Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 10.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -5.6 %

Total Probability Staked: 25.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 204.1

Total Profit: +104

The 151st OPEN

20/07/2023 - 23/07/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Scottie Scheffler 7 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 12.5% 9.04% 4.99% -4.05% T23
2 NIR Rory McIlroy 7 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 12.5% 9.04% 2.47% -6.57% T6
3 ESP Jon Rahm 11 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 8.33% 6.03% 2.34% -3.69% T2
4 USA Brooks Koepka 16 (Betfair : 12 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.25% 3.03% -1.22% T64
5 AUS Cameron Smith 16 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.25% 1.1% -3.16% T33
6 NOR Viktor Hovland 20 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.44% 2.71% -0.73% T13
7 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 22 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.14% 2.47% -0.67% T20 12.53
8 USA Rickie Fowler 22 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.14% 1.88% -1.26% T23
9 USA Patrick Cantlay 22 (Betfair : 12 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.14% 1.74% -1.41% T33
10 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 22 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.14% 1.42% -1.72% T10
11 USA Collin Morikawa 25 (Betfair : 12 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.78% 0.96% -1.82% MC
12 USA Xander Schauffele 28 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.49% 1.39% -1.1% T17
13 IRL Shane Lowry 30 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.33% 1.03% -1.31% MC
14 USA Jordan Spieth 33 (Star Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.13% 1.24% -0.89% T23
15 USA Dustin Johnson 33 (LiveScore Bet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.13% 0.51% -1.61% MC
16 USA Wyndham Clark 40 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.76% 1.83% 0.07% T33 7.03
17 USA Tony Finau 45 (Betfair : 12 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.57% 1.13% -0.44% MC 6.27
18 ENG Justin Rose 45 (Betfair : 12 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.57% 0.85% -0.73% MC
19 USA Sam Burns 50 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 1.05% -0.37% MC 5.65
20 KOR Tom Kim 50 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 0.75% -0.67% T2
21 AUS Minwoo Lee 55 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.29% 1.03% -0.26% T41 5.15
22 USA Max Homa 66 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 1.49% 0.41% T10 4.3
23 USA Cameron Young 66 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 1.34% 0.26% T8 4.3
24 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 66 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 1.27% 0.19% T13 4.3
25 USA Bryson DeChambeau 66 (Spreadex: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 1.22% 0.14% T60 4.3
26 SCO Robert MacIntyre 66 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.69% -0.39% T71 4.3
27 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 68 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.2/1) 1.45% 1.05% 1.43% 0.38% T41 4.18
28 CAN Corey Conners 70 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.02% 1.12% 0.1% T52 4.06
29 NZL Ryan Fox 80 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 0.89% -0.01% T52 3.56
30 USA Justin Thomas 80 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.89% 0.82% -0.07% MC 3.56
31 USA Patrick Reed 90 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.79% 1.08% 0.28% T33 3.17
32 AUS Adam Scott 90 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.79% 1.05% 0.26% T33 3.17
33 AUS Jason Day 100 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 1.07% 0.35% T2 (tied w/4) 2.86 +30
34 KOR Sungjae Im 100 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.95% 0.24% T20 2.86
35 USA Keegan Bradley 110 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.65% 1.87% 1.22% MC 2.6
36 USA Russell Henley 110 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.65% 1% 0.35% MC 2.6
37 USA Talor Gooch 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.62% 0.23% -0.39% MC 2.49
38 USA Denny McCarthy 125 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 2.1% 1.53% MC 2.29
39 USA Brian Harman 125 (Sporting Index: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 1.2% 0.62% 1 2.29 +174
40 KOR Siwoo Kim 125 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.78% 0.21% MC 2.29
41 USA Sahith Theegala 150 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 1.08% 0.6% MC
42 KOR Byeong Hun An 150 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.68% 0.2% T23
43 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 150 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.59% 0.11% T23
44 AUT Sepp Straka 175 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 1.08% 0.67% T2
45 USA Gary Woodland 175 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.72% 0.31% T55
46 IRL Padraig Harrington 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.4% -0.01% T64
47 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 181 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.7/1) 0.55% 0.4% 0.06% -0.34% T23
48 USA Phil Mickelson 200 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 1.07% 0.71% MC
49 ENG Matthew Jordan 200 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.14% -0.22% T10
50 CHI Joaquin Niemann 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.32% 0.33% 0.01% MC
51 ARG Emiliano Grillo 250 (Betfair : 12 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.71% 0.43% T6
52 IRL Seamus Power 275 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.26% 0.69% 0.43% MC
53 BEL Thomas Detry 275 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.26% 0.48% 0.22% T13
54 USA Adam Schenk 300 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.99% 0.75% MC
55 USA Chris Kirk 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.23% 0.98% 0.75% MC
56 RSA Branden Grace 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.23% 0.06% -0.17% MC
57 AUS Lucas Herbert 316 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46/1) 0.32% 0.23% 0.9% 0.68% MC
58 USA Kurt Kitayama 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.21% 1.11% 0.9% T60
59 POL Adrian Meronk 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.21% 0.76% 0.55% T23
60 CAN Nick Taylor 350 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 1.49% 1.29% MC
61 FRA Victor Perez 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.88% 0.67% T41
62 SCO Ewen Ferguson 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.55% 0.34% MC
63 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.51% 0.31% MC
64 USA Harris English 355 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.1/1) 0.28% 0.2% 1.21% 1.01% MC
65 SWE Henrik Stenson 400 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.77% 0.59% T13
66 USA JT Poston 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.18% 0.63% 0.46% T41
67 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 420 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.6/1) 0.24% 0.17% 0.31% 0.14% MC
68 BEL Thomas Pieters 430 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.6/1) 0.23% 0.17% 0.35% 0.19% T71
69 ENG Jordan L Smith 441 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.7/1) 0.23% 0.16% 0.36% 0.2% T41
70 USA Andrew Putnam 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.96% 0.82% T55
71 USA Lee Hodges 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.63% 0.48% MC
72 SWE David Lingmerth 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.42% 0.27% T68
73 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 500 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.39% 0.25% MC
74 ENG Matthew Southgate 500 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% T23
75 FRA Antoine Rozner 500 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.29% 0.14% T20
76 ITA Francesco Molinari 500 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.08% MC
77 RSA Thriston Lawrence 500 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.22% 0.07% T74
78 ITA Guido Migliozzi 500 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.2% 0.06% T64
79 SCO Richie Ramsay 500 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.19% 0.05% T64
80 JPN Takumi Kanaya 500 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.16% 0.01% MC
81 SWE Alexander Noren 527 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.8/1) 0.19% 0.14% 0.52% 0.38% T23
82 SWE Alexander Bjork 538 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.13% 0.68% 0.54% T41
83 ENG Richard Bland 600 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.77% 0.65% T33
84 ESP Jorge Campillo 600 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.47% 0.35% MC
85 FRA Romain Langasque 600 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.43% 0.31% T33
86 GER Marcel Siem 600 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.42% 0.3% T41
87 ESP Adrian Otaegui 600 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.29% 0.17% T55
88 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 600 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.12% 0% T17
89 USA Tom Hoge 633 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.4/1) 0.16% 0.11% 0.59% 0.48% MC
90 USA Taylor Moore 685 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.9/1) 0.15% 0.11% 0.89% 0.78% MC
91 NZL Daniel Hillier 685 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.9/1) 0.15% 0.11% 0.42% 0.31% MC
92 ENG Matt Wallace 734 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.1/1) 0.14% 0.1% 0.35% 0.26% MC
93 USA Davis Riley 744 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.63% 0.53% MC
94 USA Michael Kim 750 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.58% 0.48% MC
95 USA Scott Stallings 750 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.54% 0.45% T60
96 USA Benjamin Griffin 750 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.49% 0.39% MC
97 USA Zach Johnson 750 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% T55
98 RSA Charl Schwartzel 750 (LiveScore Bet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
99 ENG Dan Bradbury 750 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% MC
100 FIN Kalle Samooja 750 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.22% 0.12% MC
101 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.13% 0.03% T60
102 USA Stewart Cink 750 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.11% 0.02% T23
103 USA Billy Horschel 773 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 88.4/1) 0.13% 0.09% 0.37% 0.28% MC
104 GER Yannik Paul 793 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 90.1/1) 0.13% 0.09% 0.56% 0.47% MC
105 ENG Danny Willett 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% T68
106 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 803 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 90.9/1) 0.12% 0.09% 0.35% 0.26% T49
107 MEX Abraham Ancer 806 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 91.1/1) 0.12% 0.09% 0.18% 0.09% T49
108 NED Joost Luiten 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.44% 0.36% T71
109 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.2% MC
110 ENG Laurie Canter 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.06% -0.02% T17
111 USA Brendon Todd 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.07% 0.64% 0.56% T49
112 ESP Adria Arnaus 1000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.19%
113 FIN Sami Valimaki 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.19% 0.12% T68
114 SCO Connor Syme 1000 (LiveScore Bet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.18% 0.11% MC
115 SCO Marc Warren 1000 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.16% 0.09% MC
116 ENG Callum Shinkwin 1000 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.16% 0.09% MC
117 JPN Taiga Semikawa 1000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.15% 0.08% MC
118 AUS David Micheluzzi 1000 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.09% 0.02% MC
119 KOR Kyungnam Kang 1250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.06% 0.29% 0.24% MC
120 USA Trey Mullinax 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.21% 0.16% MC
121 IND Shubhankar Sharma 1500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.09% T8
122 AUS Travis Smyth 1500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.06% 0.01% MC
123 ESP Alejandro Canizares 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.67% 0.64% MC
124 JPN Kazuki Higa 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.2% 0.16% MC
125 THA Jazz Janewattananond 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.18% 0.15%
126 RSA Ernie Els 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.17% 0.13% MC
127 ESP Nacho Elvira 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.15% 0.11% MC
128 GER Hurly Long 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.14% 0.11% T41
129 KOR Bio Kim 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.1% 0.07% MC
130 RSA Kyle Barker 2000 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.08% 0.05% MC
131 ENG Marco Penge 2000 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.06% 0.03% MC
132 AUS Harrison Crowe 2000 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.06% 0.02% MC
133 USA Seungsu Han 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.06% 0.02% MC
134 Tiger Christensen 2000 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.06% 0.02% MC
135 JPN Kensei Hirata(AM) 2000 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.06% 0.02% MC
136 AUS Connor McKinney 2000 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.06% 0.02% MC
137 RSA Christo Lamprecht 2000 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.06% 0.02% T74
138 AUS Haydn Barron 2000 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.06% 0.02% MC
139 JPN Hiroshi Iwata 2500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.67% 0.64% MC
140 RSA Ockie Strydom 2500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.2% 0.17% MC
141 ENG Oliver Wilson 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.13% 0.1% T33
142 RSA Martin Rohwer 2500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.07% 0.04% MC
143 ENG Brandon Robinson-Thompson 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.07% 0.04% 59
144 WAL Oliver Farr 2500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.06% 0.03% MC
145 Mateo Fernandez de Oliveira 2500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.06% 0.03% MC
146 NIR Darren Clarke 2500 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.06% 0.03% MC
147 ESP Javier Ballesteros 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.06% 0.03%
148 HKG Taichi Kho 3000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.03% 0.02% 0.06% 0.04% MC
149 USA Zack Fischer 3000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.03% 0.02% 0.06% 0.03% 76
150 USA Gunner Wiebe 5000 (LiveScore Bet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.01% 0.11% 0.1% MC
151 USA John Daly 5000 (Betway: 12 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.01% 0.06% 0.04% MC
152 SCO Michael Stewart 5000 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.01% 0.06% 0.04% T52
153 SCO Graeme Robertson 5000 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.01% 0.06% 0.04% MC
154 JPN Kazuki Yasumori 5000 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.01% 0.06% 0.04% MC
155 JPN Toru Nakajima 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 Jose Luis Ballester 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 Alex Maguire 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 10.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -5.6 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betway 12 @ 1/5 71.9% 1.5%
2 Paddy Power 10 @ 1/5 60.5% 7%
3 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 12.9% 11.1%
4 Bet365 8 @ 1/5 46.1% 11.8%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 12 @ 1/5 91.5% 13.2%
6 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 49.6% 14.5%
7 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 51% 15.6%
8 LiveScore Bet 8 @ 1/5 54.8% 18.5%
9 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 57.3% 20.4%
10 Coral 12 @ 1/6 81.9% 20.7%
11 VBet 8 @ 1/5 58.2% 21.1%
12 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 81.9% 21.2%
13 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 37.3% 21.4%
14 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 37.3% 21.4%
15 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 38.7% 22.7%
16 Unibet 7 @ 1/5 49.2% 23.6%
17 BetUK 7 @ 1/5 49.2% 23.6%
18 Sporting Index 7 @ 1/5 50% 24.2%
19 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 63.3% 25%
20 QuinnBet 8 @ 1/5 64.6% 26%
21 BetGoodwin 8 @ 1/5 64.6% 26%
22 Spreadex 7 @ 1/5 55.5% 28.6%