Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 32.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 17.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.0 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 67.2

Total Profit: -32.9

Gran Canaria Lopesan Open

22/04/2021 - 25/04/2021

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 FRA Antoine Rozner 16 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.33% 5.93% 1.6% T15
2 AUT Matthias Schwab 20 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.5% 1.27% -2.24% T8
3 ENG Andy Sullivan 22 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.2% 1.6% -1.6% T71
4 ENG Sam Horsfield 22 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.2% 1.16% -2.04% 4
5 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 25 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.83% 0.98% -1.85% T56
6 USA Kurt Kitayama 28 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.54% 1.92% -0.62% MC
7 SCO Calum Hill 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.16% 1.7% -0.47% T29
8 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.16% 1.68% -0.48% T56
9 RSA Justin Harding 33 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.16% 1.42% -0.74% T15
10 USA John Catlin 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.16% 1.2% -0.97% T52
11 NED Joost Luiten 33 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.16% 1.18% -0.98% T8
12 FRA Victor Dubuisson 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.04% 0.89% -1.15% T21
13 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.79% 1.64% -0.15% T62 7.81
14 RSA Garrick Higgo 40 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.79% 1.49% -0.31% 1
15 FRA Romain Langasque 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.79% 1.07% -0.73% T45
16 ENG Marcus Armitage 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.79% 0.95% -0.85% T45
17 NED Wil Besseling 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.79% 0.93% -0.86% T29
18 FIN Mikko Korhonen 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.6% 1.5% -0.1% MC 6.96
19 FIN Kalle Samooja 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.6% 1.46% -0.14% MC 6.96
20 ITA Guido Migliozzi 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.6% 1.44% -0.16% T15 6.96
21 USA Johannes Veerman 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.6% 1.39% -0.21% MC 6.96
22 USA Sean Crocker 45 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.6% 0.82% -0.78% T56
23 WAL Jamie Donaldson 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.44% 1.53% 0.09% T15 6.28
24 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.44% 0.55% -0.89% T5
25 GER Maximilian Kieffer 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.31% 1.06% -0.25% 2
26 ESP Adria Arnaus 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.21% 0.96% -0.25% T62
27 RSA Dean Burmester 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.21% 0.81% -0.4% T38
28 DEN Jeff Winther 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 1.13% 0.03% 3 4.78 +33.9
29 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% 0.86% -0.24% MC
30 ESP Adrian Otaegui 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% 0.69% -0.4% MC
31 ENG Matthew Jordan 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.97% 0.94% -0.03% MC 4.21
32 ENG Jordan L Smith 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.88% -0.03% T56 3.95
33 ENG Andrew Johnston 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.21% -0.7% T62
34 SCO Scott Jamieson 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 1.17% 0.36% T38 3.52
35 RSA Justin Walters 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.95% 0.14% T52 3.52
36 CHN Wu Ashun 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.88% 0.07% T21 3.52
37 SWE Alexander Bjork 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.81% 0.66% -0.15% T21 3.52
38 ESP Jorge Campillo 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.55% -0.26% MC
39 ENG Eddie Pepperell 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.21% -0.6% MC
40 SCO Connor Syme 100 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 1.3% 0.57% T5 (tied w/2) 3.17 +33.3
41 ITA Nino Bertasio 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 0.8% 0.07% T38 3.17
42 ENG Paul Waring 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.72% -0.01% T52 3.17
43 RSA Louis de Jager 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.55% -0.18% T71 3.17
44 ENG Ross Fisher 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.33% -0.4% MC
45 ENG Dale Whitnell 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.66% 1.26% 0.59% MC 2.89
46 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.66% 0.43% -0.23% MC 2.89
47 ESP Pep Angles Ros 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.99% 0.41% T29 2.54
48 ENG Steven Brown 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.9% 0.32% MC 2.54
49 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.82% 0.23% MC 2.54
50 ESP Alejandro Canizares 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.57% -0.02% T38 2.54
51 ENG Matthew Southgate 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.53% -0.06% MC 2.54
52 FRA Benjamin Hebert 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.34% -0.25% MC
53 NED Darius Van Driel 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.33% -0.25% T8
54 GER Sebastian Heisele 125 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.3% -0.29% T45
55 ENG Ashley Chesters 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.28% -0.31% T62
56 FRA Alexander Levy 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 1.26% 0.74% MC
57 POL Adrian Meronk 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.59% 0.07% T15
58 AUS Maverick Antcliff 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.43% -0.1% T21
59 SCO Richie Ramsay 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.41% -0.11% T29
60 CZE Ondrej Lieser 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.25% -0.27% MC
61 ENG Jack Senior 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.2% -0.32% T8
62 AUS Austin Bautista 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 2.86% 2.37% MC
63 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 1.65% 1.17% MC
64 ENG Richard McEvoy 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.82% 0.33% MC
65 ENG James Morrison 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.66% 0.17% T56
66 ENG Chris Wood 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.32% -0.16% MC
67 ENG Richard Bland 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.46% 1.47% 1.01% T8
68 SCO Grant Forrest 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.7% 0.28% MC
69 ENG Garrick Porteous 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.68% 0.27% T29
70 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.49% 0.07% MC
71 ITA Francesco Laporta 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.49% 0.07% T62
72 FRA Julien Guerrier 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.36% -0.06% T38
73 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.22% -0.2% MC
74 SWE Joakim Lagergren 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.66% 0.3% MC
75 SCO David Drysdale 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.6% 0.24% MC
76 CAN Aaron Cockerill 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.6% 0.23% T29
77 NIR Cormac Sharvin 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.53% 0.17% MC
78 IND Shubhankar Sharma 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.5% 0.14% MC
79 USA Julian Suri 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.48% 0.11% MC
80 ESP Nacho Elvira 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.45% 0.09% MC
81 FRA Matthieu Pavon 200 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.34% -0.02% T8
82 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.3% -0.06% MC
83 GER Marcel Schneider 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.25% -0.11% T8
84 ENG Richard Mansell 200 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.25% -0.11% T56
85 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.55% 0.22% T71
86 RSA Zander Lombard 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.89% 0.6% T45
87 FRA Clement Sordet 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.37% 0.08% T21
88 SWE Rikard Karlberg 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.3% 0.01% MC
89 ENG Toby Tree 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.26% -0.03% MC
90 ESP Eduard Rousaud 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.21% -0.09% MC
91 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 1.4% 1.13% T21
92 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 1.14% 0.89% MC
93 FRA Adrien Saddier 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.53% 0.28% MC
94 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.45% 0.21% MC
95 ENG David Coupland 300 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.37% 0.13% MC
96 ESP Pedro Oriol 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.25% 0.01% MC
97 POR Ricardo Santos 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.22% -0.02% MC
98 NED Lars Van Meijel 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 1.12% 0.91% T29
99 GER Max Schmitt 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.51% 0.3% T62
100 WAL Oliver Farr 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.41% 0.2% T69
101 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.39% 0.18% T71
102 WAL Rhys Enoch 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.33% 0.12% T38
103 USA Sihwan Kim 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.27% 0.06% T45
104 AUS Jake McLeod 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.26% 0.05% MC
105 IRL Paul Dunne 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.26% 0.05% MC
106 ENG Matt Ford 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.25% 0.04% T69
107 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 350 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.2% -0.01% MC
108 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.26% 0.08% MC
109 ENG Ben Evans 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.25% 0.07% T45
110 ENG Oliver Wilson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.49% 0.35% T52
111 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.45% 0.31% T21
112 SCO David Law 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% MC
113 FRA Gregory Havret 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% T45
114 ESP Alvaro Quiros 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.2% MC
115 FRA Joel Stalter 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.2% MC
116 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.19% T29
117 ITA Edoardo Molinari 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
118 ENG Lee Slattery 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
119 USA Berry Henson 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.12% T62
120 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.12% MC
121 IRL Niall Kearney 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% T21
122 SCO Liam Johnston 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.11% MC
123 SWE Peter Hanson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% MC
124 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% MC
125 ESP Scott Fernandez 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% MC
126 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% MC
127 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.42% 0.3% MC
128 FRA Robin Roussel 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.4% 0.28% T29
129 ENG Oliver Fisher 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.37% 0.25% MC
130 ENG Steven Tiley 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.26% 0.13% MC
131 SCO Euan Walker 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.25% 0.13% MC
132 POR Pedro Figueiredo 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.46% 0.36% MC
133 ENG Ross McGowan 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.35% 0.25% MC
134 RSA Haydn Porteous 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.31% 0.22% MC
135 USA Samuel Del Val 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% MC
136 ESP Carlos Pigem 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% MC
137 KOR Yikeun Chang 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.48% 0.41% MC
138 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.38% 0.31% MC
139 ITA Andrea Pavan 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.28% 0.21% MC
140 IMN Tom Gandy 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.19% MC
141 USA Tyler Koivisto 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.25% 0.18% MC
142 FIN Janne Kaske 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.24% 0.17% MC
143 ENG David Howell 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.34% 0.28% MC
144 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.24% 0.18% T38
145 ESP Carl Suneson 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.24% 0.19% MC
146 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.24% 0.2% MC
147 ENG Thomas Sloman 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% T15
149 ESP Oscar Sanchez 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 ESP Ignacio Urriza Fuentes 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 32.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 17.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 49% 32.8%
2 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 60.8% 34.5%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 60.9% 34.6%
4 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 60.9% 34.6%
5 VBet 5 @ 1/4 53.8% 37%
6 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 54.4% 37.6%
7 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 54.4% 37.6%
8 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 54.4% 37.6%
9 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 54.4% 37.6%
10 Betway 7 @ 1/5 66.3% 39.1%
11 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 56.5% 42.5%
12 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 60.7% 43.2%
13 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 57.2% 43.2%
14 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 58.2% 44.1%
15 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 58.3% 44.2%
16 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 58.5% 44.4%
17 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 58.8% 44.6%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 62.7% 48.2%