Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 27.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.8 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 253.3

Total Profit: +153.2

ISPS HANDA World Invitational presented by Modest! Golf Management

29/07/2021 - 01/08/2021

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Andy Sullivan 10 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.97% 2.49% -4.49% MC
2 RSA Justin Harding 11 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 8.33% 6.39% 3.76% -2.63% T7
3 ENG Laurie Canter 22 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.34% 0.84% -2.5% MC
4 ENG Marcus Armitage 25 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.95% 2.8% -0.15% T30
5 SCO Calum Hill 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.65% 2.79% 0.15% MC 11.12
6 SWE Vincent Norrman 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.65% 2.02% -0.62% T11
7 ENG Jordan L Smith 28 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.65% 1.48% -1.16% T3
8 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 28 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.65% 1.33% -1.31% T3
9 USA John Catlin 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.65% 1.03% -1.62% T7
10 ESP Adrian Otaegui 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.65% 0.84% -1.8% MC
11 NED Wil Besseling 30 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.47% 1.01% -1.46% MC
12 SCO Connor Syme 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.26% 2.32% 0.07% T32 9.48
13 ENG Matthew Jordan 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.26% 1.51% -0.75% MC
14 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.87% 3.29% 1.41% T11 7.87
15 ENG Eddie Pepperell 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.87% 1% -0.87% T22
16 ENG Jack Senior 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.5% 1.68% 0.18% T22 6.32
17 AUS Maverick Antcliff 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.5% 1.17% -0.33% T26
18 ENG Callum Shinkwin 50 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.5% 0.84% -0.67% MC
19 ENG Richard Mansell 50 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.5% 0.79% -0.72% MC
20 ENG Dale Whitnell 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 1.52% 0.38% T11 4.81
21 ESP Nacho Elvira 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 1.39% 0.25% T22 4.81
22 USA Sihwan Kim 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 1.37% 0.22% MC 4.81
23 SCO Grant Forrest 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 1.09% -0.06% MC 4.81
24 ENG James Morrison 66 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 0.94% -0.21% MC
25 NZL Josh Geary 66 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 0.73% -0.41% MC
26 SCO David Law 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.01% 1.18% 0.17% T15 4.25
27 IRL Niall Kearney 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.95% 1.45% 0.5% MC 3.98
28 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 1.26% 0.31% MC 3.98
29 AUS Scott Hend 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 1.14% 0.19% MC 3.98
30 CHI Hugo Leon 80 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.95% 1.14% 0.19% T7 3.98
31 NED Darius Van Driel 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 1.11% 0.16% T7 (tied w/4) 3.98 +8.5
32 ITA Francesco Laporta 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.95% 0.97% 0.03% T32 3.98
33 ENG Ashley Chesters 80 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.83% -0.12% T15
34 FRA Julien Guerrier 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.48% -0.46% MC
35 AUS Bryden MacPherson 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.95% 0.36% -0.58% MC
36 NZL Daniel Hillier 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.95% 0.33% -0.61% T3
37 FRA Alexander Levy 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.84% 0.43% -0.41% T26
38 SCO Scott Jamieson 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.84% 0.4% -0.44% MC
39 USA Paul Peterson 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.84% 0.33% -0.51% T19
40 GER Matthias Schmid 95 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.04% 0.8% 0.69% -0.11% T19
41 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 100 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 1.14% 0.38% MC 3.2
42 ENG David Horsey 100 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 1.03% 0.27% 2 3.2 +41.6
43 NIR Cormac Sharvin 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 0.85% 0.09% MC 3.2
44 ENG Daniel Gavins 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 0.81% 0.05% 1 3.2 +203.2
45 WAL Oliver Farr 100 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 0.62% -0.14% T11
46 ENG Steven Brown 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 0.5% -0.26% MC
47 IND Shubhankar Sharma 100 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 0.48% -0.28% T30
48 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 1.23% 0.62% MC 2.56
49 SCO Marc Warren 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.69% 0.08% MC 2.56
50 AUS Blake Windred 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.33% -0.28% T22
51 FRA Clement Sordet 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 1.04% 0.54% MC
52 ESP Alejandro Canizares 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.93% 0.42% T3
53 ENG Garrick Porteous 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.62% 0.11% T15
54 ENG Richard McEvoy 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.61% 0.1% T39
55 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.4% -0.11% MC
56 RSA Bryce Easton 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 1.13% 0.69% MC
57 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 0.87% 0.44% MC
58 USA Julian Suri 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 0.7% 0.26% MC
59 ENG Matthew Baldwin 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 0.68% 0.25% MC
60 SCO David Drysdale 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 0.47% 0.04% T32
61 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 0.39% -0.05% 41
62 WAL Rhys Enoch 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 0.33% -0.11% MC
63 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 1.6% 1.22% MC
64 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.93% 0.55% MC
65 POR Ricardo Santos 200 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.69% 0.31% MC
66 ESP Pep Angles Ros 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.56% 0.18% MC
67 AUS Elvis Smylie 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.36% -0.02% WD
68 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.34% -0.04% MC
69 WAL Bradley Dredge 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% 0.32% -0.02% MC
70 AUS Austin Bautista 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 1.16% 0.85% MC
71 ENG David Coupland 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.83% 0.52% MC
72 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.76% 0.45% MC
73 SCO Ryan Lumsden 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.34% 0.04% MC
74 NIR Michael Hoey 250 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.33% 0.02% MC
75 IRL Conor Purcell 250 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.33% 0.02% MC
76 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.29% -0.02% T32
77 ENG David Dixon 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.28% 0.32% 0.05% MC
78 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.97% 0.71% MC
79 FRA Joel Stalter 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.95% 0.69% MC
80 FRA Adrien Saddier 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.67% 0.42% T39
81 ESP Alvaro Quiros 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.52% 0.27% WD
82 GER Bernd Ritthammer 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.5% 0.25% MC
83 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.38% 0.13% MC
84 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.34% 0.09% MC
85 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.86% 0.65% 38
86 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.48% 0.26% MC
87 NED Lars Van Meijel 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.42% 0.2% MC
88 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.41% 0.19% MC
89 ENG Ben Evans 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.37% 0.15% T32
90 GER Max Schmitt 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.35% 0.13% T32
91 FRA Romain Wattel 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.34% 0.12% MC
92 NIR Tom McKibbin 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.32% 0.1% T26
93 ENG David Howell 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.55% 0.36% MC
94 IRL Paul Dunne 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.51% 0.32% MC
95 AUS Deyen Lawson 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.51% 0.32% MC
96 RSA Haydn Porteous 400 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.5% 0.3% WD
97 POR Pedro Figueiredo 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.38% 0.19% MC
98 IRL James Sugrue 400 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.36% 0.17% MC
99 IRL John Murphy 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.36% 0.17% MC
100 ENG Matt Ford 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.34% 0.15% MC
101 ENG Lee Slattery 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.34% 0.15% MC
102 THA Thongchai Jaidee 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.33% 0.13% MC
103 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.32% 0.13% MC
104 AUS Jake McLeod 400 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.31% 0.11% MC
105 ENG Joe Long 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.29% 0.1% MC
106 ENG Graeme Storm 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.57% 0.42% MC
107 USA Berry Henson 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.53% 0.38% MC
108 ENG Jordan Wrisdale 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.45% 0.3% T26
109 FRA Damien Perrier 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.25% MC
110 FRA Gregory Havret 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.37% 0.21% MC
111 IRL Mark Power 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.17% MC
112 IRL Rowan Lester 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.17% MC
113 NIR Dermot McElroy 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.17% T19
114 SCO Bradley Neil 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.17% MC
115 IRL Paul McBride 500 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.17% MC
116 ENG Ben Schmidt 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.17% MC
117 ENG Bailey Gill 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.17% MC
118 IRL Gavin Moynihan 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.39% 0.26% MC
119 ESP Carlos Pigem 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.38% 0.25% MC
120 ARG Alejandro Tosti 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.37% 0.24% MC
121 IRL Colm Moriarty 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.36% 0.26% MC
122 USA Tyler Koivisto 750 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% WD
123 FIN Janne Kaske 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% MC
124 IRL Brendan McCarroll 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.22% MC
125 IRL Conor O'Rourke 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.22% MC
126 SCO Euan Walker 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.49% 0.39% MC
127 SCO Liam Johnston 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.37% 0.27% MC
128 ENG Robin Williams 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% MC
129 SCO Daniel Young 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.49% 0.41% MC
130 ITA Aron Zemmer 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.45% 0.38% MC
131 SCO Ryan Campbell 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
132 AUS Dimi Papadatos 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
133 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T15
134 USA John Ellis 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
135 ENG Tom Murray 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
136 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
137 ENG Hugo Dobson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
138 IRL Simon Thornton 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
139 NIR Josh Hill(Aug2003) 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
140 ENG Matty Lamb 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 NIR Michael Reid 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 IRL Robert Moran 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 IRL Eoin O'Brien 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 IRL Charlie Williams 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 27.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.8 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 42.3% 26.9%
2 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 42.3% 26.9%
3 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 42.3% 26.9%
4 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 42.6% 27.2%
5 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 42.8% 27.3%
6 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 43% 27.5%
7 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 54% 28.9%
8 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 54.4% 29.2%
9 Betway 7 @ 1/5 55.8% 30.5%
10 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 48.6% 32.5%
11 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 47.2% 34.1%
12 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 47.6% 34.6%
13 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 48.2% 35.1%
14 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 48.6% 35.4%
15 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 62.5% 36.1%
16 VBet 5 @ 1/4 54.2% 37.5%
17 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 50.9% 37.5%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 62% 47.7%