Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 8.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 317.9

Total Profit: +217.8

Canadian Open

08/06/2023 - 11/06/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NIR Rory McIlroy 5.8 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 2/1) 14.71% 11.33% 2.07% -9.27% T9
2 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 10 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 9.09% 7.01% 4.1% -2.91% T3
3 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 14 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.14% 2.85% -2.29% T20
4 USA Cameron Young 16 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.53% 2.85% -1.69% T57
5 USA Sam Burns 16.4 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.1/1) 5.75% 4.43% 2.31% -2.12% MC
6 ENG Justin Rose 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.06% 3.37% -0.69% 8
7 IRL Shane Lowry 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.67% 1.68% -1.99% T43
8 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.35% 2.45% -0.9% 2
9 CAN Corey Conners 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.35% 2.44% -0.91% T20
10 USA Sahith Theegala 25 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.96% 2.57% -0.39% T38
11 POL Adrian Meronk 40 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.88% 2.25% 0.37% MC 8.44
12 CAN Adam Hadwin 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.68% 1.53% -0.15% T12 7.52
13 KOR Byeong Hun An 45 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.68% 1.5% -0.17% 7.52
14 USA Keith Mitchell 52 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 10.9/1) 1.89% 1.45% 1.67% 0.22% MC 6.53
15 USA Joseph Bramlett 55 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.38% 0.89% -0.49%
16 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 55 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.38% 0.82% -0.55% MC
17 USA Matt Kuchar 57 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.7/1) 1.72% 1.33% 2.11% 0.78% T20 5.97
18 CAN Nick Taylor 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.26% 2.21% 0.95% 1 5.67 +209.8
19 USA Michael Kim 60 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.26% 1.47% 0.2% T43 5.67
20 USA Maverick McNealy 60 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.26% 1.17% -0.09% MC 5.67
21 USA Eric Cole 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.26% 1.07% -0.19% T6
22 SWE Ludvig Aberg 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.26% 0.5% -0.76% T25
23 USA Mackenzie Hughes 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 0.81% -0.34% MC
24 USA Alex Smalley 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 0.63% -0.52% T25
25 CAN Taylor Pendrith 70 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.09% 0.52% -0.57% T65
26 ENG Aaron Rai 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 1.03% 0.08% T3 (tied w/3) 4.27 +36.3
27 CAN Adam Svensson 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 0.9% 1.16% 0.27% MC 4.03
28 USA Aaron Wise 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.85% 1.12% 0.27% MC 3.81
29 USA Luke List 90 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.85% 1.03% 0.18% 3.81
30 USA Brandon Wu 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 1.19% 0.43% T9 3.43
31 USA Brendon Todd 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.98% 0.22% T34 3.43
32 USA Mark Hubbard 100 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.87% 0.11% T6 (tied w/2) 3.43 +36
33 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.79% 0.03% T25 3.43
34 USA David Lipsky 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.58% -0.18% MC
35 USA William Gordon 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.52% -0.25% T18
36 SWE Vincent Norrman 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 0.5% -0.26% MC
37 RSA Garrick Higgo 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.69% 0.74% 0.05% T50 3.12
38 USA Carson Young 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.69% 0.59% -0.11% T43 3.12
39 USA Lee Hodges 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.66% 1.14% 0.48% T25 2.99
40 USA Michael Thorbjornsen 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.99% 0.38% MC 2.75
41 TPE C.T. Pan 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.97% 0.36% T3 (tied w/3) 2.75 +35.8
42 USA Akshay Bhatia 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.97% 0.36% T68 2.75
43 USA Sam Ryder 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 1.14% 0.63%
44 USA Nate Lashley 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 1.04% 0.53% 17
45 USA Dylan Wu 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.75% 0.23% T25
46 USA Chez Reavie 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.67% 0.16% T25
47 USA Patton Kizzire 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.64% 0.13% T38
48 USA Robby Shelton 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.55% 0.04% MC
49 USA Cameron Champ 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.35% -0.16% MC
50 ENG Harry Hall 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.5% 0.87% 0.37% T34
51 USA Ben Martin 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.47% 0.75% 0.28% MC
52 USA Doc Redman 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% 0.32% -0.12% MC
53 USA Doug Ghim 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.4% 0.53% 0.13% T12
54 USA Sam Bennett 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.9% 0.52% T20
55 USA Scott Piercy 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.53% 0.15% T57
56 USA Webb Simpson 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.49% 0.1%
57 USA Brandt Snedeker 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.54% 0.24% MC
58 USA Austin Smotherman 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.43% 0.12% T50
59 AUS Aaron Baddeley 297 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44/1) 0.34% 0.26% 0.74% 0.48% MC
60 USA Andrew Novak 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.79% 0.54% T9
61 RSA MJ Daffue 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.58% 0.32% T38
62 ARG Augusto Nunez 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.42% 0.17% MC
63 USA Greyson Sigg 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.4% 0.14% T38
64 CAN Aaron Cockerill 345 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.1/1) 0.29% 0.22% 0.56% 0.33% MC
65 ENG Callum Tarren 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.36% 0.14% T43
66 USA Kramer Hickok 364 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51/1) 0.27% 0.21% 0.53% 0.31% MC
67 USA Grayson Murray 383 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.9/1) 0.26% 0.2% 0.17% -0.03% MC
68 USA Justin Lower 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.41% 0.21% T25
69 USA Vincent Whaley 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.27% 0.07% T72
70 USA Lanto Griffin 441 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.7/1) 0.23% 0.17% 0.6% 0.42% MC
71 USA Chad Ramey 469 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.4/1) 0.21% 0.16% 0.61% 0.44% MC
72 RSA Erik van Rooyen 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.16% 0.49% 0.33% MC
73 USA Tyler Duncan 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.16% 0.47% 0.3% MC
74 USA James Hahn 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.16% 0.44% 0.28% T57
75 USA Zac Blair 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17%
76 USA Bill Haas 500 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.11% WD
77 USA Kyle Westmoreland 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.18% 0.03% MC
78 CAN Myles Creighton 500 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.12% -0.03% MC
79 USA Kevin Chappell 508 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.1/1) 0.2% 0.15% 0.66% 0.51% MC
80 USA Lucas Glover 508 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.1/1) 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.2% T20
81 CAN Benjamin Silverman 508 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.1/1) 0.2% 0.15% 0.12% -0.03% MC
82 USA Ryan Gerard 527 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.8/1) 0.19% 0.15% 0.41% 0.26% T43
83 USA Chesson Hadley 565 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.3/1) 0.18% 0.14% 0.31% 0.18% T43
84 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 565 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.3/1) 0.18% 0.14% 0.21% 0.07% T18
85 USA Kevin Tway 585 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.1/1) 0.17% 0.13% 0.45% 0.32% MC
86 USA Richy Werenski 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.47% 0.34% T65
87 AUT Matthias Schwab 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.39% 0.26% MC
88 USA Trevor Cone 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.37% 0.24% T68
89 USA Sean O'Hair 604 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73.8/1) 0.17% 0.13% 0.31% 0.18% MC
90 USA Adam Long 623 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.5/1) 0.16% 0.12% 0.45% 0.32% T57
91 USA Paul Haley-II 681 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.6/1) 0.15% 0.11% 0.42% 0.31% MC
92 KOR Seungyul Noh 700 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 82.2/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.33% 0.22% T38
93 USA Robert Streb 729 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84.7/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.14% 0.03% MC
94 USA Ryan Moore 739 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.5/1) 0.14% 0.1% 0.32% 0.21% T25
95 USA Harry Higgs 748 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86.3/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.45% 0.35% T12
96 USA Jason Dufner 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.32% 0.22% T52
97 USA Jim Herman 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.15% MC
98 COL Camilo Villegas 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.14% 0.04% MC
99 USA Peter Malnati 758 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.1/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.66% 0.56% T43
100 SWE Henrik Norlander 796 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 90.3/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.43% 0.33% T72
101 CAN Michael Gligic 800 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.32% 0.23% MC
102 USA William McGirt 800 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.26% 0.17% MC
103 SCO Russell Knox 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% MC
104 CAN Stuart MacDonald 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.12% 0.03% T57
105 USA Hank Lebioda 873 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 96.6/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.28% 0.19% MC
106 SCO Martin Laird 883 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 97.4/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.24% 0.16% MC
107 USA Ryan Armour 902 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.9/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.26% 0.18% MC
108 USA Trevor Werbylo 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.45% 0.37% MC
109 KOR Sunghoon Kang 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.44% 0.36% T57
110 USA Scott Harrington 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.42% 0.34% MC
111 USA Tyson Alexander 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.41% 0.33% MC
112 SWE David Lingmerth 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.4% 0.32%
113 USA Brent Grant 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.38% 0.3% T52
114 USA Brice Garnett 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.38% 0.3% T68
115 AUS Cameron Percy 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.38% 0.3% T52
116 USA Harrison Endycott 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.37% 0.29% T12
117 USA Chris Stroud 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.35% 0.27% MC
118 USA Cody Gribble 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.34% 0.26% T34
119 USA Kevin Roy 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.23% MC
120 USA Jonathan Byrd 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% T12
121 CAN Roger Sloan 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% T34
122 USA Austin Cook 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
123 USA Brandon Matthews 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% MC
124 USA Martin Trainer 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% T72
125 USA Michael Block 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 1.12% 1.04% MC
126 USA Max McGreevy 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.4% 0.33% MC
127 USA Kelly Kraft 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.21% MC
128 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.2% MC
129 USA Ryan Brehm 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.19% MC
130 USA Andrew Landry 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% T57
131 USA Nick Watney 1000 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% MC
132 USA Brian Stuard 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.14% MC
133 USA Ricky Barnes 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% MC
134 CAN Etienne Papineau 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.12% 0.05% MC
135 CAN Johnny Travale 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.12% 0.05% MC
136 CAN Mike Weir 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.12% 0.04% T52
137 USA Brian Gay 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.11% 0.04% T52
138 USA Wesley Bryan 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.23% 0.18% MC
139 USA Derek Ernst 2000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.21% 0.17% MC
140 CAN David Hearn 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.11% 0.08% MC
141 USA Kevin Stadler 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 KOR Sangmoon Bae 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 USA Ben Crane 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 USA Scott Brown 0% 0% 0% 0% T65
145 USA Kyle Stanley 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 USA Ted Potter-jr 0% 0% 0% 0% T25
147 USA Tommy Gainey 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 CAN Wilson Bateman 0% 0% 0% 0% T68
149 USA Jake Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 USA George McNeill 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 IRL David Carey 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 CAN Daniel Jae Yong Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 USA Omar Uresti 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 CAN Drew Nesbitt 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA Derek Lamely 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 USA Peter Kuest 0% 0% 0% 0% T57
159 USA Ryan Hall 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 Taylor Durham 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
161 Sebastian Szirmak 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 8.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 44.5% 10.4%
2 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 13.8% 11%
3 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 48.3% 13.6%
4 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 52% 16.8%
5 Coral 10 @ 1/5 78.4% 19%
6 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 78.8% 19.2%
7 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 56% 19.4%
8 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 57.8% 20.8%
9 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 57.8% 20.8%
10 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 39.7% 23.5%
11 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 43.2% 26.6%
12 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 44.5% 27.7%
13 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 45.4% 28.5%
14 Betway 7 @ 1/5 57.2% 29.9%
15 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 47.7% 30.5%
16 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 51.2% 33.5%
17 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 51.2% 33.5%
18 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 62% 34.3%
19 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 51.9% 36.8%
20 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 51.9% 36.8%
21 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 52.5% 37.3%
22 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 52.5% 37.3%
23 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 54.2% 38.8%
24 VBet 5 @ 1/4 57.5% 39.3%