Betting Market Analysis for Masters Tournament
Key
Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).
Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.
Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.
Forecast Table
Up to date as of: 2 days ago
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| # | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Discrep. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 7/1 | 5.11% | -7.76% | |
| 2 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 10/1 | 4.11% | -5.33% | |
| 3 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 23/1 | 2.45% | -1.71% | |
| 4 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 23/1 | 2.22% | -1.94% | |
| 5 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 26/1 | 0.55% | -3.17% | |
| 6 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 29/1 | 2.83% | -0.54% | |
| 7 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 29/1 | 1.16% | -2.21% | |
| 8 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 36/1 | 1.67% | -1.05% | |
| 9 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 40/1 | 0.51% | -1.93% | |
| 10 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 47/1 | 1.55% | -0.53% | |
| 11 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 47/1 | 0.21% | -1.87% | |
| 12 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 35 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 2.78% | 1.97% ≈ 50/1 | 2.15% | 0.18% | |
| 13 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 40 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 1.73% ≈ 57/1 | 1.63% | -0.1% | |
| 14 |
| Shane Lowry | 40 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 1.73% ≈ 57/1 | 1.55% | -0.17% | |
| 15 |
| Patrick Cantlay | 40 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 1.73% ≈ 57/1 | 1.23% | -0.5% | |
| 16 |
| Jordan Spieth | 40 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 1.73% ≈ 57/1 | 0.6% | -1.12% | |
| 17 |
| Minwoo Lee | 45 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.17% | 1.54% ≈ 64/1 | 1.33% | -0.21% | |
| 18 |
| Will Zalatoris | 45 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) | 2.17% | 1.54% ≈ 64/1 | 0.62% | -0.92% | |
| 19 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 50 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.39% ≈ 71/1 | 1.19% | -0.2% | |
| 20 |
| Cameron Smith | 50 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.96% | 1.39% ≈ 71/1 | 0.38% | -1.01% | |
| 21 |
| Russell Henley | 55 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.79% | 1.26% ≈ 78/1 | 1.82% | 0.55% | |
| 22 |
| Robert MacIntyre | 66 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.06% ≈ 94/1 | 1.55% | 0.5% | |
| 23 |
| Akshay Bhatia | 66 (BoyleSports: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.06% ≈ 94/1 | 1.34% | 0.28% | |
| 24 |
| Sepp Straka | 70 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) | 1.41% | 1% ≈ 99/1 | 1.64% | 0.65% | |
| 25 |
| Corey Conners | 75 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) | 1.32% | 0.93% ≈ 106/1 | 1.2% | 0.27% | |
| 26 |
| Wyndham Clark | 80 (BoyleSports: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.87% ≈ 113/1 | 1.54% | 0.66% | |
| 27 |
| Tony Finau | 80 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.87% ≈ 113/1 | 1.01% | 0.14% | |
| 28 |
| Jason Day | 80 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.87% ≈ 113/1 | 0.91% | 0.04% | |
| 29 |
| Sahith Theegala | 100 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.7% ≈ 142/1 | 1.33% | 0.63% | |
| 30 |
| Justin Rose | 100 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.7% ≈ 142/1 | 0.91% | 0.21% | |
| 31 |
| Daniel Berger | 100 (BetGoodwin: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.7% ≈ 142/1 | 0.78% | 0.08% | |
| 32 |
| Rickie Fowler | 100 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.7% ≈ 142/1 | 0.47% | -0.23% | |
| 33 |
| Dustin Johnson | 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.7% ≈ 142/1 | 0.06% | -0.64% | |
| 34 |
| Woohyun Kim | 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.7% ≈ 142/1 | 0.05% | -0.65% | |
| 35 |
| Adam Scott | 125 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.56% ≈ 177/1 | 1.11% | 0.55% | |
| 36 |
| Davis Thompson | 125 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.56% ≈ 177/1 | 0.98% | 0.42% | |
| 37 |
| Patrick Reed | 125 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.56% ≈ 177/1 | 0.41% | -0.15% | |
| 38 |
| Sergio Garcia | 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.56% ≈ 177/1 | 0.12% | -0.45% | |
| 39 |
| Sungjae Im | 135 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) | 0.74% | 0.52% ≈ 191/1 | 1.33% | 0.81% | |
| 40 |
| Billy Horschel | 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 212/1 | 1.47% | 1% | |
| 41 |
| Keegan Bradley | 150 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 212/1 | 1.38% | 0.91% | |
| 42 |
| Maverick McNealy | 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 212/1 | 1.33% | 0.86% | |
| 43 |
| Aaron Rai | 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 212/1 | 1.3% | 0.84% | |
| 44 |
| J.J Spaun | 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 212/1 | 1.28% | 0.81% | |
| 45 |
| Taylor Pendrith | 150 (BetGoodwin: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 212/1 | 1.07% | 0.6% | |
| 46 |
| Sam Burns | 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 212/1 | 0.98% | 0.51% | |
| 47 |
| Michael Kim | 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 212/1 | 0.94% | 0.47% | |
| 48 |
| Matthew Fitzpatrick | 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 212/1 | 0.68% | 0.21% | |
| 49 |
| Jake Knappe | 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 212/1 | 0.68% | 0.21% | |
| 50 |
| Phil Mickelson | 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 212/1 | 0.03% | -0.44% | |
| 51 |
| Byeong Hun An | 160 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.62% | 0.44% ≈ 227/1 | 1.05% | 0.61% | |
| 52 |
| Thomas Detry | 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 248/1 | 1.31% | 0.9% | |
| 53 |
| Rasmus Hojgaard | 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 248/1 | 0.89% | 0.49% | |
| 54 |
| Cameron Young | 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 248/1 | 0.78% | 0.38% | |
| 55 |
| Laurie Canter | 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 248/1 | 0.74% | 0.33% | |
| 56 |
| Nicolai Hojgaard | 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 248/1 | 0.69% | 0.29% | |
| 57 |
| Ryan Fox | 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 248/1 | 0.57% | 0.17% | |
| 58 |
| Lucas Glover | 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 283/1 | 1.21% | 0.86% | |
| 59 |
| Harris English | 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 283/1 | 0.97% | 0.62% | |
| 60 |
| Denny McCarthy | 200 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 283/1 | 0.93% | 0.57% | |
| 61 |
| Siwoo Kim | 200 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 283/1 | 0.76% | 0.41% | |
| 62 |
| Max Homa | 200 (BoyleSports: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 283/1 | 0.62% | 0.27% | |
| 63 |
| Tiger Woods | 200 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 283/1 | 0.03% | -0.32% | |
| 64 |
| Thorbjorn Olesen | 225 (PricedUp: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.44% | 0.31% ≈ 318/1 | 0.64% | 0.33% | |
| 65 |
| Austin Eckroat | 250 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 354/1 | 0.93% | 0.64% | |
| 66 |
| Cameron Davis | 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 354/1 | 0.86% | 0.58% | |
| 67 |
| Eric Cole | 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 354/1 | 0.84% | 0.56% | |
| 68 |
| Nick Dunlap | 250 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 354/1 | 0.81% | 0.53% | |
| 69 |
| Alexander Noren | 250 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 354/1 | 0.65% | 0.36% | |
| 70 |
| Gary Woodland | 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 354/1 | 0.52% | 0.24% | |
| 71 |
| Adrian Meronk | 250 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 354/1 | 0.25% | -0.03% | |
| 72 |
| Nick Taylor | 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 424/1 | 1.13% | 0.9% | |
| 73 |
| Stephan Jaeger | 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 424/1 | 1.03% | 0.8% | |
| 74 |
| Max Greyserman | 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 424/1 | 1.03% | 0.79% | |
| 75 |
| Nicolas Echavarria | 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 424/1 | 0.99% | 0.75% | |
| 76 |
| JT Poston | 300 (BoyleSports: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 424/1 | 0.98% | 0.74% | |
| 77 |
| Brian Harman | 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 424/1 | 0.93% | 0.69% | |
| 78 |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 424/1 | 0.89% | 0.66% | |
| 79 |
| Joe Highsmith | 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 424/1 | 0.81% | 0.57% | |
| 80 |
| Taylor Moore | 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 424/1 | 0.67% | 0.43% | |
| 81 |
| Adam Hadwin | 300 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 424/1 | 0.65% | 0.42% | |
| 82 |
| Lee Hodges | 300 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 424/1 | 0.62% | 0.38% | |
| 83 |
| Erik van Rooyen | 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 424/1 | 0.62% | 0.38% | |
| 84 |
| Seamus Power | 300 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 424/1 | 0.5% | 0.27% | |
| 85 |
| Kurt Kitayama | 300 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 424/1 | 0.48% | 0.25% | |
| 86 |
| Emiliano Grillo | 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 424/1 | 0.43% | 0.19% | |
| 87 |
| Luke List | 300 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 424/1 | 0.4% | 0.16% | |
| 88 |
| Peter Malnati | 300 (PricedUp: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 424/1 | 0.38% | 0.14% | |
| 89 |
| Chris Kirk | 350 (BoyleSports: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.2% ≈ 495/1 | 0.65% | 0.44% | |
| 90 |
| Charl Schwartzel | 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.2% ≈ 495/1 | 0.1% | -0.1% | |
| 91 |
| Kevin Yuan | 350 (BoyleSports: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.2% ≈ 495/1 | 0.08% | -0.12% | |
| 92 |
| Tom Hoge | 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 566/1 | 0.93% | 0.75% | |
| 93 |
| Matt McCarty | 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 566/1 | 0.89% | 0.71% | |
| 94 |
| Thriston Lawrence | 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 566/1 | 0.75% | 0.58% | |
| 95 |
| Jhonattan Vegas | 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 566/1 | 0.59% | 0.42% | |
| 96 |
| Davis Riley | 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 566/1 | 0.56% | 0.38% | |
| 97 |
| Keith Mitchell | 400 (PricedUp: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 566/1 | 0.54% | 0.36% | |
| 98 |
| Patton Kizzire | 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 566/1 | 0.43% | 0.26% | |
| 99 |
| Adam Schenk | 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 566/1 | 0.43% | 0.26% | |
| 100 |
| Danny Willett | 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.18% ≈ 566/1 | 0.12% | -0.06% | |
| 101 |
| Matthieu Pavon | 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 707/1 | 0.93% | 0.79% | |
| 102 |
| Brian Campbell | 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 707/1 | 0.54% | 0.4% | |
| 103 |
| Jacob Skov Olesen | 500 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 707/1 | 0.09% | -0.06% | |
| 104 |
| Bubba Watson | 500 (QuinnBet: 1 @ 1/1) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 707/1 | 0.03% | -0.11% | |
| 105 |
| Jose Luis Ballester | 500 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 707/1 | 0% | -0.14% | |
| 106 |
| Justin Hastings(Am) | 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.17% | 0.12% ≈ 849/1 | 0.03% | -0.09% | |
| 107 |
| Camilo Villegas | 750 (PricedUp: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.13% | 0.09% ≈ 1061/1 | 0.26% | 0.16% | |
| 108 |
| Neal Shipley(Am) | 1000 (PricedUp: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1414/1 | 0.22% | 0.15% | |
| 109 |
| Zach Johnson | 1000 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1414/1 | 0.14% | 0.07% | |
| 110 |
| Bernhard Langer | 1000 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1414/1 | 0.01% | -0.06% | |
| 111 |
| Rafael Campos | 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.07% | 0.05% ≈ 2121/1 | 0.32% | 0.27% | |
| 112 |
| Angel Cabrera | 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.07% | 0.05% ≈ 2121/1 | 0.01% | -0.04% | |
| 113 |
| Hiroshi Tai(Am) | 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.07% | 0.05% ≈ 2121/1 | 0% | -0.05% | |
| 114 |
| Noah Kent | 2000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.05% | 0.04% ≈ 2828/1 | 0% | -0.04% | |
| 115 |
| Fred Couples | 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.04% | 0.03% ≈ 3534/1 | 0.02% | -0.01% | |
| 116 |
| Vijay Singh | 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.04% | 0.03% ≈ 3534/1 | 0.01% | -0.02% | |
| 117 |
| Mike Weir | 3000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.03% | 0.02% ≈ 4241/1 | 0.01% | -0.01% | |
| 118 |
| Jose M Olazabal | 5000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.02% | 0.01% ≈ 7068/1 | 0.01% | 0% | |
Bookie Analysis
Overround of best available: 28.8 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 18.4 %
Key
Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BetVictor | 5 @ 1/4 | 48.3% | 31% |
| 2 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 45.7% | 31% |
| 3 | Sporting Index | 6 @ 1/5 | 45.7% | 31% |
| 4 | BoyleSports | 6 @ 1/5 | 46.6% | 31.8% |
| 5 | AK Bets | 5 @ 1/5 | 35.5% | 33.4% |
| 6 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 51.3% | 33.6% |
| 7 | Ladbrokes | 5 @ 1/4 | 53% | 35.2% |
| 8 | Star Sports | 6 @ 1/5 | 52.1% | 36.7% |
| 9 | Betfair Sportsbook | 6 @ 1/5 | 52.7% | 37.2% |
| 10 | Paddy Power | 6 @ 1/5 | 52.7% | 37.2% |
| 11 | Coral | 6 @ 1/5 | 53% | 37.5% |
| 12 | BetGoodwin | 5 @ 1/4 | 57% | 38.7% |
| 13 | LiveScore Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 57.1% | 38.7% |
| 14 | Unibet | 5 @ 1/4 | 58.1% | 39.6% |
| 15 | BetMGM UK | 5 @ 1/4 | 58.1% | 39.6% |
| 16 | Betway | 5 @ 1/4 | 60.2% | 41.5% |
| 17 | Skybet | 6 @ 1/5 | 57.7% | 41.7% |
| 18 | William Hill | 6 @ 1/5 | 60.3% | 44% |
| 19 | Betfred | 6 @ 1/5 | 61.2% | 44.8% |
| 20 | PricedUp | 6 @ 1/5 | 61.4% | 44.9% |
| 21 | 888Sport | 6 @ 1/5 | 64% | 47.3% |
| 22 | 10Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 69% | 49.3% |
| 23 | QuinnBet | 1 @ 1/1 | 60.5% | 60.5% |