Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 242.5

Total Profit: +142.4

Portugal Masters

20/09/2018 - 23/09/2018

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 16 5.88% 4.56% 2.38% -2.18% T20
2 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 17 5.56% 4.31% 2.67% -1.63% T20
3 RSA Charl Schwartzel 19 5% 3.88% 1.58% -2.29% T40
4 ESP Sergio Garcia 19 5% 3.88% 0.85% -3.03% T7
5 IRL Shane Lowry 22 4.35% 3.37% 1.7% -1.67% 6
6 ENG Chris Wood 22 4.35% 3.37% 1.27% -2.1% T12
7 ENG Andy Sullivan 23 4.17% 3.23% 1.79% -1.44% T20
8 ENG Eddie Pepperell 23 4.17% 3.23% 1.19% -2.04% T2
9 BEL Thomas Detry 29 3.33% 2.58% 1.36% -1.22% MC
10 ENG Matt Wallace 30 3.23% 2.5% 1.59% -0.91% T44
11 IRL Padraig Harrington 32 3.03% 2.35% 1.04% -1.3% MC
12 NZL Ryan Fox 37 2.63% 2.04% 1.29% -0.75% T27
13 ESP Nacho Elvira 37 2.63% 2.04% 1.17% -0.87% T73
14 FRA Alexander Levy 45 2.17% 1.69% 1.22% -0.47% MC
15 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 46 2.13% 1.65% 1.06% -0.59% T56
16 RSA George Coetzee 47 2.08% 1.61% 0.57% -1.05% T20
17 JPN Hideto Tanihara 49 2% 1.55% 1.23% -0.32% MC
18 ENG Matthew Southgate 49 2% 1.55% 1.09% -0.46% MC
19 ENG Tom Lewis 55 1.79% 1.38% 1.48% 0.09% 1 6.09 +207.1
20 ESP Jorge Campillo 55 1.79% 1.38% 1.22% -0.16% T44 6.09
21 ENG Jordan L Smith 55 1.79% 1.38% 0.86% -0.52% T27
22 ENG Danny Willett 57 1.72% 1.34% 1.31% -0.02% T44 5.88
23 ENG Ross Fisher 65 1.52% 1.17% 1.3% 0.13% T40 5.16
24 FRA Benjamin Hebert 65 1.52% 1.17% 1.24% 0.06% MC 5.16
25 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 66 1.49% 1.16% 0.82% -0.34% T73
26 ENG Robert Rock 69 1.43% 1.11% 0.87% -0.24% T34 4.87
27 FIN Mikko Korhonen 72 1.37% 1.06% 1.01% -0.06% T12 4.67
28 MAS Gavin Green 80 1.23% 0.96% 0.63% -0.33% MC
29 SCO Stephen Gallacher 86 1.15% 0.89% 1.15% 0.26% T44 3.92
30 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 86 1.15% 0.89% 0.85% -0.04% T40 3.92
31 RSA Richard Sterne 86 1.15% 0.89% 0.75% -0.14% T16 3.92
32 ENG Sam Horsfield 86 1.15% 0.89% 0.62% -0.27% MC 3.92
33 RSA Haydn Porteous 86 1.15% 0.89% 0.55% -0.35% T20
34 IRL Paul Dunne 88 1.12% 0.87% 0.99% 0.12% T44 3.83
35 THA Phachara Khongwatmai 88 1.12% 0.87% 0.54% -0.33% T44
36 ITA Nino Bertasio 89 1.11% 0.86% 0.66% -0.2% 69 3.79
37 ENG Andrew Johnston 90 1.1% 0.85% 0.84% -0.01% T34 3.75
38 AUS Lucas Herbert 99 1% 0.78% 0.56% -0.21% T2 (tied w/2) 3.41 +35.5
39 ENG Richard McEvoy 101 0.98% 0.76% 1.11% 0.35% MC 3.34
40 SWE Joakim Lagergren 101 0.98% 0.76% 0.74% -0.02% MC 3.34
41 ENG Callum Shinkwin 106 0.93% 0.72% 0.49% -0.23% MC 3.19
42 ENG Jonathan Thomson 106 0.93% 0.72% 0.39% -0.34% MC
43 GER Maximilian Kieffer 112 0.88% 0.69% 0.55% -0.13% MC 3.02
44 SCO Scott Jamieson 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.88% 0.24% T20 2.82
45 WAL Bradley Dredge 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.74% 0.09% T16 2.82
46 SCO Richie Ramsay 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.52% -0.12% MC 2.82
47 ENG Aaron Rai 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.9% 0.31% MC 2.6
48 FRA Julien Guerrier 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.7% 0.11% T34 2.6
49 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.5% -0.09% MC 2.6
50 SCO Marc Warren 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.48% -0.11% T63 2.6
51 RSA JC Ritchie 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.21% -0.38% T60
52 ENG Paul Waring 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.9% 0.39% MC
53 RSA Thomas Aiken 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.87% 0.36% T73
54 SCO David Drysdale 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.87% 0.36% MC
55 ENG David Horsey 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.83% 0.31% T44
56 RSA Justin Walters 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.75% 0.23% MC
57 AUS Jason Scrivener 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.43% -0.08% T12
58 ITA Renato Paratore 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.48% 0% T27
59 FRA Romain Wattel 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.82% 0.39% MC
60 AUT Matthias Schwab 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.66% 0.23% T27
61 USA David Lipsky 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.65% 0.22% T63
62 CAN Austin Connelly 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.56% 0.13% MC
63 SWE Marcus Kinhult 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.43% 0% T4
64 FRA Matthieu Pavon 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.58% 0.17% T44
65 ENG Ashley Chesters 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.56% 0.15% T16
66 POR Ricardo Gouveia 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.45% 0.05% T7
67 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.75% 0.39% T80
68 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.58% 0.23% T34
69 ENG Matthew Baldwin 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.51% 0.15% T60
70 USA Paul Peterson 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.38% 0.03% MC
71 ENG Oliver Fisher 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.65% 0.32% T7
72 SCO Connor Syme 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.59% 0.26% MC
73 ENG Richard Bland 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.43% 0.09% T20
74 ENG Steven Brown 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.62% 0.31% MC
75 WAL Jamie Donaldson 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.34% 0.03% MC
76 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.65% 0.35% T73
77 ENG James Morrison 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.43% 0.15% MC
78 AUS Nick Cullen 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.5% 0.23% MC
79 ESP Alvaro Quiros 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.48% 0.2% MC
80 DEN Jeff Winther 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.5% 0.24% MC
81 USA Chase Koepka 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.36% 0.09% MC
82 ITA Matteo Manassero 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.95% 0.69% MC
83 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.82% 0.56% MC
84 FIN Kim Koivu 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.67% 0.42% T7
85 THA Thongchai Jaidee 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.6% 0.34% MC
86 ENG Steve Webster 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.58% 0.32% MC
87 ENG Matthew Nixon 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.55% 0.3% T44
88 FRA Sebastien Gros 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.48% 0.22% MC
89 RSA Zander Lombard 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.46% 0.2% MC
90 SWE Peter Hanson 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.46% 0.2% MC
91 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.42% 0.16% T63
92 ENG Daniel Brooks 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.4% 0.14% T73
93 ESP Alejandro Canizares 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.39% 0.13% T56
94 ESP Pedro Oriol 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.38% 0.12% MC
95 GER Sebastian Heisele 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.37% 0.11% T44
96 ENG Ryan Evans 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.35% 0.09% MC
97 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.74% 0.55% T7
98 ENG Laurie Canter 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.67% 0.48% MC
99 KOR Soomin Lee 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.62% 0.43% T4
100 CHI Felipe Aguilar 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.58% 0.38% T44
101 ENG Chris Hanson 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.5% 0.31% T70
102 ENG David Howell 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.47% 0.27% T63
103 ESP Pep Angles Ros 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.45% 0.25% T12
104 GER Marcel Siem 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.43% 0.24% MC
105 FRA Gregory Havret 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.37% 0.18% T34
106 ESP Scott Fernandez 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.29% 0.1% MC
107 FRA Adrien Saddier 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.28% 0.09% T16
108 ENG Ross McGowan 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.68% 0.52% T63
109 SWE Jens Dantorp 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.65% 0.5% MC
110 FRA Gregory Bourdy 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.47% 0.31% MC
111 DEN Lasse Jensen 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.47% 0.31% T34
112 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.46% 0.3% MC
113 FRA Clement Sordet 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.28% T40
114 SWE Pontus Widegren 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.24% MC
115 KOR Jinho Choi 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.23% T27
116 AUS Richard Green 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.22% MC
117 AUS Sam Brazel 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.37% 0.21% MC
118 FRA Joel Stalter 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% MC
119 SCO Bradley Neil 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.13% -0.03% MC
120 POR Ricardo Santos 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.47% 0.34% T80
121 SWE Johan Edfors 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.4% 0.27% T70
122 WAL Oliver Farr 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.29% 0.17% MC
123 NZL Josh Geary 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.28% 0.16% T56
124 ENG Charlie Ford 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.18% 0.05% MC
125 USA Daniel Im 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.17% 0.04% MC
126 CHI Mark Tullo 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.82% 0.71% MC
127 SWE Mikael Lundberg 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.67% 0.57% T73
128 ARG Angel Cabrera 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.64% 0.53% MC
129 KOR Rakhyun Cho 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.62% 0.52% MC
130 ENG Simon Khan 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.45% 0.35% MC
131 SWE Henric Sturehed 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.39% 0.29% MC
132 SWE Pelle Edberg 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.19% MC
133 SWE Michael Jonzon 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.35% 0.27% WD
134 AUS Jack Munro 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% MC
135 AUS Jason Norris 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.18% T56
136 ISL Birgir Hafthorsson 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% 79
137 CHN Hao Tong Li 0% 0% 1.45% 0% T27
138 CHN Wu Ashun 0% 0% 1.13% 0% T44
139 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 0% 0% 0.6% 0% T70
140 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.56% 0% T27
141 USA Hunter Stewart 0% 0% 0.53% 0% MC
142 POR Tiago Cruz 0% 0% 0.29% 0% MC
143 ENG Matthew Jordan 0% 0% 0.26% 0% MC
144 SCO Sam Locke 0% 0% 0.22% 0% T60
145 SWE Miguel Gaspar 0% 0% 0.15% 0% MC
146 USA John Ellis 0% 0% 0.13% 0% MC
147 POR Vitor Lopes 0% 0% 0.13% 0% MC
148 POR Tomas Melo Gouveia 0% 0% 0.13% 0% MC
149 POR Joao Carlota 0% 0% 0.11% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...