Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 8.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 291.6

Total Profit: +191.4

ISPS HANDA - CHAMPIONSHIP

20/04/2023 - 23/04/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 20 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.19% 2.91% -1.28% MC
2 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 21 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.8/1) 4.55% 4% 1.96% -2.04% T16
3 AUS Lucas Herbert 22 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.83% 4.13% 0.31% 1 16.96 +250.2
4 ENG Jordan L Smith 25 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.38% 1.43% -1.95% T6
5 FRA Antoine Rozner 28 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3.03% 1.94% -1.1% T35
6 GER Yannik Paul 28 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3.03% 1.23% -1.8% T6
7 SCO Robert MacIntyre 28 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3.03% 1.03% -2% T6
8 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 28 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3.03% 0.79% -2.25% T23
9 JPN Takumi Kanaya 33 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.59% 0.96% -1.63% T12
10 NED Joost Luiten 40 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.15% 2.13% -0.02% T51 9.52
11 JPN Kazuki Higa 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.15% 1.53% -0.62% MC
12 JPN Taiga Semikawa 40 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.15% 0.9% -1.25% T45
13 SWE Alexander Bjork 47 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.5/1) 2.08% 1.83% 1.62% -0.21% T16
14 ENG Richard Mansell 47 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.5/1) 2.08% 1.83% 0.96% -0.88% T31
15 ESP Adria Arnaus 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.73% 1.61% -0.12% MC
16 USA Chan Kim 52 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 10.9/1) 1.89% 1.66% 0.28% -1.38% MC
17 GER Marcel Siem 66 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.31% 1.75% 0.43% T23 5.83
18 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.31% 1.59% 0.27% MC 5.83
19 SCO Grant Forrest 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.31% 1.36% 0.05% T4 (tied w/2) 5.83 +41.4
20 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.31% 0.83% -0.49% T14
21 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 66 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.31% 0.66% -0.66% T45
22 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.29% 1.54% 0.25% MC 5.74
23 GER Marcel Schneider 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.29% 1.11% -0.18% T51
24 FRA Matthieu Pavon 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.29% 1.11% -0.18% T35
25 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 72 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.8/1) 1.37% 1.21% 1.17% -0.03% MC 5.35
26 FRA Romain Langasque 72 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.8/1) 1.37% 1.21% 1.01% -0.2% T45
27 MAS Gavin Green 72 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.8/1) 1.37% 1.21% 1.01% -0.2% MC
28 ESP Jorge Campillo 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.16% 1.62% 0.46% T9 5.14
29 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.09% 2.02% 0.94% T61 4.82
30 RSA Zander Lombard 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.09% 1.82% 0.73% MC 4.82
31 FIN Kalle Samooja 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.09% 0.77% -0.31% MC
32 JPN Yuto Katsuragawa 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.09% 0.39% -0.7% T23
33 CHN Wu Ashun 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 1.02% 1.21% 0.18% T61 4.54
34 THA Jazz Janewattananond 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 1.02% 0.63% -0.39% T9
35 NIR Tom McKibbin 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.97% 0.98% 0.01% MC 4.29
36 KOR Jeunghun Wang 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% 1.15% 0.28% T45 3.87
37 SWE Joakim Lagergren 100 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.87% 0.85% -0.02% MC 3.87
38 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.87% 0.84% -0.04% MC 3.87
39 RSA Louis de Jager 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.87% 0.57% -0.3% T64
40 SCO Calum Hill 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% 0.49% -0.39% 3
41 JPN Aguri Iwasaki 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% 0.29% -0.58% MC
42 JPN Shugo Imahira 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% 0.28% -0.59% MC
43 ENG Paul Waring 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.79% 0.51% -0.28% MC
44 SCO Scott Jamieson 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.76% 1.33% 0.57% T35 3.37
45 ENG Matthew Jordan 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.76% 1.13% 0.37% MC 3.37
46 SCO David Law 125 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 0.69% -0.01% T16 3.1
47 ITA Guido Migliozzi 125 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.7% 0.54% -0.16% T23
48 KOR Sanghyun Park 125 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.7% 0.28% -0.42% MC
49 JPN Mikumu Horikawa 125 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 0.28% -0.42% T45
50 JPN Riki Kawamoto 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 0.28% -0.42% MC
51 SCO Richie Ramsay 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.66% 1.31% 0.66% MC
52 ENG Matthew Southgate 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.66% 0.96% 0.3% T35
53 USA Johannes Veerman 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.66% 0.78% 0.12% MC
54 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 140 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.62% 0.28% -0.35% T31
55 ENG Andy Sullivan 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.61% 1.04% 0.43% T56
56 GER Maximilian Kieffer 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.61% 1.03% 0.42% T16
57 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.61% 0.57% -0.04% T23
58 IND Shubhankar Sharma 150 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.58% 1.17% 0.59% MC
59 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 0.77% 0.18% MC
60 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.57% 0.99% 0.42% MC
61 ENG Matthew Baldwin 172 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.7/1) 0.58% 0.51% 0.78% 0.27% MC
62 RSA Shaun Norris 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.5% 0.78% 0.28%
63 SWE Jens Dantorp 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.44% 0.84% 0.4% MC
64 FRA Julien Guerrier 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.58% 0.14% MC
65 RSA Bryce Easton 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.55% 0.12% MC
66 ESP Santiago Tarrio 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.28% -0.16%
67 JPN Tomoharu Otsuki 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.44% 0.28% -0.16% 72
68 ENG Marcus Armitage 220 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.6/1) 0.45% 0.4% 0.65% 0.26% MC
69 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 250 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.76% 0.41% T16
70 FRA David Ravetto 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.75% 0.4% T70
71 ENG Daniel Gavins 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.65% 0.3% MC
72 JPN Yuki Inamori 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.28% -0.07% T16
73 CAN Aaron Cockerill 268 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.8/1) 0.37% 0.33% 0.73% 0.41% 2
74 AUS Brad Kennedy 277 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.8/1) 0.36% 0.32% 1.31% 1% T70
75 AUT Lukas Nemecz 277 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.8/1) 0.36% 0.32% 0.65% 0.34% T35
76 RSA Ernie Els 287 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.9/1) 0.35% 0.31% 0.69% 0.38% T68
77 SWE Marcus Kinhult 287 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.9/1) 0.35% 0.31% 0.69% 0.38% T64
78 USA Chase Hanna 297 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44/1) 0.34% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% MC
79 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.6% 0.31% MC
80 NED Darius Van Driel 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.54% 0.25% MC
81 ESP Nacho Elvira 300 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.44% 0.15% MC
82 JPN Ryutaro Nagano 325 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47/1) 0.31% 0.27% 0.28% 0.01% T23
83 CHN Shao Yong-liang 335 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.28% 0.02%
84 ENG Jack Senior 345 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.1/1) 0.29% 0.25% 0.59% 0.34% MC
85 JPN Ryosuke Kinoshita 364 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51/1) 0.27% 0.24% 0.28% 0.04% T68
86 ENG Todd Clements 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.54% 0.32% MC
87 KOR Yeongsu Kim 400 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.22% 0.4% 0.18% MC
88 JPN Shingo Katayama 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.28% 0.06% MC
89 KOR Todd Baek 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.28% 0.06% T51
90 JPN Ryuko Tokimatsu 400 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.28% 0.06% MC
91 JPN Taihei Sato 400 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.28% 0.06% MC
92 JPN Taisei Shimizu 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.28% 0.06% MC
93 JPN Jinichiro Kozuma 421 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.7/1) 0.24% 0.21% 0.28% 0.07% T35
94 JPN Terumichi Kakazu 421 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.7/1) 0.24% 0.21% 0.28% 0.07% T45
95 NZL Daniel Hillier 431 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.7/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.58% 0.38% T23
96 RSA Justin Walters 431 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.7/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.53% 0.32% MC
97 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 469 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.4/1) 0.21% 0.19% 0.52% 0.34% MC
98 JPN Hideto Tanihara 469 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.4/1) 0.21% 0.19% 0.28% 0.09% T51
99 DEN Oliver Hundeboll Jorgensen 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.51% 0.34% T35
100 SWE Mikael Lindberg 500 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.45% 0.28% MC
101 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.43% 0.26% T31
102 ENG John Parry 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.38% 0.21% T61
103 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 0.34% 0.16% T64
104 JPN Ryuichi Oiwa 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.28% 0.1% MC
105 RSA Justin Harding 508 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.1/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.46% 0.28%
106 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 537 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.7% 0.54% T51
107 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 556 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.5/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.41% 0.25% T64
108 JPN Daijiro Izumida 585 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.1/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% T16
109 DEN John Axelsen 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.15% 0.67% 0.53% MC
110 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
111 KOR Sanghee Lee 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
112 FRA Alexander Levy 613 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.6/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.5% 0.36% T56
113 NED Wil Besseling 691 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.4/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.75% 0.62% T23
114 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 729 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84.7/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.28% 0.16% MC
115 JPN Tomoyo Ikemura 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.12% 0.28% 0.16% T35
116 JPN Tomoyasu Sugiyama 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.12% 0.28% 0.16% T59
117 RSA Jbe Kruger 758 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.1/1) 0.13% 0.12% 0.79% 0.68% T59
118 RSA Deon Germishuys 777 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 88.7/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.54% 0.42% T9
119 JPN Yosuke Asaji 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.28% 0.17% T14
120 PHI Justin De Los Santos 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.28% 0.17% MC
121 JPN Hiroshi Iwata 902 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.9/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.28% 0.18% T4
122 ENG James Morrison 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.44% 0.35% MC
123 DEN Thomas Bjorn 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22% MC
124 ENG Oliver Wilson 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22% MC
125 JPN Kodai Ichihara 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.28% 0.19% MC
126 DEN Christoffer Bring 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.51% 0.42% MC
127 CHN Ma Chengyao 1000 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.44% 0.35% MC
128 PHI Juvic Pagunsan 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.28% 0.19%
129 JPN Yuta Uetake 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.28% 0.19% T35
130 JPN Naoyuki Kataoka(AM) 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.28% 0.19% MC
131 USA Gunner Wiebe 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.62% 0.58% MC
132 JPN Naoto Nakanishi 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.28% 0.23% MC
133 IRL Brendan Lawlor 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.04% 0.28% 0.24% MC
134 JPN Koumei Oda 0% 0% 0% 0% T56
135 JPN Yuta Ikeda 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
136 JPN Yoshinori Fujimoto 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
137 CHN Hao Tong Li 0% 0% 0% 0% T31
138 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
139 JPN Koki Shiomi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
140 JPN Shintaro Kobayashi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 JPN Shunya Takeyasu 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 JPN Taichi Nabetani 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 JPN Toru Nakajima 0% 0% 0% 0% T12
144 IRL Gary Hurley 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% T35
146 JPN Taiga Nagano 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 8.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 36.5% 20.3%
2 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 36.6% 20.3%
3 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 36.6% 20.4%
4 Betway 7 @ 1/5 47.7% 21.6%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 43% 26%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 54.9% 27.6%
7 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 54.9% 27.6%
8 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 45% 27.8%
9 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 45% 27.8%
10 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 42.4% 27.8%
11 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 46.3% 31.3%
12 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 49.2% 31.5%
13 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 61.5% 33%
14 Coral 7 @ 1/5 62.5% 33.8%
15 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 50.7% 35.3%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 51.3% 35.8%
17 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 51.3% 35.8%
18 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 51.4% 35.9%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 60.2% 43.8%
20 Star Sports 6 @ 1/5 62.2% 45.7%