Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 35.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 149.5

Total Profit: +49.4

RBC Heritage

18/06/2020 - 21/06/2020

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NIR Rory McIlroy 12 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.56% 2.39% -3.17% T41
2 USA Bryson DeChambeau 16 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.25% 2.09% -2.16% T8
3 USA Justin Thomas 16 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.25% 1.8% -2.46% T8
4 ESP Jon Rahm 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.8% 1.66% -2.15% T33
5 USA Xander Schauffele 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.44% 2.54% -0.91% T64
6 USA Collin Morikawa 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.78% 1.77% -1.01% T64
7 USA Patrick Reed 28 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.49% 2.75% 0.26% MC 11.12
8 USA Webb Simpson 28 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.49% 1.25% -1.24% 1
9 KOR Sungjae Im 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.33% 1.93% -0.4% MC
10 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.33% 1% -1.33% MC
11 ENG Justin Rose 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.33% 0.62% -1.71% T14
12 USA Gary Woodland 33 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.13% 1.4% -0.73% T62
13 USA Jordan Spieth 33 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.13% 0.72% -1.41% T68
14 USA Daniel Berger 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.76% 1.94% 0.17% T3 (tied w/2) 7.87 +35.4
15 USA Dustin Johnson 40 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.76% 1.49% -0.28% T17
16 USA Brooks Koepka 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.76% 0.88% -0.88% 7
17 USA Matt Kuchar 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.57% 1.52% -0.05% T41 7.01
18 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 1.69% 0.27% T3 (tied w/2) 6.32 +34.8
19 RSA Branden Grace 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 1.57% 0.16% 61 6.32
20 USA Tony Finau 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 1.19% -0.23% T33
21 USA Kevin Kisner 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.29% 0.92% -0.37% MC
22 USA Rickie Fowler 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.29% 0.61% -0.69% MC
23 MEX Abraham Ancer 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.18% 1.91% 0.72% 2 5.29 +34.4
24 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 60 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.18% 1.7% 0.51% T14 5.29
25 USA Jason Kokrak 66 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 1.15% 0.07% MC 4.82
26 NOR Viktor Hovland 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 1.07% -0.01% T21 4.82
27 USA JT Poston 66 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.89% -0.19% T8
28 AUS Jason Day 70 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.02% 0.57% -0.45% MC
29 USA Bubba Watson 80 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.89% 1.38% 0.48% T52 3.98
30 USA Joel Dahmen 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 1.28% 0.39% T48 3.98
31 ESP Sergio Garcia 80 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 1.03% 0.14% T5 (tied w/2) 3.98 +33.8
32 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 0.96% 0.06% MC 3.98
33 IRL Shane Lowry 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.89% 0.85% -0.04% MC 3.98
34 USA Billy Horschel 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 0.85% -0.05% MC 3.98
35 ENG Ian Poulter 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 0.73% -0.16% T14
36 USA Brandt Snedeker 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.79% 1.15% 0.35% MC 3.55
37 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.79% 0.81% 0.02% MC 3.55
38 KOR Byeong Hun An 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.79% 0.65% -0.15% MC
39 USA Brian Harman 90 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.79% 0.56% -0.23% T28
40 CAN Corey Conners 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.6% -0.12% T21
41 CHI Joaquin Niemann 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.39% -0.33% T5
42 USA Harris English 100 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% 0.38% -0.33% T17
43 USA Bud Cauley 125 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.79% 0.21% MC 2.56
44 USA Ryan Palmer 125 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.77% 0.19% T8 (tied w/6) 2.56 +11.1
45 SVK Rory Sabbatini 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.75% 0.18% T21 2.56
46 CAN Adam Hadwin 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.64% 0.07% T41 2.56
47 USA Luke List 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.48% -0.1% MC
48 AUS Cameron Smith 150 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 1.42% 0.94% MC
49 USA Max Homa 150 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 1.38% 0.9% T41
50 USA Patrick Rodgers 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 1.29% 0.81% MC
51 USA Maverick McNealy 150 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 1.17% 0.69% T58
52 USA Harold Varner III 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.8% 0.32% MC
53 USA Scott Piercy 150 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.55% 0.07% MC
54 USA Zach Johnson 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.35% -0.13% MC
55 SWE Alexander Noren 150 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.34% -0.14% T21
56 USA Jim Furyk 150 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 0.19% -0.29% MC
57 NIR Graeme McDowell 160 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.45% 1.6% 1.15% MC
58 ENG Luke Donald 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.61% 0.2% MC
59 USA Chez Reavie 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.61% 0.2% T74
60 USA Kevin Streelman 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.52% 0.11% MC
61 NZL Danny Lee 175 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.4% -0.01% T70
62 USA Ryan Moore 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.4% -0.01% MC
63 USA Matthew Wolff 175 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.38% -0.03% MC
64 USA Lucas Glover 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.25% -0.16% T21
65 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 1% 0.64% T28
66 USA Talor Gooch 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.95% 0.59% MC
67 USA Charley Hoffman 200 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.73% 0.37% MC
68 RSA Charl Schwartzel 200 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.7% 0.34% T41
69 USA Harry Higgs 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.69% 0.33% T52
70 USA Brendon Todd 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.67% 0.31% MC
71 USA Russell Henley 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.66% 0.3% MC
72 SCO Russell Knox 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.49% 0.13% MC
73 USA Chesson Hadley 200 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.35% -0.01% T58
74 TPE C.T. Pan 200 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.13% -0.23% T52
75 RSA Erik van Rooyen 225 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.93% 0.61% T21
76 USA Charles Howell III 225 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.37% 0.05% MC
77 ARG Emiliano Grillo 225 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.34% 0.02% MC
78 ENG Matt Wallace 225 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.32% 0.33% 0.01% T64
79 USA Andrew Landry 250 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 1.29% 1% T33
80 USA Matthew NeSmith 250 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.91% 0.62% T33
81 AUS Matt Jones 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.69% 0.4% T52
82 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 250 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.51% 0.22% T17
83 ENG Danny Willett 250 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.43% 0.14% MC
84 RSA Dylan Frittelli 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.23% -0.05% T8
85 KOR Siwoo Kim 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.17% -0.12% MC
86 USA Sam Burns 275 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.26% 0.62% 0.36% MC
87 USA Wyndham Clark 275 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.26% 0.41% 0.15% T64
88 USA Lanto Griffin 300 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.9% 0.66% MC
89 USA Mark Hubbard 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.64% 0.4% T33
90 USA Mackenzie Hughes 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.58% 0.34% T70
91 USA Adam Schenk 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.52% 0.28% MC
92 USA Keith Mitchell 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.5% 0.26% MC
93 USA Pat Perez 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.45% 0.21% MC
94 USA Jimmy Walker 300 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.41% 0.17% MC
95 USA Kevin Chappell 300 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.34% 0.1% MC
96 USA Brian Stuard 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.32% 0.08% T52
97 USA Vaughn Taylor 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.32% 0.08% T52
98 MEX Carlos Ortiz 300 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.31% 0.07% T33
99 USA Tyler Duncan 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.29% 0.05% T28
100 USA Troy Merritt 300 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.24% 0% T70
101 THA Jazz Janewattananond 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.17% -0.07% MC
102 USA Tom Hoge 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 1.2% 1% MC
103 FRA Victor Perez 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.92% 0.71% MC
104 USA Nate Lashley 350 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.37% 0.16% MC
105 AUS Aaron Baddeley 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.34% 0.13% MC
106 USA Adam Long 350 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.29% 0.09% MC
107 USA Doc Redman 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.28% 0.07% T21
108 USA Jason Dufner 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.25% 0.05% T41
109 USA Denny McCarthy 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.22% 0.01% MC
110 USA Aaron Wise 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.18% -0.03% MC
111 USA Kyle Stanley 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.16% -0.04% MC
112 USA Andrew Putnam 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.13% -0.08% MC
113 USA Stewart Cink 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.35% 0.17% T62
114 USA Bronson Burgoon 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.3% 0.12% MC
115 USA Michael Thompson 400 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.2% 0.02% T8
116 USA Brian Gay 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.13% -0.06% MC
117 USA Ted Potter-jr 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.89% 0.74% MC
118 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 500 (GentingBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.51% 0.37% MC
119 USA Brice Garnett 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.37% 0.22% T17
120 USA Peter Malnati 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% T70
121 USA Nick Watney 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% WD
122 USA Sam Ryder 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.3% 0.16% T41
123 USA J.J Spaun 500 (GentingBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.29% 0.15% MC
124 AUT Sepp Straka 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.24% 0.1% T33
125 CAN David Hearn 500 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.18% 0.03% MC
126 USA Scott Stallings 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.16% 0.02% T48
127 USA Patton Kizzire 500 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.16% 0.02% MC
128 USA Kevin Tway 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.15% 0.01% MC
129 USA Andy Ogletree 500 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.11% -0.03% MC
130 USA Austin Cook 500 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.11% -0.03% MC
131 KOR K.J. Choi 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.11% -0.03% MC
132 USA Wesley Bryan 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.1% -0.04% T68
133 USA Scott Brown 600 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.39% 0.27% MC
134 USA Matt Every 600 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.19% 0.07% MC
135 USA Ryan Armour 600 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.15% 0.03% T74
136 USA Bill Haas 600 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.15% 0.03% T48
137 GER Bernhard Langer 600 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.11% -0.01% T58
138 CAN Roger Sloan 750 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.15% 0.06% MC
139 RSA Ernie Els 750 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.11% 0.01% T48
140 FIJ Vijay Singh 1000 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.12% 0.05% MC
141 USA Chris Stroud 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.11% 0.04% T28
142 USA Jim Herman 1250 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.21% 0.15% T33
143 CAN Michael Gligic 1500 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.09% MC
144 USA Davis Love III 1500 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.13% 0.08% MC
145 USA Michael Kim 1500 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.1% 0.06% MC
146 USA Martin Trainer 2000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.32% 0.28% MC
147 USA Bo Van Pelt 2000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.13% 0.09% MC
148 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% 0% 0% T28
150 USA Glen Day 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 USA Spencer Ralston 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 35.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 45.1% 12.3%
2 Skybet 9 @ 1/5 62.5% 17%
3 Bet365 6 @ 1/4 47.7% 18.8%
4 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 59% 23%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 61.4% 24.9%
6 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 61.4% 24.9%
7 Sportingbet 6 @ 1/4 55.4% 25%
8 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 55.9% 30.5%
9 GentingBet 7 @ 1/5 59.4% 33.5%
10 Betway 7 @ 1/5 60.4% 34.3%
11 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 48.3% 35.2%
12 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 53.2% 36.6%
13 Coral 7 @ 1/5 66.9% 39.8%
14 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 53.7% 40.1%
15 VBet 5 @ 1/4 57.2% 40.1%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 55.4% 41.6%
17 SportPesa 6 @ 1/5 57.1% 43.2%
18 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 57.1% 43.2%
19 Sport Nation 6 @ 1/5 57.1% 43.2%
20 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 59.8% 45.6%