Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 110.1

Total Profit: +10

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

08/02/2018 - 11/02/2018

Up to date as of: 7 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 6 14.29% 11.08% 5.67% -5.42% T2
2 ESP Jon Rahm 10 9.09% 7.05% 3.66% -3.4% T26
3 NIR Rory McIlroy 10 9.09% 7.05% 3.19% -3.86% MC
4 AUS Jason Day 12 7.69% 5.97% 1.83% -4.13% T2
5 USA Jordan Spieth 13 7.14% 5.54% 3.02% -2.52% T20
6 USA Gary Woodland 29 3.33% 2.59% 1.83% -0.76% MC
7 USA Phil Mickelson 32 3.03% 2.35% 2.66% 0.3% T2 (tied w/4) 10.34 +38.3
8 ENG Paul Casey 32 3.03% 2.35% 1.59% -0.76% T8
9 USA Matt Kuchar 37 2.63% 2.04% 1.84% -0.2% T62
10 USA Pat Perez 38 2.56% 1.99% 2.18% 0.19% T35 8.75
11 USA Brandt Snedeker 42 2.33% 1.8% 0.65% -1.15% T20
12 USA Patrick Reed 43 2.27% 1.76% 1.99% 0.23% MC 7.76
13 USA Patrick Cantlay 45 2.17% 1.69% 1.85% 0.17% T35 7.42
14 RSA Branden Grace 45 2.17% 1.69% 1.48% -0.2% T20
15 USA Kevin Kisner 56 1.75% 1.36% 1.3% -0.07% MC
16 USA Chesson Hadley 57 1.72% 1.34% 0.61% -0.72% T35
17 AUS Adam Scott 60 1.64% 1.27% 0.65% -0.62% MC
18 USA Chez Reavie 61 1.61% 1.25% 2.08% 0.83% T2 (tied w/4) 5.51 +36.4
19 USA Kevin Chappell 67 1.47% 1.14% 1.2% 0.06% T8 5.02
20 USA J.B. Holmes 67 1.47% 1.14% 1.09% -0.05% MC 5.02
21 USA Bryson DeChambeau 72 1.37% 1.06% 1.43% 0.37% T55 4.68
22 IRL Shane Lowry 79 1.25% 0.97% 1.27% 0.3% T43 4.27
23 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 80 1.23% 0.96% 1.53% 0.57% T26 4.22
24 USA Charley Hoffman 82 1.2% 0.93% 1.16% 0.22% WD 4.12
25 USA James Hahn 83 1.19% 0.92% 0.93% 0% T26 4.07
26 USA Austin Cook 83 1.19% 0.92% 0.72% -0.21% MC
27 USA Chris Kirk 89 1.11% 0.86% 0.8% -0.06% MC
28 USA Jason Kokrak 91 1.09% 0.84% 1.02% 0.17% T35 3.71
29 USA Beau Hossler 99 1% 0.78% 0.54% -0.23% T43
30 USA Bubba Watson 104 0.95% 0.74% 1.26% 0.52% T35 3.25
31 USA Kevin Streelman 109 0.91% 0.71% 1.32% 0.62% 6 3.11 +35.5
32 USA Scott Piercy 111 0.89% 0.69% 0.53% -0.16% T20
33 IRL Paul Dunne 113 0.88% 0.68% 0.79% 0.11% MC 3
34 USA Nick Watney 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.87% 0.22% T47 2.82
35 USA Russell Henley 130 0.76% 0.59% 1.01% 0.41% T15 2.61
36 NIR Graeme McDowell 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.88% 0.29% MC 2.61
37 SCO Russell Knox 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.73% 0.13% T15 2.61
38 USA Vaughn Taylor 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.67% 0.08% T55 2.61
39 USA Kevin Na 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.64% 0.05% T20 2.61
40 USA Brian Gay 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.71% 0.19% T8
41 USA Billy Horschel 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.64% 0.13% MC
42 USA Brandon Harkins 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.54% 0.03% T15
43 USA Jimmy Walker 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.35% -0.16% T8
44 USA Steve Stricker 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.91% 0.43% T26
45 USA Stewart Cink 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.62% 0.21% MC
46 USA Grayson Murray 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.43% 0.02% T8
47 USA Scott Stallings 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.42% 0.02% 7
48 USA Tom Hoge 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.43% 0.05% MC
49 USA William McGirt 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.38% 0% T26
50 AUS Cameron Davis 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.35% -0.03% MC
51 AUS Matt Jones 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.3% -0.09% MC
52 USA Ryan Armour 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.57% 0.2% T20
53 USA Sam Saunders 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.28% -0.08% T26
54 USA Julian Suri 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.98% 0.63% T68
55 ENG Luke Donald 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.85% 0.49% MC
56 USA Aaron Wise 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.58% 0.23% T15
57 IRL Padraig Harrington 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.55% 0.2% MC
58 CAN Nick Taylor 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.53% 0.18% MC
59 SVK Rory Sabbatini 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.72% 0.39% 72
60 USA Brian Stuard 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.61% 0.27% MC
61 USA Jerry Kelly 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.48% 0.15% MC
62 USA Robert Garrigus 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.44% 0.11% MC
63 AUS Aaron Baddeley 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.37% 0.06% T55
64 IRL Seamus Power 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.26% -0.05% MC
65 USA Hunter Mahan 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.87% 0.59% MC
66 USA Ben Martin 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.5% 0.22% T26
67 USA Scott Brown 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.62% 0.36% MC
68 USA Patrick Rodgers 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.59% 0.33% T8
69 CAN Corey Conners 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.57% 0.31% MC
70 SWE Jonas Blixt 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.54% 0.28% MC
71 USA Martin Piller 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.47% 0.22% MC
72 USA Chris Stroud 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.47% 0.21% T35
73 USA Robert Streb 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.38% 0.12% MC
74 USA Talor Gooch 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.35% 0.09% MC
75 USA Kelly Kraft 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.32% 0.07% MC
76 USA Andrew Putnam 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.31% 0.05% MC
77 USA Trey Mullinax 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.3% 0.05% T47
78 USA Daniel Summerhays 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.29% 0.04% T55
79 USA Brice Garnett 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.28% 0.03% T35
80 USA Ricky Barnes 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.58% 0.39% T62
81 USA Ben Crane 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.5% 0.31% MC
82 USA Tom Lovelady 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.46% 0.26% MC
83 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.37% 0.18% T26
84 USA Lanto Griffin 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.35% 0.16% MC
85 USA Rob Oppenheim 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.33% 0.14% T47
86 USA JT Poston 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.33% 0.14% T68
87 USA Derek Fathauer 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.32% 0.13% T62
88 USA Shawn Stefani 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.31% 0.12% MC
89 USA Keith Mitchell 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.31% 0.11% T47
90 USA Nate Lashley 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.3% 0.11% MC
91 USA Cameron Tringale 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.29% 0.1% T47
92 USA Johnson Wagner 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.29% 0.09% T55
93 USA Ryan Blaum 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.28% 0.09% T73
94 FIJ Vijay Singh 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.27% 0.08% MC
95 AUS Cameron Percy 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.27% 0.07% MC
96 CAN Benjamin Silverman 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.22% 0.03% MC
97 GER Alex Cejka 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.18% -0.01% 75
98 CAN David Hearn 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.17% -0.03% MC
99 USA Bronson Burgoon 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.5% 0.35% T47
100 USA Zac Blair 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.49% 0.34% MC
101 KOR Sangmoon Bae 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.48% 0.33% T15
102 RSA Ernie Els 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.48% 0.33% MC
103 USA Ted Potter-jr 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.47% 0.32% 1
104 USA Jonathan Byrd 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.29% T62
105 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% MC
106 USA Richy Werenski 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.24% MC
107 USA Cody Gribble 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.17% MC
108 USA Jonathan Randolph 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% T66
109 USA Mackenzie Hughes 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% MC
110 USA Colt Knost 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% MC
111 USA Jim Herman 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% MC
112 GER Stephan Jaeger 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.13% -0.03% T43
113 USA D.A. Points 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.51% 0.39% MC
114 USA Matt Every 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.37% 0.24% MC
115 ARG Angel Cabrera 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.32% 0.19% WD
116 USA Dominic Bozzelli 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.32% 0.19% MC
117 USA Tyler Duncan 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.27% 0.14% MC
118 AUS Rod Pampling 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.24% 0.11% T47
119 USA Adam Schenk 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.22% 0.09% MC
120 USA Eric Axley 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.12% -0.01% T47
121 KOR K.J. Choi 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.48% 0.38% T26
122 USA Peter Malnati 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% T35
123 USA Billy Hurley III 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.39% 0.29% MC
124 USA Sam Ryder 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% T68
125 AUS Greg Chalmers 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% MC
126 USA Joel Dahmen 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.19% T55
127 USA Charlie Beljan 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
128 USA Troy Merritt 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% T8
129 ARG Fabian Gomez 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.13% MC
130 USA Steve Wheatcroft 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.13% MC
131 USA Brett Stegmaier 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% MC
132 USA Ken Duke 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% MC
133 USA Denny McCarthy 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.18% 0.08% T66
134 USA Rick Lamb 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.18% 0.08% MC
135 USA Conrad Shindler 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.13% 0.03% MC
136 MEX Roberto Diaz 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.23% MC
137 AUS Stuart Appleby 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.16% MC
138 USA Jason Bohn 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% MC
139 USA Ethan Tracy 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% MC
140 USA Tim Herron 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.12% MC
141 ZIM Brendon de Jonge 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% MC
142 USA Kyle Thompson 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% MC
143 USA Derek Ernst 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% MC
144 CAN Mike Weir 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.16% 0.09% MC
145 USA Andrew Yun 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.11% 0.03% MC
146 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0.55% 0% MC
147 CHN Zhang Xinjun 0% 0% 0.27% 0% T43
148 USA George McNeill 0% 0% 0.23% 0% MC
149 USA Maverick McNealy 0% 0% 0.17% 0% MC
150 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 0.17% 0% T73
151 USA Matt Atkins 0% 0% 0.15% 0% MC
152 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0.15% 0% T55

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...