Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 6.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -9.1 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.1

THE PLAYERS Championship

10/03/2022 - 13/03/2022

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Collin Morikawa 14 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.41% 2.59% -2.82% MC
2 ESP Jon Rahm 14 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.41% 1.72% -3.69% T55
3 USA Justin Thomas 14 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.41% 1.53% -3.87% T33
4 NIR Rory McIlroy 18 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.27% 1.7% -2.57% T33
5 NOR Viktor Hovland 20 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.86% 4.12% 0.26% T9
6 USA Patrick Cantlay 22 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.53% 1.29% -2.24% MC
7 USA Scottie Scheffler 25 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.12% 4.67% 1.55% T55 13.99
8 USA Xander Schauffele 25 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.12% 1.14% -1.98% MC
9 AUS Cameron Smith 28 (Boyle Sports: 11 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.8% 1.38% -1.42% 1
10 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 30 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.62% 2.7% 0.09% 11.74
11 USA Daniel Berger 30 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.62% 1.22% -1.4% T13
12 USA Brooks Koepka 33 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.39% 0.81% -1.58% MC
13 USA Dustin Johnson 35 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.25% 0.26% -1.99% T9
14 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 40 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.98% 1.52% -0.46% MC
15 USA Sam Burns 40 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.98% 1.13% -0.85% T26
16 CHI Joaquin Niemann 40 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.98% 1.04% -0.94% T22
17 USA Jordan Spieth 40 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.98% 0.74% -1.24% MC
18 KOR Sungjae Im 45 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.76% 1.51% -0.25% T55 7.91
19 IRL Shane Lowry 45 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.76% 1.26% -0.51% T13
20 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 50 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.59% 2.27% 0.68% T13 7.14
21 USA Billy Horschel 50 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.59% 1.15% -0.44% WD
22 USA Will Zalatoris 50 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.59% 0.95% -0.64% T26
23 AUS Adam Scott 55 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.45% 1.11% -0.34% MC 6.5
24 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 55 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.45% 0.59% -0.86% T42
25 MEX Abraham Ancer 60 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.33% 0.92% -0.41% T33
26 ENG Paul Casey 60 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.33% 0.87% -0.46% 3
27 CAN Corey Conners 60 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.33% 0.61% -0.72% T26
28 USA Talor Gooch 66 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 1.4% 0.19% MC 5.43
29 KOR Siwoo Kim 66 (Coral: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 0.8% -0.41% WD
30 USA Russell Henley 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 1.73% 0.73% T13 4.49
31 AUS Jason Day 80 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 0.63% -0.37% MC
32 ESP Sergio Garcia 90 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.89% 0.94% 0.05% T26 4
33 USA Chris Kirk 90 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.89% 0.78% -0.11% MC 4
34 USA Jason Kokrak 100 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 1.68% 0.88% T53 3.61
35 USA Max Homa 104 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.9/1) 0.95% 0.77% 1.38% 0.61% T13 3.47
36 USA Gary Woodland 104 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.9/1) 0.95% 0.77% 0.9% 0.12% MC 3.47
37 USA Tony Finau 104 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.9/1) 0.95% 0.77% 0.55% -0.22% MC 3.47
38 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 113 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19/1) 0.88% 0.71% 0.81% 0.09% T22 3.19
39 USA Webb Simpson 113 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19/1) 0.88% 0.71% 0.68% -0.03% MC 3.19
40 AUS Marc Leishman 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.65% 1.26% 0.6% MC 2.94
41 IRL Seamus Power 125 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 1.13% 0.49% T33 2.89
42 USA Keith Mitchell 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.99% 0.35% T13 2.89
43 SWE Alexander Noren 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.76% 0.12% T26 2.89
44 USA Brian Harman 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.49% -0.16% T63 2.89
45 USA Tom Hoge 150 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 1.51% 0.98% T33
46 USA Keegan Bradley 150 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.73% 0.2% 5
47 USA Kevin Na 150 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.45% -0.08%
48 USA Mackenzie Hughes 160 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.5% 0.48% -0.02% MC
49 ENG Justin Rose 170 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.5/1) 0.58% 0.47% 0.54% 0.06% MC
50 USA Patrick Reed 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% 0.67% 0.21% T26
51 RSA Erik van Rooyen 175 (Skybet: 11 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% 0.59% 0.13% T13
52 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.71% 0.3% MC
53 COL Sebastian Munoz 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.63% 0.22% T33
54 USA Aaron Wise 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.39% 0.84% 0.46% T50
55 USA Bubba Watson 218 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.4/1) 0.46% 0.37% 0.51% 0.14% T68
56 SCO Russell Knox 225 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.36% 0.55% 0.19% T6
57 USA Luke List 246 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.2/1) 0.4% 0.33% 1.4% 1.07% WD
58 SCO Martin Laird 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.67% 0.34% MC
59 USA Joel Dahmen 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.57% 0.25% T33
60 ARG Emiliano Grillo 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.25% -0.07% MC
61 USA Maverick McNealy 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.32% 1.15% 0.83% T46
62 ENG Lee Westwood 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.3% 0.26% -0.04% MC
63 USA Lanto Griffin 284 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.6/1) 0.35% 0.28% 1.08% 0.79% MC
64 ENG Ian Poulter 294 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.6/1) 0.34% 0.27% 0.88% 0.61% T33
65 USA Denny McCarthy 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.82% 0.55% T60
66 USA Cameron Tringale 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.26% 0.94% 0.68% MC
67 AUS Lucas Herbert 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.25% 0.89% 0.64% T68
68 USA Harold Varner III 351 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.7/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.56% 0.33% T6
69 ITA Francesco Molinari 370 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51.6/1) 0.27% 0.22% 0.36% 0.15% T42
70 USA Matthew Wolff 379 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.5/1) 0.26% 0.21% 0.92% 0.71% MC
71 USA Kevin Kisner 379 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.5/1) 0.26% 0.21% 0.32% 0.11% 4
72 USA Brendon Todd 408 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.4/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.32% 0.13% MC
73 USA Ryan Palmer 427 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.3/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.45% 0.26% MC
74 CAN Adam Hadwin 427 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.3/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.37% 0.19% T9
75 USA Patton Kizzire 436 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.2/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.57% 0.39% T22
76 RSA Dylan Frittelli 446 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.2/1) 0.22% 0.18% 0.57% 0.39% T50
77 USA Troy Merritt 484 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.8/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.72% 0.55% T46
78 AUT Sepp Straka 493 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.7/1) 0.2% 0.16% 1.25% 1.09% T9
79 USA Charley Hoffman 493 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.7/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.18% 0.01% MC
80 USA Pat Perez 522 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.4/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.43% 0.28% T33
81 AUS Matt Jones 541 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.1/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.58% 0.43% MC
82 USA Lucas Glover 560 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.9/1) 0.18% 0.14% 0.53% 0.38% MC
83 AUS Cameron Davis 579 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.6/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.37% 0.23% MC
84 MEX Carlos Ortiz 588 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.4/1) 0.17% 0.14% 1% 0.86% MC
85 RSA Branden Grace 588 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.4/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% T53
86 USA Doug Ghim 598 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73.3/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.48% 0.34% T6
87 USA Matt Kuchar 617 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.6% 0.46% MC
88 RSA Garrick Higgo 617 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.29% 0.16% MC
89 USA Kevin Streelman 636 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.7/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.41% 0.29% T22
90 USA Chez Reavie 645 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.5/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.38% 0.25% MC
91 USA JT Poston 645 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.5/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.35% 0.22% MC
92 USA Cameron Champ 683 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.8/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.12% 0% MC
93 USA Kramer Hickok 740 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.6/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.46% 0.35% T42
94 USA Andrew Putnam 797 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 90.4/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.57% 0.47% MC
95 USA Adam Long 797 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 90.4/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.46% 0.35% T46
96 SWE Henrik Stenson 797 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 90.4/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% WD
97 USA Hudson Swafford 826 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 92.8/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.65% 0.55% MC
98 USA Stewart Cink 826 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 92.8/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.32% 0.23% MC
99 ENG Matt Wallace 854 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 95.1/1) 0.12% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% MC
100 USA Doc Redman 883 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 97.4/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% T26
101 USA Scott Stallings 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.51% 0.43% T42
102 USA Sam Ryder 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.47% 0.38% T60
103 USA Peter Malnati 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.44% 0.36% T46
104 NZL Danny Lee 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.42% 0.34% WD
105 USA Adam Schenk 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.42% 0.34% MC
106 USA Harry Higgs 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.39% 0.31% MC
107 USA Robert Streb 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.38% 0.3% MC
108 USA Brendan Steele 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.37% 0.28% T13
109 USA Wyndham Clark 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.33% 0.24% MC
110 USA Brian Stuard 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.32% 0.24% MC
111 USA Zach Johnson 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% MC
112 USA Joseph Bramlett 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.29% 0.21% MC
113 USA Scott Piercy 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.29% 0.2% MC
114 GER Stephan Jaeger 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% MC
115 USA Matthew NeSmith 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% MC
116 CAN Roger Sloan 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% MC
117 USA James Hahn 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% MC
118 USA Kyle Stanley 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% MC
119 USA Hank Lebioda 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.23% 0.15% T63
120 SWE Henrik Norlander 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.22% 0.14% MC
121 RSA Charl Schwartzel 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.19% 0.11% MC
122 USA Brandt Snedeker 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.18% 0.09% MC
123 USA Brice Garnett 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.16% 0.08% T50
124 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.79% 0.71%
125 IND Anirban Lahiri 1000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.37% 0.29% 2
126 USA Brian Gay 1000 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
127 USA Jimmy Walker 1000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% T55
128 USA Richy Werenski 1000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.06% MC
129 USA Brandon Hagy 1000 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.1% 0.02% MC
130 USA Chesson Hadley 1250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.06% 0.19% 0.12% T63
131 USA Tyler McCumber 1250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.06% 0.16% 0.09%
132 USA Nick Watney 0% 0% 0% 0% T66
133 BEL Thomas Pieters 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
134 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 0% 0% 0% 0% T55
135 USA Michael Thompson 0% 0% 0% 0% T60
136 USA Kevin Tway 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
137 USA Patrick Rodgers 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
138 USA J.J Spaun 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
139 TPE C.T. Pan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
140 USA Ryan Brehm 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 CAN Taylor Pendrith 0% 0% 0% 0% T13
143 USA Beau Hossler 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 USA Taylor Moore 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 USA Lee Hodges 0% 0% 0% 0% 70
146 USA Sahith Theegala 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 USA Hayden Buckley 0% 0% 0% 0% T66
148 USA Cameron Young 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 6.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -9.1 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 11 @ 1/5 67.1% 3.8%
2 Bet365 8 @ 1/5 38.4% 5.5%
3 William Hill 9 @ 1/5 49.6% 5.9%
4 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 9.7% 9.7%
5 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 50.5% 14.8%
6 Boyle Sports 11 @ 1/5 86.4% 15.9%
7 Coral 10 @ 1/5 76% 16.6%
8 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 55.8% 18.7%
9 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 56.5% 19.4%
10 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 57.1% 19.8%
11 Betway 8 @ 1/5 63.7% 24.8%
12 QuinnBet 8 @ 1/5 64.8% 25.6%
13 Unibet 7 @ 1/5 53.9% 26.9%
14 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 42% 27.6%
15 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 42% 27.6%
16 Sporting Index 7 @ 1/5 56% 28.7%
17 Spreadex 7 @ 1/5 59.1% 31.2%
18 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 76% 34.2%