Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 35.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 263.1

Total Profit: +163

Charles Schwab Challenge

11/06/2020 - 14/06/2020

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NIR Rory McIlroy 9 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 10% 7.2% 2.26% -4.95% T32
2 ESP Jon Rahm 11 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 8.33% 6% 1.97% -4.04% MC
3 USA Justin Thomas 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.79% 1.72% -2.08% T10
4 USA Bryson DeChambeau 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.77% 2.13% -0.64% T3
5 USA Patrick Reed 25 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.77% 1.67% -1.1% T7
6 USA Webb Simpson 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.77% 1.16% -1.61% MC
7 USA Xander Schauffele 28 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.48% 1.57% -0.92% T3
8 USA Dustin Johnson 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.32% 1.74% -0.58% MC
9 USA Brooks Koepka 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.32% 0.68% -1.64% T32
10 USA Tony Finau 35 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2% 1.63% -0.37% T23
11 USA Rickie Fowler 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2% 0.77% -1.23% MC
12 USA Jordan Spieth 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.76% 0.58% -1.18% T10
13 AUS Marc Leishman 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.57% 1.86% 0.3% MC 6.99
14 USA Collin Morikawa 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.57% 1.41% -0.15% 2 6.99 +35
15 USA Scottie Scheffler 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.57% 1.04% -0.52% T55
16 USA Matt Kuchar 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.41% 1.41% 0% MC 6.31
17 ENG Justin Rose 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.41% 0.18% -1.23% T3
18 USA Gary Woodland 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.29% 1.35% 0.06% 9 5.75
19 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.29% 1.22% -0.07% T32 5.75
20 USA Kevin Na 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.29% 0.94% -0.35% MC
21 AUS Jason Day 55 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.29% 0.9% -0.38% MC
22 ESP Sergio Garcia 60 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.18% 1.4% 0.22% MC 5.28
23 NOR Viktor Hovland 60 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.18% 0.78% -0.4% T23
24 USA Harris English 60 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.18% 0.7% -0.48% MC
25 MEX Abraham Ancer 66 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 1.58% 0.5% T14 4.8
26 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 66 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.08% 1.15% 0.08% T55 4.8
27 USA Daniel Berger 66 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 1.13% 0.05% 1 4.8 +194.9
28 USA Ryan Palmer 66 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.84% -0.24% MC 4.8
29 USA Billy Horschel 66 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.66% -0.42% T38
30 IRL Shane Lowry 70 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.01% 0.77% -0.25% MC 4.53
31 USA Max Homa 80 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 1.35% 0.46% MC 3.97
32 USA Kevin Kisner 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 0.83% -0.06% T29 3.97
33 KOR Byeong Hun An 80 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.89% 0.57% -0.32% T60
34 USA Joel Dahmen 90 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.79% 1.2% 0.41% T19 3.54
35 CHI Joaquin Niemann 90 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.79% 0.49% -0.31% T32 3.54
36 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 100 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.71% 1.18% 0.47% MC 3.19
37 USA Brian Harman 100 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 0.59% -0.13% T23 3.19
38 USA Bubba Watson 125 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 1.26% 0.69% T7 (tied w/2) 2.56 +33.3
39 AUS Cameron Smith 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 1.23% 0.66% MC 2.56
40 USA Phil Mickelson 125 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.57% 1.09% 0.52% MC 2.56
41 USA Chez Reavie 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.9% 0.33% MC 2.56
42 CAN Corey Conners 125 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.57% 0.77% 0.2% T19 2.56
43 CAN Adam Hadwin 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.63% 0.06% T43 2.56
44 NZL Danny Lee 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.62% 0.05% MC 2.56
45 USA Ryan Moore 140 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.51% 0.94% 0.43% MC
46 ENG Ian Poulter 140 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.51% 0.77% 0.26% T29
47 USA Maverick McNealy 140 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.51% 0.61% 0.1% T32
48 SCO Russell Knox 140 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.51% 0.49% -0.02% MC
49 SVK Rory Sabbatini 140 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.51% 0.46% -0.05% T14
50 RSA Branden Grace 150 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 1.52% 1.04% T19
51 NIR Graeme McDowell 150 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 1.48% 1% MC
52 USA Tom Hoge 150 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 1.16% 0.68% MC
53 USA Brendan Steele 150 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 1.11% 0.63% MC
54 USA Brendon Todd 150 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 1.08% 0.6% MC
55 RSA Erik van Rooyen 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.87% 0.39% MC
56 USA JT Poston 150 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.87% 0.39% T10
57 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 150 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.86% 0.38% T23
58 USA Jason Kokrak 150 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 0.72% 0.24% T3
59 USA Charley Hoffman 150 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.69% 0.22% MC
60 USA Matthew Wolff 150 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.45% -0.03% 54
61 SWE Alexander Noren 150 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.44% -0.04% T60
62 ARG Emiliano Grillo 150 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.37% -0.11% MC
63 USA Jim Furyk 160 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.45% 0.12% -0.33% T49
64 USA Talor Gooch 175 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 1.01% 0.6% T43
65 USA Lanto Griffin 175 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.91% 0.5% MC
66 USA Patrick Rodgers 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.84% 0.43% T14
67 USA Keegan Bradley 175 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.68% 0.27% T32
68 ENG Danny Willett 175 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.62% 0.21% MC
69 USA Zach Johnson 175 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.51% 0.1% T43
70 USA Andrew Putnam 175 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.36% -0.05% MC
71 USA Jason Dufner 175 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.31% -0.1% 67
72 FRA Victor Perez 200 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 1.39% 1.03% MC
73 USA Scott Piercy 200 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.83% 0.47% T64
74 USA Wyndham Clark 200 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.8% 0.44% MC
75 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 200 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.79% 0.43% T60
76 USA Matthew NeSmith 200 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.76% 0.4% T49
77 USA Harry Higgs 200 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.75% 0.4% T38
78 USA Bud Cauley 200 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.75% 0.39% T29
79 MEX Carlos Ortiz 200 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.75% 0.39% MC
80 USA Beau Hossler 200 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.66% 0.3% MC
81 USA Vaughn Taylor 200 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.66% 0.3% MC
82 USA Keith Mitchell 200 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.65% 0.29% T64
83 USA Adam Long 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.6% 0.24% MC
84 USA Jimmy Walker 200 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.57% 0.21% MC
85 USA Kevin Streelman 200 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.54% 0.18% MC
86 USA Harold Varner III 200 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.54% 0.18% T19
87 USA Charles Howell III 200 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.42% 0.06% T49
88 ENG Matt Wallace 200 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.36% 0.01% MC
89 USA Mackenzie Hughes 200 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.31% -0.05% MC
90 RSA Dylan Frittelli 200 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.27% -0.09% MC
91 USA Lucas Glover 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.14% -0.22% T23
92 USA Chris Kirk 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.12% -0.24% T60
93 USA Cameron Champ 225 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.65% 0.33% T14
94 USA Nick Watney 225 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.39% 0.07% MC
95 KOR Siwoo Kim 225 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.16% -0.16% MC
96 USA Andrew Landry 250 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 1.68% 1.39% T49
97 AUS Cameron Davis 250 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 1.1% 0.81% MC
98 ENG Tom Lewis 250 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.75% 0.47% MC
99 AUS Matt Jones 250 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.73% 0.44% T38
100 USA Mark Hubbard 250 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.72% 0.43% T43
101 USA Nate Lashley 250 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.39% 0.11% MC
102 USA Robby Shelton 250 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.31% 0.02% MC
103 USA Kevin Tway 250 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.3% 0.01% MC
104 THA Jazz Janewattananond 250 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.18% -0.1% MC
105 TPE C.T. Pan 250 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.11% -0.17% MC
106 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 300 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.79% 0.55% MC
107 USA Brice Garnett 300 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.47% 0.23% MC
108 USA Sam Ryder 300 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.41% 0.17% MC
109 USA Troy Merritt 300 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.38% 0.14% MC
110 USA Steve Stricker 300 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.38% 0.14% MC
111 USA Pat Perez 300 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.32% 0.08% T49
112 USA Chesson Hadley 300 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.32% 0.08% T23
113 USA Denny McCarthy 300 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.17% -0.07% 66
114 USA Tyler Duncan 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.16% -0.05% T38
115 USA Peter Uihlein 350 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.12% -0.09% T14
116 USA Zac Blair 400 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.55% 0.37% T55
117 AUT Sepp Straka 400 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.37% 0.19% MC
118 USA Richy Werenski 400 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.31% 0.13% T58
119 SWE Henrik Norlander 400 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.24% 0.06% MC
120 USA Doc Redman 400 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.18% 0.01% T58
121 USA Bill Haas 400 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.16% -0.02% MC
122 USA Brian Gay 400 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.1% -0.08% MC
123 USA Josh Teater 500 (GentingBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.65% 0.5% MC
124 USA Adam Schenk 500 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.52% 0.38% T43
125 USA Tyler McCumber 500 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.41% 0.26% MC
126 USA Scott Brown 500 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.4% 0.25% MC
127 USA Kramer Hickok 500 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.3% 0.15% MC
128 USA Brian Stuard 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.19% 0.05% T43
129 USA Bronson Burgoon 500 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.15% 0% T38
130 GER Bernhard Langer 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.11% -0.04% MC
131 USA Patton Kizzire 500 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.1% -0.04% MC
132 USA Jim Herman 600 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.19% 0.07% MC
133 USA Scott Harrington 600 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.12% 0% MC
134 USA Chad Campbell 600 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.11% -0.01% MC
135 USA Doug Ghim 600 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.1% -0.02% MC
136 USA Scott McCarron 1000 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.11% 0.03% MC
137 USA J.J. Henry 1250 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.11% 0.06% MC
138 AUS John Senden 1500 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.21% 0.16% MC
139 USA Franklin Corpening 1500 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.11% 0.06% MC
140 USA Olin Browne 2500 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.11% 0.08% MC
141 RSA David Frost 2500 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.11% 0.08% MC
142 USA Tom Lehman 2500 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.11% 0.08% MC
143 USA Keith Clearwater 5000 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.01% 0.11% 0.09% MC
144 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 KOR Sungjae Im 0% 0% 0% 0% T10
147 CHN Zhang Xinjun 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 USA Andy Ogletree 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 35.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.2 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 47.5% 14.2%
2 Skybet 9 @ 1/5 63.7% 18.1%
3 Bet365 6 @ 1/4 46.9% 18.3%
4 Paddy Power 10 @ 1/5 82.8% 23.3%
5 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 63.8% 26.8%
6 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 52.1% 27.3%
7 Sportingbet 6 @ 1/4 61.1% 29.7%
8 GentingBet 7 @ 1/5 58.6% 32.8%
9 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 78.1% 38%
10 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 54.9% 38.2%
11 Coral 7 @ 1/5 65.9% 39%
12 VBet 5 @ 1/4 56.5% 39.6%
13 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 56.5% 42.7%
14 Betway 7 @ 1/5 70.7% 43%
15 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 57.1% 43.2%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 60.2% 46.1%
17 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 66% 51.3%
18 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 110.1% 93.6%
19 Sport Nation 6 @ 1/5 1395.6% 1316.1%