Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 6.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -6.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.1

FedEx St. Jude Championship

11/08/2022 - 14/08/2022

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NIR Rory McIlroy 11 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 8.33% 7.18% 3.16% -4.02% CUT
2 USA Scottie Scheffler 16 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 5.07% 4.41% -0.66% CUT
3 USA Xander Schauffele 16 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 5.88% 5.07% 2.02% -3.04% T57
4 AUS Cameron Smith 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.53% 2.6% -1.93% T13
5 USA Justin Thomas 18 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.53% 2.46% -2.07% T13
6 USA Patrick Cantlay 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.53% 2.27% -2.26% T57
7 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 20 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.1% 2.87% -1.23% T5
8 ESP Jon Rahm 20 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.1% 1.88% -2.22% T5
9 USA Tony Finau 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.74% 2.03% -1.72% T5
10 USA Will Zalatoris 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.31% 2.13% -1.18% 1
11 USA Cameron Young 30 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.78% 2.19% -0.59% T31 12.15
12 USA Sam Burns 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.53% 2.15% -0.38% T20 11.08
13 KOR Sungjae Im 33 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.53% 1.1% -1.43% 12
14 USA Collin Morikawa 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.53% 0.99% -1.54% T5
15 IRL Shane Lowry 35 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.39% 1.77% -0.62% T46
16 NOR Viktor Hovland 40 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.1% 1.51% -0.59% T20
17 KOR Tom Kim 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.1% 1.17% -0.93% T13
18 USA Jordan Spieth 44 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.1/1) 2.22% 1.91% 1.57% -0.34% CUT 8.37
19 USA Billy Horschel 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.69% 1.38% -0.31% CUT 7.39
20 USA Max Homa 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.54% 1.85% 0.31% T42 6.73
21 CHI Joaquin Niemann 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.54% 1.65% 0.11% T13 6.73
22 USA Russell Henley 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.41% 0.84% -0.57% CUT 6.18
23 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.35% 0.77% -0.57% 5.89
24 CAN Corey Conners 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.29% 1.22% -0.06% T28 5.62
25 USA Aaron Wise 70 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.21% 0.96% -0.25% T31 5.31
26 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 77 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.5/1) 1.28% 1.1% 1.53% 0.43% T31 4.83
27 CAN Taylor Pendrith 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 1% 0.15% 68 3.73
28 IRL Seamus Power 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.62% -0.24% CUT 3.73
29 USA Harold Varner III 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.78% 1.05% 0.28% CUT 3.4
30 USA Scott Stallings 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.68% 0.9% 0.22% CUT 2.99
31 USA Keith Mitchell 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.84% 0.16% T31 2.99
32 USA Davis Riley 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.68% 1.21% 0.53% T31 2.97
33 SWE Alexander Noren 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.59% 0.82% 0.24% WD
34 ARG Emiliano Grillo 150 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.55% -0.02% T31
35 USA Keegan Bradley 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.52% 1.97% 1.46% CUT
36 USA Sahith Theegala 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.49% 0.71% 0.22% T13
37 AUS Adam Scott 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.46% 0.78% 0.31% T5
38 USA Chris Kirk 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.44% 0.86% 0.42% CUT
39 KOR Siwoo Kim 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.44% 0.68% 0.24% T42
40 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.65% 0.22% T20
41 USA Tom Hoge 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.53% 0.1% CUT
42 USA Mark Hubbard 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.5% 0.08% CUT
43 USA Webb Simpson 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.42% 0.35% -0.07% CUT
44 COL Sebastian Munoz 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.4% 1.18% 0.78% T46
45 USA Taylor Moore 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.4% 0.46% 0.06% T31
46 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.38% 0.67% 0.28% T64
47 USA Brendan Steele 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.38% 0.61% 0.23% CUT
48 USA Adam Long 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.37% 0.51% 0.15% CUT
49 AUS Cameron Davis 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.35% 0.82% 0.47% T13
50 USA Chez Reavie 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.35% 0.63% 0.28% T51
51 ENG Justin Rose 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.35% 0.46% 0.11% CUT
52 USA Brian Harman 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.34% 0.91% 0.58% T3
53 USA Cameron Tringale 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.34% 0.65% 0.31% CUT
54 USA Maverick McNealy 264 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.3/1) 0.38% 0.33% 0.65% 0.32% T31
55 CAN Adam Hadwin 283 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.4/1) 0.35% 0.3% 0.83% 0.52% 69
56 AUS Lucas Herbert 283 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.4/1) 0.35% 0.3% 0.51% 0.21% CUT
57 USA Kevin Kisner 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.29% 1.14% 0.85% T20
58 USA Gary Woodland 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.29% 0.79% 0.49% T51
59 USA Wyndham Clark 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.29% 0.51% 0.21% T28
60 AUS Jason Day 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.29% 0.38% 0.09% CUT
61 ENG Callum Tarren 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.53% 0.25% CUT
62 USA Troy Merritt 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.72% 0.46% T28
63 USA Brendon Todd 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.26% 0% 67
64 USA Matt Kuchar 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.25% 1.84% 1.59% CUT
65 IND Anirban Lahiri 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.25% 0.8% 0.54% CUT
66 USA Alex Smalley 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.25% 0.38% 0.13% CUT
67 USA Denny McCarthy 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.69% 0.45% T20
68 USA Brandon Wu 371 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51.7/1) 0.27% 0.23% 0.49% 0.26% CUT
69 USA Rickie Fowler 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.34% 0.13% T64
70 USA Nate Lashley 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.33% 0.11%
71 USA Trey Mullinax 401 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.7/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.46% 0.25% T5
72 USA John Huh 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.21% 0.65% 0.44%
73 AUS Marc Leishman 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.21% 0.33% 0.12% T64
74 ENG Aaron Rai 420 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.6/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.46% 0.25% T51
75 USA Luke List 420 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.6/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.26% 0.06% CUT
76 USA Hayden Buckley 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.3% 0.13% T61
77 USA Stewart Cink 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.54% 0.37% CUT
78 USA David Lipsky 509 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.2/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.37% 0.2% T46
79 USA Kurt Kitayama 548 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.8/1) 0.18% 0.16% 1.14% 0.98% CUT
80 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 558 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.7/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% CUT
81 USA Matthew NeSmith 587 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.3/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.68% 0.53% CUT
82 USA Patrick Rodgers 587 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.3/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.53% 0.38% CUT
83 CAN Adam Svensson 587 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.3/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.44% 0.3% T51
84 SCO Martin Laird 597 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73.2/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.27% 0.12% T57
85 USA Joel Dahmen 607 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.1/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% CUT
86 USA Chesson Hadley 616 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.9/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.48% 0.34% CUT
87 RSA Dylan Frittelli 626 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.8/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.43% 0.29% T20
88 USA Andrew Putnam 646 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.5/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.32% 0.19% T5
89 USA Kevin Streelman 656 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.4/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.66% 0.52% CUT
90 USA Ryan Palmer 665 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.2/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.38% 0.25% T20
91 USA Doug Ghim 685 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.9/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.33% 0.21% CUT
92 USA Mackenzie Hughes 705 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 82.6/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.63% 0.51% T46
93 USA Scott Piercy 724 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84.3/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.32% 0.2%
94 AUT Sepp Straka 754 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86.8/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.98% 0.87% 2
95 SCO Russell Knox 783 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.48% 0.37% CUT
96 USA James Hahn 793 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 90.1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.44% 0.34% T61
97 USA Greyson Sigg 803 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 90.9/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.3% 0.2% T61
98 USA Lucas Glover 812 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 91.6/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.26% 0.15% T3
99 USA Lee Hodges 822 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 92.4/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% T13
100 USA Tyler Duncan 822 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 92.4/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.36% 0.25% T31
101 USA Patton Kizzire 822 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 92.4/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.27% 0.16% CUT
102 USA Beau Hossler 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.65% 0.56% T57
103 NZL Danny Lee 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.41% 0.33% CUT
104 USA Michael Thompson 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.31% T31
105 USA Peter Malnati 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.39% 0.31% CUT
106 USA Robert Streb 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% T51
107 USA Vincent Whaley 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% CUT
108 AUT Matthias Schwab 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.33% 0.24% CUT
109 USA Max McGreevy 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.32% 0.23% CUT
110 USA Adam Schenk 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.29% 0.2% T31
111 USA Sam Ryder 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.24% 0.16% T51
112 USA Chad Ramey 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.2% 0.12% CUT
113 CAN Nick Taylor 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.34% 0.26% CUT
114 USA Nick Watney 1000 (888sport: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.32% 0.23% CUT
115 USA Kevin Tway 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% CUT
116 USA Kramer Hickok 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% CUT
117 USA Ryan Brehm 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.1% 0.04% CUT
118 GER Stephan Jaeger 0% 0% 0% 0% T46
119 USA J.J Spaun 0% 0% 0% 0% T42
120 TPE C.T. Pan 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
121 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% T42
122 USA JT Poston 0% 0% 0% 0% T20

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 6.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -6.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 7.6% 7.6%
2 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 46.4% 11.3%
3 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 49.9% 14.1%
4 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 51.3% 15%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 59.5% 21.3%
6 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 59.5% 21.3%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 38.3% 21.8%
8 888Sport 7 @ 1/5 48.7% 22.3%
9 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 40.4% 23.7%
10 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 40.4% 23.7%
11 Betway 7 @ 1/5 51.2% 24.4%
12 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 88.2% 24.4%
13 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 65.1% 25.6%
14 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 49.6% 31.8%
15 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 51% 33%
16 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 51% 33%
17 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 51.4% 33.4%
18 VBet 5 @ 1/4 52.8% 34.5%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 51.4% 35.8%
20 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 51.4% 35.8%
21 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 52.1% 36.4%
22 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 53% 37.2%