% T26 3.86
31 USA James Hahn 85 1.16% 0.9% 0.84% -0.06% T14
32 USA Kevin Streelman 89 1.11% 0.86% 0.88% 0.02% T41
33 USA Jimmy Walker 90 1.1% 0.85% 0.67% -0.18% MC
34 USA Charley Hoffman 98 1.01% 0.78% 1.15% 0.37% T41 3.35
35 AUS Cameron Smith 101 0.98% 0.76% 0.86% 0.1% T6 (tied w/3) 3.25 +23
36 ITA Francesco Molinari 102 0.97% 0.75% 0.88% 0.13% MC 3.22
37 USA Beau Hossler 102 0.97% 0.75% 0.61% -0.14% MC
38 GER Martin Kaymer 104 0.95% 0.73% 1.14% 0.41% T53 3.16
39 CAN Adam Hadwin 105 0.94% 0.73% 0.73% 0% T6
40 USA Kevin Na 106 0.93% 0.72% 0.71% -0.01% T2
41 USA Bryson DeChambeau 110 0.9% 0.7% 1% 0.31% T41 2.99
42 SCO Martin Laird 110 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 0.01% T9
43 USA Patrick Rodgers 110 0.9% 0.7% 0.61% -0.08% T26
44 IRL Shane Lowry 111 0.89% 0.69% 1.2% 0.51% MC 2.96
45 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 112 0.88% 0.68% 1.13% 0.44% MC 2.94
46 USA Kyle Stanley 116 0.85% 0.66% 0.89% 0.23% MC 2.84
47 USA William McGirt 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.81% 0.17% MC 2.74
48 USA Luke List 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.67% 0.03% T26
49 USA Austin Cook 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.6% -0.04% T49
50 USA Ryan Moore 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.56% -0.08% T9
51 KOR Sangmoon Bae 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.42% -0.22% T75
52 USA Peter Uihlein 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.71% 0.12% T26 2.54
53 USA Brian Gay 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.87% 0.36% MC
54 USA Brandon Harkins 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.75% 0.24% T41
55 USA Ted Potter-jr 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.64% 0.12% MC
56 USA Scott Stallings 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.63% 0.12% T4
57 USA Bud Cauley 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.55% 0.03% T20
58 USA J.J Spaun 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.53% 0.02% MC
59 USA Aaron Wise 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.69% 0.21% MC
60 USA Harris English 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.4% -0.08% MC
61 KOR Siwoo Kim 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.83% 0.41% MC
62 USA Sam Saunders 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.35% -0.07% T26
63 USA Jamie Lovemark 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.28% -0.12% T26
64 USA Ryan Armour 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.55% 0.16% T64
65 USA Wesley Bryan 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.48% 0.1% MC
66 USA Billy Horschel 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.39% 0% MC
67 KOR K.J. Choi 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.33% -0.04% MC
68 USA Lucas Glover 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.79% 0.44% MC
69 USA Troy Merritt 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.5% 0.15% T41
70 TPE C.T. Pan 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.58% 0.25% MC
71 IND Anirban Lahiri 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.49% 0.15% T26
72 USA John Huh 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.47% 0.14% T26
73 KOR Sunghoon Kang 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.46% 0.13% T16
74 USA Jim Furyk 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.31% -0.02% MC
75 USA Scott Brown 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.58% 0.28% MC
76 USA Andrew Landry 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.74% 0.46% MC
77 USA Vaughn Taylor 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.71% 0.42% T20
78 USA Tom Hoge 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.52% 0.24% T53
79 USA Martin Flores 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.46% 0.17% MC
80 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.28% -0.01% T68
81 ENG Luke Donald 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.51% 0.24% T37
82 NIR Graeme McDowell 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.46% 0.18% T26
83 AUS Aaron Baddeley 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.34% 0.06% T14
84 USA Brian Stuard 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.53% 0.27% MC
85 USA Chris Stroud 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.49% 0.23% MC
86 RSA Retief Goosen 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.48% 0.22% T53
87 USA Harold Varner III 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.42% 0.17% T60
88 SWE David Lingmerth 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.42% 0.16% T75
89 USA Kevin Tway 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.4% 0.14% MC
90 CAN Nick Taylor 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.34% 0.09% T41
91 USA Cameron Tringale 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.28% 0.03% MC
92 IRL Padraig Harrington 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.7% 0.5% T64
93 USA Talor Gooch 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.42% 0.23% T20
94 USA Brice Garnett 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.4% 0.21% MC
95 NZL Danny Lee 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.34% 0.15% MC
96 USA Robert Streb 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.32% 0.12% MC
97 GER Stephan Jaeger 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.3% 0.1% MC
98 USA Michael Kim 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.29% 0.09% MC
99 USA Chad Campbell 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.24% 0.05% T49
100 SWE Jonas Blixt 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.43% 0.28% T41
101 USA Martin Piller 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.25% 67
102 COL Camilo Villegas 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.23% MC
103 FIJ Vijay Singh 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.23% T73
104 USA Kelly Kraft 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.19% 63
105 USA Jonathan Randolph 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% MC
106 USA Ryan Blaum 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.15% T60
107 KOR Meenwhee Kim 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
108 USA Derek Fathauer 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% T16
109 USA Morgan Hoffmann 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.5% 0.37% WD
110 USA Peter Malnati 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.49% 0.37% MC
111 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.41% 0.29% MC
112 USA Smylie Kaufman 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.4% 0.27% MC
113 USA Cody Gribble 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.34% 0.21% MC
114 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.29% 0.16% WD
115 USA Shawn Stefani 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.19% 0.06% MC
116 USA John Merrick 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.14% 0.01% MC
117 RSA Ernie Els 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.48% 0.38% MC
118 USA Dominic Bozzelli 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.38% 0.28% T26
119 USA D.A. Points 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.17% MC
120 USA Tyler Duncan 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
121 USA Adam Schenk 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.22% 0.12% T53
122 KOR Seunghyuk Kim 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.22% 0.11% MC
123 USA Jim Herman 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% WD
124 ARG Fabian Gomez 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.16% 0.06% MC
125 USA Matt Every 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.14% 0.04% MC
126 USA Billy Hurley III 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.37% 0.3% MC
127 USA Rob Oppenheim 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.24% MC
128 USA Andrew Loupe 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
129 USA Joel Dahmen 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% MC
130 USA Jon Curran 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.12% MC
131 USA Charlie Beljan 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% MC
132 AUS Greg Chalmers 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.08% T68
133 CHN Hao Tong Li 0% 0% 1.4% 0% T53
134 CHN Zhang Xinjun 0% 0% 0.43% 0% MC
135 CAN Benjamin Silverman 0% 0% 0.39% 0% T53
136 MEX Abraham Ancer 0% 0% 0.3% 0% T68
137 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 0.3% 0% T64
138 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0.28% 0% MC
139 USA Scottie Scheffler 0% 0% 0.2% 0% MC
140 USA Richard H. Lee 0% 0% 0.15% 0% MC
141 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0.15% 0% MC
142 USA Cameron Champ 0% 0% 0.13% 0% MC
143 USA Parker McLachlin 0% 0% 0.1% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...