Market Analysis
Bookie Overround: 18.8 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 18.8 %
Total Probability Staked: 24.1 %
Results
Total Staked: 100.1
Total Won: 48.2
Total Profit: -51.9
| # | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Discrep. | Pos. Pos. | Stake | Returns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
| Jon Rahm | 6 (Boyle Sports: 5 @ 1/5) | 14.29% | 12.02% | 7.71% | -4.32% | 6 | |||
| 2 |
| Dustin Johnson | 6 (Boyle Sports: 5 @ 1/5) | 14.29% | 12.02% | 7.32% | -4.7% | T3 | |||
| 3 |
| Justin Thomas | 10 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 9.09% | 7.65% | 5.33% | -2.32% | T3 | |||
| 4 |
| Rory McIlroy | 11 (Boyle Sports: 5 @ 1/5) | 8.33% | 7.01% | 1.96% | -5.05% | T7 | |||
| 5 |
| Xander Schauffele | 12 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) | 7.69% | 6.47% | 5.44% | -1.03% | 1 | |||
| 6 |
| Webb Simpson | 14 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 6.67% | 5.61% | 4.87% | -0.74% | T17 | |||
| 7 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 16 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) | 5.88% | 4.95% | 4.3% | -0.65% | T25 | |||
| 8 |
| Daniel Berger | 18 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 5.26% | 4.43% | 6.06% | 1.64% | T17 | |||
| 9 |
| Collin Morikawa | 18 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 5.26% | 4.43% | 5.28% | 0.85% | T7 | |||
| 10 |
| Tony Finau | 20 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) | 4.76% | 4.01% | 3.48% | -0.53% | T14 | |||
| 11 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 20 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 4.76% | 4.01% | 2.49% | -1.51% | T17 | |||
| 12 |
| Scottie Scheffler | 28 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 3.45% | 2.9% | 2.78% | -0.12% | 2 | 12.04 | +48.2 | |
| 13 |
| Patrick Reed | 30 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 3.23% | 2.71% | 2.5% | -0.21% | T7 | |||
| 14 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 33 (Unibet: 4 @ 1/4) | 2.94% | 2.48% | 3.32% | 0.85% | 5 | 10.27 | ||
| 15 |
| Harris English | 35 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 2.78% | 2.34% | 4.46% | 2.13% | 13 | 9.7 | ||
| 16 |
| Billy Horschel | 35 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 2.78% | 2.34% | 2.69% | 0.35% | 30 | 9.7 | ||
| 17 |
| Viktor Hovland | 40 (Unibet: 4 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 2.05% | 3.47% | 1.42% | T14 | 8.52 | ||
| 18 |
| Kevin Kisner | 40 (Unibet: 4 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 2.05% | 2.93% | 0.88% | T22 | 8.52 | ||
| 19 |
| Joaquin Niemann | 60 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) | 1.64% | 1.38% | 2.53% | 1.15% | T28 | 5.73 | ||
| 20 |
| Abraham Ancer | 66 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 1.49% | 1.26% | 2.97% | 1.71% | T14 | 5.21 | ||
| 21 |
| Brendon Todd | 66 (Unibet: 4 @ 1/4) | 1.49% | 1.26% | 2.18% | 0.93% | 21 | 5.21 | ||
| 22 |
| Sungjae Im | 70 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 1.41% | 1.19% | 1.15% | -0.03% | 12 | 4.92 | ||
| 23 |
| Ryan Palmer | 80 (Boyle Sports: 5 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 1.04% | 4.07% | 3.03% | T25 | 4.31 | ||
| 24 |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 100 (Unibet: 4 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.83% | 3.78% | 2.95% | T7 | 3.46 | ||
| 25 |
| Cameron Champ | 100 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.83% | 2.02% | 1.18% | T22 | 3.46 | ||
| 26 |
| Cameron Smith | 100 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.83% | 1.09% | 0.26% | T22 | 3.46 | ||
| 27 |
| Kevin Na | 125 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.67% | 2% | 1.33% | 27 | 2.78 | ||
| 28 |
| Lanto Griffin | 125 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.67% | 1.41% | 0.74% | T17 | 2.78 | ||
| 29 |
| Marc Leishman | 150 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.56% | 0.4% | -0.15% | T28 | |||
| 30 |
| Sebastian Munoz | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | T7 | ||||
Market Analysis
Overround of best available: 18.8 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 18.8 %
Key
Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bet Victor | 4 @ 1/4 | 27.8% | 27.8% |
| 2 | Boyle Sports | 5 @ 1/5 | 28.3% | 28.3% |
| 3 | Skybet | 4 @ 1/4 | 28.5% | 28.5% |
| 4 | William Hill | 5 @ 1/5 | 28.9% | 28.9% |
| 5 | Bet365 | 4 @ 1/4 | 29.9% | 29.9% |
| 6 | Betway | 4 @ 1/4 | 30.7% | 30.7% |
| 7 | Sport Nation | 4 @ 1/4 | 30.9% | 30.9% |
| 8 | Betfred | 5 @ 1/5 | 32.5% | 32.5% |
| 9 | 888Sport | 4 @ 1/4 | 35.8% | 35.8% |
| 10 | Unibet | 4 @ 1/4 | 39.2% | 39.2% |