Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 4.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 253.3

Total Profit: +153.1

BMW International Open

23/06/2022 - 26/06/2022

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Billy Horschel 12 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 7.69% 6.83% 5.43% -1.39% T26
2 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 20 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 4.23% 1.61% -2.62% T8
3 BEL Thomas Pieters 22 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.86% 2.64% -1.22% 2
4 ENG Jordan L Smith 22 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.86% 1.96% -1.89% T8
5 ESP Sergio Garcia 22 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.86% 1.72% -2.13% T48
6 NZL Ryan Fox 22 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.86% 1.58% -2.28% 3
7 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 25 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.41% 1.29% -2.12% T61
8 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.41% 0.97% -2.45% T36
9 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 35 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.46% 1.8% -0.67% T5
10 SCO Robert MacIntyre 42 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.9/1) 2.33% 2.06% 1.53% -0.53% MC
11 ENG Laurie Canter 45 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.93% 0.79% -1.14% T32
12 RSA Oliver Bekker 48 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.7/1) 2.04% 1.81% 1.77% -0.04% MC 8.2
13 FRA Victor Perez 48 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.7/1) 2.04% 1.81% 1.63% -0.18% T53 8.2
14 BEL Thomas Detry 53 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.1/1) 1.85% 1.64% 0.83% -0.81% T15
15 ENG Richard Mansell 53 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.1/1) 1.85% 1.64% 0.74% -0.91% T63
16 RSA Dean Burmester 60 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.45% 0.91% -0.54% T21
17 ITA Edoardo Molinari 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.39% 0.83% -0.55% T21
18 ESP Adrian Otaegui 68 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.2/1) 1.45% 1.29% 1.41% 0.12% T58 5.82
19 FRA Romain Langasque 68 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.2/1) 1.45% 1.29% 1.2% -0.09% T5 (tied w/3) 5.82 +13.8
20 FIN Mikko Korhonen 73 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.9/1) 1.35% 1.2% 0.97% -0.22% T26 5.43
21 NED Wil Besseling 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.1% 1.06% -0.04% T26 4.96
22 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.1% 0.82% -0.27% MC
23 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.1% 0.45% -0.65% T53
24 CHN Hao Tong Li 87 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.8/1) 1.14% 1.01% 1.76% 0.75% 1 4.57 +239.4
25 GER Martin Kaymer 87 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.8/1) 1.14% 1.01% 0.4% -0.61% T36
26 FIN Kalle Samooja 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.98% 1.55% 0.57% T21 4.42
27 FRA Matthieu Pavon 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.98% 1.03% 0.06% MC 4.42
28 ENG Marcus Armitage 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.95% 0.69% -0.26%
29 RSA George Coetzee 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.95% 0.66% -0.3% T36
30 FRA Julien Brun 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.91% 0.94% 0.03% MC 4.1
31 ENG Ross Fisher 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.88% 0.83% -0.05% MC 3.98
32 JPN Kazuki Higa 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.88% 0.2% -0.68% T10
33 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.82% 1.09% 0.27% WD 3.72
34 ESP Jorge Campillo 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.82% 0.75% -0.07% T15 3.72
35 GER Hurly Long 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.75% 1.3% 0.55% T36 3.41
36 ENG Matthew Jordan 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.75% 0.83% 0.08% MC 3.41
37 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.75% 0.73% -0.02% T32 3.41
38 FRA Antoine Rozner 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.75% 0.5% -0.25% T15 3.41
39 FRA Victor Dubuisson 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.7% 1.67% 0.97% WD 3.19
40 RSA Thriston Lawrence 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 0.9% 0.2% T36 3.19
41 RSA Justin Walters 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.7% 0.74% 0.04% MC 3.19
42 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 0.57% -0.14% T48 3.19
43 RSA Brandon Stone 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 0.55% -0.15% T15 3.19
44 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.7% 0.44% -0.26% T48
45 JPN Takumi Kanaya 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.7% 0.48% -0.22% MC 3.17
46 THA Jazz Janewattananond 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.7% 0.36% -0.33% MC
47 GER Marcel Schneider 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.65% 1.28% 0.63% T15
48 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.63% 0.39% -0.23% T32
49 GER Yannik Paul 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.6% 1.07% 0.47% T32
50 AUT Lukas Nemecz 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.59% 0.88% 0.3% T13
51 ESP Nacho Elvira 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.59% 0.64% 0.05% T61
52 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.57% 0.9% 0.33% MC
53 SCO Richie Ramsay 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.53% 0.85% 0.31% T13
54 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.5% 1.15% 0.65% MC
55 SWE Joakim Lagergren 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.5% 0.76% 0.26% 57
56 USA Sean Crocker 175 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.5% 0.35% -0.15% T36
57 ARG Daniel Vancsik 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.5% 0.2% -0.3%
58 ENG Paul Waring 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.36% -0.09% T26
59 GER Maximilian Kieffer 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.43% 0.44% 0.01% T26
60 SCO Connor Syme 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.41% 0.55% 0.14% MC
61 CHN Wu Ashun 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.38% 1.93% 1.55% MC
62 ENG Eddie Pepperell 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.38% 0.69% 0.31% MC
63 SCO Ewen Ferguson 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.36% 0.62% 0.25% T21
64 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.36% 0.42% 0.06% T26
65 FRA Frederic LaCroix 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.56% 0.21% T10
66 ITA Francesco Laporta 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.31% -0.05% T36
67 DEN Jeff Winther 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.35% 0.49% 0.14% MC
68 AUS Wade Ormsby 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.35% 0.34% -0.01% T67
69 USA Chase Hanna 264 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.3/1) 0.38% 0.33% 0.68% 0.35% MC
70 ENG Jack Senior 264 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.3/1) 0.38% 0.33% 0.29% -0.05% MC
71 ESP Santiago Tarrio 264 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.3/1) 0.38% 0.33% 0.2% -0.13%
72 SCO Craig Howie 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.32% 0.37% 0.05% T67
73 ENG David Horsey 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.3% 0.76% 0.46% MC
74 ENG Dale Whitnell 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.3% 0.62% 0.32% T36
75 RSA Darren Fichardt 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.3% 0.49% 0.19% MC
76 NOR Espen Kofstad 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.3% 0.38% 0.08% T48
77 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.46% 0.16% T5
78 ENG Matthew Southgate 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.29% 0.83% 0.54% MC
79 GER Marcel Siem 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.29% 0.83% 0.54% T53
80 ENG Andy Sullivan 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.28% 0.73% 0.44% MC
81 SWE Marcus Kinhult 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.27% 0.49% 0.21% MC
82 GER Sebastian Heisele 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.27% 0.41% 0.14% MC
83 NED Darius Van Driel 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.27% 0.23% -0.04% T10
84 POR Ricardo Gouveia 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.27% 0.6% 0.34% MC
85 RSA Zander Lombard 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.27% 0.22% -0.05% T36
86 ENG James Morrison 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.26% 0.38% 0.12% 66
87 ENG Oliver Wilson 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.25% 0.48% 0.23% MC
88 CAN Aaron Cockerill 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.25% 1.15% 0.9% MC
89 IND Shubhankar Sharma 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.25% 1.04% 0.79%
90 RSA Richard Sterne 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.25% 0.23% -0.02% MC
91 ITA Nino Bertasio 371 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51.7/1) 0.27% 0.24% 0.44% 0.2% MC
92 WAL Jamie Donaldson 371 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51.7/1) 0.27% 0.24% 0.43% 0.19% T63
93 ENG Andrew Wilson 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.41% 0.19% WD
94 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 401 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.7/1) 0.25% 0.22% 0.68% 0.46% MC
95 GER Max Schmitt 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.22% 0.45% 0.23% MC
96 SWE Niklas Lemke 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.34% 0.16% WD
97 ESP Alvaro Quiros 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.31% 0.13% MC
98 ENG Garrick Porteous 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 0.45% 0.27% T48
99 AUS Scott Hend 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 0.44% 0.26% MC
100 ITA Renato Paratore 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 0.27% 0.09% MC
101 CHI Hugo Leon 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 0.22% 0.04% MC
102 GER Jannik De Bruyn 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.21% 0.03% MC
103 ARG Andres Romero 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.2% 0.03% MC
104 ARG Rafael Echenique 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 0.2% 0.03% 65
105 ENG Steven Brown 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.19% 0.01% T58
106 AUS Maverick Antcliff 509 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.2/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.59% 0.42% WD
107 ESP Pep Angles Ros 509 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.2/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.26% 0.09% MC
108 USA Julian Suri 509 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.2/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.24% 0.06% MC
109 FIN Sami Valimaki 528 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.9/1) 0.19% 0.17% 0.39% 0.22% 4
110 ENG Ashley Chesters 538 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.3% 0.14% MC
111 NED Daan Huizing 558 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.7/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.96% 0.8% T36
112 FRA Benjamin Hebert 558 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.7/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.34% 0.18% MC
113 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 567 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.5/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.49% 0.34% MC
114 ITA Andrea Pavan 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.15% 0.45% 0.3% MC
115 FRA Robin Roussel 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.15% 0.25% 0.11% MC
116 GER Max Rottluff 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% MC
117 ESP Alejandro Canizares 607 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.1/1) 0.16% 0.15% 0.2% 0.05% MC
118 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 646 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.5/1) 0.15% 0.14% 0.41% 0.27% MC
119 WAL Oliver Farr 685 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.9/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.49% 0.36% MC
120 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 695 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.8/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.18% 0.05% MC
121 SWE Joel Sjoholm 750 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.12% 0.24% 0.12% MC
122 ENG David Coupland 754 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86.8/1) 0.13% 0.12% 0.26% 0.14% MC
123 AUS Zach Murray 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.21% 0.1% MC
124 POR Ricardo Santos 832 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 93.3/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.62% 0.51% MC
125 ENG Richard McEvoy 969 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 104.2/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.49% 0.4% MC
126 SCO Marc Warren 969 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 104.2/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.18% 0.09% MC
127 ENG Jack Singh Brar 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.74% 0.65% MC
128 DEN Thomas Bjorn 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.7% 0.61% MC
129 SCO Stephen Gallacher 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.45% 0.36% MC
130 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.25% 0.16% MC
131 GER Philipp Mejow 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.2% 0.11% MC
132 AUS Elvis Smylie 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.2% 0.11% MC
133 ENG Chris Wood 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% MC
134 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.18% 0.09% MC
135 SCO David Drysdale 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% WD
136 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.29% 0.2% MC
137 FRA Joel Stalter 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% MC
138 ENG Oliver Fisher 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% MC
139 CHN Zhang Huilin 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.25% 0.16% MC
140 ENG Toby Tree 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.23% 0.14% MC
141 GER Timo Vahlenkamp 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.2% 0.11% T36
142 GER Maximilian Herrmann 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.2% 0.11% MC
143 ENG Laird Shepherd 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.2% 0.11% MC
144 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.2% 0.11% MC
145 ENG Chris Paisley 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% MC
146 SWE Rikard Karlberg 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.18% 0.09% T58
147 RSA Haydn Porteous 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.25% 0.19% MC
148 ESP Carlos Pigem 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.24% 0.18% MC
149 GER Anton Albers 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.21% 0.15% MC
150 ENG David Howell 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.27% 0.22% MC
151 NIR Cormac Sharvin 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.26% 0.22% MC
152 ENG Matt Ford 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.2% 0.16% MC
153 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T36
154 RSA Louis de Jager 0% 0% 0% 0% T53
155 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 IRL Niall Kearney 0% 0% 0% 0% T15
157 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 RSA Wilco Nienaber 0% 0% 0% 0% T21
159 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 GER Jonas Baumgartner 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 4.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.2 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 38.1% 21.9%
2 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 38.1% 21.9%
3 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 38.2% 21.9%
4 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 40.6% 24%
5 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 40.6% 24%
6 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 51.3% 24.8%
7 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 26.2% 26.2%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 63% 34.5%
9 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 50.5% 35.3%
10 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 51.1% 35.9%
11 VBet 6 @ 1/5 51.1% 35.9%
12 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 54.1% 36%
13 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 52.9% 37.4%
14 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 53.2% 37.7%
15 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 67.3% 38.1%
16 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 67.3% 38.1%
17 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 62.1% 45.8%