Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 72.8

Total Profit: -27.3

DUBAI DUTY FREE IRISH OPEN HOSTED BY THE RORY FOUNDATION

05/07/2018 - 08/07/2018

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 7 12.5% 9.63% 4.29% -5.33% T4
2 NIR Rory McIlroy 7 12.5% 9.63% 3.74% -5.89% T28
3 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 22 4.35% 3.35% 2.19% -1.16% MC
4 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 23 4.17% 3.21% 1.77% -1.44% MC
5 ENG Andy Sullivan 27 3.57% 2.75% 1.16% -1.59% T6
6 SCO Russell Knox 29 3.33% 2.57% 1.94% -0.63% 1
7 IRL Shane Lowry 29 3.33% 2.57% 1.81% -0.76% T28
8 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 30 3.23% 2.48% 0.93% -1.55% T6
9 IRL Paul Dunne 35 2.78% 2.14% 1.02% -1.12% T40
10 BEL Thomas Pieters 41 2.38% 1.83% 0.88% -0.95% T40
11 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 42 2.33% 1.79% 1.77% -0.02% MC 8.02
12 ENG Chris Wood 42 2.33% 1.79% 0.85% -0.94% T14
13 USA Peter Uihlein 43 2.27% 1.75% 0.93% -0.82% T12
14 USA Julian Suri 49 2% 1.54% 0.92% -0.62% 27
15 SWE Alexander Bjork 50 1.96% 1.51% 1.5% -0.01% T14 6.76
16 NIR Graeme McDowell 54 1.82% 1.4% 1.04% -0.36% T40
17 ENG Matt Wallace 58 1.69% 1.31% 1.52% 0.22% MC 5.85
18 ESP Jorge Campillo 62 1.59% 1.22% 1.66% 0.44% 3 5.48 +36.7
19 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 65 1.52% 1.17% 0.79% -0.37% MC
20 ESP Adrian Otaegui 69 1.43% 1.1% 1.61% 0.51% T28 4.93
21 ENG Lee Westwood 70 1.41% 1.08% 1.33% 0.25% T19 4.86
22 RSA Dylan Frittelli 71 1.39% 1.07% 1.34% 0.27% T14 4.79
23 FRA Alexander Levy 71 1.39% 1.07% 1.21% 0.14% MC 4.79
24 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 72 1.37% 1.06% 0.86% -0.2% MC
25 BEL Thomas Detry 73 1.35% 1.04% 0.63% -0.41% MC
26 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 79 1.25% 0.96% 0.95% -0.01% T59 4.31
27 FIN Mikko Korhonen 81 1.22% 0.94% 1.3% 0.36% MC 4.21
28 ENG Jordan L Smith 82 1.2% 0.93% 0.86% -0.06% MC 4.16
29 NZL Ryan Fox 87 1.14% 0.88% 0.94% 0.07% 2 3.92 +36.1
30 ENG Matthew Southgate 88 1.12% 0.87% 0.48% -0.38% T59
31 IND Shubhankar Sharma 97 1.02% 0.79% 0.96% 0.17% MC 3.52
32 IRL Padraig Harrington 106 0.93% 0.72% 0.55% -0.17% MC
33 ENG Eddie Pepperell 110 0.9% 0.69% 0.62% -0.08% MC 3.11
34 SWE Marcus Kinhult 113 0.88% 0.68% 0.95% 0.28% MC 3.03
35 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 113 0.88% 0.68% 0.81% 0.13% MC 3.03
36 ESP Nacho Elvira 116 0.85% 0.66% 0.91% 0.25% T49 2.95
37 RSA Dean Burmester 116 0.85% 0.66% 0.4% -0.26% T28
38 ENG Chris Paisley 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.81% 0.17% MC 2.85
39 RSA George Coetzee 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.68% 0.04% T24 2.85
40 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.65% 0.01% T19 2.85
41 ENG Aaron Rai 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.62% -0.02% T37 2.85
42 AUS Scott Hend 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.61% -0.03% MC 2.85
43 AUT Matthias Schwab 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.52% -0.12% MC 2.85
44 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.72% 0.13% T49 2.64
45 KOR Jeunghun Wang 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.68% 0.09% T49 2.64
46 FRA Benjamin Hebert 150 0.66% 0.51% 1.09% 0.58% T28
47 FIN Mikko Ilonen 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.67% 0.16% T19
48 RSA Richard Sterne 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.63% 0.12% T37
49 RSA Erik van Rooyen 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.52% 0.01% T4
50 WAL Bradley Dredge 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.45% -0.06% T69
51 JPN Hideto Tanihara 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.58% 0.11% MC
52 ENG Robert Rock 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.51% 0.03% T28
53 AUS Wade Ormsby 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.48% 0% T49
54 SWE Joakim Lagergren 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.59% 0.16% T12
55 GER Maximilian Kieffer 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.58% 0.15% MC
56 ENG David Horsey 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.47% 0.05% T40
57 SCO Richie Ramsay 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.46% 0.04% T40
58 ENG Sam Horsfield 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.32% -0.1% T24
59 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 190 0.52% 0.4% 1.05% 0.64% MC
60 ITA Andrea Pavan 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.81% 0.41% MC
61 USA David Lipsky 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.66% 0.26% MC
62 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.55% 0.17% MC
63 SCO Stephen Gallacher 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.54% 0.15% MC
64 CAN Austin Connelly 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.5% 0.12% MC
65 ENG Lee Slattery 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.47% 0.09% MC
66 ENG Danny Willett 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.57% 0.2% T6
67 ENG Callum Shinkwin 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.45% 0.08% MC
68 ITA Matteo Manassero 220 0.45% 0.35% 1.07% 0.72% T64
69 FRA Julien Guerrier 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.49% 0.14% T64
70 ITA Nino Bertasio 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.34% -0.01% MC
71 ENG Ashley Chesters 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.34% 0.01% T14
72 SWE Henric Sturehed 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.23% -0.1% WD
73 DEN Jeff Winther 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.58% 0.27% MC
74 RSA Justin Walters 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.56% 0.26% MC
75 ENG Paul Waring 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.57% 0.27% T72
76 ENG James Morrison 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.47% 0.18% T49
77 THA Thongchai Jaidee 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.41% 0.12% T49
78 AUS Jason Scrivener 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.38% 0.09% MC
79 FRA Sebastien Gros 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.35% 0.06% MC
80 FRA Matthieu Pavon 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.73% 0.45% T10
81 RSA Darren Fichardt 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.44% 0.15% T40
82 SCO Scott Jamieson 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.42% 0.14% T40
83 RSA Haydn Porteous 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.51% 0.25% T49
84 RSA Thomas Aiken 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.33% 0.06% T40
85 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.71% 0.45% T10
86 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.53% 0.28% T19
87 ENG David Howell 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.53% 0.27% MC
88 ENG Ryan Evans 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.51% 0.25% MC
89 ITA Edoardo Molinari 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.49% 0.23% MC
90 FRA Gregory Havret 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.47% 0.21% MC
91 CHI Nicolas Geyger 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.46% 0.21% MC
92 SCO Connor Syme 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.45% 0.19% MC
93 ESP Alvaro Quiros 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.44% 0.19% MC
94 SWE Peter Hanson 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.44% 0.19% T49
95 SCO David Drysdale 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.44% 0.18% T28
96 ENG Steven Brown 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.44% 0.18% MC
97 ENG Oliver Fisher 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.43% 0.18% T28
98 DEN Lasse Jensen 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.41% 0.16% MC
99 AUS Marcus Fraser 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.39% 0.13% WD
100 ESP Pedro Oriol 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.37% 0.12% MC
101 SCO Marc Warren 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.37% 0.12% T49
102 FRA Romain Wattel 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.35% 0.1% T28
103 SWE Jens Dantorp 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.31% 0.06% 76
104 RSA Brandon Stone 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.31% 0.05% T69
105 POR Ricardo Gouveia 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.3% 0.04% T64
106 MAS Gavin Green 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.29% 0.03% MC
107 AUS Brett Rumford 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.52% 0.33% MC
108 AUS Andrew Dodt 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.51% 0.32% T72
109 ENG Mark Foster 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.41% 0.22% MC
110 FRA Gregory Bourdy 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.4% 0.21% T64
111 IRL Gavin Moynihan 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.4% 0.2% MC
112 ITA Renato Paratore 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.38% 0.19% T40
113 GER Marcel Siem 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.33% 0.14% MC
114 ENG Richard Bland 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.33% 0.14% MC
115 ENG Charlie Ford 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.33% 0.13% 75
116 ESP Scott Fernandez 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.26% 0.07% MC
117 SWE Robert Karlsson 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.56% 0.41% MC
118 FRA Adrien Saddier 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.47% 0.31% T19
119 KOR Jinho Choi 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.46% 0.3% T64
120 KOR Soomin Lee 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.43% 0.28% MC
121 AUS Sam Brazel 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.23% MC
122 ARG Andres Romero 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% 74
123 ENG Laurie Canter 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% MC
124 WAL Oliver Farr 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
125 ENG Chris Hanson 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% WD
126 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% MC
127 AUS Adam Bland 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.48% 0.35% T49
128 ENG Matthew Baldwin 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.29% 0.17% MC
129 IRL Ruaidhri McGee 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.27% 0.15% MC
130 SCO Bradley Neil 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.13% 0.01% MC
131 DEN Thomas Bjorn 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.5% 0.39% T59
132 FRA Clement Sordet 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% MC
133 NIR Darren Clarke 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.36% 0.25% MC
134 ENG Daniel Brooks 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.29% 0.18% T59
135 USA Chase Koepka 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% MC
136 IRL Paul McGinley 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.19% 0.09% MC
137 AUS Jason Norris 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.18% 0.07% MC
138 KOR Rakhyun Cho 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.16% 0.06% MC
139 RSA Trevor Immelman 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.42% 0.34% DQ
140 RSA Zander Lombard 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.17% T6
141 ESP Carlos Pigem 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.13% MC
142 USA Daniel Im 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.06% MC
143 CHN Hao Tong Li 0% 0% 1.2% 0% MC
144 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.65% 0% T37
145 CHN Wu Ashun 0% 0% 0.52% 0% DQ
146 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 0% 0% 0.45% 0% T14
147 CHI Felipe Aguilar 0% 0% 0.39% 0% T69
148 ENG Matthew Nixon 0% 0% 0.32% 0% T24
149 THA Phachara Khongwatmai 0% 0% 0.29% 0% MC
150 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 0% 0% 0.26% 0% MC
151 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.23% 0% MC
152 NIR Cormac Sharvin 0% 0% 0.22% 0% MC
153 IRL Neil O'Briain 0% 0% 0.1% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...