Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 8.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.1 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.0 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 40.0

Total Profit: -60.1

RBC Heritage

14/04/2022 - 17/04/2022

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Justin Thomas 11 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 8.33% 6.93% 2.29% -4.64% T35
2 AUS Cameron Smith 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.54% 4.25% -1.3% MC
3 USA Collin Morikawa 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.54% 2.98% -2.56% T26
4 IRL Shane Lowry 18 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.38% 1.92% -2.45% T3
5 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 18 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.38% 1.78% -2.6% MC
6 USA Patrick Cantlay 18 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.38% 1.29% -3.08% 2
7 USA Dustin Johnson 20 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.96% 1.18% -2.78% MC
8 CAN Corey Conners 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.2% 1.56% -1.64% T12
9 USA Daniel Berger 25 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.2% 1.52% -1.68% T21
10 USA Russell Henley 33 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.45% 2.25% -0.2% MC 10.62
11 CHI Joaquin Niemann 35 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.31% 1.62% -0.69% T12
12 KOR Sungjae Im 40 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.03% 1.67% -0.36% T21 8.8
13 USA Billy Horschel 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.03% 1.59% -0.44% T21
14 USA Webb Simpson 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.03% 0.81% -1.22% T59
15 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.81% 2.47% 0.66% T26 7.85
16 USA Jason Kokrak 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.63% 2.39% 0.76% T35 7.08
17 SWE Alexander Noren 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.63% 1.13% -0.5% T42
18 USA Kevin Na 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.63% 1.07% -0.56% T26
19 USA Maverick McNealy 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.63% 1.07% -0.56% T26
20 USA Jordan Spieth 51 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 10.8/1) 1.92% 1.6% 0.69% -0.91% 1
21 USA Kevin Kisner 55 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.48% 1.77% 0.28% MC 6.45
22 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.48% 1.2% -0.28% T10 6.45
23 KOR Siwoo Kim 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.24% 1.35% 0.11% T42 5.39
24 USA Harold Varner III 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.24% 1.02% -0.22% T3 (tied w/7) 5.39 +20.2
25 CAN Adam Hadwin 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.24% 1% -0.24% T26 5.39
26 USA Chris Kirk 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.24% 0.81% -0.43% MC
27 USA Matt Kuchar 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.24% 0.77% -0.47% T3
28 USA Tom Hoge 80 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.03% 1.7% 0.67% MC 4.46
29 COL Sebastian Munoz 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 1.6% 0.78% 3.58
30 USA J.J Spaun 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 1.53% 0.71% MC 3.58
31 USA Troy Merritt 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.82% 1.19% 0.36% T12 3.58
32 USA Kevin Streelman 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.82% 0.93% 0.11% MC 3.58
33 USA Brian Harman 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.82% 0.8% -0.03% T35 3.58
34 AUT Sepp Straka 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.66% 1.37% 0.71% T3 (tied w/7) 2.87 +19.8
35 RSA Dylan Frittelli 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.66% 1.08% 0.42% T66 2.87
36 USA Denny McCarthy 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.66% 0.94% 0.28% T56 2.87
37 USA Charles Howell III 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.66% 0.87% 0.21% MC 2.87
38 SCO Russell Knox 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.66% 0.62% -0.04% MC 2.87
39 USA Lucas Glover 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.85% 0.29% T48
40 USA Aaron Wise 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.33% -0.22% T21
41 USA Luke List 151 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.4/1) 0.66% 0.55% 1.32% 0.77% MC
42 RSA Erik van Rooyen 151 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.4/1) 0.66% 0.55% 0.76% 0.21% T10
43 ENG Ian Poulter 161 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.5/1) 0.62% 0.51% 0.89% 0.38% T42
44 USA Brendon Todd 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.47% 0.93% 0.46% T26
45 USA Matthew NeSmith 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.47% 0.75% 0.28% T12
46 USA Patton Kizzire 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.47% 0.61% 0.14% T26
47 USA Sahith Theegala 180 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.5/1) 0.55% 0.46% 0.82% 0.36% T70
48 USA Stewart Cink 180 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.5/1) 0.55% 0.46% 0.58% 0.12% 68
49 USA Cameron Young 189 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.5/1) 0.53% 0.44% 1.18% 0.74% T3
50 USA Joel Dahmen 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.4% 0.89% 0.49% T12
51 TPE C.T. Pan 218 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.4/1) 0.46% 0.38% 0.81% 0.43% T42
52 USA Cameron Tringale 227 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.3/1) 0.44% 0.36% 1.05% 0.69% T12
53 USA Doug Ghim 227 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.3/1) 0.44% 0.36% 0.57% 0.21% T35
54 USA Rickie Fowler 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.35% 0.38% 0.03% MC
55 ENG Danny Willett 246 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.2/1) 0.4% 0.34% 0.42% 0.09% T51
56 USA Brian Stuard 246 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.2/1) 0.4% 0.34% 0.38% 0.04% 69
57 USA Pat Perez 250 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.93% 0.6% T51
58 USA Michael Thompson 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.67% 0.34% MC
59 USA Adam Long 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.63% 0.3% T12
60 JPN Takumi Kanaya 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.45% 0.12% MC
61 IND Anirban Lahiri 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.32% 0.85% 0.53% T66
62 USA Davis Riley 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.32% 0.85% 0.53% MC
63 USA Alex Smalley 294 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.6/1) 0.34% 0.28% 0.5% 0.22% MC
64 USA Kramer Hickok 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.56% 0.28% MC
65 CAN Adam Svensson 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.45% 0.17% T26
66 ENG Luke Donald 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.31% 0.04% T56
67 USA Mackenzie Hughes 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.27% 0.96% 0.68% MC
68 USA Beau Hossler 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.26% 0.87% 0.61% MC
69 USA Scott Stallings 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.26% 0.71% 0.46% MC
70 RSA Branden Grace 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.26% 0.44% 0.18% T35
71 USA Richard H. Lee 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.26% 0.11% -0.15%
72 CAN Nick Taylor 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.25% 0.81% 0.56% MC
73 USA JT Poston 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.25% 0.38% 0.13% T3
74 USA Nate Lashley 341 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.6/1) 0.29% 0.24% 0.43% 0.19% MC
75 ARG Emiliano Grillo 341 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.6/1) 0.29% 0.24% 0.22% -0.02% MC
76 USA Andrew Putnam 351 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.7/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.71% 0.47% MC
77 USA Brandt Snedeker 351 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.7/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.41% 0.17% MC
78 USA Lanto Griffin 360 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.6/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.65% 0.42% MC
79 USA Doc Redman 379 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.5/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.35% 0.13% T48
80 MEX Carlos Ortiz 408 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.4/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.81% 0.61% MC
81 USA Harry Higgs 436 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.2/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.5% 0.3% MC
82 USA Chad Ramey 446 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.2/1) 0.22% 0.19% 0.22% 0.04% T59
83 USA Hudson Swafford 455 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 60/1) 0.22% 0.18% 0.93% 0.75% T35
84 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 465 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.61% 0.43% MC
85 RSA Charl Schwartzel 474 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.9/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.4% 0.22% T54
86 USA Ben Martin 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.12% -0.04% T59
87 USA Charley Hoffman 503 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.6/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.17% 0.01% MC
88 USA Zach Johnson 512 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.4/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.66% 0.49% WD
89 NIR Graeme McDowell 512 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.4/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.35% 0.19% T21
90 SWE Henrik Stenson 569 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.7/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.44% 0.3% T54
91 AUS Cameron Davis 569 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.7/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.4% 0.25% T3
92 USA Tyler Duncan 569 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.7/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.38% 0.24% T12
93 USA Wesley Bryan 569 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.7/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% MC
94 USA Robert Streb 607 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.1/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.5% 0.36% T42
95 RSA Garrick Higgo 607 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.1/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.26% 0.13% MC
96 NZL Danny Lee 645 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.5/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.7% 0.57% MC
97 USA Chez Reavie 655 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.3/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.6% 0.48% MC
98 USA Chesson Hadley 664 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.19% 0.07% MC
99 USA Jonathan Byrd 731 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84.9/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.38% 0.27% T70
100 USA Sam Ryder 759 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.57% 0.46% MC
101 USA Brice Garnett 759 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.28% 0.17% MC
102 USA Scott Piercy 759 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.22% 0.11% T12
103 SWE Henrik Norlander 759 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.2% 0.09% MC
104 USA Peter Malnati 778 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 88.8/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.54% 0.43% T42
105 USA Wyndham Clark 797 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 90.4/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.47% 0.36% T35
106 KOR Sunghoon Kang 826 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 92.8/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.31% 0.21% MC
107 USA James Hahn 902 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.9/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.21% 0.12% MC
108 USA Bill Haas 930 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 101.2/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.34% 0.25% T59
109 USA Kevin Tway 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.48% 0.39% MC
110 USA Jim Furyk 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.46% 0.38% MC
111 USA Nick Watney 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.38% 0.29% MC
112 CAN Michael Gligic 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.34% 0.26% MC
113 USA Hank Lebioda 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.33% 0.24% MC
114 GER Stephan Jaeger 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22% MC
115 COL Camilo Villegas 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% T59
116 USA Brian Gay 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% T51
117 USA Jim Herman 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.25% 0.16% T56
118 CAN Roger Sloan 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% T59
119 USA Brandon Hagy 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.22% 0.14% WD
120 USA Richy Werenski 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% MC
121 USA Adam Schenk 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% MC
122 USA William McGirt 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.14% 0.05% MC
123 USA Scott Brown 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.14% 0.05% MC
124 USA Ryan Brehm 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.12% 0.04% MC
125 USA Bryson Nimmer 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.11% 0.02% MC
126 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
127 USA Morgan Hoffmann 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.11% 0.02% MC
128 USA James Piot 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.13% 0.08% MC
129 USA Davis Love III 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.12% 0.07% MC
130 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
131 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% T26
132 AUT Matthias Schwab 0% 0% 0% 0% T59
133 USA Joseph Bramlett 0% 0% 0% 0% T48
134 USA Morgan DeNeen 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 8.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.1 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 13.4% 13.4%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 34.3% 18.3%
3 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 57.3% 19.7%
4 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 43.9% 26.9%
5 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 43.9% 26.9%
6 Betway 8 @ 1/5 70.7% 29.9%
7 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 70.8% 30.1%
8 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 97.4% 30.5%
9 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 71.6% 30.6%
10 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 71.6% 30.6%
11 QuinnBet 7 @ 1/5 60.5% 32.1%
12 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 50.5% 35.1%
13 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 50.8% 35.3%
14 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 50.8% 35.3%
15 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 78.1% 35.5%
16 Coral 8 @ 1/5 78.1% 35.5%
17 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 51.1% 35.6%
18 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 56.7% 38.1%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 60.7% 44.2%
20 VBet 5 @ 1/4 78.1% 56.9%