Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 10.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 299.6

Total Profit: +199.5

Hero Open

28/07/2022 - 31/07/2022

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NZL Ryan Fox 10 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 9.09% 7.91% 6.55% -1.35% T22
2 SCO Richie Ramsay 22 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.78% 2.06% -1.72% MC
3 FRA Romain Langasque 25 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.35% 1.08% -2.27% T14
4 ESP Adrian Otaegui 28 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.9/1) 3.45% 3% 2.74% -0.26% T3
5 RSA Oliver Bekker 32 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.5/1) 3.03% 2.64% 2.19% -0.44% MC
6 GER Hurly Long 33 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.56% 2.5% -0.05% T14 10.95
7 FRA Antoine Rozner 33 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.56% 1.17% -1.39% MC
8 ENG Callum Shinkwin 33 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.56% 1.04% -1.52% T7
9 ENG Richard Mansell 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.12% 1.99% -0.13% MC 9.08
10 ITA Edoardo Molinari 40 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.12% 1.57% -0.55% MC
11 NOR Espen Kofstad 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.12% 1.48% -0.64% MC
12 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 40 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.12% 0.84% -1.28% MC
13 SCO Grant Forrest 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.12% 0.68% -1.44% T41
14 SCO David Law 45 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.89% 1.65% -0.24% T3 (tied w/2) 8.1 +40.5
15 FRA Victor Dubuisson 45 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.89% 0.56% -1.33% T19
16 ENG Paul Waring 50 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.71% 1.02% -0.68% T30
17 SWE Jens Dantorp 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.71% 0.87% -0.84% T5
18 ENG James Morrison 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.71% 0.77% -0.94% MC
19 FRA Julien Guerrier 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.43% 1.34% -0.08% MC 6.11
20 GER Marcel Schneider 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.36% 1.38% 0.02% MC 5.82
21 ESP Jorge Campillo 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.36% 1.33% -0.02% T30 5.82
22 RSA Justin Walters 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.3% 1.2% -0.1% T22 5.56
23 ENG Eddie Pepperell 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.3% 1.16% -0.14% 2 5.56 +39.5
24 SCO Scott Jamieson 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.3% 0.85% -0.45% T41
25 ENG Garrick Porteous 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.3% 0.8% -0.5% T30
26 SCO Ewen Ferguson 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.3% 0.69% -0.61% T30
27 ENG Andy Sullivan 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.3% 0.68% -0.62% T49
28 RSA Brandon Stone 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.3% 0.66% -0.64% T63
29 AUT Lukas Nemecz 68 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.2/1) 1.45% 1.26% 1.13% -0.13% T66 5.4
30 ENG Ross Fisher 70 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.23% 0.82% -0.41% T22
31 RSA JC Ritchie 73 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.9/1) 1.35% 1.18% 0.64% -0.54% T30
32 SCO Connor Syme 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.07% 0.92% -0.16% T41 4.6
33 ENG Matthew Southgate 80 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.07% 0.82% -0.25% T30
34 JPN Takumi Kanaya 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.07% 0.62% -0.45% MC
35 FRA Frederic LaCroix 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.94% 0.73% -0.21% MC 4.01
36 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.89% 1% 0.11% T14 3.8
37 ENG Jack Senior 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.89% 0.29% -0.6% T49
38 ENG Dale Whitnell 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.86% 1% 0.14% MC 3.69
39 SCO Craig Howie 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.86% 0.57% -0.29% MC
40 USA Sean Crocker 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.81% 0.87% 0.07% 1 3.45 +219.6
41 RSA Wilco Nienaber 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.74% 0.85% 0.11% T7 3.16
42 NED Darius Van Driel 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.74% 0.47% -0.26% T41
43 ESP Nacho Elvira 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.74% 0.41% -0.32% MC
44 ENG Matthew Baldwin 120 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.83% 0.72% 1.27% 0.55% T56 3.08
45 NED Daan Huizing 120 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.83% 0.72% 1.17% 0.45% MC 3.08
46 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.69% 0.59% -0.1% T19 2.96
47 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.69% 0.38% -0.31% MC
48 USA Chase Hanna 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.68% 1.02% 0.33% T30 2.94
49 IRL Niall Kearney 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.68% 0.45% -0.23% T22 2.94
50 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.59% 0.95% 0.36% MC
51 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.59% 0.75% 0.16% MC
52 ITA Francesco Laporta 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.59% 0.74% 0.14% T41
53 DEN Oliver Hundeboll Jorgensen 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 0.28% -0.3% T5
54 ITA Nino Bertasio 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.55% 0.63% 0.07% MC
55 RSA Darren Fichardt 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.49% 0.63% 0.13% MC
56 THA Jazz Janewattananond 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.49% 0.36% -0.13% MC
57 RSA Bryce Easton 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.49% 0.36% -0.14% T30
58 ENG Ashley Chesters 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.47% 1.06% 0.59% T59
59 NZL Daniel Hillier 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.47% 0.31% -0.16% T12
60 ENG Oliver Wilson 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.78% 0.35% T41
61 RSA Richard Sterne 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.43% 0.71% 0.27% MC
62 GER Marcel Siem 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.42% 0.55% 0.13% MC
63 WAL Oliver Farr 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% T10
64 ENG David Horsey 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.37% 1.31% 0.94% T30
65 DEN Jeff Winther 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.36% 0.3% -0.06% T41
66 NZL Josh Geary 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.3% -0.04% T49
67 CAN Aaron Cockerill 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.34% 1.3% 0.96% MC
68 MAS Gavin Green 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.34% 0.66% 0.32% T56
69 SWE Niklas Lemke 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.32% 0.43% 0.12% T59
70 RSA Louis de Jager 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.32% 0.41% 0.1% T14
71 WAL Stuart Manley 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 1.31% 1.02% T22
72 POR Ricardo Santos 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.58% 0.29% MC
73 ENG Richard McEvoy 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.57% 0.28% MC
74 USA Aman Gupta 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.31% 0.02% T49
75 ENG Steven Brown 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.29% 0% MC
76 ENG Jonathan Thomson 300 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.29% 0% T49
77 ENG Andrew Wilson 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.29% 0.58% 0.3% MC
78 ENG Lee Slattery 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.28% 1.17% 0.9% MC
79 ENG Sam Bairstow 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.27% 2.19% 1.93% MC
80 ESP Alvaro Quiros 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.27% 0.32% 0.05% T10
81 CHI Hugo Leon 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.27% 0.3% 0.03% MC
82 ENG Robert Rock 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.25% 0.37% 0.12% T22
83 ESP Pedro Oriol 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.25% 0.29% 0.04% MC
84 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.25% 0.29% 0.05% T7
85 SCO Daniel Young 350 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 0.28% 0.03% T12
86 SCO David Drysdale 391 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.7/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.55% 0.32% MC
87 SCO Marc Warren 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.35% 0.14% MC
88 SCO Stephen Gallacher 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.21% 0.51% 0.3% MC
89 USA Julian Suri 420 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.6/1) 0.24% 0.21% 0.43% 0.22% MC
90 ENG Ben Stow 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.39% 0.21% T30
91 AUS Scott Hend 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.48% 0.3% MC
92 SWE Jesper Svensson 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.81% 0.64% T19
93 ENG Chris Paisley 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.32% 0.15% MC
94 SWE Joel Sjoholm 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.32% 0.14% MC
95 SWE Bjorn Hellgren 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.31% 0.13% MC
96 AUS Jarryd Felton 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.31% 0.13% MC
97 RSA Jacques Blaauw 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.29% 0.11% MC
98 FRA Robin Roussel 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.27% 0.09% T30
99 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.26% 0.09% T69
100 AUS Zach Murray 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.26% 0.08% MC
101 ENG David Coupland 509 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.2/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.27% 0.1% MC
102 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 528 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.9/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.49% 0.32% MC
103 SWE Anton Karlsson 538 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.3% 0.13% MC
104 ESP Pep Angles Ros 577 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.4/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% MC
105 ENG Alfie Plant 587 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.3/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% T63
106 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.37% 0.22% T49
107 AUS Jake McLeod 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.31% 0.17% MC
108 SWE Henric Sturehed 636 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.7/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.28% 0.15% T22
109 AUS Blake Windred 675 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.28% 0.15% MC
110 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 685 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.9/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.27% 0.14% MC
111 ENG Jordan Wrisdale 734 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 1.27% 1.15% MC
112 POR Pedro Figueiredo 744 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86/1) 0.13% 0.12% 0.47% 0.35% MC
113 CHN Zhang Huilin 750 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.31% 0.19% MC
114 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.29% 0.18% MC
115 SCO Liam Johnston 920 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 100.4/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.31% 0.21% MC
116 ENG Jack Singh Brar 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.51% 0.42% MC
117 ENG Chris Wood 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.45% 0.36% MC
118 ENG Matt Ford 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.31% MC
119 SWE Jesper Kennegard 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% MC
120 ENG Laird Shepherd 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.34% 0.25% MC
121 FRA Joel Stalter 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.33% 0.24% T14
122 ENG Oliver Fisher 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.33% 0.24% T66
123 FRA Damien Perrier 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22% MC
124 DEN Christoffer Bring 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.29% 0.2% T22
125 ENG Ben Evans 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.28% 0.19% MC
126 ESP Carlos Pigem 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% MC
127 ENG Ross McGowan 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.46% 0.38% MC
128 ENG David Dixon 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22% MC
129 BRA Adilson da Silva 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% T66
130 IRL Paul Dunne 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.29% 0.2% MC
131 IRL Simon Thornton 1000 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.28% 0.19%
132 RSA Haydn Porteous 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.27% 0.19% MC
133 NIR Cormac Sharvin 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.33% 0.26% MC
134 SCO Greig Hutcheon 1500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.36% 0.3% MC
135 ENG Adam Keogh 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.31% 0.25% T49
136 USA Tyler Koivisto 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.3% 0.24% MC
137 BEL Kristof Ulenaers 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.28% 0.22% MC
138 FRA Gregory Havret 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.25% 0.19% MC
139 IMN Tom Gandy 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.31% 0.26% T56
140 ENG David Howell 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.29% 0.24% MC
141 ENG Russell Chrystie 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.28% 0.24% MC
142 ENG Graeme Storm 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.25% 0.2% T61
143 SCO Graham Fox 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.28% 0.24% MC
144 FRA Gregory Bourdy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 AUS Dimi Papadatos 0% 0% 0% 0% T41
146 CHN Backjun Bobby An 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 SCO Sam Locke 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 IRL David Carey 0% 0% 0% 0% T61
149 IRL Simon Thornton 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 AUS Austin Bautista 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 SWE Albin Bergstrom 0% 0% 0% 0% T69
152 ENG Frank Kennedy 0% 0% 0% 0% T63
153 SWE David Lundgren 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 SCO Calum Scott 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 ENG John Gough 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 ENG Habebul Islam 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 10.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 16.5% 16.5%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 38.1% 21.7%
3 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 68.5% 28.3%
4 Coral 8 @ 1/5 68.5% 28.3%
5 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 59.7% 31.7%
6 Betway 6 @ 1/5 47.1% 32.1%
7 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 50.9% 33.1%
8 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 51.8% 33.9%
9 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 52% 34%
10 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 52.8% 34.7%
11 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 52.8% 34.7%
12 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 52.8% 34.7%
13 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 78.2% 35.7%
14 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 53.6% 38%
15 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 57.3% 38.7%
16 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 55.6% 39.8%
17 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 55.8% 39.9%
18 VBet 5 @ 1/4 58.9% 40.1%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 57% 41%
20 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 71.2% 41.1%
21 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 71.2% 41.1%
22 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 61.4% 45%