Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 11.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -3.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 39.5

Total Profit: -60.6

AT&T Byron Nelson

12/05/2022 - 15/05/2022

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Scottie Scheffler 10 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 9.09% 7.57% 5.45% -2.13% T15
2 USA Justin Thomas 14 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.55% 2.52% -3.04% T5
3 USA Sam Burns 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.97% 1.49% -2.47% MC
4 USA Jordan Spieth 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.62% 1.77% -1.85% 2
5 USA Will Zalatoris 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.62% 1.59% -2.03% MC
6 USA Dustin Johnson 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.62% 1.5% -2.12% T59
7 USA Xander Schauffele 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.62% 1.18% -2.44% T5
8 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.69% 2.56% -0.12% T3
9 CHI Joaquin Niemann 35 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.31% 1.71% -0.61% T25
10 USA Brooks Koepka 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.31% 1.32% -1%
11 USA Talor Gooch 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.03% 2.18% 0.14% MC 9.12
12 AUS Adam Scott 50 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.63% 1.29% -0.35% T32
13 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.63% 1.16% -0.47% T59
14 USA Maverick McNealy 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.63% 0.94% -0.69% T32
15 USA Davis Riley 50 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.63% 0.8% -0.83% T9
16 USA Aaron Wise 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.63% 0.77% -0.87% T51
17 AUS Jason Day 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.63% 0.63% -1.01% T51
18 IRL Seamus Power 55 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.49% 1.57% 0.08% T17 6.68
19 CAN Adam Hadwin 55 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.49% 1.41% -0.07% MC 6.68
20 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 55 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.49% 1.09% -0.39% T59
21 KOR Siwoo Kim 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.37% 1.15% -0.21% MC
22 USA Jason Kokrak 66 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13/1) 1.49% 1.24% 1.19% -0.06% T17 5.58
23 AUS Marc Leishman 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.24% 0.99% -0.26% T51
24 USA Bubba Watson 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.24% 0.74% -0.5% MC
25 USA Cameron Champ 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.24% 0.62% -0.62% T38
26 COL Sebastian Munoz 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.17% 2.17% 1% T3 (tied w/2) 5.27 +39.5
27 AUT Sepp Straka 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.17% 1.36% 0.18% T73 5.27
28 USA Lanto Griffin 70 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.17% 1.17% 0% T51 5.27
29 RSA Erik van Rooyen 70 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.17% 1.08% -0.09% 5.27
30 SWE Alexander Noren 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.1% 1.43% 0.34% T12 4.92
31 USA Brian Harman 80 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.03% 1.34% 0.31% 4.62
32 USA Keith Mitchell 80 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.03% 1.15% 0.12% T76 4.62
33 USA Patton Kizzire 90 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.92% 0.97% 0.06% T83 4.11
34 USA Tom Hoge 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 1.46% 0.64% T17 3.7
35 USA Mackenzie Hughes 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 1.19% 0.37% MC 3.7
36 USA Kurt Kitayama 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 0.87% 0.04% MC 3.7
37 USA Matthew NeSmith 100 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 0.77% -0.06% T51 3.7
38 TPE C.T. Pan 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 0.73% -0.09%
39 ENG Aaron Rai 100 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 0.57% -0.26% T46
40 USA Kevin Kisner 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.67% 1.67% 0.99% MC 3.02
41 USA Matt Kuchar 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.67% 1.08% 0.41% T12 3.02
42 USA J.J Spaun 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.66% 1.2% 0.54% T38 2.97
43 USA Luke List 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.66% 1.06% 0.39% MC 2.97
44 USA Charles Howell III 125 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 1.03% 0.37% MC 2.97
45 RSA Dylan Frittelli 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.73% 0.07% T69 2.97
46 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.41% -0.25% 1
47 USA Matthew Wolff 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.66% 0.35% -0.32% MC
48 USA Sahith Theegala 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.81% 0.26% T79
49 USA Scott Stallings 150 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.62% 0.07% T25
50 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 161 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.5/1) 0.62% 0.51% 1.04% 0.52% T12
51 USA Ryan Palmer 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.42% 0.29% -0.13% T5
52 USA Brandon Wu 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.74% 0.32% T51
53 USA Greyson Sigg 200 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.52% 0.1% MC
54 USA Mark Hubbard 200 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.36% -0.06% T32
55 GER Stephan Jaeger 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.35% 0.39% 0.04% T38
56 ENG Danny Willett 246 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.2/1) 0.4% 0.34% 0.59% 0.25% MC
57 USA Hudson Swafford 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 1.34% 1.01% MC
58 USA Nate Lashley 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.61% 0.28% T17
59 USA David Lipsky 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.32% 0.69% 0.36% T25
60 AUT Matthias Schwab 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.32% 0.61% 0.28% T59
61 CAN Nick Taylor 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.32% 0.43% 0.11% MC
62 USA Brendon Todd 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.31% 0.55% 0.24% MC
63 USA Patrick Rodgers 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.31% 0.54% 0.23% T32
64 MEX Carlos Ortiz 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.31% 0.22% -0.09% T38
65 ENG Ian Poulter 275 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.6/1) 0.36% 0.3% 1.01% 0.71% T59
66 USA Scott Piercy 275 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.3% 0.38% 0.08% MC
67 USA Taylor Moore 294 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.6/1) 0.34% 0.28% 0.5% 0.22% T32
68 USA Harry Higgs 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.58% 0.31% MC
69 USA Andrew Putnam 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.44% 0.16% MC
70 RSA Branden Grace 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.24% -0.04% T38
71 USA Doc Redman 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.27% 0.39% 0.12% MC
72 USA James Hahn 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.27% 0.24% -0.03% T9
73 ENG Lee Westwood 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.61% 0.34% MC
74 ITA Francesco Molinari 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.26% 0.63% 0.38% T17
75 USA Wyndham Clark 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.26% 0.46% 0.21% MC
76 USA Hank Lebioda 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.25% 0.25% 0% MC
77 USA Austin Smotherman 341 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.6/1) 0.29% 0.24% 0.34% 0.09% T25
78 USA Joseph Bramlett 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.43% 0.19% T51
79 USA Pat Perez 351 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.7/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.61% 0.38% T38
80 SCO Martin Laird 351 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.7/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.5% 0.27% MC
81 RSA Charl Schwartzel 360 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.6/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.73% 0.5% 8
82 SWE Henrik Stenson 389 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.5/1) 0.26% 0.21% 0.5% 0.29% MC
83 ARG Emiliano Grillo 389 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.5/1) 0.26% 0.21% 0.31% 0.1% T46
84 USA Adam Schenk 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.49% 0.29% T79
85 CAN Adam Svensson 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.48% 0.27% T69
86 USA Kramer Hickok 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.35% 0.14% MC
87 USA Tyler Duncan 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.32% 0.11% T59
88 SVK Rory Sabbatini 408 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.4/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.36% 0.16% T25
89 KOR Tom Kim 427 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.3/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.12% -0.07% T17
90 USA Beau Hossler 436 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.2/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.58% 0.39% T17
91 USA Robert Streb 474 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.9/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.47% 0.29% MC
92 USA Brandt Snedeker 474 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.9/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.37% 0.19% MC
93 USA Chez Reavie 484 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.8/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.77% 0.6% MC
94 USA Sam Ryder 484 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.8/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.46% 0.29% MC
95 USA Brian Stuard 493 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.7/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.52% 0.35% MC
96 USA Charley Hoffman 493 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.7/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.21% 0.04% MC
97 USA Peter Uihlein 493 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.7/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.16% -0.01% T65
98 USA Brice Garnett 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.52% 0.36% T15
99 USA Michael Thompson 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.31% 0.14% T25
100 USA Vincent Whaley 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.27% 0.11% T25
101 KOR Sunghoon Kang 500 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.22% 0.05% MC
102 SWE Henrik Norlander 500 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.2% 0.03% MC
103 ENG Matt Wallace 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.18% 0.01% MC
104 USA Trey Mullinax 541 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.1/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.43% 0.27% T32
105 USA Peter Malnati 550 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.9/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.46% 0.3% T9
106 USA Dylan Wu 569 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.7/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% MC
107 ENG Callum Tarren 607 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.1/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.18% 0.04% T46
108 ENG Luke Donald 645 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.5/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.45% 0.32% MC
109 USA Justin Lower 645 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.5/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.28% 0.15% T46
110 USA Lee Hodges 664 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.57% 0.44% MC
111 FRA Paul Barjon 664 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.26% 0.13% T65
112 USA Hayden Buckley 664 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.23% 0.11% MC
113 USA John Huh 674 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.64% 0.52% MC
114 ENG David Skinns 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.27% 0.15% T38
115 KOR Seungyul Noh 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.22% 0.11% MC
116 USA Seth Reeves 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.22% 0.11% T69
117 AUS Brett Drewitt 750 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.14% 0.03% MC
118 USA Austin Cook 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.13% 0.02% MC
119 CAN Roger Sloan 788 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.6/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.19% 0.08% MC
120 CAN Michael Gligic 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.6% 0.51% T73
121 USA Bill Haas 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.38% 0.29% T65
122 USA Jim Herman 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.34% 0.26% MC
123 USA Kevin Tway 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.31% 0.23% MC
124 USA Nick Watney 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.28% 0.19%
125 USA Chesson Hadley 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% T69
126 USA Kelly Kraft 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.24% 0.16% MC
127 USA Ben Kohles 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.24% 0.16% MC
128 USA Andrew Novak 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.23% 0.14% T46
129 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% T76
130 USA Scott Gutschewski 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.21% 0.12% MC
131 USA Vaughn Taylor 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.2% 0.12% T73
132 USA Richy Werenski 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.2% 0.12% MC
133 RSA Dawie van der Walt 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% T81
134 USA Brandon Hagy 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.18% 0.09% MC
135 USA Jason Dufner 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.16% 0.08% MC
136 AUS Cameron Percy 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.13% 0.05% MC
137 USA Ryan Brehm 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.12% 0.04% MC
138 USA Patrick Flavin 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.12% 0.04% MC
139 USA Max McGreevy 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.35% 0.27% T83
140 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.35% 0.26% T76
141 USA Curtis Thompson 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% MC
142 USA Jared Wolfe 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% T51
143 USA Joshua Creel 1000 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.14% MC
144 IRL John Murphy 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% MC
145 USA Morgan Hoffmann 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.13% 0.05%
146 SWE Jonas Blixt 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.14% 0.09% WD
147 USA Justin Leonard 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.12% 0.06% MC
148 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 USA Ryan Armour 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 USA Andrew Loupe 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 RSA Shaun Norris 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% T17
153 USA Wesley Bryan 0% 0% 0% 0% T65
154 USA Conrad Shindler 0% 0% 0% 0% T38
155 USA Bo Hoag 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA Chase Seiffert 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 USA Jim Knous 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 USA J.J. Killeen 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 RSA James Du Preez Jnr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 USA Kyle Wilshire 0% 0% 0% 0% T81
161 USA McClure Meissner 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
162 USA Cooper Dossey 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 11.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -3.2 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 14.4% 14.4%
2 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 52.3% 16.1%
3 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 55.1% 18.4%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 36% 20%
5 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 58.1% 20.6%
6 Betway 8 @ 1/5 59.1% 21.4%
7 Coral 8 @ 1/5 61.3% 23.1%
8 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 62.2% 23.8%
9 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 62.5% 24%
10 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 62.6% 24%
11 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 89.3% 25.6%
12 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 41% 26.8%
13 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 41% 26.8%
14 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 44% 27.2%
15 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 44% 27.2%
16 QuinnBet 7 @ 1/5 56.8% 29.4%
17 VBet 5 @ 1/4 49.9% 32.3%
18 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 53.3% 35.3%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 54.5% 38.9%
20 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 58% 42.1%
21 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 62% 43.1%