Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 5.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.6 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 82.9

Total Profit: -17.2

ISPS Handa Championship

21/04/2022 - 24/04/2022

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 20 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 4.31% 0.77% -3.55% T69
2 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 23 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.2/1) 4.17% 3.77% 2.05% -1.72% T38
3 ESP Adria Arnaus 25 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.48% 1.78% -1.71% MC
4 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 28 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3.12% 3.24% 0.12% T71 13.42
5 ENG Laurie Canter 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.21% 0.73% -1.48% T30
6 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 41 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.7/1) 2.38% 2.16% 0.83% -1.33% 1
7 FRA Matthieu Pavon 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.97% 2.42% 0.45% MC 8.46
8 FRA Romain Langasque 45 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.3/1) 2.17% 1.97% 1.2% -0.77% MC
9 NZL Ryan Fox 47 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.5/1) 2.08% 1.89% 0.66% -1.23% T15
10 RSA Oliver Bekker 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.78% 1.65% -0.13% T10
11 USA John Catlin 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.78% 0.62% -1.16% T64
12 FRA Julien Brun 56 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.5/1) 1.75% 1.59% 2.5% 0.92% T56 6.83
13 RSA Thriston Lawrence 60 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.48% 1.97% 0.49% T38 6.38
14 ESP Adrian Otaegui 61 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.2/1) 1.61% 1.46% 1.62% 0.15% 2 6.28 +41.6
15 SCO Scott Jamieson 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.35% 1.88% 0.53% T10 5.81
16 USA Johannes Veerman 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.35% 1.76% 0.4% T38 5.81
17 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.35% 1.36% 0.01% T3 (tied w/2) 5.81 +41.3
18 SWE Alexander Bjork 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.35% 1.34% -0.01% MC
19 ENG Callum Shinkwin 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.35% 1.09% -0.26% MC
20 SCO Connor Syme 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.35% 0.79% -0.56% MC
21 FRA Antoine Rozner 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.35% 0.62% -0.73% 5
22 ENG Matthew Jordan 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.19% 1.43% 0.24% T15 5.13
23 ENG Ross Fisher 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.19% 0.63% -0.56% T15
24 CHN Wu Ashun 80 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.9/1) 1.23% 1.12% 1.93% 0.81% MC 4.81
25 GER Hurly Long 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.12% 1.3% 0.18% MC 4.81
26 FIN Mikko Korhonen 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.12% 0.99% -0.12% T15
27 RSA Wilco Nienaber 80 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.9/1) 1.23% 1.12% 0.89% -0.23% MC
28 ENG Daniel Gavins 80 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.12% 0.57% -0.54% MC
29 SCO Grant Forrest 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.12% 0.55% -0.56% MC
30 ITA Nino Bertasio 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.12% 0.5% -0.61% MC
31 USA Sihwan Kim 80 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.9/1) 1.23% 1.12% 0.23% -0.89% MC
32 ARG Daniel Vancsik 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.12% 0.23% -0.89%
33 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 89 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16/1) 1.11% 1.01% 0.93% -0.07% T23
34 FRA Victor Perez 89 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16/1) 1.11% 1.01% 0.7% -0.3% T8
35 AUS Wade Ormsby 95 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.04% 0.94% 0.99% 0.05% T56 4.06
36 SCO Ewen Ferguson 100 (Boyle Sports: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.9% 2.03% 1.13% MC 3.86
37 FIN Kalle Samooja 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.9% 0.79% -0.11% T38
38 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 100 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.9% 0.63% -0.27% WD
39 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.9% 0.44% -0.46% MC
40 FRA Julien Guerrier 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.82% 0.59% -0.23% T49
41 SWE Marcus Kinhult 113 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19/1) 0.88% 0.79% 1.27% 0.47% MC 3.42
42 NED Joost Luiten 113 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19/1) 0.88% 0.79% 0.36% -0.43% MC
43 NED Wil Besseling 113 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19/1) 0.88% 0.79% 0.36% -0.44% MC
44 CHN Hao Tong Li 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.73% 1.98% 1.25% 6 3.14
45 THA Jazz Janewattananond 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.73% 0.59% -0.14% T38
46 ESP Jorge Campillo 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.73% 0.53% -0.2% T30
47 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.73% 0.44% -0.29% MC
48 ENG Andy Sullivan 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.73% 0.43% -0.3% MC
49 SCO David Law 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.72% 0.78% 0.06% T54 3.09
50 SCO Craig Howie 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.72% 0.75% 0.03% T30 3.09
51 GER Marcel Siem 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.72% 0.65% -0.07% MC
52 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.72% 0.37% -0.35% MC
53 SWE Niklas Lemke 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.72% 0.36% -0.36% MC
54 FIN Sami Valimaki 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.72% 0.29% -0.43% MC
55 ESP Santiago Tarrio 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.72% 0.23% -0.49%
56 DEN Jeff Winther 132 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.3/1) 0.75% 0.68% 1.09% 0.41% T56 2.93
57 ITA Francesco Laporta 132 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.3/1) 0.75% 0.68% 0.99% 0.31% MC 2.93
58 AUT Lukas Nemecz 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.64% 1.18% 0.54% T15
59 ESP Nacho Elvira 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.63% 0.7% 0.07% MC
60 USA Chase Hanna 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.6% 0.89% 0.29% MC
61 USA Sean Crocker 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.6% 0.5% -0.1% MC
62 RSA Zander Lombard 151 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.4/1) 0.66% 0.6% 0.6% 0% MC
63 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.56% 0.18% -0.39% T23
64 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 161 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.5/1) 0.62% 0.56% 1.26% 0.71% T23
65 ENG Paul Waring 170 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.5/1) 0.58% 0.53% 0.61% 0.08% MC
66 ITA Guido Migliozzi 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.51% 0.45% -0.06% T56
67 RSA Louis de Jager 180 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.5/1) 0.55% 0.5% 0.85% 0.35% T38
68 ENG Oliver Wilson 189 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.5/1) 0.53% 0.48% 1.14% 0.66% T30
69 ENG Jack Senior 189 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.5/1) 0.53% 0.48% 0.21% -0.26% T10
70 RSA Justin Walters 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.45% 0.89% 0.44% T23
71 WAL Jamie Donaldson 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.45% 0.34% -0.11% MC
72 ENG Tom Lewis 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.45% 0.24% -0.22% T10
73 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.45% 0.72% 0.27%
74 ENG Garrick Porteous 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.45% 0.64% 0.19% MC
75 NOR Espen Kofstad 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.45% 0.4% -0.05% MC
76 IRL Niall Kearney 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.45% 0.4% -0.05% T67
77 RSA Richard Sterne 200 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.45% 0.37% -0.09% MC
78 SWE Joakim Lagergren 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.43% 0.65% 0.22% MC
79 GER Yannik Paul 218 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.4/1) 0.46% 0.41% 0.56% 0.14% T10
80 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.4% 0.23% -0.17% MC
81 POR Ricardo Gouveia 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.4% 0.22% -0.18% MC
82 CAN Aaron Cockerill 227 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.3/1) 0.44% 0.4% 1.15% 0.75% T3
83 ENG Robert Rock 246 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.2/1) 0.4% 0.37% 0.91% 0.54% T38
84 ESP Alejandro Canizares 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.36% 0.52% 0.16% MC
85 ENG Matthew Southgate 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.35% 0.88% 0.53% T67
86 ENG Dale Whitnell 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.34% 0.46% 0.12% MC
87 ITA Renato Paratore 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.34% 0.27% -0.07% MC
88 CHI Hugo Leon 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.33% 0.31% -0.02% MC
89 ENG James Morrison 284 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.6/1) 0.35% 0.32% 0.4% 0.08% MC
90 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.3% 0.92% 0.62% T30
91 ESP Pep Angles Ros 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.3% 0.72% 0.42% T49
92 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 300 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.3% 0.33% 0.03% T49
93 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 300 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.3% 0.32% 0.02% T30
94 WAL Oliver Farr 300 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.3% 0.26% -0.04% MC
95 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.3% 0.23% -0.07% MC
96 ENG Richard Mansell 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.3% 0.23% -0.08% T30
97 ENG Eddie Pepperell 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.3% 0.3% 0% T15
98 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.29% 0.31% 0.02% T23
99 ITA Andrea Pavan 350 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.26% 0.45% 0.19% MC
100 SWE Jens Dantorp 350 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.26% 0.4% 0.14% T49
101 CZE Ondrej Lieser 350 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.26% 0.4% 0.14% MC
102 POR Ricardo Santos 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.26% 0.3% 0.04% MC
103 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 360 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.6/1) 0.28% 0.25% 0.45% 0.2% MC
104 MAS Gavin Green 370 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51.6/1) 0.27% 0.24% 0.86% 0.61% T23
105 FRA Adrien Saddier 370 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51.6/1) 0.27% 0.24% 0.23% -0.01% T15
106 AUS Maverick Antcliff 379 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.5/1) 0.26% 0.24% 0.54% 0.3% MC
107 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 398 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.4/1) 0.25% 0.23% 0.23% 0% T56
108 ENG David Coupland 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.23% 0.4% 0.18% MC
109 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 417 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.3/1) 0.24% 0.22% 0.71% 0.5% T56
110 NED Lars Van Meijel 446 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.2/1) 0.22% 0.2% 0.79% 0.58% MC
111 NED Darius Van Driel 455 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 60/1) 0.22% 0.2% 0.25% 0.05% MC
112 ENG Andrew Wilson 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.31% 0.13% 7
113 NED Daan Huizing 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.27% 0.09% MC
114 GER Marcel Schneider 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.25% 0.07% MC
115 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.23% 0.05% T71
116 AUS Zach Murray 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.23% 0.05% MC
117 SCO Stephen Gallacher 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.22% 0.04% T69
118 AUS Scott Hend 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.21% 0.03% MC
119 ESP Alvaro Quiros 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.18% 0% MC
120 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 522 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.4/1) 0.19% 0.17% 0.23% 0.05% T54
121 ENG Ashley Chesters 531 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.2/1) 0.19% 0.17% 0.41% 0.24% T23
122 RSA Darren Fichardt 550 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.9/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.31% 0.14% T8
123 FRA Robin Roussel 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.15% 0.54% 0.39% MC
124 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 645 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.5/1) 0.15% 0.14% 0.3% 0.16% MC
125 AUS Jake McLeod 664 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.1/1) 0.15% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% T38
126 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 702 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 82.4/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.31% 0.18% MC
127 ENG Oliver Fisher 721 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.5% 0.38% MC
128 SCO Marc Warren 731 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84.9/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.27% 0.14% T64
129 ENG Chris Paisley 797 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 90.4/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.3% 0.19% MC
130 ENG Jack Singh Brar 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.63% 0.52% T15
131 SWE Rikard Karlberg 892 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.27% 0.17% MC
132 SWE Jesper Kennegard 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% MC
133 ENG Richard McEvoy 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.35% 0.26% MC
134 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% T56
135 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.23% 0.13% T56
136 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.23% 0.13% MC
137 ESP Eduard Rousaud 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.23% 0.13% MC
138 FRA Joel Stalter 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.35% 0.26% MC
139 DEN Thomas Bjorn 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.35% 0.26%
140 RSA Haydn Porteous 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% MC
141 SWE Joel Sjoholm 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% MC
142 ENG Ben Stow 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.23% 0.14% 73
143 ENG Jonathan Thomson 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.23% 0.14% T38
144 ENG Matt Ford 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.21% 0.12% MC
145 NIR Cormac Sharvin 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.43% 0.37% MC
146 ESP Carlos Pigem 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.41% 0.34% MC
147 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.24% 0.18% MC
148 JPN Mark NISHIWAKI 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.23% 0.17% MC
149 JPN Kento Nakai 1500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.23% 0.17% MC
150 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.22% 0.16% T38
151 JPN Koichiro Ishika 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.05% 0.37% 0.32% MC
152 ENG David Howell 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.05% 0.35% 0.31% MC
153 ENG Graeme Storm 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.05% 0.32% 0.28% MC
154 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T64
155 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 FRA Clement Sordet 0% 0% 0% 0% T38
158 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T30
159 JPN Shiso Go 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 5.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.6 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 10.3% 10.3%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 42.4% 25.5%
3 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 53.5% 26.5%
4 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 44.3% 27.2%
5 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 55.3% 28%
6 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 46% 28.7%
7 Betway 7 @ 1/5 61% 32.7%
8 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 64% 35.1%
9 Coral 7 @ 1/5 64% 35.1%
10 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 53.8% 35.6%
11 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 53.8% 38.2%
12 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 56.5% 40.6%
13 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 57.3% 41.3%
14 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 72.6% 42.3%
15 Boyle Sports 6 @ 1/5 58.6% 42.5%
16 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 73.3% 42.8%
17 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 63.2% 43.9%
18 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 63.2% 43.9%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 68.3% 51.3%
20 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 76.3% 55.5%