Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 26.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 75.2

Total Profit: -24.9

Travelers Championship

20/06/2024 - 23/06/2024

Up to date as of: 9 months ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Scottie Scheffler 3.5 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/6) 22.22% 15.67% 9.71% -5.96% 1
2 USA Xander Schauffele 8 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 11.11% 7.83% 4.56% -3.28% 13
3 NIR Rory McIlroy 8 (VBet: 6 @ 1/5) 11.11% 7.83% 3.55% -4.28%
4 USA Collin Morikawa 14 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.7% 2.79% -1.91% 13
5 SWE Ludvig Aberg 16 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.15% 3.31% -0.84% 27
6 NOR Viktor Hovland 20 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.36% 0.87% -2.48% 20
7 USA Patrick Cantlay 25 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.71% 1.38% -1.33% 5
8 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 28 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.43% 2.6% 0.17% 23 10.44
9 USA Tony Finau 28 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/6) 3.45% 2.43% 1.47% -0.96% 5
10 USA Sahith Theegala 30 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/6) 3.23% 2.27% 2.81% 0.54% 48 9.77
11 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 33 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.07% 2.27% 0.19% 15 8.91
12 USA Russell Henley 33 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.07% 1.73% -0.34% 48
13 USA Sam Burns 35 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.96% 1.55% -0.41% 55
14 KOR Sungjae Im 45 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/6) 2.17% 1.53% 1.73% 0.2% 3 (tied w/2) 6.59 +28
15 CAN Corey Conners 45 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.53% 1.26% -0.27% 27
16 USA Brian Harman 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.53% 1.15% -0.39% 9
17 USA Jordan Spieth 45 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/6) 2.17% 1.53% 0.93% -0.6% 63
18 AUT Sepp Straka 50 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.38% 1.93% 0.55% 23 5.94
19 USA Keegan Bradley 50 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.38% 1.43% 0.05% 39
20 USA Justin Thomas 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.38% 1.37% -0.01% 5
21 KOR Siwoo Kim 50 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.38% 1.04% -0.34% 31
22 AUS Adam Scott 55 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/6) 1.79% 1.26% 1.08% -0.18% 39
23 KOR Woohyun Kim 55 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.26% 0.08% -1.18%
24 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.16% 1.21% 0.05% 36
25 IRL Shane Lowry 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% 1.41% 0.36% 9 4.52
26 USA Max Homa 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% 1.05% 0% 61
27 USA Wyndham Clark 70 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% 1.94% 0.95% 9 4.27
28 KOR Byeong Hun An 70 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% 1.65% 0.66% 4.27
29 USA Denny McCarthy 70 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 0.99% 1.57% 0.58% 31 4.27
30 USA Cameron Young 70 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% 1.21% 0.21% 9 4.27
31 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 80 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.87% 2.29% 1.42% 23 3.74
32 USA JT Poston 80 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.87% 1.56% 0.69% 55 3.74
33 AUS Jason Day 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 1.23% 0.36% 44 3.74
34 USA Billy Horschel 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 1.81% 1.04% 55 3.33
35 USA Harris English 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 1.25% 0.47% 63 3.33
36 USA Akshay Bhatia 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 1.05% 0.27% 5 (tied w/4) 3.33 +15.8
37 BEL Thomas Detry 100 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.7% 1.26% 0.56% 55 3
38 USA Will Zalatoris 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 1.18% 0.48% 42 3
39 SCO Robert MacIntyre 110 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.64% 0.58% -0.06% 16
40 CAN Taylor Pendrith 125 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 1.56% 1% 23 2.41
41 USA Tom Hoge 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 1.46% 0.9% 3 (tied w/2) 2.41 +31.3
42 GER Stephan Jaeger 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 1.33% 0.78% 31 2.41
43 USA Mackenzie Hughes 125 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/6) 0.79% 0.56% 0.89% 0.33% 36 2.41
44 USA Lucas Glover 125 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/6) 0.79% 0.56% 0.7% 0.14% 44
45 USA Kurt Kitayama 125 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/6) 0.79% 0.56% 0.66% 0.11% 31
46 FRA Matthieu Pavon 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 1.68% 1.21% 16
47 CAN Adam Hadwin 150 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 1.32% 0.85% 27
48 USA Chris Kirk 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 1.07% 0.6% 63
49 USA Benjamin Griffin 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.94% 0.48% 67
50 USA Austin Eckroat 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.84% 0.37% 27
51 ENG Justin Rose 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.6% 0.13% 68
52 USA Nick Dunlap 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 1.19% 0.83% 66
53 ARG Emiliano Grillo 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% 0.8% 0.45% 55
54 FRA Victor Perez 200 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.67% 0.32% 44
55 USA Rickie Fowler 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.67% 0.32% 20
56 USA Lee Hodges 200 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% 0.63% 0.28% 31
57 USA Taylor Moore 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.61% 0.25% 68
58 CAN Adam Svensson 200 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.6% 0.25% 16
59 USA Davis Riley 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% 0.57% 0.22% 48
60 AUS Cameron Davis 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% 0.37% 0.02% 48
61 USA Eric Cole 225 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.31% 0.45% 0.14% 48
62 CAN Nick Taylor 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 1.19% 0.91% 42
63 USA Michael Thorbjornsen 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 1.01% 0.73% 39
64 IRL Seamus Power 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.63% 0.35% 20
65 USA Patrick Rodgers 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.57% 0.29% 16
66 USA Andrew Putnam 250 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.55% 0.27% 44
67 USA Webb Simpson 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.52% 0.24% 48
68 USA Brendon Todd 275 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% 0.66% 0.4% 36
69 USA Adam Schenk 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.61% 0.38% 55
70 USA Jake Knappe 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.9% 0.7% 48
71 USA Peter Malnati 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.92% 0.77% 70
72 KOR Tom Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% 2
73 USA Chris Gotterup 0% 0% 0% 0% 61

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 26.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/6 66.8% 22.3%
2 Coral 10 @ 1/6 66.8% 22.3%
3 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 45% 27.1%
4 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 44.6% 28.6%
5 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 44.6% 28.6%
6 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 47.3% 29.2%
7 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 46.7% 30.6%
8 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 49.3% 30.9%
9 LiveScore Bet 6 @ 1/5 48% 31.6%
10 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 74.6% 32.2%
11 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 49.4% 32.9%
12 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 49.4% 32.9%
13 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 49.4% 32.9%
14 Betfair Sportsbook 6 @ 1/5 51.5% 35%
15 Paddy Power 6 @ 1/5 51.5% 35%
16 QuinnBet 5 @ 1/4 55.4% 36.2%
17 BetGoodwin 5 @ 1/4 55.4% 36.2%
18 VBet 6 @ 1/5 53.5% 36.6%
19 Star Sports 6 @ 1/5 55% 37.9%
20 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 59.5% 41.9%
21 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 59.8% 42.2%
22 Betway 1 @ 1/1 50.1% 50.1%