Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 6.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -3.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.1

Wells Fargo Championship

05/05/2022 - 08/05/2022

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NIR Rory McIlroy 8.5 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 10.53% 8.97% 2.35% -6.62% 5
2 CAN Corey Conners 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.06% 2.82% -1.24% T21
3 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.7% 2.79% -0.92% T2
4 USA Tony Finau 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.7% 1.12% -2.58% T41
5 MEX Abraham Ancer 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.75% 0.94% -1.81% T56
6 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.51% 3.09% 0.58% T37 11.13
7 USA Russell Henley 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.51% 2.08% -0.42% T41
8 USA Keegan Bradley 33 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.51% 1.42% -1.09% T2
9 USA Gary Woodland 33 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.51% 1.29% -1.22% MC
10 ESP Sergio Garcia 40 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.08% 1.93% -0.15% T21 9.23
11 USA Cameron Young 40 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.08% 1.84% -0.24% T2
12 USA Max Homa 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.08% 1.41% -0.67% 1
13 USA Davis Riley 40 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.08% 1.28% -0.8%
14 USA Keith Mitchell 45 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.85% 1.64% -0.21% MC
15 AUT Sepp Straka 45 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.85% 1.52% -0.33% MC
16 KOR Siwoo Kim 50 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.67% 1.57% -0.1% T37 7.42
17 AUS Marc Leishman 51 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 10.8/1) 1.92% 1.64% 1.27% -0.36% MC
18 USA Joel Dahmen 55 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.52% 1.07% -0.45% T51
19 ENG Paul Casey 56 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.5/1) 1.75% 1.49% 1.89% 0.39% 6.64
20 USA Doug Ghim 60 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.4% 0.74% -0.65% MC
21 AUS Jason Day 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.4% 0.31% -1.09% T15
22 USA Webb Simpson 66 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13/1) 1.49% 1.27% 1.06% -0.21% MC
23 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.27% 0.79% -0.48% T15
24 USA Matt Kuchar 70 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.5/1) 1.41% 1.2% 1.2% 0% T49 5.33
25 USA Patrick Reed 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.12% 0.98% -0.14% MC 4.98
26 USA Troy Merritt 80 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% 1.2% 0.15% T35 4.68
27 USA Adam Long 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% 0.86% -0.19% MC 4.68
28 ENG Aaron Rai 80 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.05% 0.55% -0.5% MC
29 USA Brian Harman 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 0.99% 0.92% -0.07% T9 4.4
30 TPE C.T. Pan 89 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16/1) 1.11% 0.95% 0.76% -0.19% T15 4.21
31 IRL Seamus Power 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.84% 1.64% 0.8% MC 3.75
32 USA Denny McCarthy 100 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.84% 1.14% 0.3% T25 3.75
33 IND Anirban Lahiri 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.84% 0.97% 0.12% T6 3.75
34 USA Matthew NeSmith 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.84% 0.77% -0.08% T31 3.75
35 USA Pat Perez 100 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.84% 0.76% -0.08% 3.75
36 USA Brandon Wu 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.84% 0.46% -0.38% MC
37 USA Kevin Streelman 104 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.9/1) 0.95% 0.81% 0.64% -0.17% MC 3.61
38 USA Brendan Steele 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.69% 0.41% -0.28% T51
39 USA Luke List 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.68% 1.69% 1.01% T31 3.01
40 SCO Martin Laird 125 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 1.11% 0.44% 61 3.01
41 SCO Russell Knox 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.68% 1.01% 0.33% T35 3.01
42 USA Alex Smalley 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.68% 0.77% 0.09% MC 3.01
43 RSA Branden Grace 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.68% 0.52% -0.15% MC 3.01
44 USA Lucas Glover 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.6% 1.2% 0.61% MC
45 USA David Lipsky 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.6% 0.54% -0.05% MC
46 AUS Matt Jones 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.56% 1.22% 0.65% MC
47 USA Lanto Griffin 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.56% 0.87% 0.3% T6
48 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.56% 0.66% 0.1% T25
49 AUS Cameron Davis 151 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.4/1) 0.66% 0.56% 0.84% 0.28% MC
50 USA Mark Hubbard 151 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.4/1) 0.66% 0.56% 0.29% -0.27% MC
51 USA Tyler Duncan 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.48% 0.5% 0.01% MC
52 USA Rickie Fowler 180 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.5/1) 0.55% 0.47% 0.26% -0.21% T21
53 USA Greyson Sigg 189 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.5/1) 0.53% 0.45% 0.63% 0.19% MC
54 ITA Francesco Molinari 189 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.5/1) 0.53% 0.45% 0.51% 0.07% MC
55 AUT Matthias Schwab 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.43% 1.13% 0.7% MC
56 RSA Dylan Frittelli 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.43% 1% 0.57% T46
57 CAN Nick Taylor 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.73% 0.3% T15
58 USA JT Poston 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.65% 0.23% T9
59 USA Ryan Armour 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.19% -0.23% T25
60 KOR Sunghoon Kang 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.18% -0.24% MC
61 USA Beau Hossler 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.41% 0.92% 0.52% MC
62 USA Taylor Moore 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.41% 0.58% 0.17% T64
63 USA Mackenzie Hughes 218 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.4/1) 0.46% 0.39% 1.21% 0.82% T9
64 USA Doc Redman 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.36% 1.22% 0.86% MC
65 USA Nate Lashley 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.36% 0.47% 0.11% WD
66 USA Andrew Putnam 246 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.2/1) 0.4% 0.34% 0.49% 0.15% MC
67 USA Brian Stuard 246 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.2/1) 0.4% 0.34% 0.36% 0.02% MC
68 CAN Adam Svensson 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.78% 0.44% MC
69 USA Lee Hodges 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.77% 0.43% MC
70 USA Kramer Hickok 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.64% 0.3% MC
71 USA Kurt Kitayama 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.33% 0.98% 0.65% T15
72 USA Austin Smotherman 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.33% 0.62% 0.29% T25
73 USA Chez Reavie 284 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.6/1) 0.35% 0.3% 0.88% 0.58% T15
74 USA Sam Ryder 294 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.6/1) 0.34% 0.29% 0.74% 0.45%
75 USA Peter Malnati 294 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.6/1) 0.34% 0.29% 0.64% 0.35% T51
76 USA John Huh 294 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.6/1) 0.34% 0.29% 0.64% 0.35% MC
77 USA Michael Thompson 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.72% 0.44% T64
78 USA Joseph Bramlett 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.41% 0.13% MC
79 USA Brice Garnett 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.4% 0.12% MC
80 USA James Hahn 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.25% -0.03% T9
81 USA Hayden Buckley 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.21% -0.08% MC
82 USA Matthew Wolff 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.28% 0.28% 0% T25
83 USA Chad Ramey 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.32% 0.05% T21
84 RSA Charl Schwartzel 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.26% 0.54% 0.27% MC
85 GER Stephan Jaeger 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.26% 0.29% 0.03% T6
86 USA Stewart Cink 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.48% 0.22% T9
87 USA Chase Seiffert 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.32% 0.07% T46
88 USA Harry Higgs 341 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.6/1) 0.29% 0.25% 0.57% 0.32% MC
89 USA Scott Piercy 351 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.7/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.41% 0.17% T37
90 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 379 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.5/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.46% 0.24% MC
91 USA Kevin Chappell 398 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.4/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.52% 0.31% T62
92 USA Adam Schenk 398 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.4/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.41% 0.2% T9
93 USA Andrew Novak 398 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.4/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.38% 0.16% MC
94 NZL Danny Lee 398 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.4/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.28% 0.07% MC
95 USA Dylan Wu 398 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.4/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.26% 0.05% T62
96 USA Brandon Hagy 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.2% -0.01% MC
97 ENG Matt Wallace 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.14% -0.08% MC
98 USA Hank Lebioda 417 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.3/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.43% 0.22% T41
99 CAN Roger Sloan 417 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.3/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.3% 0.09% MC
100 SVK Rory Sabbatini 417 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.3/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.27% 0.07% T41
101 USA Charley Hoffman 427 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.3/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.15% -0.05% MC
102 USA Trey Mullinax 436 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.2/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.37% 0.17% MC
103 USA Zach Johnson 465 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.89% 0.71% MC
104 SWE Henrik Norlander 465 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.16% -0.02% T59
105 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 474 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.9/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.22% 0.04% MC
106 USA Peter Uihlein 484 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.8/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.19% 0.02% MC
107 USA Ben Kohles 484 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.8/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.16% -0.02% T59
108 USA Vaughn Taylor 493 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.7/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.26% 0.08% MC
109 AUS Cameron Percy 493 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.7/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.13% -0.04% MC
110 USA Scott Gutschewski 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.31% 0.14% MC
111 USA Jim Herman 500 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.21% 0.04% MC
112 USA Ben Martin 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.17% 0% T51
113 USA Chesson Hadley 541 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.1/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.19% 0.03% MC
114 ENG Callum Tarren 550 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.9/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.11% -0.05% T56
115 USA Jonathan Byrd 598 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73.3/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.44% 0.3% MC
116 ESP Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.13% -0.01% MC
117 USA Wesley Bryan 607 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.1/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.33% 0.19% MC
118 FRA Paul Barjon 607 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.1/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.21% 0.07% T51
119 USA Bill Haas 664 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.49% 0.37% MC
120 USA Richy Werenski 664 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.23% 0.1% MC
121 USA Bryson Nimmer 702 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 82.4/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.16% 0.04% MC
122 USA Kevin Tway 712 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.2/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.72% 0.6% MC
123 USA Bo Hoag 712 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.2/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.13% 0.01% MC
124 USA Nick Watney 750 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86.5/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.38% 0.27% MC
125 COL Camilo Villegas 750 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86.5/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.18% 0.07% T56
126 USA Justin Lower 750 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86.5/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.15% 0.04% T31
127 USA Jim Knous 750 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.14% 0.03% MC
128 ENG Luke Donald 759 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.29% 0.18% T25
129 USA Martin Trainer 778 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 88.8/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.66% 0.55% WD
130 CAN Michael Gligic 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.64% 0.55% T37
131 USA Ryan Blaum 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.46% 0.37% MC
132 ENG David Skinns 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.42% 0.33% MC
133 USA Max McGreevy 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.42% 0.33% MC
134 USA Kelly Kraft 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22% T49
135 USA Jared Wolfe 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.28% 0.19% MC
136 KOR Seungyul Noh 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.25% 0.16%
137 USA Curtis Thompson 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% WD
138 AUS Brett Drewitt 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% MC
139 RSA Dawie van der Walt 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.16% 0.07% T41
140 USA Austin Cook 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.16% 0.07% MC
141 USA Seth Reeves 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.15% 0.06% MC
142 USA Joshua Creel 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.15% 0.06% MC
143 USA Brandon Matthews 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% MC
144 USA Bo Van Pelt 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.34% 0.26% MC
145 SWE Jonas Blixt 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% MC
146 USA William McGirt 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.15% 0.06% MC
147 USA Morgan Hoffmann 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.14% 0.05% MC
148 USA Johnson Wagner 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.14% 0.05% MC
149 USA Larkin Gross 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.13% 0.05% MC
150 USA Jason Dufner 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 SWE David Lingmerth 0% 0% 0% 0% T46
152 USA Nicholas Thompson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 AUS Aaron Baddeley 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 USA Robert Garrigus 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 USA Tommy Gainey 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA Norman Xiong 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 USA Vincent Whaley 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 CAN Drew Nesbitt 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 USA Turk Pettit 0% 0% 0% 0% T31
160 USA Jacob Bridgeman 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
161 USA Greg Odom Jr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 6.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -3.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 10.4% 10.4%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 35.3% 19.4%
3 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 58.7% 20.8%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 64.3% 25.2%
5 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 64.3% 25.2%
6 Betway 7 @ 1/5 53.1% 26.2%
7 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 56.6% 29.2%
8 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 70.2% 29.7%
9 Coral 8 @ 1/5 70.2% 29.7%
10 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 48.5% 31%
11 VBet 7 @ 1/5 60.6% 32.5%
12 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 50.3% 32.6%
13 QuinnBet 7 @ 1/5 61.1% 32.9%
14 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 101.8% 33.6%
15 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 64.4% 35.6%
16 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 55.7% 39.9%
17 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 55.7% 39.9%
18 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 56.5% 40.6%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 61.1% 44.8%
20 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 61.2% 44.9%
21 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 76.3% 55.6%