Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 9.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 279.1

Total Profit: +179

Farmers Insurance Open

27/01/2022 - 30/01/2022

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 7 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 12.5% 10.4% 2.37% -8.04% T3
2 USA Justin Thomas 11 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 8.33% 6.94% 2.4% -4.54% T20
3 USA Sam Burns 20 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.96% 2.87% -1.09% MC
4 USA Bryson DeChambeau 20 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.96% 2.44% -1.53% MC
5 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 20 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.96% 1.98% -1.98% T30
6 USA Xander Schauffele 20 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.96% 1.55% -2.42% T34
7 USA Daniel Berger 20 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.96% 1.46% -2.5% T20
8 USA Tony Finau 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.2% 2.03% -1.17% MC
9 USA Dustin Johnson 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.2% 0.99% -2.21% T25
10 KOR Sungjae Im 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.87% 2.69% -0.18% T6 (tied w/5) 12.38 +24.5
11 USA Scottie Scheffler 28 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.87% 1.91% -0.96% T20
12 AUS Marc Leishman 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.45% 1.49% -0.96% T16
13 USA Brooks Koepka 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.45% 0.92% -1.53% MC
14 USA Will Zalatoris 35 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.31% 0.77% -1.55% 2
15 USA Patrick Reed 45 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.81% 1.24% -0.57% T46
16 USA Talor Gooch 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.63% 2.22% 0.59% T20 7.04
17 CAN Corey Conners 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.49% 1.39% -0.1% MC 6.41
18 USA Jordan Spieth 56 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.5/1) 1.75% 1.46% 1.15% -0.31% MC 6.3
19 USA Matthew Wolff 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.36% 1.5% 0.14% 64 5.89
20 USA Max Homa 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.36% 0.87% -0.49% MC 5.89
21 USA Maverick McNealy 66 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.24% 1.23% -0.02% T30 5.36
22 USA Lanto Griffin 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.24% 0.61% -0.63% T30
23 USA Aaron Wise 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.03% 1.48% 0.45% MC 4.43
24 USA Luke List 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.03% 0.83% -0.2% 1 4.43 +217.1
25 USA Cameron Tringale 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.91% 0.87% -0.04% T3 (tied w/3) 3.95 +37.5
26 USA Ryan Palmer 94 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.7/1) 1.05% 0.88% 0.91% 0.03% T16 3.78
27 AUS Cameron Davis 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.82% 1.26% 0.43% T56 3.56
28 USA Tom Hoge 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.82% 1.03% 0.2% MC 3.56
29 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 100 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 0.81% -0.01% T39 3.56
30 AUS Jason Day 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.82% 0.17% -0.65% T3
31 ENG Justin Rose 104 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.9/1) 0.95% 0.79% 1.24% 0.44% T6 3.42
32 ITA Francesco Molinari 104 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.9/1) 0.95% 0.79% 0.2% -0.59% T62
33 USA Keegan Bradley 113 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19/1) 0.88% 0.73% 1% 0.27% T65 3.15
34 CHI Joaquin Niemann 113 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19/1) 0.88% 0.73% 0.78% 0.05% T6 3.15
35 KOR Siwoo Kim 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.67% 1.37% 0.7% T11 2.9
36 USA Brandt Snedeker 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.66% 0.45% -0.21% MC 2.85
37 USA Billy Horschel 132 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.3/1) 0.75% 0.63% 1.54% 0.92% T11 2.7
38 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 132 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.3/1) 0.75% 0.63% 1.51% 0.88% T46 2.7
39 USA Mackenzie Hughes 132 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.3/1) 0.75% 0.63% 1.23% 0.6% MC 2.7
40 USA Keith Mitchell 161 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.5/1) 0.62% 0.51% 1.4% 0.88% MC
41 USA Joseph Bramlett 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.47% 0.44% -0.03% T67
42 RSA Dylan Frittelli 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.47% 0.42% -0.05% MC
43 USA Gary Woodland 180 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.5/1) 0.55% 0.46% 0.23% -0.23% T39
44 MEX Carlos Ortiz 189 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.5/1) 0.53% 0.44% 0.78% 0.34% T70
45 AUS Matt Jones 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.42% 0.81% 0.4% MC
46 USA Taylor Moore 200 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.87% 0.46% MC
47 USA Vincent Whaley 200 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.62% 0.2% MC
48 USA Patrick Rodgers 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.4% 0.85% 0.45% T62
49 USA Rickie Fowler 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.4% 0.55% 0.15% MC
50 SWE Alexander Noren 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.35% 0.97% 0.62% T39
51 USA Cameron Champ 246 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.2/1) 0.4% 0.34% 0.48% 0.15% T46
52 CAN Taylor Pendrith 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.6% 0.27% T16
53 ARG Emiliano Grillo 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.25% -0.08% MC
54 USA Alex Smalley 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.32% 0.88% 0.55% T56
55 USA Hudson Swafford 284 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.6/1) 0.35% 0.29% 0.8% 0.51% MC
56 USA Patton Kizzire 284 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.6/1) 0.35% 0.29% 0.42% 0.13% MC
57 USA Cameron Young 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.82% 0.54% T20
58 CAN Nick Taylor 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.65% 0.38% T30
59 USA Joel Dahmen 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.27% 1.08% 0.8% MC
60 CAN Adam Hadwin 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.27% 0.58% 0.31% MC
61 USA Kevin Streelman 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.27% 0.52% 0.24% T39
62 USA Wyndham Clark 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.26% 0.72% 0.46% T56
63 USA Michael Thompson 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.25% 0.7% 0.45% T11
64 USA Scott Stallings 341 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.6/1) 0.29% 0.24% 0.52% 0.27% T46
65 USA Davis Riley 341 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.6/1) 0.29% 0.24% 0.35% 0.11% MC
66 USA Harry Higgs 379 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.5/1) 0.26% 0.22% 1% 0.78% MC
67 NZL Danny Lee 398 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.4/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.92% 0.71% MC
68 USA Phil Mickelson 398 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.4/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.7% 0.49% MC
69 CAN Adam Svensson 398 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.4/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.47% 0.26% 79
70 USA Kyle Stanley 398 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.4/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.34% 0.13% MC
71 COL Sebastian Munoz 408 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.4/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.88% 0.68% T39
72 USA Sahith Theegala 427 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.3/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.53% 0.34% T25
73 USA Hayden Buckley 436 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.2/1) 0.23% 0.19% 1.06% 0.87% MC
74 TPE C.T. Pan 446 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.2/1) 0.22% 0.19% 0.72% 0.54% 78
75 USA Doug Ghim 446 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.2/1) 0.22% 0.19% 0.72% 0.54% T34
76 SWE Henrik Norlander 474 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.9/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.36% 0.18% MC
77 USA J.J Spaun 484 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.8/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.55% 0.38% T34
78 SCO Martin Laird 484 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.8/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.51% 0.34% T46
79 USA Chez Reavie 493 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.7/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.59% 0.42% T70
80 USA Lee Hodges 493 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.7/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.36% 0.19% MC
81 USA Tyler McCumber 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.42% 0.26% MC
82 ENG Aaron Rai 503 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.6/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.76% 0.6% T6
83 USA JT Poston 503 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.6/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.26% 0.09% MC
84 USA Robert Streb 522 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.4/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.92% 0.77% T56
85 USA Pat Perez 531 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.2/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.41% 0.26% T6
86 USA Greyson Sigg 541 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.1/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.71% 0.56% T34
87 USA Chad Ramey 541 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.1/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% T39
88 USA Adam Schenk 569 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.7/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.55% 0.41% T56
89 AUT Sepp Straka 569 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.7/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.41% 0.27% T16
90 USA Hank Lebioda 569 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.7/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.27% 0.13% T46
91 USA Matthew NeSmith 579 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.6/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% T34
92 USA Nick Hardy 579 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.6/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.31% 0.16% MC
93 USA Brandon Hagy 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.28% 0.14% MC
94 USA Brandon Wu 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.1% -0.04% MC
95 USA Adam Long 636 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.7/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.8% 0.67% T65
96 USA Scott Piercy 636 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.7/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.7% 0.57% 76
97 COL Camilo Villegas 636 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.7/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.41% 0.28% T67
98 GER Stephan Jaeger 636 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.7/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.27% 0.14% MC
99 FRA Paul Barjon 645 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.5/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.74% 0.61% MC
100 USA David Lipsky 655 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.3/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.6% 0.48% T56
101 USA James Hahn 655 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.3/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.35% 0.22% MC
102 USA Sam Ryder 664 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.4% 0.27% MC
103 SVK Rory Sabbatini 664 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.29% 0.17% T70
104 USA Doc Redman 674 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.16% 0.04% T25
105 KOR Sunghoon Kang 683 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.8/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.38% 0.26% MC
106 USA Jason Dufner 683 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.8/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.28% 0.16% MC
107 USA Dylan Wu 683 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.8/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.21% 0.09% MC
108 USA Andrew Novak 721 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.34% 0.23% T70
109 USA Kevin Tway 740 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.6/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.59% 0.48% T46
110 USA Trey Mullinax 759 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.39% 0.28% MC
111 USA Peter Malnati 769 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 88.1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.41% 0.3% T25
112 USA Bronson Burgoon 769 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 88.1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.36% 0.25% T74
113 USA Peter Uihlein 769 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 88.1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.09% -0.02% MC
114 IND Anirban Lahiri 797 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 90.4/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.49% 0.38% T46
115 USA Brian Stuard 797 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 90.4/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% MC
116 USA Brice Garnett 797 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 90.4/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.19% 0.08% MC
117 USA Jim Herman 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.45% 0.36% MC
118 USA Nick Watney 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.37% 0.28% MC
119 USA Austin Cook 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% MC
120 USA Max McGreevy 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.33% 0.24% MC
121 ENG David Skinns 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% MC
122 USA Chesson Hadley 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% MC
123 USA Justin Lower 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.23% 0.15% MC
124 CAN Michael Gligic 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.23% 0.14% 77
125 USA Richy Werenski 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% MC
126 USA Ben Kohles 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.18% 0.09% MC
127 USA Jimmy Walker 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.16% 0.07% T46
128 USA Seth Reeves 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.16% 0.07% MC
129 USA Kevin Chappell 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.15% 0.07% T46
130 USA Taylor Montgomery 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.12% 0.03% T11
131 KOR Seungyul Noh 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.15% T74
132 USA Bill Haas 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% T39
133 USA Curtis Thompson 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% T67
134 USA Austin Smotherman 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.13% T11
135 USA Scott Gutschewski 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.1% 0.01% MC
136 USA Martin Trainer 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.31% 0.25% MC
137 RSA Dawie van der Walt 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.23% 0.17% MC
138 SWE Jonas Blixt 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.22% 0.16% MC
139 USA Kamaiu Johnson 2500 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.12% 0.08% MC
140 USA Michael Block 4000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% 0.12% 0.1% MC
141 USA Jonathan Byrd 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 USA Mark Hubbard 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 AUS Brett Drewitt 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 CAN Martin du Toit 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% T25
146 USA Beau Hossler 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 USA Jared Wolfe 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 ENG Callum Tarren 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 USA Kurt Kitayama 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 USA Jim Knous 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 USA Joshua Creel 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 TPE Yu Chun-an(am) 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 USA Brent Grant 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 USA Austin Eckroat 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 CAN Maxwell Sear 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA Ryan Alford 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 9.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.2 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 VBet 5 @ 1/4 24% 9.4%
2 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 12.5% 12.5%
3 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 29% 13.8%
4 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 50% 14.5%
5 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 57.9% 20.5%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 60.1% 22.1%
7 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 60.1% 22.1%
8 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 87.5% 24.4%
9 QuinnBet 7 @ 1/5 56.5% 29.2%
10 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 72% 31.2%
11 Coral 8 @ 1/5 72% 31.2%
12 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 46.2% 31.4%
13 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 51.2% 33.5%
14 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 51.2% 33.5%
15 Betway 7 @ 1/5 61.8% 33.5%
16 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 53.2% 35.2%
17 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 51.5% 36.2%
18 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 55.1% 37%
19 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 52.7% 37.6%
20 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 52.7% 37.6%
21 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 56.2% 40.4%
22 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 61.9% 45.5%