Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 10.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.0 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 44.0

Total Profit: -56

The Genesis Invitational

17/02/2022 - 20/02/2022

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 9 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 10% 8.4% 2.7% -5.7% T21
2 USA Patrick Cantlay 12 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 6.46% 3.64% -2.82% T33
3 USA Justin Thomas 16 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.94% 2.53% -2.41% 6
4 USA Dustin Johnson 16 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.94% 1.26% -3.68% MC
5 USA Collin Morikawa 18 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.42% 1.81% -2.61% T2
6 NIR Rory McIlroy 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.65% 2.58% -1.07% T10
7 AUS Cameron Smith 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.65% 1.68% -1.97% T33
8 NOR Viktor Hovland 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.23% 3.54% 0.31% T4 (tied w/2) 14.68 +44
9 USA Xander Schauffele 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.23% 2.31% -0.92% T13
10 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.23% 2.11% -1.12% T39
11 USA Scottie Scheffler 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.47% 2.64% 0.17% T7 11.23
12 USA Brooks Koepka 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.47% 0.84% -1.63% MC
13 USA Will Zalatoris 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.47% 0.81% -1.66% T26
14 USA Sam Burns 40 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.05% 2.17% 0.12% MC 9.31
15 USA Bubba Watson 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.05% 0.67% -1.38% MC
16 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.83% 1.77% -0.06%
17 USA Tony Finau 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.83% 0.93% -0.9% T33
18 KOR Sungjae Im 47 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.5/1) 2.08% 1.75% 1.98% 0.23% T33 7.95
19 AUS Adam Scott 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.65% 1.1% -0.54% T4
20 USA Talor Gooch 55 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.5% 1.58% 0.08% MC 6.82
21 USA Max Homa 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.5% 1.02% -0.49% T10
22 USA Jordan Spieth 56 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.5/1) 1.75% 1.47% 0.9% -0.58% T26
23 CHI Joaquin Niemann 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.25% 0.96% -0.29% 1
24 AUS Marc Leishman 70 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.5/1) 1.41% 1.18% 1.65% 0.46% T15 5.38
25 USA Russell Henley 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.18% 0.96% -0.22% T33
26 USA Jason Kokrak 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.04% 1.71% 0.67% T26 4.72
27 USA Luke List 80 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.04% 1.45% 0.41% MC 4.72
28 ESP Sergio Garcia 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.04% 1.44% 0.4% T39 4.72
29 BEL Thomas Pieters 94 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.7/1) 1.05% 0.88% 1.22% 0.34% MC 4.02
30 ENG Paul Casey 94 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.7/1) 1.05% 0.88% 0.96% 0.07% T15 4.02
31 CAN Corey Conners 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.83% 0.87% 0.04% MC
32 IRL Seamus Power 104 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.9/1) 0.95% 0.8% 1.27% 0.47% MC 3.64
33 KOR Siwoo Kim 113 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19/1) 0.88% 0.74% 1.34% 0.6% 73 3.35
34 MEX Abraham Ancer 113 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19/1) 0.88% 0.74% 1.32% 0.58% T39 3.35
35 USA Kevin Na 113 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19/1) 0.88% 0.74% 1.18% 0.44% MC 3.35
36 SWE Alexander Noren 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.68% 1.1% 0.42% T48 3.08
37 USA Maverick McNealy 132 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.3/1) 0.75% 0.63% 1.12% 0.48% T7 2.87
38 USA Cameron Tringale 132 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.3/1) 0.75% 0.63% 1.08% 0.45% T13 2.87
39 USA Patrick Reed 132 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.3/1) 0.75% 0.63% 0.67% 0.04% MC
40 USA Tom Hoge 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.59% 2.34% 1.75% MC
41 USA Harold Varner III 161 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.5/1) 0.62% 0.52% 0.62% 0.1% MC
42 USA Lanto Griffin 180 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.5/1) 0.55% 0.46% 0.96% 0.5% T39
43 USA Mackenzie Hughes 189 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.5/1) 0.53% 0.44% 0.92% 0.48% MC
44 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 189 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.5/1) 0.53% 0.44% 0.8% 0.35% T55
45 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.42% 0.99% 0.57% MC
46 USA Sahith Theegala 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.42% 0.69% 0.27% T48
47 USA Aaron Wise 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.76% 0.34% T67
48 MEX Carlos Ortiz 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.4% 0.45% 0.05% T39
49 ITA Francesco Molinari 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.4% 0.37% -0.03% T55
50 USA Keegan Bradley 218 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.4/1) 0.46% 0.38% 0.5% 0.11% T48
51 USA Doug Ghim 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.37% 0.73% 0.36% MC
52 RSA Erik van Rooyen 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.35% 1.39% 1.03% T39
53 CAN Adam Hadwin 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.35% 0.37% 0.02% MC
54 USA Troy Merritt 246 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.2/1) 0.4% 0.34% 0.81% 0.47% MC
55 SCO Martin Laird 294 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.6/1) 0.34% 0.28% 0.64% 0.35% T39
56 AUS Cameron Davis 294 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.6/1) 0.34% 0.28% 0.52% 0.24% T48
57 USA Scott Stallings 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.51% 0.23% MC
58 USA Hayden Buckley 300 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.45% 0.17%
59 USA Patton Kizzire 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.28% 0.74% 0.47% T61
60 USA Ryan Palmer 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.28% 0.72% 0.45% MC
61 AUS Matt Jones 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.92% 0.66% T15
62 USA Joel Dahmen 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.78% 0.52% 74
63 USA Taylor Moore 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.62% 0.35% T21
64 USA Patrick Rodgers 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.45% 0.18% MC
65 COL Sebastian Munoz 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.26% 0.77% 0.51% T21
66 USA Rickie Fowler 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.25% 0.29% 0.04% T55
67 SCO Robert MacIntyre 351 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.7/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.65% 0.41% T15
68 USA Charley Hoffman 379 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.5/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.44% 0.22% 71
69 USA Cameron Young 389 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.5/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.87% 0.65% T2
70 AUS Minwoo Lee 389 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.5/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.61% 0.4% MC
71 USA Wyndham Clark 389 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.5/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.43% 0.22% DQ
72 USA Andrew Putnam 398 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.4/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.59% 0.38% T48
73 USA Brice Garnett 400 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.31% 0.1%
74 ARG Emiliano Grillo 417 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.3/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.37% 0.17% T21
75 USA Matt Kuchar 436 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.2/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.58% 0.39% T67
76 USA James Hahn 493 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.7/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.28% 0.11% T61
77 USA David Lipsky 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.4% 0.23% MC
78 SCO Russell Knox 512 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.4/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.58% 0.42% T33
79 USA Pat Perez 522 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.4/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.39% 0.23% T39
80 RSA Branden Grace 531 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.2/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.5% 0.34% MC
81 USA Cameron Champ 550 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.9/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% T67
82 USA Vincent Whaley 560 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.9/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.43% 0.29% MC
83 ENG Matt Wallace 560 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.9/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.39% 0.24% MC
84 USA Doc Redman 636 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.7/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.27% 0.14% T61
85 USA Beau Hossler 674 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.64% 0.52% T48
86 USA JT Poston 674 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.37% 0.24% MC
87 USA Chez Reavie 683 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.8/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.39% 0.27% T10
88 RSA Charl Schwartzel 693 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.6/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.26% 0.14% MC
89 USA Harry Higgs 750 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86.5/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.64% 0.53% T55
90 USA Kevin Tway 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.54% 0.42% T48
91 USA Brendan Steele 769 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 88.1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.37% 0.26% MC
92 USA Adam Long 769 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 88.1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.33% 0.22% 75
93 USA Kramer Hickok 778 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 88.8/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.34% 0.23% MC
94 USA Matthew NeSmith 797 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 90.4/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.37% 0.27% T55
95 USA J.J Spaun 807 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 91.2/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.76% 0.66% MC
96 USA Kyle Stanley 826 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 92.8/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.22% 0.12% MC
97 RSA Dylan Frittelli 835 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 93.5/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% T26
98 USA Sam Ryder 835 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 93.5/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.38% 0.28% T26
99 USA Robert Streb 854 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 95.1/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.46% 0.36% MC
100 TPE C.T. Pan 864 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 95.9/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 9
101 AUT Sepp Straka 930 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 101.2/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.54% 0.45% T15
102 USA Peter Malnati 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.41% 0.32% T26
103 CAN Roger Sloan 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% MC
104 IND Anirban Lahiri 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.34% 0.25% MC
105 USA Scott Piercy 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.32% 0.23% T61
106 NZL Danny Lee 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.32% 0.23% T21
107 USA Hank Lebioda 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% T67
108 SWE Henrik Norlander 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.29% 0.21% MC
109 USA Adam Schenk 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% MC
110 USA Brian Stuard 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% T61
111 KOR Jaekyeong Lee 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.1% 0.01% MC
112 USA Nick Watney 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% T55
113 USA Chesson Hadley 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.08% MC
114 USA Brandon Hagy 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.07% MC
115 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 0% 0% 0% 0% T26
116 USA Andrew Landry 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
117 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% T15
118 CAN Taylor Pendrith 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
119 ENG Aaron Rai 0% 0% 0% 0% T61
120 USA Lee Hodges 0% 0% 0% 0% T39
121 USA Alex Smalley 0% 0% 0% 0% 72
122 USA Michael Brennan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
123 USA Aaron Beverly 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 10.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 11.5% 11.5%
2 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 53.8% 16.8%
3 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 34.6% 18.5%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 57% 19.3%
5 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 57% 19.3%
6 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 60.7% 22.2%
7 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 61.1% 22.5%
8 Betway 8 @ 1/5 62.6% 23.6%
9 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 95.2% 29.1%
10 Coral 8 @ 1/5 70.5% 29.7%
11 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 71.3% 30.3%
12 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 48.5% 30.8%
13 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 48.5% 30.8%
14 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 48.5% 30.8%
15 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 56.3% 37.6%
16 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 54.2% 38.1%
17 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 54.2% 38.1%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 56.8% 40.5%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 60.9% 44.2%