Market Analysis
Bookie Overround: 5.1 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.2 %
Total Probability Staked: 23.4 %
Results
Total Staked: 100.0
Total Won: 49.3
Total Profit: -50.7
| # | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Discrep. | Pos. Pos. | Stake | Returns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
| Jon Rahm | 5 (Betfair : 5 @ 1/5) | 16.67% | 15.48% | 8.36% | -7.12% | T8 | |||
| 2 |
| Scottie Scheffler | 8 (Betfair : 5 @ 1/5) | 11.11% | 10.32% | 6.77% | -3.55% | 2 | |||
| 3 |
| Tony Finau | 10 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) | 9.09% | 8.44% | 18.21% | 9.77% | 7 | |||
| 4 |
| Xander Schauffele | 11 (Betfair : 5 @ 1/5) | 8.33% | 7.74% | 8% | 0.26% | 4 | |||
| 5 |
| Justin Thomas | 13.8 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 3.6/1) | 6.76% | 6.28% | 2.66% | -3.62% | 5 | |||
| 6 |
| Matthew Fitzpatrick | 15.8 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4/1) | 5.95% | 5.53% | 7.93% | 2.4% | T13 | |||
| 7 |
| Sungjae Im | 16 (Betfair : 5 @ 1/5) | 5.88% | 5.46% | 3.5% | -1.96% | T8 | |||
| 8 |
| Viktor Hovland | 20 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.7/1) | 4.76% | 4.42% | 6.58% | 2.16% | 1 | |||
| 9 |
| Collin Morikawa | 20 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) | 4.76% | 4.42% | 3.8% | -0.63% | 6 | |||
| 10 |
| Sam Burns | 23 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.2/1) | 4.17% | 3.87% | 3.38% | -0.49% | 12 | 16.53 | ||
| 11 |
| Tomoharu Kimura | 24 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.3/1) | 4% | 3.72% | 0.26% | -3.46% | ||||
| 12 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 25 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.5/1) | 3.85% | 3.57% | 5.82% | 2.25% | 15.26 | |||
| 13 |
| Max Homa | 25 (Betfair : 5 @ 1/5) | 3.85% | 3.57% | 5.75% | 2.18% | 17 | 15.26 | ||
| 14 |
| Cameron Young | 25 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.5/1) | 3.85% | 3.57% | 3.58% | 0.01% | 3 | 15.26 | +49.3 | |
| 15 |
| Shane Lowry | 29 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.1/1) | 3.33% | 3.1% | 5.73% | 2.64% | 18 | 13.23 | ||
| 16 |
| Jordan Spieth | 29 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.1/1) | 3.33% | 3.1% | 2.44% | -0.66% | 15 | |||
| 17 |
| Billy Horschel | 39 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.5/1) | 2.5% | 2.32% | 2.18% | -0.14% | T13 | 9.92 | ||
| 18 |
| Corey Conners | 40 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 2.27% | 2.25% | -0.01% | 16 | 9.68 | ||
| 19 |
| Tiger Woods | 55 (Boyle Sports: 5 @ 1/5) | 1.79% | 1.66% | 0.26% | -1.4% | ||||
| 20 |
| Kevin Kisner | 80 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 1.15% | 2.53% | 1.38% | 4.9 | |||
| 21 |
| Sepp Straka | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | T10 | ||||
| 22 |
| Tom Kim | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | T10 | ||||
Market Analysis
Overround of best available: 5.1 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.2 %
Key
Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair Exchange | 1 @ 1/1 | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| 2 | Bet365 | 4 @ 1/4 | 20.6% | 13.2% |
| 3 | Skybet | 4 @ 1/4 | 21.6% | 14.1% |
| 4 | Betfair Sportsbook | 5 @ 1/5 | 26.6% | 16.5% |
| 5 | Paddy Power | 5 @ 1/5 | 26.6% | 16.5% |
| 6 | Ladbrokes | 4 @ 1/4 | 24.4% | 16.8% |
| 7 | Coral | 4 @ 1/4 | 24.4% | 16.8% |
| 8 | Boyle Sports | 5 @ 1/5 | 27.7% | 17.5% |
| 9 | 888Sport | 4 @ 1/4 | 26% | 18.3% |
| 10 | Betfred | 4 @ 1/4 | 26.1% | 18.5% |
| 11 | 10Bet | 4 @ 1/4 | 26.1% | 18.5% |
| 12 | LiveScore Bet | 4 @ 1/4 | 26.1% | 18.5% |
| 13 | William Hill | 4 @ 1/4 | 26.6% | 18.9% |
| 14 | Bet Victor | 4 @ 1/4 | 26.9% | 19.2% |
| 15 | Parimatch | 4 @ 1/4 | 26.9% | 19.2% |
| 16 | Betway | 4 @ 1/4 | 28.9% | 21% |
| 17 | Unibet | 4 @ 1/4 | 29.1% | 21.2% |
| 18 | BetUK | 4 @ 1/4 | 29.1% | 21.2% |
| 19 | Sporting Index | 4 @ 1/4 | 30.5% | 22.6% |
| 20 | Spreadex | 4 @ 1/4 | 34% | 25.9% |
| 21 | VBet | 4 @ 1/4 | 34.5% | 26.4% |
| 22 | QuinnBet | 4 @ 1/5 | 23.8% | 26.6% |