Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 7.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 24.0 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 110.5

Total Profit: +10.4

Soudal Open

12/05/2022 - 15/05/2022

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 BEL Thomas Pieters 18 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.44% 3.4% -1.04% T9
2 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 18 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.44% 1.51% -2.93% T37
3 ENG Sam Horsfield 22 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.67% 2.17% -1.5% 1
4 NZL Ryan Fox 22 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.67% 1.82% -1.85% T2
5 POL Adrian Meronk 25 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.25% 2.13% -1.12% 6
6 ESP Adrian Otaegui 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.25% 1.41% -1.84% T15
7 RSA Justin Harding 28 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.91% 2% -0.91%
8 FRA Victor Perez 30 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.72% 1.06% -1.67% T33
9 RSA Oliver Bekker 31 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.13% 2.64% 3.79% 1.15% T4 (tied w/2) 11.01 +48.2
10 BEL Thomas Detry 33 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.6/1) 2.94% 2.48% 1.54% -0.94% MC
11 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.06% 1.8% -0.26% T15 8.59
12 RSA Thriston Lawrence 45 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.84% 1.57% -0.27% T58
13 ITA Edoardo Molinari 50 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.66% 1.11% -0.55% T9
14 RSA JC Ritchie 55 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.51% 1.24% -0.27% T64
15 USA John Catlin 55 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.51% 0.77% -0.74% T23
16 RSA George Coetzee 61 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.2/1) 1.61% 1.36% 0.6% -0.76% MC
17 CHN Wu Ashun 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.26% 1.93% 0.67% T44 5.26
18 SCO Connor Syme 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.26% 1.38% 0.12% T52 5.26
19 GER Hurly Long 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.26% 1.24% -0.02% T58 5.26
20 SWE Alexander Bjork 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.26% 1.2% -0.06% T23 5.26
21 SCO Richie Ramsay 66 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.26% 0.8% -0.46% T15
22 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 66 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.26% 0.62% -0.64% T37
23 NED Joost Luiten 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.26% 0.37% -0.89% MC
24 ARG Daniel Vancsik 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.26% 0.25% -1.01%
25 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.19% 0.77% -0.42% MC
26 ENG Richard Mansell 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.11% 0.8% -0.31% T23
27 FRA Antoine Rozner 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.11% 0.76% -0.35% MC
28 CHN Hao Tong Li 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.04% 1.98% 0.94% 4.35
29 SCO Ewen Ferguson 80 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.04% 1.65% 0.6% T58 4.35
30 NED Wil Besseling 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.04% 0.66% -0.38% T23
31 ENG Matthew Jordan 89 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16/1) 1.11% 0.94% 0.85% -0.09% T15 3.92
32 GER Yannik Paul 94 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.7/1) 1.05% 0.89% 0.92% 0.03% T2 (tied w/2) 3.71 +32.8
33 FRA Victor Dubuisson 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.84% 1.56% 0.73% T48 3.49
34 AUT Lukas Nemecz 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.84% 1.1% 0.27% T58 3.49
35 ENG Callum Shinkwin 100 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.84% 0.86% 0.03% T37 3.49
36 ENG Daniel Gavins 100 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.84% 0.77% -0.06% MC 3.49
37 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.84% 0.2% -0.64% MC
38 THA Jazz Janewattananond 104 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.9/1) 0.95% 0.8% 0.9% 0.1% MC 3.36
39 ESP Jorge Campillo 104 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.9/1) 0.95% 0.8% 0.52% -0.29% T15
40 DEN Jeff Winther 110 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.76% 1.02% 0.26% T55 3.18
41 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 113 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19/1) 0.88% 0.74% 1.89% 1.15% MC 3.09
42 RSA Wilco Nienaber 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.68% 0.68% -0.01% MC 2.84
43 ITA Guido Migliozzi 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.68% 0.52% -0.17% T52 2.84
44 AUS Wade Ormsby 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.67% 0.93% 0.26% MC 2.8
45 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.67% 0.67% 0% MC 2.8
46 ENG David Horsey 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.67% 0.66% -0.01% T23 2.8
47 NOR Espen Kofstad 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% 0.61% -0.06% MC 2.8
48 ENG Eddie Pepperell 125 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% 0.39% -0.28% MC
49 ESP Santiago Tarrio 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% 0.25% -0.42%
50 USA Chase Hanna 132 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.3/1) 0.75% 0.63% 0.89% 0.25% T4 (tied w/2) 2.65 +29.5
51 SCO Grant Forrest 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.6% 0.7% 0.1% T9
52 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.59% 0.83% 0.24% T23
53 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 1.07% 0.51% MC
54 FRA Julien Guerrier 150 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 0.88% 0.32% T23
55 FRA Frederic LaCroix 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 0.8% 0.24% MC
56 ITA Francesco Laporta 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.56% 0.59% 0.03% T15
57 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.56% 0.44% -0.12% MC
58 IND Shubhankar Sharma 151 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.4/1) 0.66% 0.56% 1.74% 1.18% MC
59 ENG James Morrison 161 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.5/1) 0.62% 0.52% 1.3% 0.78% MC
60 MAS Gavin Green 161 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.5/1) 0.62% 0.52% 0.86% 0.34% T44
61 WAL Jamie Donaldson 161 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.5/1) 0.62% 0.52% 0.68% 0.16% MC
62 FRA Benjamin Hebert 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.48% 0.23% -0.25% MC
63 SWE Niklas Lemke 180 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.5/1) 0.55% 0.47% 0.52% 0.05% MC
64 RSA Brandon Stone 189 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.5/1) 0.53% 0.44% 0.53% 0.09% MC
65 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.61% 0.19% T15
66 GER Marcel Siem 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.56% 0.14% 63
67 RSA Zander Lombard 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.55% 0.13% MC
68 ESP Nacho Elvira 200 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.5% 0.08% T9
69 POR Ricardo Gouveia 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.38% -0.04% MC
70 IRL Niall Kearney 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.3% -0.12% T15
71 USA Sean Crocker 218 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.4/1) 0.46% 0.39% 0.48% 0.1% T7
72 ENG Paul Waring 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.37% 0.4% 0.03% T37
73 ENG Matthew Southgate 227 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.3/1) 0.44% 0.37% 0.57% 0.2% MC
74 ENG Andy Sullivan 227 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.3/1) 0.44% 0.37% 0.39% 0.02% T9
75 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 227 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.3/1) 0.44% 0.37% 0.2% -0.17% MC
76 ITA Nino Bertasio 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.35% 0.63% 0.27% MC
77 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.35% 0.26% -0.1% MC
78 ENG Jack Singh Brar 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.75% 0.41% MC
79 ENG Ashley Chesters 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.7% 0.36% T44
80 ENG Richard McEvoy 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.61% 0.28% T37
81 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.49% 0.16% MC
82 GER Marcel Schneider 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.49% 0.16% T7
83 ESP Alejandro Canizares 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.37% 0.04% T44
84 CHI Hugo Leon 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.34% 0% MC
85 SWE Jens Dantorp 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.3% -0.03% T23
86 ITA Renato Paratore 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.28% -0.05% MC
87 ENG David Coupland 250 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.26% -0.08% MC
88 NED Darius Van Driel 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.33% 0.33% 0.01% MC
89 ENG Garrick Porteous 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.31% 0.73% 0.42% T48
90 ENG Dale Whitnell 300 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.57% 0.29% T23
91 ENG Andrew Wilson 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.42% 0.14% MC
92 AUS Maverick Antcliff 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.42% 0.14% MC
93 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.38% 0.1% MC
94 SWE Joakim Lagergren 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.65% 0.41% MC
95 WAL Oliver Farr 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.39% 0.15% T23
96 ENG Ross McGowan 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.34% 0.1% MC
97 ENG Steven Brown 350 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.34% 0.1% MC
98 NZL Josh Geary 350 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.25% 0.01% T58
99 USA Julian Suri 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.23% -0.01% MC
100 SCO David Drysdale 360 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.6/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.26% 0.03% MC
101 POR Ricardo Santos 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.42% 0.21% T9
102 SCO Stephen Gallacher 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.36% 0.15% MC
103 CZE Ondrej Lieser 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.3% 0.09% T66
104 NED Daan Huizing 400 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.29% 0.08% T33
105 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.28% 0.07% MC
106 KOR Yikeun Chang 400 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.25% 0.04%
107 NED Lars Van Meijel 427 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.3/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.9% 0.7% MC
108 BEL Christopher Mivis 474 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.9/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.25% 0.07% MC
109 ENG Toby Tree 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.27% 0.11% MC
110 ENG Jonathan Thomson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.26% 0.09% MC
111 ESP Pep Angles Ros 598 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73.3/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.37% 0.23% MC
112 SWE Rikard Karlberg 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.41% 0.27% T55
113 DEN Thomas Bjorn 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.35% 0.21% MC
114 FRA Robin Roussel 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% T37
115 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% MC
116 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% T52
117 AUS Zach Murray 674 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.29% 0.17% MC
118 ESP Alvaro Quiros 674 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.28% 0.16% T48
119 CHN Zhang Huilin 674 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.23% 0.1% MC
120 SCO Marc Warren 721 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.49% 0.37% MC
121 FRA Joel Stalter 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.38% 0.28% MC
122 ENG Oliver Fisher 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.37% 0.26% MC
123 SWE Joel Sjoholm 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.29% 0.19% T48
124 BEL Alan De Bondt 826 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 92.8/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.25% 0.14% MC
125 BEL Yente Van Doren 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.25% 0.16% MC
126 ENG David Howell 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.38% 0.3% MC
127 ENG Chris Paisley 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.37% 0.29% MC
128 NIR Cormac Sharvin 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.37% 0.28% MC
129 RSA Haydn Porteous 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% MC
130 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
131 ENG Ben Stow 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
132 WAL Bradley Dredge 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.19% WD
133 ENG Matt Ford 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
134 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
135 BEL Lars Buijs 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.16% MC
136 MAS C. M. Chong 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.16%
137 BEL Guillaume Watremez 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.16% MC
138 BEL Jarno Tollenaire 1000 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.16% MC
139 DEN Christoffer Bring 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.16% MC
140 BEL Kristof Ulenaers 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.14% MC
141 ENG Graeme Storm 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.38% 0.33% MC
142 SWE Jesper Kennegard 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.3% 0.25% MC
143 FRA Gregory Havret 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.27% 0.22% MC
144 KEN Greg Snow 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.27% 0.22% MC
145 KEN Samuel Chege 1500 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.27% 0.22% MC
146 ESP Carlos Pigem 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.23% 0.17% T66
147 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 ENG Lee Slattery 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 GER Bernd Ritthammer 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 RSA Louis de Jager 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T33
152 RSA Bryce Easton 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 FRA Clement Sordet 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 GER Max Schmitt 0% 0% 0% 0% T33
155 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T37
156 UKR Lev Grinberg 0% 0% 0% 0% T64
157 BEL Charles Roeland 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 BEL Louis Theys 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 ISR Asaf Cohen 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 BEL James Meyer de Beco 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
161 BEL James Skeet 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 7.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.2 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 13.7% 13.7%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 33.2% 17.4%
3 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 35.2% 19.2%
4 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 35.2% 19.2%
5 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 57.3% 19.7%
6 Coral 8 @ 1/5 57.3% 19.7%
7 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 42.6% 25.7%
8 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 42.8% 28.3%
9 Betway 7 @ 1/5 55.7% 28.4%
10 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 44.3% 29.7%
11 VBet 5 @ 1/4 47.5% 30.1%
12 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 71.1% 30.3%
13 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 49.3% 34.1%
14 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 49.4% 34.2%
15 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 65.2% 36.2%
16 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 65.2% 36.2%
17 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 55.8% 37.5%
18 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 53.6% 38.1%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 53.7% 38.1%
20 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 58.2% 42.2%
21 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 58.2% 42.2%