Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 74.3

Total Profit: -25.8

The Honda Classic

22/02/2018 - 25/02/2018

Up to date as of: 7 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Rickie Fowler 9 10% 7.79% 1.98% -5.8% MC
2 USA Justin Thomas 12 7.69% 5.99% 3.2% -2.79% 1
3 NIR Rory McIlroy 12 7.69% 5.99% 2.82% -3.17% T59
4 ESP Sergio Garcia 18 5.26% 4.1% 1.95% -2.15% T33
5 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 28 3.45% 2.69% 2.41% -0.28% MC
6 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 30 3.23% 2.51% 2.19% -0.33% 4
7 USA Gary Woodland 31 3.13% 2.43% 1.59% -0.84% T49
8 SWE Alexander Noren 37 2.63% 2.05% 2.37% 0.32% 3 9.13 +38.4
9 USA Brian Harman 42 2.33% 1.81% 1.36% -0.45% T33
10 USA Daniel Berger 47 2.08% 1.62% 1.42% -0.2% T29
11 SCO Russell Knox 50 1.96% 1.53% 1.12% -0.4% MC
12 USA Patrick Reed 55 1.79% 1.39% 2.01% 0.62% MC 6.19
13 USA Kevin Kisner 58 1.69% 1.32% 1.49% 0.17% MC 5.88
14 USA Brandt Snedeker 58 1.69% 1.32% 0.83% -0.49% MC
15 USA Jason Dufner 58 1.69% 1.32% 0.78% -0.54% T17
16 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 59 1.67% 1.3% 1.6% 0.3% T29 5.78
17 USA Russell Henley 59 1.67% 1.3% 1.01% -0.29% T24
18 USA Ollie Schniederjans 59 1.67% 1.3% 0.54% -0.75% T64
19 AUS Adam Scott 60 1.64% 1.28% 0.86% -0.41% T13
20 USA Patton Kizzire 63 1.56% 1.22% 1.2% -0.02% MC 5.42
21 USA Webb Simpson 64 1.54% 1.2% 0.98% -0.21% T5
22 USA Chesson Hadley 64 1.54% 1.2% 0.94% -0.26% MC
23 USA Scott Stallings 69 1.43% 1.11% 0.99% -0.13% T29
24 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 71 1.39% 1.08% 1% -0.08% T24
25 GER Martin Kaymer 72 1.37% 1.07% 1.23% 0.16% WD 4.75
26 USA Ryan Moore 72 1.37% 1.07% 0.81% -0.26% T49
27 NIR Graeme McDowell 79 1.25% 0.97% 0.78% -0.19% MC
28 BEL Thomas Pieters 80 1.23% 0.96% 0.71% -0.25% T13
29 USA Tiger Woods 81 1.22% 0.95% 1.59% 0.64% 12 4.23
30 RSA Dylan Frittelli 81 1.22% 0.95% 1.38% 0.44% 11 4.23
31 KOR Byeong Hun An 82 1.2% 0.94% 0.83% -0.11% T5
32 USA Ryan Palmer 83 1.19% 0.93% 0.43% -0.5% MC
33 USA Charles Howell III 84 1.18% 0.92% 0.9% -0.02% MC 4.08
34 USA Scott Piercy 84 1.18% 0.92% 0.64% -0.27% T17
35 USA Keegan Bradley 93 1.06% 0.83% 1.1% 0.27% T49 3.69
36 ARG Emiliano Grillo 97 1.02% 0.79% 0.69% -0.1% T8
37 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 98 1.01% 0.79% 1.29% 0.5% T68 3.51
38 USA Bud Cauley 98 1.01% 0.79% 0.71% -0.08% WD 3.51
39 ENG Ian Poulter 100 0.99% 0.77% 1.23% 0.46% MC 3.44
40 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 104 0.95% 0.74% 0.84% 0.09% MC 3.31
41 USA Chris Kirk 105 0.94% 0.73% 0.99% 0.26% T33 3.27
42 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 106 0.93% 0.73% 1.07% 0.34% T72 3.24
43 USA Billy Horschel 107 0.93% 0.72% 0.65% -0.07% MC 3.21
44 USA Sam Saunders 111 0.89% 0.7% 0.56% -0.14% MC
45 IRL Shane Lowry 114 0.87% 0.68% 1.45% 0.78% T49 3.02
46 USA J.B. Holmes 114 0.87% 0.68% 1.24% 0.56% T49 3.02
47 USA Luke List 114 0.87% 0.68% 1.06% 0.38% 2 3.02 +35.9
48 IND Anirban Lahiri 114 0.87% 0.68% 0.81% 0.13% T59 3.02
49 USA Peter Uihlein 115 0.86% 0.67% 0.87% 0.2% MC 2.99
50 USA Jimmy Walker 115 0.86% 0.67% 0.49% -0.18% T33
51 USA Grayson Murray 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.57% -0.07% MC 2.87
52 USA Jamie Lovemark 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.44% -0.2% 7
53 USA Patrick Rodgers 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.39% -0.26% T33
54 USA Lucas Glover 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.92% 0.33% T17 2.65
55 USA William McGirt 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.68% 0.09% T33 2.65
56 USA Brian Gay 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.86% 0.35% MC
57 USA John Huh 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.75% 0.23% T24
58 KOR Sunghoon Kang 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.68% 0.16% MC
59 ENG Luke Donald 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.94% 0.45% MC
60 USA Nick Watney 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.72% 0.24% T33
61 USA Vaughn Taylor 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.6% 0.11% T59
62 USA Ben Martin 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.48% 0.05% T33
63 USA J.J Spaun 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.46% 0.03% MC
64 USA Ted Potter-jr 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.61% 0.2% MC
65 USA Hudson Swafford 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.53% 0.12% T64
66 USA Harris English 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.48% 0.08% T33
67 USA Wesley Bryan 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.34% -0.06% MC
68 USA Stewart Cink 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.8% 0.41% T46
69 USA Tom Hoge 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.52% 0.14% MC
70 USA Troy Merritt 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.49% 0.1% T49
71 USA Brian Stuard 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.61% 0.26% MC
72 IRL Padraig Harrington 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.58% 0.23% MC
73 USA Aaron Wise 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.52% 0.16% T33
74 USA Derek Fathauer 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.53% 0.19% T13
75 USA Talor Gooch 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.53% 0.19% MC
76 USA Ryan Armour 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.83% 0.52% MC
77 TPE C.T. Pan 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.6% 0.29% T17
78 SWE David Lingmerth 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.58% 0.27% MC
79 USA Martin Flores 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.5% 0.19% T74
80 SVK Rory Sabbatini 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.55% 0.25% T17
81 USA Jim Furyk 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.55% 0.25% T46
82 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.41% 0.12% T68
83 IRL Seamus Power 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.29% -0.01% MC
84 USA Andrew Landry 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.7% 0.41% MC
85 USA Harold Varner III 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.49% 0.2% T72
86 USA Robert Garrigus 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.44% 0.16% MC
87 RSA Retief Goosen 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.43% 0.16% MC
88 USA Blayne Barber 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.29% 0.02% MC
89 COL Camilo Villegas 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.24% -0.03% T68
90 USA Robert Streb 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.77% 0.51% MC
91 USA Chad Campbell 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.57% 0.31% MC
92 USA Chris Stroud 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.57% 0.31% T33
93 USA Keith Mitchell 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.41% 0.15% MC
94 USA Dominic Bozzelli 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.4% 0.14% T13
95 USA Scott Brown 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.39% 0.13% T46
96 USA Kevin Tway 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.38% 0.12% MC
97 USA Brice Garnett 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.36% 0.1% MC
98 USA Morgan Hoffmann 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.33% 0.07% T49
99 USA Bronson Burgoon 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.33% 0.07% MC
100 USA Michael Thompson 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.3% 0.04% T24
101 USA Ryan Blaum 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.3% 0.04% MC
102 GER Alex Cejka 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.26% 0% WD
103 USA Sam Burns 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.17% -0.09% T8
104 USA Kelly Kraft 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.4% 0.21% T8
105 USA Martin Piller 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.36% 0.17% 67
106 USA Cameron Tringale 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.32% 0.12% MC
107 USA Rob Oppenheim 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.31% 0.11% MC
108 NZL Danny Lee 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.31% 0.11% WD
109 USA Ben Crane 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.3% 0.1% T74
110 CAN Corey Conners 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.29% 0.09% T59
111 USA Tom Lovelady 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.24% 0.05% T17
112 USA Michael Kim 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.22% 0.03% T57
113 USA Andrew Putnam 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.34% 0.18% MC
114 USA Smylie Kaufman 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.15% MC
115 USA Mackenzie Hughes 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.29% 0.13% T59
116 USA Richy Werenski 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.29% 0.13% MC
117 GER Stephan Jaeger 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.12% MC
118 USA Cody Gribble 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.43% 0.3% MC
119 USA Nate Lashley 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.43% 0.3% MC
120 USA Shawn Stefani 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.34% 0.21% MC
121 USA Lanto Griffin 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.25% 0.12% MC
122 USA Adam Schenk 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.24% 0.11% T29
123 USA Jonathan Randolph 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.24% 0.11% T68
124 USA Peter Malnati 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.47% 0.37% T49
125 AUS Greg Chalmers 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.44% 0.34% T17
126 MEX Roberto Diaz 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.22% T33
127 USA Billy Hurley III 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.28% 0.18% MC
128 ARG Fabian Gomez 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
129 USA Tyler Duncan 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.13% T24
130 USA Denny McCarthy 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.22% 0.11% MC
131 USA Matt Every 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.18% 0.07% 66
132 USA Ethan Tracy 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.15% 0.05% MC
133 USA Joel Dahmen 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.2% T33
134 USA T.J. Vogel 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% MC
135 USA Jon Curran 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
136 USA Bob Estes 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% MC
137 USA Jhared Hack 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.08% 0% MC
138 CHN Zhang Xinjun 0% 0% 0.39% 0% MC
139 MEX Abraham Ancer 0% 0% 0.36% 0% MC
140 CAN Benjamin Silverman 0% 0% 0.34% 0% MC
141 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0.3% 0% MC
142 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 0.27% 0% MC
143 USA Andrew Novak 0% 0% 0.13% 0% T57

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...