Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 10.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.6 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 241.8

Total Profit: +141.7

Irish Open

07/09/2023 - 10/09/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NIR Rory McIlroy 3.33 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 23.09% 18.48% 3.04% -15.44% T16
2 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 9 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 10% 8% 1.49% -6.52% MC
3 AUS Adam Scott 18 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.21% 0.99% -3.23% MC
4 AUS Minwoo Lee 20 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.81% 0.82% -3% T7
5 IRL Shane Lowry 25 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.5/1) 3.85% 3.08% 0.78% -2.3% T3
6 POL Adrian Meronk 28 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.76% 1.11% -1.65% T23
7 ENG Aaron Rai 33 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.35% 0.37% -1.99% T39
8 USA Billy Horschel 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.22% 0.49% -1.73% T45
9 NZL Ryan Fox 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.95% 0.81% -1.14% T3
10 SWE Alexander Bjork 40 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.6/1) 2.44% 1.95% 0.63% -1.32% MC
11 ENG Jordan L Smith 40 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.95% 0.43% -1.52% T12
12 SWE Vincent Norrman 45 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.74% 1.07% -0.67% 1 7.59 +212.5
13 BEL Thomas Detry 52 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 10.9/1) 1.89% 1.51% 0.39% -1.12% T23
14 IRL Seamus Power 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.43% 0.56% -0.87%
15 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.31% 0.4% -0.91% T54
16 ENG Matt Wallace 62 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.4/1) 1.59% 1.27% 0.44% -0.83% T61 5.55
17 NED Joost Luiten 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.19% 0.46% -0.74% T12 5.22
18 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.19% 0.39% -0.8% T45 5.22
19 FRA Romain Langasque 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.13% 0.46% -0.66% T23 4.92
20 ENG Eddie Pepperell 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.13% 0.29% -0.83% MC 4.92
21 FRA Antoine Rozner 72 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.8/1) 1.37% 1.1% 0.32% -0.78% MC 4.79
22 GER Yannik Paul 73 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.9/1) 1.35% 1.08% 0.53% -0.55% T45 4.72
23 USA Tom Hoge 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.05% 0.43% -0.62% T88 4.6
24 SCO Connor Syme 80 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.27% -0.72% T7 (tied w/5) 4.31 +29.3
25 NIR Tom McKibbin 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.88% 0.25% -0.63% T39 3.84
26 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 90 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.2/1) 1.1% 0.88% 0.18% -0.7% MC 3.84
27 IRL Padraig Harrington 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.82% 0.41% -0.4% T79 3.57
28 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 1.37% 0.57% T45 3.46
29 ENG Daniel A Brown 100 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.36% -0.43% T83 3.46
30 ITA Guido Migliozzi 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.28% -0.51% T16 3.46
31 ENG Matthew Southgate 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.21% -0.58% T23 3.46
32 ENG Nathan Kimsey 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.72% 1.35% 0.63% MC 3.15
33 SCO Ewen Ferguson 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.72% 0.36% -0.36% T54 3.15
34 ESP Adrian Otaegui 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.69% 0.27% -0.42% T45 3.01
35 FRA Julien Guerrier 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 1.62% 0.99% T39 2.78
36 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 1.45% 0.81% MC 2.78
37 RSA Erik van Rooyen 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 1.11% 0.48% T16 2.78
38 GER Maximilian Kieffer 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 1.06% 0.43% MC 2.78
39 ESP Jorge Campillo 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.32% -0.32% T33 2.78
40 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.23% -0.3% T54
41 GER Marcel Siem 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.19% -0.34% T16
42 ENG Danny Willett 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.19% -0.34%
43 RSA Wilco Nienaber 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.18% -0.35% MC
44 SCO David Law 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.17% -0.36% T23
45 RSA Thriston Lawrence 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.17% -0.36% T3
46 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.49% 1.34% 0.85% T70
47 MAS Gavin Green 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.48% 0.29% -0.19% T61
48 FIN Sami Valimaki 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.42% 0.26% -0.15% T23
49 FRA Adrien Saddier 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 1.87% 1.47% MC
50 USA Sean Crocker 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 1.15% 0.75% MC
51 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.87% 0.47% T54
52 SCO Grant Forrest 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.39% 0.32% -0.07% T3
53 ENG Matthew Jordan 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.39% 0.19% -0.2% MC
54 FRA Matthieu Pavon 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.37% 1.21% 0.84% T81
55 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 220 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.6/1) 0.45% 0.36% 0.29% -0.07% T39
56 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 239 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.5/1) 0.42% 0.33% 1.36% 1.03% T70
57 GER Marcel Schneider 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.33% 1.26% 0.93% T12
58 SCO Calum Hill 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.33% 0.45% 0.13% T23
59 USA Johannes Veerman 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 1.2% 0.89% MC
60 SCO Scott Jamieson 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.98% 0.66% T45
61 ENG Todd Clements 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.22% -0.1% T72
62 SWE Marcus Kinhult 264 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.3/1) 0.38% 0.3% 1.04% 0.74% MC
63 NZL Daniel Hillier 264 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.3/1) 0.38% 0.3% 0.31% 0.01% T12
64 FIN Kalle Samooja 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.29% 0.26% -0.03% MC
65 ENG Marcus Armitage 275 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.29% 1.15% 0.86% MC
66 RSA Oliver Bekker 275 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.29% 0.14% -0.15% MC
67 ENG Richard Mansell 287 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.9/1) 0.35% 0.28% 0.14% -0.14% T54
68 RSA JC Ritchie 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 1.02% 0.75% MC
69 ENG Matthew Baldwin 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.23% -0.04% T72
70 RSA Zander Lombard 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.18% -0.09% T85
71 ENG Ross Fisher 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.15% -0.11% T23
72 ITA Edoardo Molinari 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.26% 1.27% 1.01% MC
73 SCO Richie Ramsay 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.25% 0.22% -0.03% T61
74 ENG Paul Waring 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.25% 0.14% -0.12% T16
75 FRA Julien Brun 335 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48/1) 0.3% 0.24% 0.24% 0% T16
76 ENG James Morrison 350 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 1.87% 1.64% T45
77 AUS Jason Scrivener 350 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 1.13% 0.9% T54
78 ENG Dan Bradbury 391 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.7/1) 0.26% 0.2% 0.12% -0.08% MC
79 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 393 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.9/1) 0.25% 0.2% 1.34% 1.14% MC
80 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 393 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.9/1) 0.25% 0.2% 0.19% -0.01% T7
81 CHN Wu Ashun 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 1.14% 0.94% T61
82 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.24% 0.04% T72
83 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.23% 0.03% T33
84 ENG Andy Sullivan 403 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.9/1) 0.25% 0.2% 1.13% 0.93% MC
85 ENG Dale Whitnell 440 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.6/1) 0.23% 0.18% 0.94% 0.76% MC
86 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 440 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.6/1) 0.23% 0.18% 0.08% -0.1% MC
87 RSA Louis de Jager 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.17% 1.04% 0.88% T61
88 GER Nick Bachem 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.23% 0.06% T7
89 CAN Aaron Cockerill 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.16% 1.3% 1.14% T72
90 DEN John Axelsen 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.15% -0.01% MC
91 ESP Adria Arnaus 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.1% -0.06% MC
92 FRA Alexander Levy 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 1.99% 1.83% MC
93 SWE Joakim Lagergren 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 1.11% 0.95% MC
94 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 1.06% 0.9% MC
95 FRA Clement Sordet 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.96% 0.8% MC
96 ESP Nacho Elvira 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.17% 0.01% T23
97 ENG Callum Shinkwin 517 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.9/1) 0.19% 0.15% 0.13% -0.02% T61
98 IND Shubhankar Sharma 537 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.15% 0.17% 0.02% T7
99 ENG Luke Donald 538 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% T45
100 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 547 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.7/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% T33
101 SWE Simon Forsstrom 595 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73/1) 0.17% 0.13% 1.32% 1.18% T83
102 RSA Justin Walters 595 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73/1) 0.17% 0.13% 0.15% 0.02% MC
103 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 1.93% 1.8% MC
104 NED Darius Van Driel 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 1.93% 1.8% MC
105 AUT Lukas Nemecz 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 1.69% 1.56% MC
106 SWE Jens Dantorp 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 1.21% 1.08% T45
107 KOR Jeunghun Wang 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.18% 0.04% T61
108 RSA Bryce Easton 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.13% 0% T39
109 IRL Conor Purcell 600 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.06% -0.08% T72
110 USA John Catlin 646 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.5/1) 0.15% 0.12% 1.65% 1.53% MC
111 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 656 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.4/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.26% 0.13% T85
112 WAL Jamie Donaldson 671 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.7/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.17% 0.06% MC
113 GER Hurly Long 739 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.5/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.13% 0.02% 2
114 FRA David Ravetto 744 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.2% 0.1% MC
115 SWE Mikael Lindberg 750 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 2.04% 1.93% T23
116 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 1.95% 1.85% T39
117 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 750 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 1.88% 1.78% MC
118 USA Chase Hanna 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 1.87% 1.76% T81
119 SCO Marc Warren 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.19% 0.08% MC
120 ENG John Parry 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.11% 0.01% T33
121 JPN Kazuki Higa 750 (888sport: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.11% 0% T61
122 FRA Victor Dubuisson 750 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.06% -0.04%
123 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.06% -0.05% MC
124 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 863 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 95.8/1) 0.12% 0.09% 1.11% 1.02% T54
125 NED Daan Huizing 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 2.06% 1.97% T61
126 NED Wil Besseling 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 1.8% 1.72% MC
127 ENG Oliver Wilson 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.12% MC
128 DEN Jeff Winther 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.13% 0.04% MC
129 ENG Andrew Wilson 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.12% 0.04% T72
130 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.11% 0.02% T16
131 ESP Santiago Tarrio 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.06% -0.03%
132 ARG Daniel Vancsik 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.06% -0.02%
133 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 2.01% 1.93% MC
134 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 1.9% 1.82% MC
135 ENG Daniel Gavins 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% MC
136 ENG John Gough 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% MC
137 THA Jazz Janewattananond 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.13% 0.05% MC
138 RSA Deon Germishuys 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.11% 0.03% MC
139 IRL Mark Power 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.06% -0.02% T33
140 DEN Oliver Hundeboll Jorgensen 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 1.56% 1.52% MC
141 USA Gunner Wiebe 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.18% 0.14% T33
142 RSA Ockie Strydom 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.15% 0.11% MC
143 POR Pedro Figueiredo 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.14% 0.1% T88
144 IRL John Murphy 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.12% 0.08% MC
145 IND Manu Gandas 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.12% 0.08% MC
146 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 2000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.08% 0.04% MC
147 SCO Craig Lee 2000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.06% 0.02% MC
148 CHN Shao Yong-liang 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.06% 0.02%
149 SUI Jeremy Freiburghaus 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 1.83% 1.79% MC
150 KOR Yeongsu Kim 2500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.11% 0.08% MC
151 SCO Stephen Gallacher 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.1% 0.07% 87
152 DEN Thomas Bjorn 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.06% 0.03% MC
153 CHN Ma Chengyao 5000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.07% 0.05% MC
154 CHN Hao Tong Li 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% 90
157 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T79
158 USA Joshua Lee 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% 0% 0% T72
160 Alex Maguire 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 10.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.6 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 12.6% 9.7%
2 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 49.5% 14.9%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 50.1% 15.2%
4 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 51.1% 16%
5 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 51.1% 16.1%
6 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 82.3% 21.8%
7 Coral 10 @ 1/5 82.3% 21.8%
8 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 59.8% 22.7%
9 888Sport 7 @ 1/5 54% 27.8%
10 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 44.8% 28.3%
11 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 56.4% 29.8%
12 Betway 7 @ 1/5 56.5% 29.9%
13 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 47.8% 31%
14 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 47.8% 31%
15 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 47.9% 31.1%
16 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 49% 32%
17 VBet 5 @ 1/4 50.9% 33.6%
18 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 52% 34.6%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 51.7% 37%
20 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 51.7% 37%
21 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 58.5% 43.1%
22 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 59.6% 44%
23 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 59.6% 44%