Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 9.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.8 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 79.3

Total Profit: -20.7

the Memorial Tournament

01/06/2023 - 04/06/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Scottie Scheffler 6 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 14.29% 11.53% 3.26% -8.27% 3
2 ESP Jon Rahm 8 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 2.4/1) 11.11% 8.97% 4.29% -4.68% T16
3 USA Patrick Cantlay 9 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 10% 8.07% 1.8% -6.27% T30
4 USA Xander Schauffele 14 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 6.67% 5.38% 2.62% -2.77% T24
5 NIR Rory McIlroy 16.8 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.1/1) 5.62% 4.54% 1.46% -3.07% T7
6 NOR Viktor Hovland 20 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.84% 1.75% -2.1% 1
7 USA Collin Morikawa 20 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 4.76% 3.84% 1.64% -2.2% WD
8 AUS Jason Day 25 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 3.85% 3.11% 1.21% -1.9% MC
9 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 28 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.78% 1.98% -0.81% T12
10 USA Justin Thomas 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.78% 1.33% -1.45% MC
11 KOR Sungjae Im 30 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 3.23% 2.6% 1.33% -1.28% T41
12 USA Jordan Spieth 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.37% 1.87% -0.5% T5 (tied w/2) 10.66 +40.5
13 USA Cameron Young 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.37% 1.59% -0.78% MC
14 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 35 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.24% 1.84% -0.4% T16 10.07
15 USA Rickie Fowler 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.97% 1.55% -0.41% T9 8.84
16 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 45 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.76% 1.1% -0.66% T9 7.88
17 IRL Shane Lowry 50 (Star Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.58% 1.66% 0.08% T16 7.11
18 KOR Siwoo Kim 55 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.44% 1.08% -0.36% 4 6.47 +38.8
19 USA Sam Burns 57 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.7/1) 1.72% 1.39% 1.45% 0.06% T16 6.25
20 AUS Adam Scott 60 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.32% 2.02% 0.69% T9 5.94
21 USA Russell Henley 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.32% 1.3% -0.03% T16 5.94
22 CAN Corey Conners 62 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.4/1) 1.59% 1.28% 1.85% 0.57% MC 5.75
23 KOR Tom Kim 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 1.87% 0.67% MC 5.41
24 USA Wyndham Clark 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 1.56% 0.36% T12 5.41
25 USA Sahith Theegala 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.19% 1.66% 0.48% T58 5.33
26 USA Keegan Bradley 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.7% 1.47% 0.78% T30 3.13
27 USA Taylor Moore 120 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.83% 0.67% 0.86% 0.2% 3
28 USA Matt Kuchar 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 1.18% 0.54% 62 2.88
29 CAN Adam Hadwin 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 1.33% 0.79% MC
30 AUS Cameron Davis 172 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.7/1) 0.58% 0.47% 1.34% 0.87% MC
31 USA Gary Woodland 172 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.7/1) 0.58% 0.47% 0.8% 0.34% T24
32 ARG Emiliano Grillo 181 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.7/1) 0.55% 0.44% 0.92% 0.48% T48
33 USA Denny McCarthy 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.42% 1.53% 1.11% 2
34 USA Chris Kirk 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.42% 0.99% 0.57% MC
35 CAN Adam Svensson 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 1.52% 1.12% MC
36 AUT Sepp Straka 200 (888sport: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.81% 0.41% T16
37 USA Hayden Buckley 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 0.3% MC
38 USA Beau Hossler 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.59% 0.19% T24
39 USA Billy Horschel 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.55% 0.15% MC
40 GER Stephan Jaeger 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.55% 0.15% T24
41 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 201 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.7/1) 0.5% 0.4% 0.59% 0.19% MC
42 KOR Byeong Hun An 211 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.7/1) 0.47% 0.38% 0.67% 0.29% T24
43 USA Brian Harman 220 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.6/1) 0.45% 0.37% 0.64% 0.27% MC
44 USA Keith Mitchell 229 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.5/1) 0.43% 0.35% 1.36% 1.01% T48
45 USA Kurt Kitayama 229 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.5/1) 0.43% 0.35% 0.99% 0.64% MC
46 NZL Ryan Fox 239 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.5/1) 0.42% 0.34% 1.22% 0.88% T30
47 USA JT Poston 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 1.06% 0.74% T38
48 USA J.J Spaun 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 1.04% 0.72% T30
49 USA Brendon Todd 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.41% 0.09%
50 USA Harris English 268 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.8/1) 0.37% 0.3% 1.03% 0.73% T52
51 USA Tom Hoge 277 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.8/1) 0.36% 0.29% 0.92% 0.63% 65
52 AUS Lucas Herbert 287 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.9/1) 0.35% 0.28% 1.4% 1.12% MC
53 USA Andrew Putnam 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.96% 0.69% T5
54 USA Matthew NeSmith 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.43% 0.16% MC
55 USA Akshay Bhatia 300 (Star Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.36% 0.1% MC
56 USA Patrick Rodgers 307 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45/1) 0.32% 0.26% 0.6% 0.34% T30
57 USA Alex Smalley 307 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45/1) 0.32% 0.26% 0.32% 0.06% MC
58 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 316 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46/1) 0.32% 0.25% 0.5% 0.25% T38
59 IRL Seamus Power 325 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47/1) 0.31% 0.25% 1.59% 1.34% T41
60 USA Kevin Streelman 355 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.1/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.36% 0.13% MC
61 USA Taylor Montgomery 373 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51.9/1) 0.27% 0.22% 0.6% 0.39% T41
62 USA Adam Schenk 393 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.9/1) 0.25% 0.2% 1.17% 0.96% T7
63 USA Lee Hodges 400 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.38% 0.18% T12
64 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 431 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.7/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.75% 0.57% MC
65 BEL Thomas Detry 431 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.7/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.64% 0.45% T48
66 USA Davis Riley 441 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.7/1) 0.23% 0.18% 0.59% 0.41% T54
67 USA Eric Cole 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.69% 0.52% T24
68 USA Brandon Wu 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.48% 0.31% MC
69 USA Chez Reavie 500 (Star Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.4% 0.24% T58
70 USA Samuel Stevens 508 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.1/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.61% 0.45% T41
71 USA Robby Shelton 527 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.8/1) 0.19% 0.15% 0.43% 0.28% MC
72 USA Mackenzie Hughes 537 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.15% 0.84% 0.69% MC
73 SWE Alexander Noren 537 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.15% 0.43% 0.27% T52
74 USA Austin Eckroat 547 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.7/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.58% 0.44% T30
75 CAN Taylor Pendrith 547 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.7/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% T60
76 USA Benjamin Griffin 585 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.1/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.78% 0.64% MC
77 USA Joseph Bramlett 585 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.1/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.45% 0.31% T16
78 USA Davis Thompson 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.7% 0.57% T56
79 RSA MJ Daffue 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.42% 0.29% MC
80 USA Mark Hubbard 623 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.5/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.64% 0.51% T30
81 USA Luke List 643 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.3/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.28% 0.16% T16
82 USA Scott Stallings 671 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.7/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.69% 0.57% MC
83 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 681 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.6/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.36% 0.24% T41
84 RSA Garrick Higgo 691 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.4/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.36% 0.24% T30
85 USA Joel Dahmen 710 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.1/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.26% 0.15% MC
86 USA William Gordon 729 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84.7/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.29% 0.17% MC
87 USA Sam Ryder 739 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.5/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.6% 0.5% T56
88 ENG Matt Wallace 748 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86.3/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.44% 0.33% T48
89 ITA Francesco Molinari 748 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86.3/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.32% 0.21% MC
90 USA Peter Malnati 750 (Star Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.46% 0.35% MC
91 ENG Benjamin Taylor 750 (Star Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.37% 0.26% MC
92 USA Trey Mullinax 750 (Star Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.3% 0.19% MC
93 USA Adam Long 750 (Star Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.29% 0.18% MC
94 USA Lucas Glover 750 (Star Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.19% 0.08% MC
95 USA Justin Lower 750 (Star Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.17% 0.07% MC
96 USA David Lipsky 815 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 91.9/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.34% 0.24% T12
97 ENG Danny Willett 844 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 94.2/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.28% 0.19% T54
98 USA Sam Bennett 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 1.13% 1.05% 63
99 USA Chad Ramey 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.37% 0.28% MC
100 USA Stewart Cink 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% T60
101 USA Nick Hardy 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
102 USA Lanto Griffin 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% 64
103 USA Zach Johnson 1000 (Star Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.43% 0.35% MC
104 USA Kevin Kisner 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.35% 0.27% MC
105 SWE David Lingmerth 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
106 COL Nicolas Echavarria 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
107 ENG Luke Donald 1000 (Star Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% T38
108 JPN Kazuki Higa 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.1% MC
109 AUS David Micheluzzi 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% MC
110 RSA Thriston Lawrence 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.07% MC
111 AUS Aldrich Potgieter 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.09% 0.01% MC
112 USA Brandt Snedeker 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.07% -0.01% T41
113 KOR K.J. Choi 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.07% -0.01% MC
114 RSA Dylan Frittelli 1500 (Star Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.31% 0.26%
115 USA Troy Merritt 1500 (Star Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.09% 0.04% MC
116 USA William McGirt 2500 (Star Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.24% 0.2% MC
117 USA Jason Dufner 2500 (Star Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.17% 0.14% MC
118 USA Bo Hoag 2500 (Star Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.07% 0.04% MC
119 ENG Aaron Rai 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
120 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% T41
121 USA Chris Gotterup 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 9.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.8 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 9.3% 4.9%
2 Star Sports 8 @ 1/5 49.3% 14%
3 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 50.1% 14.5%
4 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 50.8% 15.1%
5 VBet 8 @ 1/5 50.8% 15.1%
6 Coral 12 @ 1/6 81% 19.6%
7 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 57.5% 20.2%
8 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 57.5% 20.2%
9 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 81% 20.2%
10 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 63.7% 25%
11 888Sport 7 @ 1/5 51.9% 25.3%
12 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 48.2% 30.8%
13 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 48.4% 31%
14 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 48.5% 31.1%
15 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 49.6% 32%
16 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 49.6% 32%
17 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 50.8% 33%
18 Betway 7 @ 1/5 61.7% 33.5%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 48.8% 33.6%
20 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 48.8% 33.6%
21 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 57.5% 39%
22 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 55.5% 39.6%
23 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 59.2% 42.9%