Market Analysis
Bookie Overround: 15.7 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 15.7 %
Total Probability Staked: 16.5 %
Results
Total Staked: 100.0
Total Won: 333.2
Total Profit: +233.2
| # | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Discrep. | Pos. Pos. | Stake | Returns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
| Jon Rahm | 4 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 20% | 17.28% | 13.45% | -3.84% | 2 | |||
| 2 |
| Justin Thomas | 7 (Betfair : 5 @ 1/5) | 12.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | -1.41% | T5 | |||
| 3 |
| Xander Schauffele | 9 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 10% | 8.64% | 6.39% | -2.26% | T10 | |||
| 4 |
| Patrick Cantlay | 9 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) | 10% | 8.64% | 6.13% | -2.51% | 17 | |||
| 5 |
| Tiger Woods | 10 (Betfair : 5 @ 1/5) | 9.09% | 7.86% | 5.04% | -2.82% | 4 | |||
| 6 |
| Webb Simpson | 12 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 7.69% | 6.65% | 8.39% | 1.74% | T10 | |||
| 7 |
| Rickie Fowler | 14 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 6.67% | 5.76% | 2.84% | -2.92% | 9 | |||
| 8 |
| Justin Rose | 16 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 5.88% | 5.08% | 6.47% | 1.39% | T5 | |||
| 9 |
| Patrick Reed | 18 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 5.26% | 4.55% | 7.9% | 3.35% | 3 | |||
| 10 |
| Gary Woodland | 20 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) | 4.76% | 4.12% | 4.95% | 0.84% | T7 | |||
| 11 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 20 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) | 4.76% | 4.12% | 4.55% | 0.43% | 15 | |||
| 12 |
| Tony Finau | 25 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) | 3.85% | 3.32% | 2.88% | -0.45% | T10 | 20.15 | ||
| 13 |
| Jordan Spieth | 28 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 3.45% | 2.98% | 3.9% | 0.92% | 16 | 18.07 | ||
| 14 |
| Matt Kuchar | 30 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 3.23% | 2.79% | 3.88% | 1.09% | 14 | 16.9 | ||
| 15 |
| Henrik Stenson | 33 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) | 2.94% | 2.54% | 5.21% | 2.67% | 1 | 15.41 | +333.2 | |
| 16 |
| Bubba Watson | 45 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) | 2.17% | 1.88% | 1.27% | -0.61% | 18 | 11.39 | ||
| 17 |
| Kevin Kisner | 50 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) | 1.96% | 1.69% | 3.05% | 1.36% | T7 | 10.28 | ||
| 18 |
| Chez Reavie | 66 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) | 1.49% | 1.29% | 4.31% | 3.02% | 13 | 7.82 | ||
Market Analysis
Overround of best available: 15.7 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 15.7 %
Key
Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skybet | 4 @ 1/4 | 19% | 19% |
| 2 | Bet365 | 4 @ 1/4 | 22.8% | 22.8% |
| 3 | William Hill | 4 @ 1/4 | 23.2% | 23.2% |
| 4 | Ladbrokes | 4 @ 1/4 | 24.2% | 24.2% |
| 5 | Coral | 4 @ 1/4 | 24.2% | 24.2% |
| 6 | Sportingbet | 4 @ 1/4 | 24.2% | 24.2% |
| 7 | Bet Victor | 4 @ 1/4 | 25% | 25% |
| 8 | Betway | 4 @ 1/4 | 25.1% | 25.1% |
| 9 | Betfair Sportsbook | 5 @ 1/5 | 25.3% | 25.3% |
| 10 | Boyle Sports | 5 @ 1/5 | 26.9% | 26.9% |
| 11 | Paddy Power | 5 @ 1/5 | 27.5% | 27.5% |
| 12 | SportPesa | 4 @ 1/4 | 31.2% | 31.2% |
| 13 | 10Bet | 4 @ 1/4 | 31.2% | 31.2% |
| 14 | MoPlay | 4 @ 1/4 | 31.2% | 31.2% |
| 15 | Sport Nation | 4 @ 1/4 | 31.2% | 31.2% |
| 16 | Betfred | 5 @ 1/5 | 31.3% | 31.3% |
| 17 | Unibet | 4 @ 1/4 | 31.9% | 31.9% |
| 18 | VBet | 4 @ 1/5 | 21.8% | 33.9% |
| 19 | Marathon Bet | 4 @ 1/5 | 28.1% | 40.8% |