Market Analysis
Bookie Overround: 8.3 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.5 %
Total Probability Staked: 22.2 %
Results
Total Staked: 100.0
Total Won: 46.7
Total Profit: -53.4
| # | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Discrep. | Pos. Pos. | Stake | Returns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
| Rory McIlroy | 7.5 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/5) | 11.76% | 10.61% | 8.23% | -2.38% | 18 | |||
| 2 |
| Collin Morikawa | 8 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/5) | 11.11% | 10.02% | 10.85% | 0.83% | T5 | |||
| 3 |
| Justin Thomas | 10 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/5) | 9.09% | 8.2% | 6.28% | -1.92% | T5 | |||
| 4 |
| Viktor Hovland | 11 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/5) | 8.33% | 7.51% | 7.21% | -0.31% | 1 | |||
| 5 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 12 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/5) | 7.69% | 6.94% | 4.62% | -2.32% | T14 | |||
| 6 |
| Xander Schauffele | 14 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 6.67% | 6.01% | 5.27% | -0.74% | T12 | |||
| 7 |
| Jordan Spieth | 14.2 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 3.7/1) | 6.58% | 5.93% | 5.37% | -0.56% | 20 | |||
| 8 |
| Sam Burns | 16 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/5) | 5.88% | 5.3% | 7.01% | 1.7% | T3 | |||
| 9 |
| Scottie Scheffler | 18 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.3/1) | 5.26% | 4.75% | 5.71% | 0.97% | 2 | |||
| 10 |
| Tony Finau | 18 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) | 5.26% | 4.75% | 5.14% | 0.39% | T7 | |||
| 11 |
| Daniel Berger | 20 (Betfair : 5 @ 1/5) | 4.76% | 4.29% | 3.38% | -0.91% | T7 | |||
| 12 |
| Abraham Ancer | 23 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.2/1) | 4.17% | 3.76% | 6.32% | 2.56% | T14 | 16.91 | ||
| 13 |
| Webb Simpson | 23 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.2/1) | 4.17% | 3.76% | 3.27% | -0.49% | 17 | 16.91 | ||
| 14 |
| Brooks Koepka | 25 (Unibet: 4 @ 1/4) | 3.85% | 3.47% | 2.03% | -1.44% | T9 | |||
| 15 |
| Matthew Fitzpatrick | 28 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 3.45% | 3.11% | 4.56% | 1.45% | T12 | 13.99 | ||
| 16 |
| Justin Rose | 30 (Sporting Index: 4 @ 1/4) | 3.23% | 2.91% | 2.29% | -0.62% | T9 | 13.09 | ||
| 17 |
| Patrick Reed | 31 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.4/1) | 3.13% | 2.82% | 2.56% | -0.26% | T3 (tied w/2) | 12.68 | +46.7 | |
| 18 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 35 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.9/1) | 2.78% | 2.5% | 2.73% | 0.22% | T9 | 11.27 | ||
| 19 |
| Harris English | 37 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.2/1) | 2.63% | 2.37% | 6.01% | 3.64% | T14 | 10.68 | ||
| 20 |
| Henrik Stenson | 89 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16/1) | 1.11% | 1% | 1.16% | 0.16% | 19 | 4.51 | ||
Market Analysis
Overround of best available: 8.3 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.5 %
Key
Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VBet | 4 @ 1/4 | 14.6% | 7.2% |
| 2 | Betfair Exchange | 1 @ 1/1 | 9.4% | 9.4% |
| 3 | William Hill | 5 @ 1/5 | 22.5% | 12.1% |
| 4 | Bet365 | 4 @ 1/4 | 20.1% | 12.3% |
| 5 | Betfair Sportsbook | 5 @ 1/5 | 24.5% | 14% |
| 6 | Paddy Power | 5 @ 1/5 | 24.5% | 14% |
| 7 | Skybet | 4 @ 1/4 | 23.1% | 15.1% |
| 8 | Betfred | 4 @ 1/4 | 23.8% | 15.7% |
| 9 | Bet Victor | 4 @ 1/4 | 24.5% | 16.4% |
| 10 | Parimatch | 4 @ 1/4 | 24.5% | 16.4% |
| 11 | Betway | 4 @ 1/4 | 26.2% | 18% |
| 12 | Sporting Index | 4 @ 1/4 | 28% | 19.7% |
| 13 | Boyle Sports | 6 @ 1/5 | 44.9% | 20.6% |
| 14 | Spreadex | 4 @ 1/4 | 31.2% | 22.8% |
| 15 | Unibet | 4 @ 1/4 | 31.8% | 23.3% |
| 16 | QuinnBet | 4 @ 1/5 | 22.8% | 25.2% |
| 17 | 10Bet | 4 @ 1/5 | 24.4% | 26.7% |
| 18 | Sport Nation | 4 @ 1/5 | 24.4% | 26.7% |
| 19 | Mansion Bet | 4 @ 1/5 | 24.4% | 26.7% |
| 20 | 888Sport | 4 @ 1/5 | 25.2% | 27.5% |