Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 31.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 16.8 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 130.9

Total Profit: +30.8

Made in HimmerLand presented by FREJA

27/05/2021 - 30/05/2021

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 SCO Robert MacIntyre 12 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 7.69% 5.78% 4.01% -1.77% T37
2 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 20 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.58% 1.53% -2.05% 1
3 AUT Matthias Schwab 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.89% 1.71% -1.18% T8
4 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.59% 1.28% -1.31% T31
5 ENG Andy Sullivan 30 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.43% 2.89% 0.47% T40 10.62
6 SCO Calum Hill 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% 2.34% 0.13% T40 9.68
7 RSA Justin Harding 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% 1.75% -0.46% MC
8 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% 1.31% -0.9% MC
9 ENG Andrew Johnston 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.21% 1% -1.21% MC
10 BEL Thomas Detry 33 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% 0.86% -1.35% T59
11 ENG Eddie Pepperell 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.21% 0.68% -1.53% T37
12 NZL Ryan Fox 40 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.83% 1.85% 0.01% MC 8.03
13 ENG Laurie Canter 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.83% 0.97% -0.86% T8
14 AUS Jason Scrivener 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.63% 2.35% 0.72% T3 (tied w/3) 7.16 +43.9
15 ITA Guido Migliozzi 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.63% 1.67% 0.04% 2 7.16 +43.9
16 NED Joost Luiten 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.63% 0.86% -0.78% T15
17 ENG Aaron Rai 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.63% 0.53% -1.11% MC
18 ESP Adria Arnaus 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% 1.67% 0.19% T52 6.46
19 POL Adrian Meronk 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% 1.46% -0.01% T31
20 ENG Richard Bland 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.23% 1.64% 0.41% T3 (tied w/3) 5.4 +43.2
21 RSA Brandon Stone 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 2.7% 1.58% T40 4.92
22 FIN Mikko Korhonen 66 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.12% 1.83% 0.71% MC 4.92
23 USA Kurt Kitayama 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 1.75% 0.63% T8 4.92
24 FRA Victor Dubuisson 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0.86% -0.26% WD
25 RSA Wilco Nienaber 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0.48% -0.64% MC
26 SCO Connor Syme 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.06% 1.52% 0.46% MC 4.64
27 ESP Adrian Otaegui 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.99% 0.5% -0.49% T37
28 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 1.3% 0.38% T40 4.07
29 GER Maximilian Kieffer 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 1.14% 0.21% MC 4.07
30 USA Sean Crocker 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.73% -0.2% MC
31 AUS Minwoo Lee 80 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 0.5% -0.43% T52
32 SCO Richie Ramsay 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 0.33% -0.6% MC
33 SWE Alexander Bjork 90 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 0.81% -0.02% T6
34 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 0.6% -0.22% T52
35 ENG Jordan L Smith 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 0.57% -0.26% T3
36 FRA Romain Langasque 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 0.56% -0.26% T65
37 ENG Marcus Armitage 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 0.56% -0.27% T8
38 ITA Renato Paratore 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 0.94% 0.19% T71 3.26
39 DEN Jeff Winther 100 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.83% 0.09% T65 3.26
40 USA Julian Suri 100 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 0.61% -0.14% MC
41 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.5% -0.25% T17
42 ENG Matthew Southgate 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 0.42% -0.33% MC
43 ITA Edoardo Molinari 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.37% -0.37% MC
44 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.2% -0.54% T8
45 ENG Chris Paisley 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 1.15% 0.47% T52 2.97
46 AUS Maverick Antcliff 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 0.88% 0.21% MC 2.97
47 CHN Wu Ashun 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 0.86% 0.18% T40 2.97
48 NED Wil Besseling 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 0.61% -0.07% T19
49 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 125 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.65% 0.06% T40 2.62
50 SCO Scott Jamieson 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.6% 0% MC
51 USA Johannes Veerman 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.6% 0% MC
52 ENG Richard Mansell 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.3% -0.3% MC
53 CAN Aaron Cockerill 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.2% -0.4% MC
54 FRA Matthieu Pavon 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.53% 1.14% 0.61% T25
55 SWE Niklas Lemke 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.53% 0.92% 0.38% MC
56 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.53% 0.72% 0.19% T19
57 ENG Ross Fisher 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.53% 0.5% -0.04% T8
58 AUS Wade Ormsby 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 1.15% 0.65% T19
59 ITA Nino Bertasio 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.7% 0.21% T25
60 FRA Benjamin Hebert 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.7% 0.2% MC
61 ENG James Morrison 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.69% 0.2% MC
62 AUS Scott Hend 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.62% 0.12% MC
63 ESP Alejandro Canizares 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.56% 0.06% MC
64 ENG Callum Shinkwin 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.54% 0.04% T59
65 ENG David Horsey 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.52% 0.02% T31
66 ENG Robert Rock 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.42% -0.07% MC
67 GER Sebastian Heisele 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.36% -0.14% MC
68 ENG Matthew Jordan 150 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.36% -0.14% MC
69 ENG Dale Whitnell 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.34% -0.15% T19
70 FRA Alexander Levy 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.33% -0.17% T71
71 ENG Jack Senior 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.27% -0.23% MC
72 FRA Julien Guerrier 150 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.23% -0.27% T15
73 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.21% -0.28% T25
74 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.47% 0.51% 0.04% T19
75 USA Paul Peterson 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.23% -0.19% MC
76 IRL Niall Kearney 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.95% 0.57% MC
77 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.6% 0.22% T19
78 ITA Francesco Laporta 200 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.48% 0.1% MC
79 ENG Chris Wood 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.47% 0.09% MC
80 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.46% 0.09% MC
81 ENG David Coupland 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.44% 0.07% MC
82 GER Bernd Ritthammer 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.41% 0.04% MC
83 NED Darius Van Driel 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.35% -0.03% MC
84 ESP Pep Angles Ros 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.31% -0.06% MC
85 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.24% -0.14% MC
86 MAS Gavin Green 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.24% -0.14% MC
87 GER Marcel Siem 200 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.21% -0.16% MC
88 ENG Ashley Chesters 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.16% -0.21% MC
89 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 1.63% 1.3% MC
90 USA Sihwan Kim 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.42% 0.09% MC
91 ENG Garrick Porteous 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.31% -0.03% T59
92 SCO Stephen Gallacher 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 1.29% 0.99% T25
93 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 1.02% 0.72% T59
94 ENG Steven Brown 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.49% 0.19% T40
95 SWE Joakim Lagergren 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.48% 0.18% T25
96 FRA Clement Sordet 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.42% 0.12% MC
97 IND Shubhankar Sharma 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.35% 0.05% T8
98 CHN Hao Tong Li 250 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.26% -0.04% MC
99 NZL Josh Geary 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.22% -0.08% T6
100 ESP Jorge Campillo 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.19% -0.11% T40
101 NIR Cormac Sharvin 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.52% 0.25% MC
102 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.25% -0.03% T31
103 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.23% -0.04% T40
104 GER Marcel Schneider 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.39% 0.14% MC
105 WAL Rhys Enoch 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.31% 0.06% MC
106 IRL Paul Dunne 300 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.24% -0.01% WD
107 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.2% -0.05% MC
108 GER Max Schmitt 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.61% 0.39% T31
109 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.35% 0.14% T40
110 ESP Nacho Elvira 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.27% 0.05% MC
111 DEN Lasse Jensen 350 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.21% 0% MC
112 ENG Richard McEvoy 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.78% 0.59% MC
113 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 400 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.5% 0.31% MC
114 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.47% 0.28% MC
115 NED Lars Van Meijel 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.4% 0.21% MC
116 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.25% 0.07% T59
117 SWE Rikard Karlberg 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.25% 0.06% MC
118 ENG Ben Evans 400 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.21% 0.02% MC
119 ENG Toby Tree 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.2% 0.01% MC
120 USA Trevor Simsby 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 1.6% 1.45% MC
121 KOR Yikeun Chang 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.63% 0.48% 70
122 ITA Lorenzo Scalise 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.58% 0.43% MC
123 SCO David Drysdale 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.46% 0.31% MC
124 ENG Lee Slattery 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% MC
125 FRA Joel Stalter 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% MC
126 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% T59
127 FRA Gregory Havret 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
128 AUS Jake McLeod 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% MC
129 ESP Alvaro Quiros 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% WD
130 ENG Matt Ford 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% MC
131 WAL Oliver Farr 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% T68
132 DEN Morten Orum Madsen 500 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% MC
133 DEN Peter Launer Baek 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% T40
134 FIN Lauri Ruuska 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% T25
135 DEN John Axelsen 500 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.2% 0.05% T17
136 FRA Robin Roussel 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.2% 0.05% MC
137 SCO David Law 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.16% 0.01% T52
138 FRA Adrien Saddier 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.22% 0.1% MC
139 RSA Haydn Porteous 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.21% 0.08% T40
140 FIN Janne Kaske 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.13% MC
141 SWE Peter Hanson 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.13% MC
142 AUS Jarryd Felton 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% T52
143 SWE Jesper Sandborg 750 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% MC
144 ENG Graeme Storm 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% MC
145 IMN Tom Gandy 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.54% 0.46% MC
146 RSA Mathiam KEYSER 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% 73
147 DEN Thomas Bjorn 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.15% T31
148 ESP Carlos Pigem 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% MC
149 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% MC
150 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% T52
151 ITA Andrea Pavan 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.12% MC
152 ENG David Howell 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.18% 0.13% MC
153 AUS Dimi Papadatos 0% 0% 0% 0% T68
154 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 0% 0% 0% 0% T65
155 SWE Adam Guedra 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 31.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 16.8 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 45% 29.2%
2 VBet 5 @ 1/4 45.1% 29.3%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 58.9% 32.9%
4 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 58.9% 32.9%
5 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 49.5% 33.2%
6 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 50.3% 33.9%
7 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 50.3% 33.9%
8 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 53.1% 36.5%
9 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 64.2% 37.4%
10 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 53% 39.3%
11 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 53.9% 40.2%
12 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 55% 41.2%
13 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 57.2% 43.2%
14 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 57.7% 43.7%
15 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 57.9% 43.8%
16 Betway 6 @ 1/5 61.3% 47%
17 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 66.5% 51.7%