Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 22.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.6 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 271.2

Total Profit: +171.1

Palmetto Championship

10/06/2021 - 13/06/2021

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Brooks Koepka 7 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 12.5% 9.68% 3.02% -6.66% MC
2 USA Dustin Johnson 7 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 12.5% 9.68% 1.97% -7.71% T10
3 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 14 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.16% 2.45% -2.71% T2
4 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.08% 2.59% -1.49% T10
5 KOR Sungjae Im 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.69% 2.13% -1.55% T35
6 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.98% 2.49% -0.49% T35
7 USA Harris English 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.67% 2.43% -0.24% T14
8 USA Patton Kizzire 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.89% 2.08% 0.19% MC 8.37
9 ENG Ian Poulter 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.89% 1.85% -0.03% T25 8.37
10 SWE Alexander Noren 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.89% 1.69% -0.2% MC
11 USA Lucas Glover 45 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.68% 1.43% -0.25% MC
12 USA Keith Mitchell 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.68% 1.42% -0.26% MC
13 USA Harold Varner III 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.52% 1.9% 0.38% MC 6.73
14 RSA Garrick Higgo 50 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.52% 1.69% 0.17% 1 6.73 +217.1
15 USA Brandt Snedeker 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.52% 1.24% -0.27% T60
16 USA Kevin Kisner 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.52% 1.04% -0.48% MC
17 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.16% 1.19% 0.03% T2 (tied w/6) 5.13 +36.4
18 USA Doc Redman 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.16% 0.63% -0.52% T2
19 USA Scott Stallings 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.09% 1% -0.09% MC
20 TPE C.T. Pan 70 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.09% 0.98% -0.11% T31
21 USA Luke List 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.96% 1.77% 0.82% MC 4.24
22 USA Pat Perez 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.96% 1.13% 0.17% T10 4.24
23 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.96% 0.9% -0.05% MC 4.24
24 SCO Martin Laird 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.96% 0.9% -0.06% MC 4.24
25 SCO Russell Knox 80 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.96% 0.89% -0.07% T35 4.24
26 USA Bo Hoag 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 1.18% 0.42% WD 3.4
27 USA JT Poston 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 1.07% 0.31% MC 3.4
28 USA Vincent Whaley 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 1.02% 0.25% MC 3.4
29 USA Ben Martin 100 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.77% 0.92% 0.15% MC 3.4
30 IRL Seamus Power 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 0.83% 0.07% T19 3.4
31 AUT Sepp Straka 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 0.82% 0.05% MC 3.4
32 USA Matthew NeSmith 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 0.82% 0.05% T35 3.4
33 ENG Tom Lewis 100 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 0.74% -0.02% MC 3.4
34 SVK Rory Sabbatini 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 0.67% -0.09% MC
35 RSA Erik van Rooyen 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 0.48% -0.29% T10
36 CAN Nick Taylor 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 1.19% 0.58% T44 2.73
37 USA Richy Werenski 125 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 1.11% 0.49% MC 2.73
38 USA David Lipsky 125 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 1.06% 0.45% T8 (tied w/2) 2.73 +17.7
39 COL Camilo Villegas 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.9% 0.29% MC 2.73
40 KOR Byeong Hun An 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.73% 0.12% T52 2.73
41 USA Bronson Burgoon 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.71% 0.09% MC 2.73
42 USA Scott Piercy 125 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.53% -0.09% T19
43 USA Davis Thompson 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.18% -0.44% T35
44 USA Vaughn Taylor 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.55% 0.72% 0.17% T52
45 USA Kramer Hickok 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 1.12% 0.61% MC
46 USA Joseph Bramlett 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.9% 0.39% T25
47 USA Adam Schenk 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.78% 0.26% 68
48 USA Patrick Rodgers 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.73% 0.22% T50
49 CAN Roger Sloan 150 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.71% 0.2% T52
50 USA James Hahn 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.69% 0.18% MC
51 USA Brian Stuard 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.66% 0.15% MC
52 USA Jason Dufner 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.52% 0.01% MC
53 USA Mark Hubbard 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.46% -0.05% T57
54 USA Hank Lebioda 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.43% -0.08% T31
55 RSA Wilco Nienaber 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.32% -0.19% T14
56 USA Peter Uihlein 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.24% -0.27% T44
57 USA John Pak 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.18% -0.34% MC
58 USA Tyler McCumber 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% 0.88% 0.44% MC
59 USA Robby Shelton 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% 0.56% 0.12% T57
60 USA John Huh 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% 0.31% -0.13% MC
61 USA Andrew Putnam 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 1.08% 0.7% 67
62 USA Brice Garnett 200 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.99% 0.6% MC
63 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.88% 0.49% T19
64 IRL Padraig Harrington 200 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.84% 0.45% MC
65 SWE Henrik Norlander 200 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.82% 0.43% T25
66 NZL Danny Lee 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.57% 0.18% T19
67 AUS Cameron Percy 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.48% 0.1% WD
68 USA Kevin Chappell 200 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.43% 0.04% T44
69 USA Ryan Armour 200 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.39% 0% T8
70 CHN Zhang Xinjun 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.35% -0.04% MC
71 ENG Luke Donald 250 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.53% 0.22% T31
72 USA Chase Seiffert 250 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.52% 0.21% T35
73 USA J.J Spaun 250 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.37% 0.06% MC
74 USA Chez Reavie 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.37% 0.06% T14
75 USA Cole Hammer 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.18% -0.13% MC
76 CAN Michael Gligic 300 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 1.2% 0.94% MC
77 PUR Rafael Campos 300 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.88% 0.62% 56
78 USA Scott Brown 300 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.64% 0.39% MC
79 USA Rob Oppenheim 300 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.64% 0.39% T19
80 USA Sam Ryder 300 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.61% 0.36% T52
81 USA William Gordon 300 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.54% 0.28% T14
82 IND Anirban Lahiri 300 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.48% 0.22% T25
83 USA Josh Teater 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.44% 0.18% 63
84 USA Tyler Duncan 300 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.39% 0.14% T60
85 AUS Aaron Baddeley 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.37% 0.12% T44
86 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.31% 0.05% MC
87 USA Beau Hossler 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.3% 0.05% T19
88 USA J.B. Holmes 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.19% -0.07% T50
89 USA Ted Potter-jr 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.58% 0.36% MC
90 USA Wes Roach 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.55% 0.33% T44
91 USA Chesson Hadley 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.52% 0.3% T2
92 USA Sean O'Hair 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.35% 0.13% MC
93 USA Hudson Swafford 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.65% 0.46% T2
94 USA Brian Gay 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.64% 0.45% MC
95 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.57% 0.38% MC
96 USA Ryan Brehm 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.46% 0.26% MC
97 CAN David Hearn 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.46% 0.26% MC
98 USA Grayson Murray 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.44% 0.25% MC
99 USA Kevin Tway 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.4% 0.21% MC
100 USA Johnson Wagner 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.31% 0.12% MC
101 USA Austin Cook 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.29% 0.1% T31
102 USA Mark Anderson 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.17% -0.02% MC
103 USA Bryson Nimmer 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.15% -0.04% T35
104 ARG Nelson Ledesma 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.61% 0.45% MC
105 USA Bo Van Pelt 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.45% 0.29% T2
106 USA Scott Harrington 500 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% T44
107 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.19% MC
108 AUS Rhein Gibson 500 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.34% 0.19% T25
109 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.17% MC
110 ARG Fabian Gomez 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% MC
111 USA D.J. Trahan 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.16% MC
112 USA Roberto Castro 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.14% MC
113 USA Shawn Stefani 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
114 USA Zack Sucher 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
115 USA Jonathan Byrd 500 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% T57
116 USA Ryan Blaum 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
117 AUS Greg Chalmers 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.12% MC
118 SWE David Lingmerth 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% MC
119 SWE Jonas Blixt 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% MC
120 ARG Andres Romero 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.2% 0.04% MC
121 USA Bill Haas 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.29% 0.16% T25
122 USA Hunter Mahan 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.17% WD
123 USA Michael Gellerman 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.17% 0.07% T64
124 USA Nick Watney 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.22% 0.12% MC
125 IND Arjun Atwal 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% WD
126 USA Kevin Stadler 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.35% 0.27% MC
127 USA Michael Kim 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.24% MC
128 USA Ricky Barnes 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.21% MC
129 USA Dominic Bozzelli 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.21% MC
130 USA D.A. Points 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% MC
131 USA William McGirt 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
132 USA George McNeill 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% WD
133 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.14% MC
134 USA Charlie Beljan 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% MC
135 SWE Carl Pettersson 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% WD
136 USA Robert Garrigus 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% T64
137 USA Derek Ernst 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% MC
138 USA Smylie Kaufman 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% MC
139 USA Jim Knous 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% MC
140 USA Matt Every 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% MC
141 USA Cody Blick 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% MC
142 USA Chris Baker 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% T60
143 ENG Benjamin Taylor 1000 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% T35
144 USA J.J. Henry 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.24% 0.19% MC
145 USA John Rollins 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.21% 0.16% MC
146 USA Parker McLachlin 1500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.18% 0.13% WD
147 USA Harrison Frazar 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.18% 0.12% MC
148 USA Kelly Mitchum 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.18% 0.12% MC
149 ZIM Brendon de Jonge 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 SWE Richard S. Johnson 0% 0% 0% 0% 66
151 AUS Mark Hensby 0% 0% 0% 0% WD
152 USA Omar Uresti 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 USA Tain Lee 0% 0% 0% 0% T14
154 USA Ted Purdy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 USA Broc Everett 0% 0% 0% 0% T35
156 USA Brant Peaper 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 22.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.6 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 43.2% 11%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 33.8% 19.4%
3 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 54.9% 20.1%
4 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 54.8% 20.2%
5 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 36.1% 21.5%
6 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 36.1% 21.5%
7 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 36.1% 21.5%
8 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 36.1% 21.5%
9 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 86.1% 25.7%
10 VBet 5 @ 1/4 42.7% 27.3%
11 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 52.5% 27.9%
12 Betway 7 @ 1/5 53% 28.3%
13 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 42.5% 30%
14 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 49% 33.1%
15 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 49.3% 36.2%
16 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 55.2% 38.6%
17 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 52.4% 39%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 53.4% 39.9%