Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 30.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 18.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.0 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.1

FedEx St. Jude Championship

15/08/2024 - 18/08/2024

Up to date as of: 3 months ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Scottie Scheffler 3.5 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 22.22% 16.19% 9.91% -6.27% 4
2 USA Xander Schauffele 7.5 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 11.76% 8.57% 6.03% -2.54% 2
3 NIR Rory McIlroy 10 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 9.09% 6.62% 3.73% -2.89% 68
4 USA Collin Morikawa 14 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 6.67% 4.86% 2.21% -2.64% 22
5 SWE Ludvig Aberg 22 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.17% 2.13% -1.04% 40
6 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 25 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.8% 2.09% -0.71% 22
7 USA Patrick Cantlay 25 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.8% 1.45% -1.35% 12
8 CAN Corey Conners 33 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.14% 2.14% 0% 50
9 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 33 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.14% 1.79% -0.35% 1
10 KOR Woohyun Kim 33 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.14% 0.09% -2.06%
11 USA Russell Henley 35 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.02% 2.36% 0.33% 30 9.2
12 KOR Sungjae Im 35 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.02% 1.73% -0.3% 40
13 USA Tony Finau 35 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.02% 1.53% -0.49% 16
14 NOR Viktor Hovland 35 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.02% 1.01% -1.02% 2
15 USA Billy Horschel 45 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.58% 2.1% 0.51% 10 7.2
16 ENG Aaron Rai 45 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.58% 1.81% 0.23% 16 7.2
17 USA Sahith Theegala 45 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.58% 1.6% 0.01% 46
18 USA Cameron Young 50 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.43% 1.61% 0.19% 61
19 IRL Shane Lowry 50 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.43% 1.52% 0.09% 50
20 USA Justin Thomas 50 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.43% 1.27% -0.16% 30
21 USA Sam Burns 50 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.43% 1.06% -0.37% 5
22 AUS Adam Scott 60 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.19% 1.25% 0.05% 18
23 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 66 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% 1.72% 0.63% 22 4.94
24 USA Brian Harman 66 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.09% 1.44% 0.35% 50 4.94
25 AUT Sepp Straka 66 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% 1.34% 0.25% 61 4.94
26 AUS Jason Day 66 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.09% 0.99% -0.1% 22
27 USA Akshay Bhatia 70 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.03% 1.23% 0.2% 12 4.67
28 USA Jordan Spieth 70 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.03% 0.51% -0.52% 68
29 USA Davis Thompson 75 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.96% 2.07% 1.11% 33 4.36
30 USA Wyndham Clark 75 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) 1.32% 0.96% 1.58% 0.62% 7 4.36
31 KOR Byeong Hun An 75 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 1.32% 0.96% 1.3% 0.34% 33 4.36
32 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 75 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.96% 0.99% 0.03% 18
33 SWE Alexander Noren 90 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% 1.43% 0.63% 30 3.64
34 USA Max Homa 100 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 1.25% 0.53% 70 3.28
35 KOR Siwoo Kim 100 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 1% 0.28% 50 3.28
36 USA Max Greyserman 100 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% 0.96% 0.24% 33 3.28
37 USA Keegan Bradley 100 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% 0.96% 0.24% 59 3.28
38 AUS Minwoo Lee 110 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.66% 1.33% 0.68% 22 2.99
39 BEL Thomas Detry 110 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.66% 1.15% 0.49% 46 2.99
40 USA Tom Hoge 110 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.66% 0.91% 0.26% 46 2.99
41 SCO Robert MacIntyre 125 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 1.39% 0.81% 7 2.63
42 USA Denny McCarthy 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 1.21% 0.63% 9 2.63
43 USA Maverick McNealy 125 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.88% 0.3% 12 2.63
44 USA Eric Cole 125 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.86% 0.28% 18 2.63
45 USA Harris English 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.81% 0.23% 61 2.63
46 USA Will Zalatoris 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.62% 0.04% 12
47 AUS Cameron Davis 130 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.76% 0.56% 0.98% 0.42% 40 2.53
48 ENG Justin Rose 130 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.76% 0.56% 0.85% 0.3% 22 2.53
49 USA Benjamin Griffin 140 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 1% 0.48% 50
50 CAN Taylor Pendrith 150 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 1.64% 1.16% 22
51 USA Austin Eckroat 150 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 1.49% 1.01% 18
52 FRA Victor Perez 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 1.16% 0.68% 40
53 RSA Erik van Rooyen 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 1.07% 0.59% 33
54 USA Taylor Moore 150 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 1.07% 0.59% 66
55 GER Stephan Jaeger 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.9% 0.41% 40
56 USA JT Poston 150 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 0.69% 0.21% 33
57 USA Mackenzie Hughes 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 1.25% 0.84% 58
58 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.91% 0.49% 40
59 CAN Adam Hadwin 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.81% 0.4% 50
60 IRL Seamus Power 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.78% 0.36% 10
61 USA Brendon Todd 200 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.98% 0.62% 22
62 USA Patrick Rodgers 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.94% 0.58% 33
63 USA Chris Kirk 200 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.91% 0.54% 50
64 USA Nick Dunlap 225 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.74% 0.42% 5
65 USA Mark Hubbard 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.69% 0.4% 61
66 CAN Nick Taylor 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.38% 0.09% 65
67 FRA Matthieu Pavon 275 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% 0.63% 0.37% 46
68 USA Jake Knappe 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.72% 0.48% 67
69 ARG Emiliano Grillo 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.59% 0.35% 33
70 USA Peter Malnati 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.5% 0.43% 59
71 KOR Tom Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% 50

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 30.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 18.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Spreadex 5 @ 1/4 45.2% 27.2%
2 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 45.2% 27.2%
3 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 46.3% 28.2%
4 AK Bets 5 @ 1/5 33.1% 29.6%
5 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 46.4% 30.1%
6 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 62.1% 32.6%
7 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 62.7% 32.9%
8 Coral 7 @ 1/5 62.7% 32.9%
9 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 49.9% 33.3%
10 LiveScore Bet 6 @ 1/5 50.2% 33.5%
11 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 53.4% 34.5%
12 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 51.7% 34.8%
13 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 51.7% 34.8%
14 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 51.7% 34.8%
15 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 78% 35%
16 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 54.9% 35.9%
17 William Hill 7 @ 1/5 69.2% 38.2%
18 888Sport 7 @ 1/5 69.2% 38.2%
19 Star Sports 6 @ 1/5 56.9% 39.5%
20 Betway 6 @ 1/5 57.6% 40.1%
21 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 61.6% 43.6%
22 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 61.6% 43.6%
23 Betfair Sportsbook 6 @ 1/5 62.1% 44.2%