Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 40.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 53.2

Total Profit: -46.9

ABERDEEN STANDARD INVESTMENTS SCOTTISH OPEN

11/07/2019 - 14/07/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NIR Rory McIlroy 6 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 14.29% 10.19% 7.06% -3.13% T34
2 USA Rickie Fowler 14 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.75% 2.58% -2.18% MC
3 USA Matt Kuchar 18 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.75% 3.57% -0.18% T20
4 USA Justin Thomas 18 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.75% 1.68% -2.08% T9
5 SWE Henrik Stenson 20 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.4% 2.05% -1.35% T4
6 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 25 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.74% 1.5% -1.25% T9
7 ENG Matt Wallace 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.46% 1.87% -0.59% T14
8 ENG Eddie Pepperell 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.46% 1.27% -1.19% T43
9 CHN Hao Tong Li 30 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.3% 1.36% -0.94% MC
10 GER Martin Kaymer 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.1% 2.12% 0.03% T20 9.39
11 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 33 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.1% 1.5% -0.6% T14
12 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 33 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.1% 0.95% -1.15% T14
13 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 35 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.98% 1.5% -0.48% 1
14 ESP Jorge Campillo 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.74% 1.33% -0.41% T73
15 USA Kevin Kisner 45 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.55% 1.97% 0.42% MC 6.94
16 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 45 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.55% 1.13% -0.42% T28
17 ENG Andy Sullivan 45 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.55% 0.89% -0.66% T28
18 ENG Ian Poulter 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.4% 1.57% 0.18% T14 6.26
19 SCO Russell Knox 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.4% 1.05% -0.35% MC
20 RSA Erik van Rooyen 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.4% 0.83% -0.57% T14
21 ENG Lee Westwood 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.4% 0.68% -0.71% T55
22 NIR Graeme McDowell 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.06% 1.33% 0.26% MC 4.77
23 RSA Branden Grace 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.06% 0.7% -0.37% MC
24 ENG Jordan L Smith 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1% 0.67% -0.34% MC 4.5
25 USA Jimmy Walker 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.99% 0.11% MC 3.94
26 USA Julian Suri 80 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.88% 0.92% 0.04% T55 3.94
27 USA Andrew Putnam 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.92% 0.04% T4 (tied w/5) 3.94 +26.8
28 BEL Thomas Detry 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.73% -0.15% T43 3.94
29 NED Joost Luiten 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.7% -0.18% MC 3.94
30 SCO Robert MacIntyre 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.47% -0.41% MC
31 TPE C.T. Pan 90 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.78% 0.83% 0.05% MC 3.51
32 MAS Gavin Green 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.78% 0.76% -0.03% MC 3.51
33 BEL Thomas Pieters 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.78% 0.67% -0.11% T20 3.51
34 ENG Paul Waring 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 0.97% 0.26% T48 3.16
35 FRA Victor Dubuisson 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 0.81% 0.1% MC 3.16
36 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 0.67% -0.03% T34 3.16
37 ENG Robert Rock 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 0.66% -0.05% MC 3.16
38 RSA Justin Harding 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 1.51% 0.95% MC 2.54
39 RSA Richard Sterne 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.82% 0.25% MC 2.54
40 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.79% 0.22% MC 2.54
41 ENG Oliver Wilson 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.69% 0.13% T69 2.54
42 SWE Marcus Kinhult 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.66% 0.09% T48 2.54
43 ENG Chris Paisley 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.66% 0.09% T34 2.54
44 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.55% -0.01% 80 2.54
45 ITA Andrea Pavan 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.51% -0.05% T4 (tied w/5) 2.54 +26.4
46 SCO Grant Forrest 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.48% -0.09% T43 2.54
47 SWE Alexander Bjork 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.45% -0.11% T62 2.54
48 ENG Ross Fisher 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.98% 0.51% MC
49 KOR Siwoo Kim 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 0.9% 0.43% MC
50 ITA Edoardo Molinari 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.66% 0.19% T34
51 RSA George Coetzee 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.61% 0.13% T9
52 ESP Adrian Otaegui 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.44% -0.03% T20
53 AUT Matthias Schwab 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.43% -0.04% MC
54 IRL Paul Dunne 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.42% -0.05% MC
55 FIN Mikko Korhonen 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.41% -0.06% T48
56 IRL Padraig Harrington 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.4% -0.07% MC
57 RSA Brandon Stone 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 0.36% -0.11% T34
58 NZL Ryan Fox 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.32% -0.15% MC
59 USA David Lipsky 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.91% 0.51% MC
60 ENG Matthew Southgate 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.56% 0.16% MC
61 ENG Tom Lewis 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.53% 0.12% T43
62 AUS Lucas Herbert 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.43% 0.02% T62
63 RSA Zander Lombard 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.41% 0.01% MC
64 ENG Aaron Rai 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.32% -0.08% MC
65 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.93% 0.58% 72
66 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.76% 0.4% T55
67 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.68% 0.32% MC
68 SCO Richie Ramsay 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.55% 0.2% T34
69 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.53% 0.17% T69
70 FRA Alexander Levy 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.49% 0.13% MC
71 FRA Benjamin Hebert 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.48% 0.13% 2
72 USA Sean Crocker 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.43% 0.07% T55
73 FRA Romain Langasque 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.38% 0.03% 3
74 AUS Jason Scrivener 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.33% -0.02% MC
75 ENG Ashley Chesters 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.24% -0.12% T78
76 SWE Joakim Lagergren 225 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.32% 0.27% -0.05% MC
77 ESP Alvaro Quiros 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 1.17% 0.88% MC
78 ENG David Horsey 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.63% 0.35% T34
79 RSA Dean Burmester 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.48% 0.19% T75
80 SCO Scott Jamieson 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.46% 0.17% T26
81 ENG Chris Wood 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.42% 0.14% MC
82 FRA Victor Perez 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.42% 0.13% T28
83 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.4% 0.12% T55
84 SCO Stephen Gallacher 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.4% 0.11% MC
85 ENG Sam Horsfield 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.39% 0.11% MC
86 AUS Wade Ormsby 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.37% 0.08% MC
87 ESP Nacho Elvira 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.33% 0.05% T48
88 FRA Matthieu Pavon 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.31% 0.03% MC
89 ENG Andrew Johnston 250 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.24% -0.05% T4
90 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.55% 0.32% MC
91 ITA Guido Migliozzi 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.5% 0.26% T28
92 DEN Jeff Winther 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.34% 0.1% T28
93 WAL Bradley Dredge 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.33% 0.1% T62
94 USA Kurt Kitayama 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.31% 0.08% T43
95 ENG Lee Slattery 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.25% 0.01% T9
96 THA Thongchai Jaidee 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.62% 0.41% MC
97 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.46% 0.26% MC
98 ENG Oliver Fisher 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.45% 0.25% T48
99 SWE Robert Karlsson 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.39% 0.19% MC
100 GER Maximilian Kieffer 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.35% 0.15% MC
101 SCO David Law 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.32% 0.12% MC
102 RSA Thomas Aiken 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.28% 0.08% T55
103 RSA Haydn Porteous 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.28% 0.08% T34
104 FRA Clement Sordet 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.28% 0.08% MC
105 JPN Hideto Tanihara 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.27% 0.06% T62
106 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.23% 0.02% MC
107 KOR Sanghyun Park 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.7% 0.52% MC
108 SWE Anton Karlsson 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.38% 0.21% MC
109 ENG Jack Singh Brar 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.27% 0.09% T62
110 DEN Thomas Bjorn 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.56% 0.41% WD
111 AUS Scott Hend 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.49% 0.35% MC
112 ITA Renato Paratore 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.44% 0.3% T28
113 RSA Darren Fichardt 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.4% 0.26% T48
114 SWE Niklas Lemke 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.37% 0.23% MC
115 ITA Nino Bertasio 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.37% 0.23% T4
116 RSA Justin Walters 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.35% 0.2% MC
117 CHN Wu Ashun 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.33% 0.19% MC
118 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% MC
119 GER Max Schmitt 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.28% 0.14% T48
120 ENG James Morrison 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.28% 0.13% MC
121 SCO David Drysdale 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% T78
122 SCO Marc Warren 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.25% 0.11% MC
123 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.25% 0.1% MC
124 RSA Louis de Jager 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% 68
125 ENG Richard McEvoy 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% MC
126 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.22% 0.07% MC
127 SCO Calum Hill 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.18% 0.04% T26
128 IND Shubhankar Sharma 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.16% 0.02% T34
129 ENG Steven Brown 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.15% 0.01% MC
130 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.49% 0.37% MC
131 KOR Jeunghun Wang 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.34% 0.22% MC
132 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.33% 0.21% T14
133 FIN Kim Koivu 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.29% 0.18% WD
134 RSA Trevor Immelman 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.22% 0.1% T75
135 ENG Ben Evans 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.2% 0.08% T62
136 POR Ricardo Gouveia 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.15% 0.03% MC
137 SWE Jens Dantorp 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.14% 0.02% T69
138 AUS Sam Brazel 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.14% 0.02% MC
139 WAL Jamie Donaldson 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.37% 0.28% T9
140 FIN Kalle Samooja 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22% T20
141 ENG David Howell 750 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.26% 0.16% MC
142 FRA Romain Wattel 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.25% 0.16% T20
143 WAL Stuart Manley 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% T55
144 KOR Hyowon Park 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.39% 0.32% T75
145 SCO Paul Lawrie 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.29% 0.22% MC
146 SCO Liam Johnston 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.24% 0.17% MC
147 AUS Jake McLeod 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.23% 0.16% MC
148 SCO Scott Henry 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.23% 0.18% MC
149 SWE Pelle Edberg 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.24% 0.2% MC
150 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.19% 0.14% MC
151 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.17% 0.12% MC
152 SCO Chris Doak 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.15% 0.11% MC
153 DEN Nicolai B Kristensen 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.08% 0.05% MC
154 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.63% 0% T73
155 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.23% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 40.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...