Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 30.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.9 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 34.8

Total Profit: -65.3

Commercial Bank Qatar Masters

11/03/2021 - 14/03/2021

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 BEL Thomas Pieters 18 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.03% 1.54% -2.49% 13
2 BEL Thomas Detry 20 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.64% 1.6% -2.05% T9
3 FRA Antoine Rozner 22 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.33% 3.19% -0.14% 1
4 ENG Andy Sullivan 25 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.94% 1.51% -1.43% T19
5 AUT Matthias Schwab 25 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.94% 1.2% -1.74% 71
6 RSA George Coetzee 28 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.64% 1.42% -1.22% MC
7 ENG Aaron Rai 33 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.25% 3.02% 0.77% MC 9.75
8 ESP Adria Arnaus 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.25% 2.53% 0.28% WD 9.75
9 ENG Laurie Canter 33 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.25% 1.75% -0.5% MC
10 USA Kurt Kitayama 33 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.25% 1.18% -1.07% T9
11 FIN Kalle Samooja 40 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.87% 1.46% -0.4% T28
12 NED Joost Luiten 40 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.87% 1.4% -0.47% MC
13 RSA Dean Burmester 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.87% 0.82% -1.05% WD
14 RSA Brandon Stone 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.66% 3.35% 1.69% T7 7.21
15 USA Sean Crocker 45 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.66% 1.39% -0.27% T35
16 RSA Justin Harding 45 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.66% 1.11% -0.55% MC
17 SCO Calum Hill 50 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.5% 1.68% 0.18% MC 6.5
18 ENG Matthew Jordan 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.5% 1.18% -0.32% WD
19 ENG Richard Bland 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 1.72% 0.58% MC 4.95
20 ENG Chris Paisley 66 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.14% 1.36% 0.22% T7 4.95
21 ESP Adrian Otaegui 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 0.86% -0.28% MC
22 RSA Wilco Nienaber 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 0.83% -0.32% T64
23 FRA Romain Langasque 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 0.62% -0.52% T50
24 ENG Callum Shinkwin 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.47% 0.53% T28 4.09
25 ENG Marcus Armitage 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.4% 0.45% T47 4.09
26 WAL Jamie Donaldson 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.36% 0.42% T5 (tied w/2) 4.09 +34.8
27 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.28% 0.34% MC 4.09
28 SCO Marc Warren 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.24% 0.3% WD 4.09
29 SCO Scott Jamieson 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.24% 0.29% T42 4.09
30 FRA Alexander Levy 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.2% 0.26% T50 4.09
31 RSA Shaun Norris 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.16% 0.22% T14 4.09
32 SWE Niklas Lemke 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.13% 0.19% T9 4.09
33 NED Wil Besseling 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.11% 0.17% T47
34 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 80 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 0.78% -0.16% T14
35 THA Jazz Janewattananond 80 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 0.77% -0.17% T50
36 USA Johannes Veerman 80 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.77% -0.18% T14
37 ENG Jordan L Smith 80 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.62% -0.32% T19
38 SWE Alexander Bjork 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.53% -0.41% T19
39 ENG Ross Fisher 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.32% -0.62% MC
40 DEN Jeff Winther 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.84% 1.25% 0.41% T14 3.65
41 ENG Eddie Pepperell 90 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.84% 0.8% -0.04% T64
42 RSA Garrick Higgo 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.84% 0.79% -0.06% T19
43 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.82% 0.06% MC
44 ITA Guido Migliozzi 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.67% -0.09% T2
45 SCO Stephen Gallacher 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.54% -0.22% MC
46 MAS Gavin Green 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.53% -0.22% MC
47 FRA Benjamin Hebert 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.51% -0.25% T58
48 RSA Darren Fichardt 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.49% -0.27% T2
49 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.39% -0.36% MC
50 ESP Jorge Campillo 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.34% -0.42% T28
51 AUS Maverick Antcliff 110 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.69% 1.37% 0.68% T19 2.99
52 ENG Steven Brown 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.69% 1.36% 0.67% T68 2.99
53 SWE Marcus Kinhult 120 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.83% 0.63% 0.52% -0.11% T68
54 ENG Matthew Southgate 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 1.18% 0.57% MC 2.63
55 ENG Robert Rock 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 1.14% 0.53% T50 2.63
56 AUS Wade Ormsby 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 1.09% 0.48% MC 2.63
57 POL Adrian Meronk 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.94% 0.33% MC 2.63
58 USA John Catlin 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.77% 0.16% T42
59 SWE Joakim Lagergren 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.65% 0.04% T42
60 ITA Renato Paratore 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.6% -0.01% MC
61 RSA Louis de Jager 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.6% -0.01% T42
62 ITA Francesco Laporta 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.32% -0.28% 72
63 CHN Hao Tong Li 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.29% -0.32% MC
64 GER Sebastian Heisele 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.54% 0.38% -0.16% MC
65 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 150 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.68% 0.17% MC
66 ENG James Morrison 150 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.67% 0.16% MC
67 CAN Aaron Cockerill 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.65% 0.14% MC
68 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.61% 0.1% T19
69 ESP Nacho Elvira 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.41% -0.1% T68
70 SCO Richie Ramsay 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.36% -0.15% T58
71 SCO Connor Syme 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.34% -0.16% T62
72 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.29% -0.22% MC
73 SWE Rikard Karlberg 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.48% 0.54% 0.07% MC
74 GER Maximilian Kieffer 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.48% 0.46% -0.02% T50
75 FRA Clement Sordet 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.48% 0.27% -0.21% MC
76 IND Shubhankar Sharma 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.98% 0.55% T28
77 NIR Cormac Sharvin 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.74% 0.31% T64
78 SCO Grant Forrest 175 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.69% 0.26% T19
79 USA Julian Suri 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.45% 0.01% T50
80 FRA Matthieu Pavon 175 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.27% -0.16% T35
81 WAL Oliver Farr 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.63% 0.25% MC
82 RSA Justin Walters 200 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.42% 0.04% T35
83 ENG David Coupland 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.39% 0.01% T62
84 ITA Nino Bertasio 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.31% -0.07% T19
85 KOR Kyongjun Moon 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.2% -0.18% MC
86 FRA Adrien Saddier 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% 1.09% 0.75% MC
87 SCO David Drysdale 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% 0.41% 0.07% T28
88 USA Sihwan Kim 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% 0.2% -0.14% MC
89 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 1.1% 0.8% MC
90 ENG Dale Whitnell 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.82% 0.51% T28
91 SCO Ewen Ferguson 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.8% 0.49% MC
92 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.35% 0.05% MC
93 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.28% -0.03% T50
94 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% -0.1% MC
95 WAL Rhys Enoch 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.19% -0.11% T47
96 ENG Jack Senior 250 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.17% -0.14% T35
97 ESP Alejandro Canizares 250 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.16% -0.14% T58
98 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.24% -0.02% T28
99 KOR Taehee Lee 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.23% -0.02% MC
100 ENG Ashley Chesters 300 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.2% -0.06% T42
101 NED Darius Van Driel 300 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.2% -0.06% MC
102 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.6% 0.38% MC
103 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.6% 0.38% MC
104 POR Pedro Figueiredo 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.48% 0.27% T50
105 AUS Scott Hend 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.45% 0.23% MC
106 FRA Joel Stalter 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.44% 0.22% MC
107 FRA Robin Roussel 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.35% 0.14% MC
108 ENG Chris Wood 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.28% 0.07% T64
109 RSA Zander Lombard 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.27% 0.05% MC
110 NED Lars Van Meijel 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.24% 0.02% T14
111 ESP Alvaro Quiros 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.22% 0.01% MC
112 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.2% -0.02% MC
113 ITA Edoardo Molinari 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.19% -0.03% MC
114 ENG Oliver Wilson 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.33% 0.14% MC
115 SCO David Law 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.26% 0.07% T35
116 ENG Ross McGowan 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.56% 0.41% MC
117 ENG Toby Tree 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.56% 0.41% T58
118 ENG Garrick Porteous 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.53% 0.38% MC
119 ENG Richard McEvoy 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.52% 0.37% T5
120 NED Daan Huizing 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.48% 0.33% MC
121 FRA Gregory Havret 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.47% 0.32% MC
122 IRL Paul Dunne 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.2% MC
123 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% MC
124 ENG Oliver Fisher 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% MC
125 ENG Lee Slattery 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% MC
126 KOR Yikeun Chang 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.18% 0.03% T19
127 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.18% 0.03% T2
128 ESP Carlos Pigem 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.41% 0.28% MC
129 POR Ricardo Santos 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.28% 0.15% T35
130 RSA Haydn Porteous 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.2% 0.07% MC
131 ENG David Howell 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
132 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.16% T35
133 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% MC
134 MAR Ayoub Lguirati 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.2% 0.16% MC
135 JOR Shergo Kurdi 3000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.03% 0.03% 0.21% 0.18% MC
136 QAT Saleh Musbah Al Kaabi 3000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.03% 0.03% 0.2% 0.17% MC
137 GER Bernd Ritthammer 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
138 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
139 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
140 QAT Ali Abdullah Al Bishi(am) 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 RSA Ruan Jordaan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 QAT Jaham Jassim Al Kuwari 0% 0% 0% 0% DQ

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 30.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.9 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 53.5% 28.4%
2 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 53.5% 28.4%
3 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 53.6% 28.5%
4 Betway 7 @ 1/5 54.3% 29.1%
5 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 56.6% 30.9%
6 VBet 5 @ 1/4 49.3% 33%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 49.4% 33.1%
8 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 50.6% 34.2%
9 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 51.4% 34.9%
10 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 53.1% 36.4%
11 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 49.9% 36.5%
12 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 49.9% 36.6%
13 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 53.1% 39.4%
14 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 56.2% 42.3%