Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 25.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 70.6

Total Profit: -29.5

Saudi International

31/01/2019 - 03/02/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Justin Rose 6 14.29% 10.58% 5.95% -4.63% MC
2 USA Bryson DeChambeau 6 14.29% 10.58% 5.57% -5.01% T6
3 USA Dustin Johnson 8 11.11% 8.23% 2.77% -5.46% 1
4 USA Brooks Koepka 10 9.09% 6.73% 4.98% -1.75% T57
5 ESP Sergio Garcia 14 6.67% 4.94% 2.21% -2.73% DQ
6 USA Patrick Reed 20 4.76% 3.53% 1.91% -1.62% 56
7 ENG Matt Wallace 22 4.35% 3.22% 1.97% -1.24% MC 12.82
8 ENG Ian Poulter 25 3.85% 2.85% 2.78% -0.07% T6 (tied w/5) 11.34 +13.6
9 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 28 3.45% 2.55% 1.31% -1.25% MC
10 SWE Henrik Stenson 28 3.45% 2.55% 1.25% -1.3% MC
11 ENG Lee Westwood 33 2.94% 2.18% 2.99% 0.81% MC 8.67
12 BEL Thomas Pieters 35 2.78% 2.06% 1.35% -0.71% T22 8.19
13 NED Joost Luiten 35 2.78% 2.06% 0.95% -1.11% T6 (tied w/5) 8.19 +13.1
14 ENG Jordan L Smith 50 1.96% 1.45% 0.78% -0.67% T54 5.78
15 ENG Tom Lewis 55 1.79% 1.32% 1.59% 0.27% 3 5.27 +31.6
16 ENG Eddie Pepperell 70 1.41% 1.04% 1.03% -0.01% MC 4.16
17 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 80 1.23% 0.91% 1.28% 0.36% T64 3.64
18 FRA Romain Langasque 80 1.23% 0.91% 0.98% 0.07% T44 3.64
19 ENG Ross Fisher 80 1.23% 0.91% 0.88% -0.03% T13 3.64
20 BEL Thomas Detry 80 1.23% 0.91% 0.73% -0.18% T42 3.64
21 ENG Paul Waring 90 1.1% 0.81% 0.97% 0.15% T54 3.24
22 ENG Aaron Rai 100 0.99% 0.73% 1.11% 0.37% T34 2.92
23 ENG Andy Sullivan 100 0.99% 0.73% 0.9% 0.17% MC 2.92
24 NZL Ryan Fox 110 0.9% 0.67% 0.71% 0.04% T6 (tied w/5) 2.66 +12.2
25 RSA Ernie Els 125 0.79% 0.59% 1% 0.41% MC 2.34
26 RSA Richard Sterne 125 0.79% 0.59% 0.97% 0.39% T13 2.34
27 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 125 0.79% 0.59% 0.93% 0.34% MC 2.34
28 FRA Victor Dubuisson 125 0.79% 0.59% 0.55% -0.04% T18 2.34
29 RSA Justin Harding 150 0.66% 0.49% 1.35% 0.86% T11
30 FRA Victor Perez 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.93% 0.44% T13
31 USA David Lipsky 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.9% 0.41% T24
32 ESP Adria Arnaus 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.82% 0.33% MC
33 SCO Scott Jamieson 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.73% 0.24% MC
34 FRA Alexander Levy 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.73% 0.24% 5
35 ESP Alvaro Quiros 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.63% 0.14% MC
36 RSA Erik van Rooyen 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.62% 0.13% MC
37 ENG Chris Paisley 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.56% 0.07% T24
38 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.54% 0.05% MC
39 AUT Matthias Schwab 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.49% 0% T24
40 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.44% -0.05% T13
41 RSA Dean Burmester 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.43% -0.06% MC
42 ESP Jorge Campillo 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.42% -0.07% T42
43 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.89% 0.47% T61
44 ESP Adrian Otaegui 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.62% 0.2% T24
45 ENG Matthew Southgate 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.61% 0.19% T51
46 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.55% 0.13% T24
47 RSA George Coetzee 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.44% 0.02% MC
48 ITA Andrea Pavan 200 0.5% 0.37% 1.07% 0.7% T34
49 RSA Brandon Stone 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.79% 0.42% MC
50 AUS Scott Hend 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.64% 0.27% T6
51 ENG Sam Horsfield 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.55% 0.18% T34
52 IND Shubhankar Sharma 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.54% 0.17% MC
53 RSA Haydn Porteous 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.5% 0.13% T51
54 FRA Romain Wattel 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.45% 0.08% MC
55 FIN Mikko Korhonen 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.43% 0.06% T44
56 ENG Robert Rock 225 0.44% 0.33% 0.74% 0.42% T34
57 MAS Gavin Green 225 0.44% 0.33% 0.55% 0.22% T11
58 SWE Marcus Kinhult 225 0.44% 0.33% 0.49% 0.16% T18
59 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 225 0.44% 0.33% 0.48% 0.15% T34
60 USA Sean Crocker 225 0.44% 0.33% 0.37% 0.04% MC
61 GER Maximilian Kieffer 225 0.44% 0.33% 0.31% -0.02% T57
62 CHN Wu Ashun 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.75% 0.46% MC
63 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.63% 0.34% MC
64 ENG David Horsey 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.61% 0.31% MC
65 SCO Stephen Gallacher 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.6% 0.3% MC
66 USA Kurt Kitayama 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.6% 0.3% MC
67 WAL Bradley Dredge 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.57% 0.28% T13
68 FRA Matthieu Pavon 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.49% 0.19% MC
69 IRL Paul Dunne 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.45% 0.15% T51
70 FRA Benjamin Hebert 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.41% 0.11% MC
71 RSA Zander Lombard 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.38% 0.08% T18
72 FIN Kim Koivu 275 0.36% 0.27% 0.59% 0.32% MC
73 SCO Richie Ramsay 275 0.36% 0.27% 0.5% 0.23% MC
74 JPN Hideto Tanihara 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.57% 0.33% MC
75 SCO David Drysdale 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.53% 0.28% MC
76 ITA Renato Paratore 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.5% 0.25% T18
77 DEN Jeff Winther 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.33% 0.08% MC
78 DEN Thomas Bjorn 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.56% 0.35% MC
79 ENG Jack Singh Brar 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.51% 0.3% MC
80 KOR Jeunghun Wang 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.49% 0.27% MC
81 AUS Wade Ormsby 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.46% 0.25% MC
82 ESP Nacho Elvira 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.39% 0.18% MC
83 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.39% 0.18% MC
84 ESP Alejandro Canizares 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.38% 0.17% MC
85 ENG Oliver Fisher 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.38% 0.17% MC
86 RSA Shaun Norris 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.35% 0.14% T30
87 ENG Ashley Chesters 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.32% 0.11% MC
88 SCO Grant Forrest 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.57% 0.39% MC
89 SCO Robert MacIntyre 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.57% 0.38% T44
90 FIN Kalle Samooja 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.56% 0.37% MC
91 FRA Clement Sordet 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.31% 0.13% T61
92 AUS Jake McLeod 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.28% 0.1% T34
93 SWE Robert Karlsson 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.83% 0.68% T44
94 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.54% 0.39% MC
95 ENG James Morrison 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.53% 0.38% MC
96 SWE Niklas Lemke 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.49% 0.35% T30
97 RSA Trevor Immelman 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% T57
98 AUS Sam Brazel 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.37% 0.23% MC
99 SWE Joakim Lagergren 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.21% MC
100 ENG Steven Brown 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.2% MC
101 ITA Matteo Manassero 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% MC
102 ENG Lee Slattery 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.16% MC
103 RSA Justin Walters 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% T44
104 ARG Andres Romero 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
105 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% T22
106 ITA Nino Bertasio 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.09% T30
107 ITA Edoardo Molinari 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.63% 0.5% T34
108 KOR Hyowon Park 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.32% 0.2% MC
109 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.24% 0.12% MC
110 GER Bernd Ritthammer 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.23% 0.1% MC
111 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.2% 0.08% MC
112 AUS Minwoo Lee 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.14% 0.02% 4
113 WAL Stuart Manley 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.46% 0.36% T64
114 SCO David Law 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.38% 0.28% MC
115 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.18% T44
116 POR Pedro Figueiredo 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% MC
117 SWE Jens Dantorp 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.14% T57
118 ENG Matthew Jordan 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.45% 0.38% T34
119 ENG David Howell 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.4% 0.32% MC
120 SCO Liam Johnston 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.34% 0.27% T30
121 IND Rayhan Thomas 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.1% 0.03% MC
122 ENG Todd Clements 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.1% 0.02% MC
123 SWE Pelle Edberg 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.2% 0.15% MC
124 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.19% 0.14% MC
125 ENG Alfie Plant 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.15% 0.1% T61
126 CHN Hao Tong Li 0% 0% 1.78% 0% 2
127 BAN Siddikur Rahman 0% 0% 0.52% 0% MC
128 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.48% 0% T44
129 USA Jordan Mullaney 0% 0% 0.34% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...