Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 21.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 112.8

Total Profit: +12.7

Dutch Open

16/09/2021 - 19/09/2021

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 BEL Thomas Pieters 12 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 7.69% 6.35% 1.52% -4.83% T9
2 RSA Branden Grace 16 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.85% 2.84% -2.02% T12
3 ENG Sam Horsfield 18 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.34% 2.49% -1.85% T64
4 BEL Thomas Detry 20 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.93% 1.64% -2.29% T4
5 RSA Dean Burmester 22 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.59% 2.87% -0.72% MC
6 USA Johannes Veerman 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.17% 2.57% -0.61% T6
7 NED Joost Luiten 25 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.17% 1.68% -1.49% MC
8 ENG Andrew Johnston 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.85% 2.57% -0.27% MC 12.42
9 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 28 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.85% 2.47% -0.37% MC
10 RSA Justin Harding 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.43% 2.33% -0.1% T9 10.59
11 SVK Rory Sabbatini 33 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.43% 2.12% -0.31% T50
12 IND Shubhankar Sharma 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.43% 1.42% -1.01% T27
13 NED Wil Besseling 35 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.29% 1.18% -1.11% MC
14 GER Marcel Siem 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.01% 1.4% -0.61% T15
15 NZL Ryan Fox 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.01% 1.18% -0.83% T15
16 RSA George Coetzee 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.01% 0.91% -1.11% T50
17 ENG David Horsey 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.62% 1.46% -0.16% T19 7.06
18 THA Jazz Janewattananond 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.62% 1.19% -0.43% T9
19 SWE Joakim Lagergren 55 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.47% 1% -0.48% MC
20 RSA Brandon Stone 55 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.47% 0.72% -0.75% T32
21 SCO David Law 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.23% 1.74% 0.51% T38 5.38
22 GER Maximilian Kieffer 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.23% 1.62% 0.39% T15 5.38
23 NIR Graeme McDowell 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.23% 0.99% -0.25% T22 5.38
24 USA Paul Peterson 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.23% 0.93% -0.3% MC
25 ENG Richard Mansell 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.23% 0.57% -0.66% T6
26 POR Ricardo Gouveia 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.23% 0.27% -0.96% T58
27 ITA Renato Paratore 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.02% 1.32% 0.3% MC 4.45
28 AUS Maverick Antcliff 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.02% 0.92% -0.1% T27 4.45
29 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.02% 0.9% -0.12% MC 4.45
30 ENG Ashley Chesters 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.02% 0.88% -0.14% MC 4.45
31 WAL Oliver Farr 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.02% 0.78% -0.24% T62 4.45
32 GER Matthias Schmid 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.02% 0.77% -0.25% 2 4.45 +37.8
33 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.02% 0.68% -0.34% MC
34 FRA Romain Langasque 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.02% 0.59% -0.43% T22
35 IRL Niall Kearney 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.91% 0.97% 0.06% T12 3.96
36 ESP Jorge Campillo 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.91% 0.72% -0.19% MC 3.96
37 NED Darius Van Driel 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 0.92% 0.1% T4 (tied w/2) 3.57 +37.5
38 ESP Alejandro Canizares 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 0.89% 0.07% 3 3.57 +37.5
39 RSA Wilco Nienaber 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 0.66% -0.15% T22 3.57
40 ENG Lee Slattery 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.82% 0.27% -0.55% T38
41 ENG Jack Senior 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 1.63% 0.98% T32 2.86
42 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 1.28% 0.62% T12 2.86
43 ENG Garrick Porteous 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 1.09% 0.44% MC 2.86
44 SWE Niklas Lemke 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.4% -0.26% MC
45 SCO Craig Howie 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.59% 1.15% 0.56% MC
46 FRA Clement Sordet 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 1.09% 0.55% T32
47 RSA Louis de Jager 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.73% 0.18% T50
48 NZL Josh Geary 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.57% 0.03% MC
49 FRA Adrien Saddier 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.56% 0.02% T15
50 SWE Rikard Karlberg 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.52% -0.02% T69
51 ENG Steven Brown 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.43% -0.12% T47
52 FRA Julien Guerrier 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.35% -0.19% T38
53 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.51% 1.36% 0.84% T38
54 ENG David Coupland 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.51% 0.67% 0.16% MC
55 MAS Gavin Green 160 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.51% 0.61% 0.09% MC
56 CAN Aaron Cockerill 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.47% 0.67% 0.2% T19
57 ENG Chris Wood 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 2.15% 1.74% T32
58 RSA Bryce Easton 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.93% 0.52% T38
59 GER Max Schmitt 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.6% 0.18% T58
60 ENG Matthew Baldwin 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.59% 0.18% MC
61 ENG Ben Evans 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.5% 0.09% T50
62 NED Daan Huizing 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.27% -0.14% T69
63 SCO David Drysdale 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.37% 0.79% 0.42% T27
64 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 1.19% 0.87% T32
65 ESP Pep Angles Ros 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.87% 0.54% MC
66 WAL Rhys Enoch 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.85% 0.53% T69
67 ENG Toby Tree 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.61% 0.28% MC
68 USA Berry Henson 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.61% 0.28% T50
69 RSA Zander Lombard 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.55% 0.22% MC
70 AUS Elvis Smylie 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.3% -0.03% MC
71 ENG Ben Stow 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.27% -0.06% T50
72 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.3% 0.32% 0.02% T50
73 FRA Robin Roussel 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.3% 0.27% -0.03% T27
74 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.59% 0.31% MC
75 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.42% 0.15% MC
76 CZE Ondrej Lieser 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.42% 0.14% T19
77 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.84% 0.6% T47
78 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.47% 0.23% 1
79 SWE Anton Karlsson 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.27% 0.03% T47
80 SWE Joel Sjoholm 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.26% 0.02% MC
81 ENG Oliver Fisher 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.7% 0.5% MC
82 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.61% 0.4% MC
83 FRA Damien Perrier 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.56% 0.35% MC
84 SCO Daniel Young 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.37% 0.16% MC
85 GER Frederik Schott 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.24% 0.04% MC
86 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 450 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.22% 0.18% 0.37% 0.19% T58
87 ENG Matt Ford 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.59% 0.42% 75
88 ENG Jordan Wrisdale 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.55% 0.38% T69
89 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.48% 0.31% 77
90 NIR Cormac Sharvin 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.41% 0.25% T64
91 FRA Joel Stalter 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.37% 0.21% WD
92 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.37% 0.21% MC
93 NED Kiet Van Der Weele 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.11% MC
94 FRA Romain Wattel 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.1% MC
95 POR Ricardo Santos 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.42% 0.28% T6
96 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.39% 0.26% T38
97 ENG Steven Tiley 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.29% 0.15% MC
98 NED Dario Antonisse 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.27% 0.14% MC
99 IRL Paul Dunne 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.53% 0.42% MC
100 SCO Euan Walker 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.43% 0.32% T38
101 AUS Deyen Lawson 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.4% 0.29% MC
102 IMN Tom Gandy 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.38% 0.27% MC
103 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.37% 0.26% T22
104 SWE Philip Eriksson 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.29% 0.18% MC
105 RSA Haydn Porteous 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.69% 0.61% MC
106 ESP Carlos Pigem 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.62% 0.54% MC
107 AUS Jake McLeod 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.57% 0.49% MC
108 FIN Janne Kaske 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.57% 0.48% MC
109 USA Tyler Koivisto 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.43% 0.35% MC
110 FRA Gary Stal 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.38% 0.29% MC
111 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.36% 0.28% MC
112 SCO Liam Johnston 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.36% 0.27% MC
113 IRL Gavin Moynihan 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.22% MC
114 IRL James Sugrue 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% 73
115 ENG Angus Flanagan 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% T64
116 SWE Jens Fahrbring 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% T64
117 SWE Robin Petersson 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
118 NED Max Albertus 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
119 NED Sven Maurits 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% T27
120 NED Koen Kouwenaar 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% 76
121 NED Mike Toorop 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% T50
122 NED Philip Bootsma 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% T38
123 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
124 SWE Jesper Sandborg 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% MC
125 SWE Peter Hanson 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.4% 0.35% T32
126 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.4% 0.34% MC
127 NED Maarten Lafeber 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.27% 0.22% MC
128 ITA Aron Zemmer 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.41% 0.36% MC
129 NED Ralph Miller 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.27% 0.23% MC
130 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
131 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
132 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T62
133 USA Chase Hanna 0% 0% 0% 0% T64
134 NED Lars Van Meijel 0% 0% 0% 0% T58
135 NED Davey Porsius 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
136 NED Lars Keunen 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
137 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
138 NED Rowin Caron 0% 0% 0% 0% T38
139 NED Nordin Van Tilburg 0% 0% 0% 0% 74
140 NED Stan Kraai 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 NED Wouter De Vries 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 NED Lars Van Der Vight 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 NED Felix van Dijk 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 21.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 38.3% 23.3%
2 VBet 5 @ 1/4 44.9% 29.2%
3 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 56.3% 30.9%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 57.1% 31.6%
5 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 57.1% 31.6%
6 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 47.9% 34.8%
7 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 50.1% 36.8%
8 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 50.6% 37.2%
9 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 50.6% 37.2%
10 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 51.4% 38%
11 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 52.3% 38.8%
12 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 55.9% 39%
13 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 55.9% 39%
14 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 55.9% 39%
15 Betway 6 @ 1/5 54.2% 40.6%
16 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 55.5% 41.8%
17 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 70.3% 42.7%