Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 38.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 212.0

Total Profit: +112

Travelers Championship

24/06/2021 - 27/06/2021

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Bryson DeChambeau 12 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.32% 2.52% -2.81% T19
2 USA Dustin Johnson 12 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.32% 1.37% -3.95% T25
3 USA Brooks Koepka 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.61% 2.66% -1.96% T5
4 ENG Paul Casey 14 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.61% 2.65% -1.96% T36
5 USA Patrick Cantlay 16 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.07% 3.43% -0.64% T13
6 USA Scottie Scheffler 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.66% 2.34% -0.32% T47
7 USA Patrick Reed 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.66% 2.04% -0.62% T25
8 USA Tony Finau 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.39% 1.84% -0.55% MC
9 USA Brian Harman 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.23% 1.71% -0.53% T5
10 MEX Abraham Ancer 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.04% 1.83% -0.21% 4
11 USA Kevin Streelman 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.04% 1.47% -0.56% MC
12 USA Harris English 40 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.69% 2.23% 0.54% 1 7.47 +186.8
13 CHI Joaquin Niemann 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.69% 1.41% -0.28% T36
14 USA Matthew Wolff 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.69% 0.63% -1.06% MC
15 USA Keegan Bradley 45 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.5% 1.36% -0.14% MC
16 USA Russell Henley 45 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.5% 1.2% -0.3% T19
17 USA Charley Hoffman 50 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.36% 1.91% 0.56% T30 6.01
18 KOR Siwoo Kim 50 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.36% 1.34% -0.02% MC 6.01
19 AUS Cameron Smith 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.36% 1.22% -0.14% T30
20 USA Bubba Watson 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.36% 0.64% -0.72% T19
21 ENG Justin Rose 55 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.24% 0.98% -0.26% T36
22 USA Sam Burns 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.13% 1.46% 0.32% T13 5.02
23 USA Rickie Fowler 60 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.13% 0.94% -0.2% MC
24 AUS Jason Day 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.13% 0.54% -0.59% T10
25 RSA Garrick Higgo 66 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.03% 1.34% 0.3% MC 4.57
26 USA Doc Redman 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.03% 0.38% -0.66% T61
27 USA Max Homa 70 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.97% 1.56% 0.59% MC 4.32
28 AUS Adam Scott 70 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 0.97% 1.23% 0.25% T13 4.32
29 ENG Ian Poulter 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.97% 1.12% 0.14% T36 4.32
30 AUS Marc Leishman 70 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.97% 0.88% -0.1% 3
31 USA Phil Mickelson 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.85% 1.35% 0.5% T61 3.78
32 USA Stewart Cink 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.85% 1.32% 0.47% T30 3.78
33 USA Kevin Na 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.85% 1.25% 0.39% T47 3.78
34 ARG Emiliano Grillo 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.85% 1.17% 0.32% MC 3.78
35 MEX Carlos Ortiz 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.85% 1.03% 0.18% T47 3.78
36 ITA Francesco Molinari 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.85% 0.91% 0.05% MC 3.78
37 USA Aaron Wise 80 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.85% 0.52% -0.33% T66
38 USA Cameron Tringale 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.76% 1.1% 0.34% MC 3.37
39 USA Lanto Griffin 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.76% 0.91% 0.15% T70 3.37
40 USA Harold Varner III 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.76% 0.62% -0.15% T47
41 ITA Guido Migliozzi 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 1.81% 1.13% T13 3.04
42 USA Brendon Todd 100 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 0.66% -0.02% T30 3.04
43 USA Brandt Snedeker 100 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 0.49% -0.2% MC
44 USA Chris Kirk 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.62% 1.3% 0.68% MC 2.76
45 USA Mackenzie Hughes 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.62% 0.72% 0.1% T76 2.76
46 AUS Matt Jones 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 1.32% 0.77% T36 2.43
47 USA Talor Gooch 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 1.2% 0.65% T36 2.43
48 USA Brendan Steele 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.9% 0.35% MC 2.43
49 CAN Adam Hadwin 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.85% 0.3% MC 2.43
50 USA Kyle Stanley 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.69% 0.14% T54 2.43
51 USA Kevin Kisner 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.65% 0.1% T5 (tied w/5) 2.43 +25.3
52 USA Patton Kizzire 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.58% 0.03% MC 2.43
53 SCO Russell Knox 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.52% -0.03% MC
54 USA Maverick McNealy 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.45% -0.1% T30
55 USA Chez Reavie 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.3% -0.24% T25
56 COL Sebastian Munoz 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.81% 0.35% MC
57 USA Richy Werenski 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.54% 0.08% MC
58 TPE C.T. Pan 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.53% 0.07% MC
59 USA Pat Perez 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.46% 0.5% 0.04% MC
60 USA Scott Stallings 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.46% 0% MC
61 USA Ryan Moore 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.34% -0.12% T54
62 USA Zach Johnson 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.31% -0.15% T25
63 USA Chesson Hadley 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.49% 0.09% MC
64 USA Matthew NeSmith 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.45% 0.05% MC
65 USA Patrick Rodgers 175 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.39% 0.42% 0.02% T76
66 USA Adam Long 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.35% -0.04% MC
67 USA David Lipsky 200 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.34% 1.16% 0.82% MC
68 USA Ryan Armour 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.69% 0.35% T61
69 USA Doug Ghim 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.6% 0.26% T54
70 USA Keith Mitchell 200 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.34% 0.6% 0.25% MC
71 SWE Henrik Norlander 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.5% 0.16% T61
72 USA Michael Thompson 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.41% 0.07% MC
73 USA Wyndham Clark 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.4% 0.06% MC
74 USA Hank Lebioda 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.31% -0.03% T5
75 USA Joseph Bramlett 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.3% -0.04% MC
76 NZL Danny Lee 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.29% -0.05% MC
77 USA Scott Piercy 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.23% -0.12% MC
78 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.98% 0.71% T73
79 USA Troy Merritt 250 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.69% 0.41% T36
80 USA Hudson Swafford 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.69% 0.41% MC
81 USA Andrew Putnam 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.61% 0.33% T13
82 USA Harry Higgs 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.58% 0.31% MC
83 CAN Nick Taylor 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.52% 0.24% MC
84 USA Tom Hoge 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.5% 0.23% T66
85 USA Denny McCarthy 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.47% 0.2% T73
86 USA Chase Seiffert 250 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.42% 0.14% MC
87 USA Vincent Whaley 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.4% 0.12% MC
88 USA Vaughn Taylor 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.38% 0.1% MC
89 RSA Dylan Frittelli 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.36% 0.08% MC
90 USA William Gordon 250 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.34% 0.06% 79
91 ENG Tom Lewis 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.33% 0.05% T47
92 KOR Byeong Hun An 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.32% 0.04% MC
93 USA Mark Hubbard 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.28% 0% T13
94 USA Austin Eckroat 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.1% -0.18% T47
95 AUT Sepp Straka 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.53% 0.3% T10
96 USA Bo Van Pelt 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.48% 0.25% MC
97 SVK Rory Sabbatini 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.48% 0.25% MC
98 USA Kramer Hickok 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.42% 0.19% 2
99 USA Adam Schenk 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.38% 0.15% MC
100 USA Nate Lashley 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.35% 0.12% T76
101 USA Brian Stuard 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.35% 0.12% T30
102 CAN Roger Sloan 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.3% 0.07% MC
103 USA Brice Garnett 300 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.3% 0.07% T5
104 USA Bronson Burgoon 300 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% 0.27% 0.04% MC
105 USA Beau Hossler 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.2% -0.03% T10
106 USA Kevin Chappell 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.19% -0.04% T36
107 USA Sam Ryder 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.35% 0.16% T54
108 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.31% 0.11% T36
109 USA Jason Dufner 350 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.23% 0.04% MC
110 USA Brandon Hagy 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.55% 0.38% MC
111 USA Austin Cook 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.55% 0.37% MC
112 USA Robert Streb 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.43% 0.26% T19
113 USA Tyler McCumber 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.37% 0.19% MC
114 USA Robby Shelton 400 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.34% 0.17% T66
115 USA Tyler Duncan 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.29% 0.11% T54
116 AUS Cameron Percy 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.21% 0.04% T54
117 IND Anirban Lahiri 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.2% 0.02% MC
118 USA Kevin Tway 400 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.13% -0.04% T66
119 USA J.B. Holmes 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.09% -0.08% T36
120 PUR Rafael Campos 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.39% 0.26% MC
121 ENG Luke Donald 500 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% MC
122 USA Ted Potter-jr 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.25% 0.11% MC
123 USA Peter Malnati 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.24% 0.1% T54
124 USA Scott Brown 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.22% 0.08% MC
125 CAN Michael Gligic 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.22% 0.08% MC
126 USA Brian Gay 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.21% 0.07% MC
127 USA Jim Herman 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.2% 0.06% T25
128 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.19% 0.06% T70
129 KOR Sunghoon Kang 500 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.18% 0.04% MC
130 USA Sean O'Hair 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.17% 0.04% MC
131 USA Chase Koepka 500 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.17% 0.03% MC
132 CAN David Hearn 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.13% -0.01% T73
133 USA John Pak 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.09% -0.05% MC
134 USA Hunter Mahan 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.17% 0.1% MC
135 USA Scott Harrington 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.16% 0.09% MC
136 USA Michael Kim 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.14% 0.07% MC
137 USA William McGirt 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.14% 0.07% T70
138 USA Nick Watney 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.11% 0.04% MC
139 SWE Jonas Blixt 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.08% 0.01% T36
140 USA Martin Trainer 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.09% MC
141 USA Kevin Stadler 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.11% 0.06% MC
142 USA J.J. Henry 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.1% 0.05% MC
143 USA Alexander Beach 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.03% 0.08% 0.05% MC
144 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 USA Andrew Svoboda 0% 0% 0% 0% T61
146 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 USA Rob Oppenheim 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 USA D.J. Trahan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 USA J.J Spaun 0% 0% 0% 0% T47
150 IRL Seamus Power 0% 0% 0% 0% T19
151 USA Ryan Brehm 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 USA Grayson Murray 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 AUS Lucas Herbert 0% 0% 0% 0% T19
154 USA Davis Thompson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 USA Stephen Stallings Jr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA Brian Keiser 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 38.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 56.6% 21.2%
2 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 58.3% 22.6%
3 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 58.4% 22.6%
4 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 59.8% 23.8%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 60.7% 24.5%
6 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 89.9% 28.1%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 48.5% 32.4%
8 VBet 5 @ 1/4 53.4% 36.8%
9 Betway 7 @ 1/5 65.4% 38.5%
10 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 55.8% 38.9%
11 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 60% 45.9%
12 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 64.2% 49.7%