Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 64.8

Total Profit: -35.4

Farmers Insurance Open

24/01/2019 - 27/01/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 10 9.09% 6.25% 2.44% -3.81% T5
2 ENG Justin Rose 15 6.25% 4.29% 3.08% -1.21% 1
3 USA Tiger Woods 16 5.88% 4.04% 3.53% -0.52% T20
4 NIR Rory McIlroy 16 5.88% 4.04% 2.58% -1.46% T5
5 AUS Jason Day 16 5.88% 4.04% 2.12% -1.92% T5
6 USA Tony Finau 18 5.26% 3.62% 2.08% -1.53% T13
7 USA Xander Schauffele 20 4.76% 3.27% 2.67% -0.6% T25
8 AUS Marc Leishman 20 4.76% 3.27% 1.9% -1.37% T43
9 USA Rickie Fowler 25 3.85% 2.64% 1.92% -0.72% T66
10 USA Patrick Cantlay 25 3.85% 2.64% 1.82% -0.82% MC
11 USA Gary Woodland 28 3.45% 2.37% 2.27% -0.1% T9 10.53
12 USA Jordan Spieth 33 2.94% 2.02% 1.09% -0.93% T35
13 USA Charles Howell III 33 2.94% 2.02% 1.06% -0.96% T20
14 USA Patrick Reed 40 2.44% 1.68% 1.76% 0.08% T13 7.45
15 AUS Cameron Smith 40 2.44% 1.68% 1.56% -0.12% T9 7.45
16 ARG Emiliano Grillo 40 2.44% 1.68% 1.16% -0.51% T52
17 USA Cameron Champ 40 2.44% 1.68% 0.77% -0.9% MC
18 USA Keegan Bradley 45 2.17% 1.49% 1.67% 0.17% T35 6.64
19 USA Brandt Snedeker 45 2.17% 1.49% 1.42% -0.08% T62 6.64
20 SWE Alexander Noren 45 2.17% 1.49% 0.84% -0.65% MC
21 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 50 1.96% 1.35% 1.73% 0.38% T3 (tied w/2) 5.99 +32.9
22 MEX Abraham Ancer 55 1.79% 1.23% 1.13% -0.1% MC 5.45
23 USA Billy Horschel 66 1.49% 1.03% 2.04% 1.01% 8 4.56
24 USA Aaron Wise 66 1.49% 1.03% 1.1% 0.07% MC 4.56
25 KOR Sungjae Im 66 1.49% 1.03% 0.52% -0.5% T52
26 USA Daniel Berger 70 1.41% 0.97% 1.35% 0.38% MC 4.3
27 USA Kyle Stanley 80 1.23% 0.85% 1.42% 0.57% MC 3.77
28 RSA Branden Grace 80 1.23% 0.85% 0.98% 0.13% MC 3.77
29 TPE C.T. Pan 80 1.23% 0.85% 0.93% 0.09% T66 3.77
30 USA J.B. Holmes 80 1.23% 0.85% 0.72% -0.13% MC
31 USA Luke List 80 1.23% 0.85% 0.41% -0.43% T40
32 USA Kevin Tway 90 1.1% 0.75% 1% 0.25% T43 3.36
33 KOR Siwoo Kim 90 1.1% 0.75% 0.86% 0.1% T29 3.36
34 AUS Adam Scott 100 0.99% 0.68% 1.7% 1.02% 2 3.03 +31.8
35 SCO Russell Knox 100 0.99% 0.68% 0.93% 0.25% T43 3.03
36 USA J.J Spaun 100 0.99% 0.68% 0.49% -0.19% MC
37 USA Jimmy Walker 110 0.9% 0.62% 0.73% 0.11% MC 2.75
38 USA Pat Perez 125 0.79% 0.55% 0.84% 0.29% MC 2.43
39 USA Ryan Palmer 125 0.79% 0.55% 0.66% 0.11% T13 2.43
40 RSA Dylan Frittelli 125 0.79% 0.55% 0.63% 0.09% MC 2.43
41 USA Hudson Swafford 125 0.79% 0.55% 0.43% -0.12% MC 2.43
42 USA Beau Hossler 125 0.79% 0.55% 0.38% -0.17% T57
43 USA Harris English 125 0.79% 0.55% 0.36% -0.18% MC
44 CHI Joaquin Niemann 125 0.79% 0.55% 0.33% -0.22% T72
45 ENG Danny Willett 150 0.66% 0.45% 1.42% 0.97% T25
46 NZL Danny Lee 150 0.66% 0.45% 0.91% 0.45% MC
47 USA Ryan Moore 150 0.66% 0.45% 0.8% 0.35% MC
48 RSA Charl Schwartzel 150 0.66% 0.45% 0.8% 0.34% MC
49 USA Stewart Cink 150 0.66% 0.45% 0.77% 0.32% MC
50 USA Jason Kokrak 150 0.66% 0.45% 0.69% 0.23% T20
51 USA Nick Watney 150 0.66% 0.45% 0.61% 0.16% T72
52 USA Harold Varner III 150 0.66% 0.45% 0.61% 0.15% MC
53 USA Brian Harman 150 0.66% 0.45% 0.59% 0.13% MC
54 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 150 0.66% 0.45% 0.59% 0.13% MC
55 USA Keith Mitchell 150 0.66% 0.45% 0.57% 0.12% MC
56 USA Peter Uihlein 150 0.66% 0.45% 0.5% 0.05% MC
57 USA Brendan Steele 150 0.66% 0.45% 0.47% 0.02% MC
58 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 150 0.66% 0.45% 0.46% 0.01% MC
59 USA JT Poston 150 0.66% 0.45% 0.44% -0.01% T40
60 SCO Martin Laird 150 0.66% 0.45% 0.32% -0.14% T43
61 USA Charley Hoffman 160 0.62% 0.43% 0.51% 0.08% MC
62 USA Michael Thompson 175 0.57% 0.39% 0.63% 0.24% T13
63 USA Richy Werenski 175 0.57% 0.39% 0.3% -0.09% MC
64 USA Sean O'Hair 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.7% 0.36% 76
65 USA Brice Garnett 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.68% 0.33% MC
66 USA Patrick Rodgers 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.62% 0.28% MC
67 USA Kevin Streelman 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.51% 0.17% MC
68 USA Joel Dahmen 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.47% 0.13% T9
69 USA Anders Albertson 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.44% 0.1% MC
70 USA Bill Haas 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.41% 0.07% T57
71 USA Chesson Hadley 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.35% 0.01% MC
72 USA Bud Cauley 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.35% 0% T13
73 USA Sam Burns 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.28% -0.06% T40
74 USA Denny McCarthy 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.24% -0.1% MC
75 USA Adam Long 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.14% -0.21% MC
76 USA Talor Gooch 225 0.44% 0.3% 0.41% 0.11% T3
77 USA Sam Ryder 225 0.44% 0.3% 0.37% 0.07% T43
78 USA Dominic Bozzelli 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.6% 0.32% MC
79 USA Chris Kirk 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.55% 0.28% MC
80 USA Robert Streb 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.51% 0.23% T29
81 USA Hunter Mahan 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.47% 0.19% MC
82 SVK Rory Sabbatini 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.44% 0.17% T70
83 USA Scott Stallings 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.37% 0.1% T43
84 KOR Sunghoon Kang 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.3% 0.02% T20
85 USA Ollie Schniederjans 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.29% 0.01% MC
86 USA Brandon Harkins 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.22% -0.05% MC
87 AUS Cameron Davis 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.21% -0.06% T57
88 USA James Hahn 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.67% 0.44% MC
89 USA Roberto Castro 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.59% 0.37% MC
90 USA Doug Ghim 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.27% 0.04% T20
91 USA Braden Thornberry 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.25% 0.03% T52
92 USA Bronson Burgoon 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.25% 0.02% MC
93 USA Alex Prugh 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.24% 0.01% MC
94 CAN Roger Sloan 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.23% 0% MC
95 NOR Viktor Hovland 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.22% 0% MC
96 USA Michael Kim 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.19% -0.03% MC
97 AUS Matt Jones 350 0.28% 0.2% 0.42% 0.22% T13
98 USA Scott Langley 350 0.28% 0.2% 0.35% 0.16% MC
99 USA Ryan Blaum 350 0.28% 0.2% 0.34% 0.15% T70
100 USA Sam Saunders 350 0.28% 0.2% 0.34% 0.14% MC
101 MEX Carlos Ortiz 350 0.28% 0.2% 0.33% 0.13% MC
102 CAN Adam Svensson 350 0.28% 0.2% 0.28% 0.08% T35
103 USA Tom Hoge 350 0.28% 0.2% 0.26% 0.06% MC
104 USA John Huh 350 0.28% 0.2% 0.25% 0.05% T25
105 CAN Nick Taylor 400 0.25% 0.17% 0.49% 0.32% T43
106 COL Sebastian Munoz 400 0.25% 0.17% 0.33% 0.16% T72
107 USA Trey Mullinax 400 0.25% 0.17% 0.3% 0.13% T25
108 ARG Fabian Gomez 400 0.25% 0.17% 0.26% 0.08% MC
109 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.62% 0.49% MC
110 USA Mackenzie Hughes 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.41% 0.28% T29
111 KOR Sangmoon Bae 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.36% 0.22% T35
112 SWE Jonas Blixt 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% T29
113 USA Scott Brown 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.33% 0.2% T9
114 USA Morgan Hoffmann 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.33% 0.19% 77
115 USA Adam Schenk 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% T57
116 USA Kramer Hickok 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% MC
117 USA Jim Herman 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% MC
118 USA Kelly Kraft 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.31% 0.17% MC
119 ARG Julian Etulain 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.29% 0.16% T43
120 KOR Meenwhee Kim 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.28% 0.15% MC
121 USA Chase Wright 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.27% 0.13% MC
122 GER Stephan Jaeger 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% T66
123 USA Ben Crane 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
124 GER Alex Cejka 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
125 USA Cameron Tringale 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.25% 0.11% MC
126 USA Shawn Stefani 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.24% 0.11% T62
127 USA Wyndham Clark 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.24% 0.1% T35
128 MEX Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% MC
129 USA Chris Stroud 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.22% 0.08% T52
130 USA Cody Gribble 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.21% 0.07% MC
131 USA Brandon Hagy 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.2% 0.07% T66
132 IRL Seamus Power 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.2% 0.06% MC
133 USA Tyler Duncan 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.19% 0.05% MC
134 CAN Benjamin Silverman 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.17% 0.03% T62
135 USA Josh Teater 600 0.17% 0.11% 0.39% 0.28% MC
136 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 600 0.17% 0.11% 0.32% 0.21% MC
137 USA Hank Lebioda 600 0.17% 0.11% 0.26% 0.15% T29
138 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 600 0.17% 0.11% 0.24% 0.12% T43
139 USA Grayson Murray 600 0.17% 0.11% 0.22% 0.1% T62
140 USA Jim Knous 600 0.17% 0.11% 0.2% 0.08% T29
141 USA Wes Roach 600 0.17% 0.11% 0.2% 0.08% MC
142 USA Seth Reeves 600 0.17% 0.11% 0.18% 0.07% MC
143 AUS John Senden 750 0.13% 0.09% 0.33% 0.24% T57
144 USA Kyle Jones 750 0.13% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% MC
145 AUS Rod Pampling 750 0.13% 0.09% 0.23% 0.13% MC
146 USA Joey Garber 750 0.13% 0.09% 0.14% 0.05% MC
147 AUT Sepp Straka 750 0.13% 0.09% 0.12% 0.03% T13
148 USA D.A. Points 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.57% 0.51% MC
149 USA David Pastore 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.08% 0.01% MC
150 ENG Brian Davis 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.26% 0.21% MC
151 USA John Chin 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.17% 0.12% T72
152 USA Chris Thompson 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.1% 0.05% T52
153 USA Brady Schnell 0% 0% 0.15% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...