Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 4.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.0 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 50.2

Total Profit: -49.9

Catalunya Championship

28/04/2022 - 01/05/2022

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Adrian Otaegui 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.37% 2.3% -1.07% MC
2 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.37% 1.64% -1.73% T13
3 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 25 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.37% 1.36% -2.01% 8
4 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 25 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.37% 0.81% -2.56% T42
5 ENG Richard Bland 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 3.02% 1.78% -1.24% T66
6 POL Adrian Meronk 35 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.44% 1.6% -0.84% T3
7 ENG Jordan L Smith 35 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.9/1) 2.78% 2.44% 1.35% -1.09% T18
8 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.14% 2.43% 0.29% T13 9.3
9 ESP Adria Arnaus 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.14% 1.19% -0.95% 1
10 ENG Laurie Canter 40 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.14% 0.75% -1.39% T3
11 CHN Hao Tong Li 50 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.72% 1.97% 0.25% T26 7.48
12 FRA Romain Langasque 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.72% 0.77% -0.95% MC
13 RSA Oliver Bekker 55 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.57% 2.4% 0.84% 2 6.81 +50.2
14 ENG Ross Fisher 55 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.57% 0.52% -1.04% T42
15 ENG Marcus Armitage 56 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.5/1) 1.75% 1.54% 0.99% -0.55% MC
16 FRA Matthieu Pavon 60 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.44% 2.43% 0.99% MC 6.26
17 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 60 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.44% 0.93% -0.51% T33
18 FRA Antoine Rozner 61 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.2/1) 1.61% 1.41% 1.49% 0.08% MC 6.15
19 FRA Victor Perez 61 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.2/1) 1.61% 1.41% 1.25% -0.17% MC
20 NZL Ryan Fox 61 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.2/1) 1.61% 1.41% 0.5% -0.91% T9
21 USA Johannes Veerman 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.31% 1.21% -0.1% MC
22 FIN Mikko Korhonen 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.31% 1.04% -0.27% T33
23 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.31% 0.39% -0.92% MC
24 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 70 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.5/1) 1.41% 1.23% 1.78% 0.55% T6 5.37
25 ENG Matthew Jordan 70 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.5/1) 1.41% 1.23% 1.14% -0.09% MC 5.37
26 AUS Jason Scrivener 75 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.15% 0.6% -0.55% T18
27 RSA Thriston Lawrence 80 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.08% 1.43% 0.35% T18 4.71
28 SWE Alexander Bjork 80 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.08% 1.24% 0.16% T33 4.71
29 FRA Julien Brun 80 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.9/1) 1.23% 1.08% 1.18% 0.1% T42 4.71
30 IND Shubhankar Sharma 80 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.08% 1.04% -0.05% MC 4.71
31 ENG Callum Shinkwin 80 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.08% 0.72% -0.36% MC
32 USA John Catlin 80 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.9/1) 1.23% 1.08% 0.69% -0.39% MC
33 ENG Tom Lewis 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.08% 0.49% -0.59% MC
34 SCO Scott Jamieson 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 1.02% 1.18% 0.16% MC 4.44
35 FRA Victor Dubuisson 90 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.96% 1.7% 0.74% 4.19
36 SWE Marcus Kinhult 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% 1.07% 0.2% MC 3.78
37 AUS Wade Ormsby 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% 0.63% -0.24% MC
38 ITA Edoardo Molinari 110 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.79% 0.74% -0.05% T6 3.44
39 ESP Jorge Campillo 110 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.79% 0.51% -0.28% T33
40 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.79% 0.43% -0.36% MC
41 CAN Aaron Cockerill 113 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19/1) 0.88% 0.77% 1.58% 0.81% MC 3.35
42 ENG David Horsey 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.71% 1.07% 0.36% MC 3.08
43 CHN Wu Ashun 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.71% 0.96% 0.26% T26 3.08
44 FIN Kalle Samooja 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.71% 0.67% -0.03% MC 3.08
45 NED Joost Luiten 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.71% 0.39% -0.32% MC
46 AUT Lukas Nemecz 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 1.59% 0.89% T26 3.03
47 GER Hurly Long 125 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 1.22% 0.53% T42 3.03
48 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 0.56% -0.14% T60
49 FRA Julien Guerrier 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 0.53% -0.17% MC
50 ESP Nacho Elvira 125 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 0.37% -0.33% MC
51 RSA Brandon Stone 125 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 0.32% -0.37% MC
52 ENG Eddie Pepperell 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 0.31% -0.38% MC
53 ARG Daniel Vancsik 132 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.3/1) 0.75% 0.66% 0.21% -0.45%
54 SCO Richie Ramsay 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.61% 0.65% 0.04% MC
55 SCO Connor Syme 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.61% 0.46% -0.15% MC
56 USA Sihwan Kim 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.61% 0.23% -0.39% MC
57 SCO David Law 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.58% 0.58% 0% T42
58 GER Marcel Siem 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 0.54% -0.04% MC
59 GER Yannik Paul 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.58% 0.48% -0.11% T52
60 ESP Santiago Tarrio 150 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 0.21% -0.38%
61 THA Jazz Janewattananond 151 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.4/1) 0.66% 0.58% 0.63% 0.05% T63
62 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 161 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.5/1) 0.62% 0.54% 0.91% 0.37% T9
63 ITA Francesco Laporta 161 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.5/1) 0.62% 0.54% 0.78% 0.24% MC
64 DEN Jeff Winther 161 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.5/1) 0.62% 0.54% 0.6% 0.06% T66
65 ENG Daniel Gavins 161 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.5/1) 0.62% 0.54% 0.55% 0.01% T13
66 ENG Jack Senior 161 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.5/1) 0.62% 0.54% 0.53% -0.01% MC
67 NED Wil Besseling 161 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.5/1) 0.62% 0.54% 0.32% -0.22% T9
68 SCO Ewen Ferguson 170 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.5/1) 0.58% 0.51% 1.72% 1.21% T52
69 SCO Craig Howie 170 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.5/1) 0.58% 0.51% 0.53% 0.01%
70 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.5% 0.26% -0.23% T33
71 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 189 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.5/1) 0.53% 0.46% 0.62% 0.16% MC
72 ENG Andy Sullivan 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.44% 0.63% 0.19% MC
73 FIN Sami Valimaki 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.44% 0.6% 0.16% T18
74 ITA Nino Bertasio 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.44% 0.35% -0.09%
75 RSA Justin Walters 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.44% 0.51% 0.07% T42
76 SCO Grant Forrest 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.42% 0.56% 0.14% T55
77 ITA Guido Migliozzi 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.42% 0.29% -0.13% T66
78 FRA Benjamin Hebert 218 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.4/1) 0.46% 0.4% 0.45% 0.05% MC
79 ENG Richard Mansell 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.39% 0.22% -0.16% T26
80 FRA Adrien Saddier 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.37% 0.41% 0.05% T33
81 WAL Jamie Donaldson 246 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.2/1) 0.4% 0.35% 0.97% 0.61% MC
82 USA Sean Crocker 246 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.2/1) 0.4% 0.35% 0.54% 0.18% MC
83 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.81% 0.46% T55
84 ENG James Morrison 250 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.36% 0.01% T33
85 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.34% 0.41% 0.07% MC
86 ENG Oliver Wilson 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.33% 0.6% 0.27% T42
87 RSA Zander Lombard 284 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.6/1) 0.35% 0.31% 0.49% 0.18% MC
88 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.53% 0.24% T26
89 RSA Darren Fichardt 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.51% 0.22% T26
90 ENG Garrick Porteous 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.49% 0.2% MC
91 ESP Pep Angles Ros 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.44% 0.15% MC
92 SCO David Drysdale 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.25% -0.05% T52
93 ENG Ashley Chesters 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.29% 0.8% 0.51% MC
94 ENG Andrew Wilson 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.28% 0.56% 0.28% MC
95 RSA Richard Sterne 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.28% 0.36% 0.08% MC
96 SWE Niklas Lemke 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.27% 0.28% 0.01% T22
97 MAS Gavin Green 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.7% 0.44% T22
98 ENG Matthew Southgate 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.51% 0.24% MC
99 NOR Espen Kofstad 341 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.6/1) 0.29% 0.26% 0.25% -0.01% T22
100 ESP Pedro Oriol 350 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.25% 0.21% -0.04% MC
101 USA Chase Hanna 360 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.6/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.94% 0.7% MC
102 CHI Hugo Leon 360 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.6/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.28% 0.03% MC
103 ENG Dale Whitnell 389 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.5/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.49% 0.27% MC
104 POR Ricardo Gouveia 398 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.4/1) 0.25% 0.22% 0.43% 0.21% T26
105 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 398 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.4/1) 0.25% 0.22% 0.31% 0.09% T9
106 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.29% 0.07% T13
107 GER Sebastian Heisele 408 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.4/1) 0.24% 0.21% 0.2% -0.01% T22
108 SWE Joakim Lagergren 417 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.3/1) 0.24% 0.21% 0.41% 0.2% MC
109 FRA Frederic LaCroix 427 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.3/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.41% 0.21% MC
110 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 436 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.2/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.45% 0.25% MC
111 AUS Maverick Antcliff 436 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.2/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.34% 0.14% T63
112 NIR Tom McKibbin 436 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.2/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.19% -0.02% MC
113 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 474 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.9/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.18% 0% MC
114 ESP Alejandro Canizares 493 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.7/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.3% 0.12% T42
115 ENG Ross McGowan 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 0.44% 0.27% MC
116 ENG Jack Singh Brar 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 0.35% 0.18% MC
117 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 522 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.4/1) 0.19% 0.17% 1.14% 0.97% MC
118 WAL Oliver Farr 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% MC
119 ITA Andrea Pavan 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.15% 0.29% 0.15% T42
120 ITA Renato Paratore 617 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.43% 0.29% MC
121 NED Lars Van Meijel 626 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.8/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.68% 0.54% T55
122 ENG Chris Wood 626 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.8/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.29% 0.15% MC
123 NED Darius Van Driel 674 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.29% 0.16% T33
124 POR Ricardo Santos 712 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.2/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.53% 0.41% T66
125 ESP Alvaro Quiros 721 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.38% 0.26% MC
126 ENG Chris Paisley 750 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.28% 0.17% MC
127 AUS Scott Hend 750 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.24% 0.12% MC
128 ENG David Coupland 759 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.2/1) 0.13% 0.12% 0.28% 0.16% T60
129 GER Marcel Schneider 769 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 88.1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.22% 0.1% T13
130 SCO Marc Warren 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.52% 0.41% MC
131 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 892 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.22% 0.12% T55
132 DEN Thomas Bjorn 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.54% 0.45% T33
133 ENG Richard McEvoy 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.32% 0.22% T3
134 SWE Rikard Karlberg 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.29% 0.2% MC
135 NED Daan Huizing 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.28% 0.19% MC
136 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.24% 0.14% MC
137 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.23% 0.14% MC
138 AUS Zach Murray 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.23% 0.14% MC
139 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.23% 0.14% T60
140 ESP Eduard Rousaud 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.23% 0.14% MC
141 FRA Joel Stalter 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.32% 0.23% MC
142 RSA Haydn Porteous 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.28% 0.19% MC
143 FRA Robin Roussel 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% MC
144 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% 71
145 ENG Ben Stow 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.23% 0.14% MC
146 ENG Oliver Fisher 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.23% 0.14% MC
147 SWE Joel Sjoholm 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.21% 0.12% MC
148 NIR Cormac Sharvin 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.24% 0.18% MC
149 ENG David Howell 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.32% 0.27% T66
150 ENG Graeme Storm 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.31% 0.27% MC
151 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.24% 0.2% T55
152 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.23% 0.19% MC
153 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T42
154 ESP Carlos Pigem 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 ENG Matt Ford 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 POR Pedro Figueiredo 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 0% 0% 0% 0% WD
159 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T63
160 IRL Luke Donnelly 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 4.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 9.1% 9.1%
2 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 35.6% 19.5%
3 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 35.8% 19.7%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 37.2% 21%
5 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 65.6% 26.1%
6 Coral 8 @ 1/5 65.6% 26.1%
7 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 55.8% 28.4%
8 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 58.3% 30.5%
9 Betway 7 @ 1/5 59.2% 31.2%
10 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 49.1% 34%
11 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 50.6% 35.4%
12 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 50.6% 35.4%
13 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 52.8% 37.3%
14 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 69% 39.3%
15 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 69% 39.3%
16 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 56.1% 40.3%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 56.3% 40.4%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 57.1% 41.2%
19 Boyle Sports 6 @ 1/5 60.4% 44.1%
20 VBet 5 @ 1/4 65.6% 46.1%
21 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 73.8% 53.3%