Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 320.7

Total Profit: +220.6

Sony Open in Hawaii

11/01/2018 - 14/01/2018

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Jordan Spieth 5 16.67% 12.42% 4.81% -7.61% T18
2 USA Justin Thomas 8 11.11% 8.28% 5.73% -2.55% T14
3 AUS Marc Leishman 15 6.25% 4.66% 3.3% -1.36% T47
4 USA Brian Harman 22 4.35% 3.24% 2.26% -0.98% T4
5 USA Kevin Kisner 22 4.35% 3.24% 1.11% -2.12% T25
6 USA Russell Henley 31 3.13% 2.33% 1.17% -1.16% MC
7 USA Zach Johnson 32 3.03% 2.26% 1.6% -0.66% T14
8 USA Tony Finau 37 2.63% 1.96% 2.12% 0.16% T32 8.81
9 USA Daniel Berger 37 2.63% 1.96% 1.7% -0.26% T14
10 AUS Cameron Smith 38 2.56% 1.91% 1.56% -0.35% T18
11 USA Webb Simpson 43 2.27% 1.69% 1.66% -0.03% T4 (tied w/3) 7.61 +36.5
12 USA Gary Woodland 44 2.22% 1.66% 1.69% 0.03% T7 (tied w/3) 7.44 +12.2
13 KOR Siwoo Kim 45 2.17% 1.62% 1.03% -0.59% T58
14 USA Charles Howell III 46 2.13% 1.59% 0.78% -0.81% T32
15 USA Xander Schauffele 47 2.08% 1.55% 2.85% 1.3% T32 6.97
16 USA Jason Dufner 51 1.92% 1.43% 1.58% 0.15% T18 6.44
17 USA Peter Uihlein 59 1.67% 1.24% 0.72% -0.53% MC
18 USA Chez Reavie 64 1.54% 1.15% 1.91% 0.77% T18 5.15
19 USA Jamie Lovemark 64 1.54% 1.15% 0.68% -0.47% MC
20 USA Bill Haas 65 1.52% 1.13% 0.74% -0.39% MC
21 USA Austin Cook 66 1.49% 1.11% 0.97% -0.14% T18
22 USA Ollie Schniederjans 71 1.39% 1.03% 0.55% -0.49% T7
23 USA Patton Kizzire 79 1.25% 0.93% 1.34% 0.41% 1 4.19 +202.8
24 USA J.J Spaun 79 1.25% 0.93% 0.6% -0.33% T47
25 USA William McGirt 82 1.2% 0.9% 0.71% -0.18% T65
26 USA Kevin Na 84 1.18% 0.88% 1.49% 0.61% MC 3.94
27 ARG Emiliano Grillo 84 1.18% 0.88% 0.83% -0.05% T47
28 USA Kyle Stanley 85 1.16% 0.87% 1.32% 0.46% T10 3.89
29 USA Keegan Bradley 87 1.14% 0.85% 1.58% 0.73% T39 3.81
30 USA Hudson Swafford 89 1.11% 0.83% 0.84% 0.01% T54 3.72
31 USA Chris Kirk 91 1.09% 0.81% 0.71% -0.1% T10
32 SCO Russell Knox 93 1.06% 0.79% 0.89% 0.1% T10 3.56
33 USA Luke List 93 1.06% 0.79% 0.73% -0.06% MC
34 USA Jimmy Walker 97 1.02% 0.76% 0.43% -0.33% MC
35 USA Ryan Armour 98 1.01% 0.75% 0.75% 0% T39 3.38
36 USA Brian Gay 103 0.96% 0.72% 0.85% 0.13% T58 3.22
37 USA Wesley Bryan 108 0.92% 0.68% 0.86% 0.17% T32 3.07
38 USA Scott Piercy 111 0.89% 0.67% 0.63% -0.04% T25 2.99
39 USA Chris Stroud 113 0.88% 0.65% 0.86% 0.21% MC 2.94
40 USA Jason Kokrak 114 0.87% 0.65% 0.76% 0.11% T47 2.91
41 USA Brian Stuard 116 0.85% 0.64% 0.6% -0.04% T4 (tied w/3) 2.86 +34.6
42 USA James Hahn 120 0.83% 0.62% 0.97% 0.35% 2 2.77 +34.6
43 USA Harold Varner III 120 0.83% 0.62% 0.6% -0.02% MC 2.77
44 USA Ryan Palmer 130 0.76% 0.57% 1.94% 1.37% T58 2.56
45 USA Scott Brown 130 0.76% 0.57% 0.81% 0.24% T65 2.56
46 USA Andrew Landry 130 0.76% 0.57% 0.64% 0.07% MC 2.56
47 NZL Danny Lee 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.69% 0.19% MC
48 ENG Luke Donald 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.59% 0.1% MC
49 USA Aaron Wise 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.43% -0.06% MC
50 USA Ben Martin 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.42% -0.07% T7
51 USA Patrick Rodgers 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.33% -0.17% WD
52 CAN Benjamin Silverman 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.32% -0.17% MC
53 USA Stewart Cink 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.93% 0.47% T32
54 KOR Meenwhee Kim 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.55% 0.09% MC
55 USA Jerry Kelly 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.24% -0.22% T14
56 USA Vaughn Taylor 180 0.55% 0.41% 0.54% 0.12% 76
57 USA Brice Garnett 180 0.55% 0.41% 0.47% 0.05% MC
58 USA Smylie Kaufman 190 0.52% 0.39% 0.85% 0.46% MC
59 AUS Matt Jones 190 0.52% 0.39% 0.43% 0.04% T39
60 USA Harris English 190 0.52% 0.39% 0.3% -0.09% 64
61 USA Robert Streb 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.66% 0.29% MC
62 ARG Fabian Gomez 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.35% -0.02% MC
63 IRL Seamus Power 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.24% -0.13% T54
64 USA Kevin Tway 210 0.47% 0.35% 0.58% 0.23% T69
65 USA Blayne Barber 210 0.47% 0.35% 0.49% 0.13% T67
66 SWE Jonas Blixt 220 0.45% 0.34% 0.57% 0.23% MC
67 USA Kelly Kraft 230 0.43% 0.32% 0.5% 0.18% MC
68 USA Beau Hossler 230 0.43% 0.32% 0.49% 0.16% MC
69 USA Tom Hoge 230 0.43% 0.32% 0.43% 0.11% 3
70 USA Mackenzie Hughes 230 0.43% 0.32% 0.31% -0.01% MC
71 USA Morgan Hoffmann 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.57% 0.27% MC
72 USA Michael Thompson 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.42% 0.12% MC
73 USA John Huh 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0% MC
74 USA Tyler Duncan 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.28% -0.01% MC
75 AUS Aaron Baddeley 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.27% -0.03% MC
76 USA Chad Campbell 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.41% 0.13% MC
77 USA Sam Saunders 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.23% -0.05% T25
78 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 270 0.37% 0.27% 0.5% 0.23% T58
79 SVK Rory Sabbatini 270 0.37% 0.27% 0.45% 0.18% T32
80 USA Brandon Harkins 270 0.37% 0.27% 0.34% 0.07% T25
81 USA Cameron Tringale 270 0.37% 0.27% 0.33% 0.06% MC
82 JPN Shugo Imahira 270 0.37% 0.27% 0.28% 0% T54
83 USA Richy Werenski 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.48% 0.22% MC
84 USA Ted Potter-jr 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.42% 0.16% MC
85 USA Rob Oppenheim 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.35% 0.09% MC
86 GER Stephan Jaeger 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.39% 0.13% T54
87 USA Jim Herman 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.36% 0.11% MC
88 USA Matt Every 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.36% 0.1% 75
89 USA Kyle Thompson 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.12% -0.14% MC
90 KOR K.J. Choi 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.99% 0.75% MC
91 USA Ricky Barnes 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.52% 0.27% MC
92 FIJ Vijay Singh 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.52% 0.27% MC
93 KOR Sangmoon Bae 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.52% 0.27% MC
94 USA Jonathan Byrd 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.46% 0.21% T25
95 MEX Abraham Ancer 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.44% 0.2% MC
96 USA Cody Gribble 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.44% 0.2% MC
97 USA Peter Malnati 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.42% 0.17% MC
98 USA Michael Kim 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.4% 0.15% MC
99 USA Martin Piller 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.39% 0.14% MC
100 USA Keith Mitchell 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.37% 0.12% T25
101 USA Bronson Burgoon 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.36% 0.11% MC
102 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.33% 0.08% T32
103 USA John Oda 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.3% 0.05% T67
104 CAN Corey Conners 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.24% -0.01% T39
105 USA Talor Gooch 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.23% -0.01% T18
106 USA John Peterson 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.23% -0.02% T47
107 USA Jonathan Randolph 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.23% -0.02% T39
108 USA Andrew Putnam 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.19% -0.06% T69
109 USA Troy Merritt 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.81% 0.62% MC
110 USA Billy Hurley III 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.43% 0.25% MC
111 USA Adam Schenk 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.37% 0.18% T39
112 USA Ryan Blaum 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.3% 0.12% T10
113 USA Steve Wheatcroft 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.27% 0.09% MC
114 USA Brett Stegmaier 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.27% 0.08% MC
115 USA Nate Lashley 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.24% 0.06% T39
116 JPN Daisuke Kataoka 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.22% 0.03% T18
117 USA D.A. Points 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.82% 0.67% T73
118 USA Colt Knost 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.5% 0.35% T69
119 AUS Greg Chalmers 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.26% MC
120 USA Dominic Bozzelli 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% T39
121 USA Joel Dahmen 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.34% 0.19% T73
122 KOR Hyungsung Kim 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% MC
123 USA Tom Lovelady 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% MC
124 USA Sam Ryder 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.16% 0.01% T58
125 USA Conrad Shindler 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.1% -0.05% T47
126 USA Andrew Yun 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.09% -0.06% MC
127 USA Mark Wilson 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.45% 0.33% MC
128 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.35% 0.23% MC
129 USA Jon Curran 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.24% 0.12% MC
130 USA Lanto Griffin 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.21% 0.08% T58
131 USA Ethan Tracy 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.12% 0% MC
132 MEX Roberto Diaz 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.17% T47
133 USA Eric Dugas 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.1% 0.02% MC
134 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 0% 0% 1.77% 0% MC
135 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 0.66% 0% MC
136 USA Omar Uresti 0% 0% 0.3% 0% MC
137 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0.3% 0% MC
138 CHN Zhang Xinjun 0% 0% 0.29% 0% T25
139 JPN Tatsuya Kodai 0% 0% 0.13% 0% MC
140 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0.13% 0% MC
141 USA Matt Atkins 0% 0% 0.12% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...