Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 108.8

Total Profit: +8.7

Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship presented by EGA

18/01/2018 - 21/01/2018

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 5 16.67% 12.89% 5.07% -7.82% T9
2 ENG Justin Rose 8 11.11% 8.59% 3.88% -4.71% T22
3 NIR Rory McIlroy 8 11.11% 8.59% 2.58% -6.01% T3
4 SWE Henrik Stenson 17 5.56% 4.3% 2.91% -1.38% 8
5 ENG Paul Casey 19 5% 3.87% 3.66% -0.21% T9
6 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 22 4.35% 3.36% 1.67% -1.69% 1
7 RSA Branden Grace 23 4.17% 3.22% 2.82% -0.4% T15 14.2
8 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 25 3.85% 2.97% 2.29% -0.69% T15
9 GER Martin Kaymer 29 3.33% 2.58% 1.23% -1.35% T27
10 USA Matt Kuchar 37 2.63% 2.04% 2.14% 0.11% T32 8.97
11 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 38 2.56% 1.98% 1.47% -0.51% T40
12 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 44 2.22% 1.72% 1.52% -0.2% T3 (tied w/2) 7.58 +37.1
13 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 45 2.17% 1.68% 1.23% -0.45% T15 7.41
14 BEL Thomas Pieters 45 2.17% 1.68% 0.79% -0.89% T5
15 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 51 1.92% 1.49% 1.45% -0.03% T22 6.56
16 ENG Ross Fisher 58 1.69% 1.31% 1.37% 0.06% 2 5.78 +36.4
17 KOR Byeong Hun An 63 1.56% 1.21% 0.88% -0.33% T40 5.33
18 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 79 1.25% 0.97% 1.08% 0.12% T53 4.26
19 ENG Ian Poulter 82 1.2% 0.93% 1.48% 0.55% MC 4.11
20 ENG Lee Westwood 85 1.16% 0.9% 1.3% 0.4% MC 3.97
21 NED Joost Luiten 86 1.15% 0.89% 0.75% -0.14% T48 3.92
22 USA Bryson DeChambeau 87 1.14% 0.88% 1.34% 0.46% MC 3.88
23 RSA Dylan Frittelli 93 1.06% 0.82% 1.2% 0.38% T19 3.63
24 IRL Paul Dunne 103 0.96% 0.74% 1.15% 0.4% T19 3.28
25 RSA Dean Burmester 105 0.94% 0.73% 0.56% -0.17% T40 3.22
26 NIR Graeme McDowell 111 0.89% 0.69% 0.87% 0.18% MC 3.05
27 RSA George Coetzee 115 0.86% 0.67% 0.66% -0.01% MC 2.94
28 FRA Alexander Levy 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.81% 0.17% 7 2.82 +35.3
29 ENG Eddie Pepperell 130 0.76% 0.59% 1.15% 0.56% MC 2.61
30 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.55% -0.04% MC 2.61
31 ENG Chris Paisley 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.96% 0.45% T5
32 SWE Alexander Bjork 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.54% 0.03% MC
33 ENG Andy Sullivan 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.64% 0.16% T53
34 NZL Ryan Fox 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.55% 0.07% T32
35 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.53% 0.05% T32
36 KOR Jeunghun Wang 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.44% -0.04% T15
37 SWE Peter Hanson 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.34% -0.14% MC
38 WAL Jamie Donaldson 180 0.55% 0.43% 1% 0.58% MC
39 ENG Jordan L Smith 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.96% 0.54% T61
40 ENG Matt Wallace 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.72% 0.3% T32
41 ENG Chris Wood 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.66% 0.23% MC
42 ESP Nacho Elvira 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.6% 0.17% MC
43 RSA Richard Sterne 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.96% 0.56% T19
44 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.75% 0.34% T48
45 JPN Hideto Tanihara 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.46% 0.06% 68
46 RSA Haydn Porteous 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.67% 0.28% T53
47 ITA Renato Paratore 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.61% 0.23% MC
48 SCO Scott Jamieson 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.52% 0.13% MC
49 IND Shubhankar Sharma 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.49% 0.11% T48
50 ZIM Scott Vincent 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.44% 0.07% 71
51 AUS Wade Ormsby 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.96% 0.61% MC
52 ENG Robert Rock 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.92% 0.58% MC
53 SCO Richie Ramsay 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.89% 0.54% T40
54 ESP Jorge Campillo 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.75% 0.4% 14
55 FRA Matthieu Pavon 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.69% 0.34% MC
56 BEL Thomas Detry 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.64% 0.29% T9
57 ENG David Horsey 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.85% 0.51% MC
58 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.76% 0.43% T40
59 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.71% 0.37% T9
60 ENG Callum Shinkwin 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.65% 0.31% MC
61 FRA Romain Wattel 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.64% 0.31% MC
62 AUS Jason Scrivener 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.31% -0.02% T48
63 USA Seungsu Han 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.23% -0.1% T27
64 ENG James Morrison 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.65% 0.34% MC
65 GER Maximilian Kieffer 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.48% 0.18% MC
66 THA Thongchai Jaidee 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.43% 0.12% MC
67 ENG Andrew Johnston 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.42% 0.11% T9
68 THA Phachara Khongwatmai 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.33% 0.02% MC
69 FRA Benjamin Hebert 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% T32
70 SWE Joakim Lagergren 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.48% 0.19% T53
71 RSA Darren Fichardt 270 0.37% 0.29% 1.01% 0.72% T40
72 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.61% 0.33% T69
73 ENG Oliver Fisher 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.32% 0.03% MC
74 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.46% 0.19% T69
75 SCO Marc Warren 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.74% 0.47% MC
76 ITA Nino Bertasio 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.57% 0.3% T53
77 ENG Matthew Southgate 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.47% 0.2% MC
78 ENG Paul Waring 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.42% 0.16% MC
79 RSA Thomas Aiken 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.4% 0.13% MC
80 RSA Brandon Stone 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.38% 0.12% T61
81 SCO Stephen Gallacher 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.7% 0.44% T61
82 GER Marcel Siem 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.68% 0.43% MC
83 USA David Lipsky 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.64% 0.39% MC
84 RSA Ernie Els 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.63% 0.38% MC
85 ESP Adrian Otaegui 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.63% 0.37% T40
86 AUS Scott Hend 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.6% 0.34% T22
87 ENG Graeme Storm 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.54% 0.28% MC
88 ARG Andres Romero 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.53% 0.27% MC
89 ENG Lee Slattery 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.53% 0.27% T61
90 FRA Gregory Bourdy 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.51% 0.26% T61
91 FIN Mikko Ilonen 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.48% 0.22% T40
92 AUS Andrew Dodt 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.46% 0.2% MC
93 ENG Anthony Wall 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.45% 0.19% MC
94 SCO David Drysdale 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.44% 0.19% MC
95 ENG Chris Hanson 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.41% 0.16% MC
96 ESP Alejandro Canizares 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.41% 0.15% T48
97 ITA Matteo Manassero 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.39% 0.14% T30
98 ENG Richard Bland 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.38% 0.13% MC
99 FIN Mikko Korhonen 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.35% 0.1% T22
100 POR Ricardo Gouveia 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.3% 0.05% T53
101 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.24% -0.02% T32
102 KOR Soomin Lee 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.64% 0.45% MC
103 SWE Robert Karlsson 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.56% 0.37% T32
104 DEN Thomas Bjorn 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.45% 0.26% T30
105 CAN Austin Connelly 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.38% 0.18% MC
106 ESP Alvaro Quiros 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.33% 0.14% T61
107 SCO Paul Lawrie 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.32% 0.13% MC
108 ENG Ashley Chesters 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.31% 0.12% MC
109 ENG Daniel Brooks 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.49% 0.34% MC
110 FRA Gary Stal 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.46% 0.31% T53
111 FRA Gregory Havret 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.25% 67
112 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.12% MC
113 DEN Lasse Jensen 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% T27
114 USA Daniel Im 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.1% DQ
115 RSA Zander Lombard 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% MC
116 ITA Edoardo Molinari 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% MC
117 AUS Sam Brazel 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.43% 0.3% T32
118 ESP Carlos Pigem 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.26% 0.13% T53
119 AUS Jason Norris 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.19% 0.09% MC
120 RSA Trevor Immelman 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.5% 0.42% MC
121 ESP Jose M Olazabal 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.34% 0.26% MC
122 CHN Hao Tong Li 0% 0% 1.1% 0% MC
123 CHN Wu Ashun 0% 0% 0.77% 0% T22

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...